mman vs. Iskandar

13 point match, Score is mman: 14, Iskandar: 12


Τελικός του 5ου Διαδικτυακού Πρωταθλήματος Ελλάδος 2018, μεταξύ του Μιχάλη Μανωλιού (mman) και του Μίμη Τσακωνιάτη (Iskandar).
Σχόλια: Μιχάλης Μανωλιός

mman  Category Iskandar 
World Class (-0.0092) Total Error Expert (-0.0132)
World Class (-0.0093) Checker Play Expert (-0.0129)
World Class (-0.0092) Cube Play Expert (-0.0143)
4.62 Performance Rating 6.58

mman  Iskandar 
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 1 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Advanced (-0.0195) Game 2 Expert (-0.0140)
World Class (-0.0064) Game 3 Intermediate (-0.0260)
World Class (-0.0096) Game 4 Expert (-0.0134)
World Champ. (-0.0008) Game 5 Beginner (-0.0509)
World Champ. (-0.0041) Game 6 World Class (-0.0053)
Expert (-0.0102) Game 7 World Class (-0.0100)
Advanced (-0.0169) Game 8 Expert (-0.0142)
World Champ. (-0.0021) Game 9 World Champ. (-0.0039)
Expert (-0.0137) Game 10 World Class (-0.0062)

mman  Category Iskandar 
25(9) Move Errors 29(10)
-1.851(-22.22%) Equity lost (cost) -2.408(-23.46%)
     
2 Double Errors 5(3)
-0.112(-0.78%) Equity lost (cost) -0.487(-4.04%)
     
2(1) Take Errors 0
-0.127(-0.73%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
29(10) Total Error 34(13)
-2.090(-23.74%) Equity lost (cost) -2.895(-27.50%)
     
26 Jokers 25
-1.478(+48.54%) Luck +1.478(-48.54%)
     
World Class Level of Play Expert
4.62 Performance Rating 6.58

Location: GamesGrid Games Server
Played on: 03-Mar-18
At: 9:42:34 PM


mman: Elo= 1946, Exp=10714

Iskandar: Elo= 1717, Exp=3011

 Game 1

13 point match, Score is mman: 0, Iskandar: 0

 
 43: 13/10 13/9 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook113/10 13/9eq: +0.015
Player:
Opponent:		49.78% (G:14.86% B:0.73%)
50.22% (G:13.37% B:0.73%)
2.Book124/21 13/9eq: +0.003 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		49.83% (G:13.75% B:0.67%)
50.17% (G:13.05% B:0.57%)
3.Book124/20 13/10eq: +0.003 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		50.06% (G:13.31% B:0.60%)
49.94% (G:13.22% B:0.57%)
4.Book124/21 24/20eq: -0.018 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		49.74% (G:11.93% B:0.56%)
50.26% (G:12.96% B:0.45%)
5.Book113/9 8/5eq: -0.073 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		48.04% (G:14.03% B:0.59%)
51.96% (G:14.68% B:0.92%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 61: 13/7 8/7 
Pip=160-167
1.played4-ply13/7 8/7eq: -0.069
Player:
Opponent:		48.94% (G:12.95% B:0.64%)
51.06% (G:15.93% B:0.87%)
2.4-ply24/23 24/18eq: -0.250 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		44.82% (G:10.60% B:0.53%)
55.18% (G:18.25% B:0.63%)
3.4-ply13/7 6/5eq: -0.253 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		44.86% (G:11.50% B:0.55%)
55.14% (G:18.45% B:1.53%)
4.4-ply24/23 13/7eq: -0.274 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		43.87% (G:11.33% B:0.54%)
56.13% (G:18.38% B:0.95%)
5.4-ply24/18 6/5eq: -0.302 (-0.233)
Player:
Opponent:		44.39% (G:10.92% B:0.58%)
55.61% (G:21.15% B:1.08%)
 
 21: 24/22 10/9 
Pip=160-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 10/9eq: -0.033
Player:
Opponent:		49.10% (G:12.98% B:0.54%)
50.90% (G:13.59% B:0.49%)
2.XG Roller++9/7 8/7eq: -0.077 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		48.05% (G:13.73% B:0.63%)
51.95% (G:14.97% B:0.80%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 10/9eq: -0.134 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		46.50% (G:13.60% B:0.72%)
53.50% (G:15.44% B:0.83%)
4.XG Roller++10/9 6/4eq: -0.147 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		46.44% (G:12.73% B:0.59%)
53.56% (G:15.13% B:0.89%)
5.XG Roller++13/10eq: -0.157 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		45.84% (G:13.65% B:0.70%)
54.16% (G:15.41% B:0.86%)

"Κίνηση που κάνει δύο δουλειές είναι συνήθως καλύτερη από κίνηση που κάνει μόνο μία." (Backgammon by the Bay) Εδώ έχουμε πόρτα και διαχωρισμό έναντι μόνο πόρτας.
 
 55: 8/3*(2) 6/1*(2)  
Pip=157-160
1.played4-ply8/3*(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.530
Player:
Opponent:		58.54% (G:29.83% B:0.45%)
41.46% (G:10.05% B:0.49%)
2.4-ply13/3*(2) eq: +0.314 (-0.216)
Player:
Opponent:		56.10% (G:21.02% B:0.84%)
43.90% (G:10.96% B:0.51%)
3.4-ply13/3* 8/3 6/1* eq: +0.266 (-0.264)
Player:
Opponent:		53.43% (G:23.96% B:0.54%)
46.57% (G:12.25% B:0.70%)
4.4-ply13/3* 6/1*(2) eq: +0.243 (-0.287)
Player:
Opponent:		52.85% (G:23.69% B:0.39%)
47.15% (G:12.17% B:0.62%)
5.3-ply8/3*(2) 7/2(2)eq: +0.188 (-0.342)
Player:
Opponent:		52.86% (G:20.47% B:0.82%)
47.14% (G:11.85% B:0.63%)
 
 52: Bar/23 Bar/20 
Pip=161-140
1.played3-plyBar/23 Bar/20eq: -0.260
Player:
Opponent:		46.64% (G:11.56% B:0.61%)
53.36% (G:23.71% B:0.39%)
 
 21: 7/5* 6/5 
Pip=154-140
1.played3-ply7/5* 6/5eq: +0.550
Player:
Opponent:		58.44% (G:28.37% B:0.69%)
41.56% (G:9.44% B:0.47%)
2.3-ply13/11 6/5* eq: +0.088 (-0.462)
Player:
Opponent:		49.47% (G:20.76% B:0.56%)
50.53% (G:13.57% B:0.93%)
3.3-ply6/5* 5/3eq: +0.034 (-0.516)
Player:
Opponent:		48.99% (G:19.01% B:0.44%)
51.01% (G:13.25% B:0.71%)
4.3-ply24/23 7/5* eq: +0.022 (-0.528)
Player:
Opponent:		48.41% (G:19.59% B:0.52%)
51.59% (G:14.45% B:0.89%)
5.3-ply24/22 6/5* eq: -0.001 (-0.551)
Player:
Opponent:		47.99% (G:18.24% B:0.44%)
52.01% (G:12.71% B:0.68%)
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=159-137
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.981
Player:
Opponent:		34.73% (G:7.54% B:0.36%)
65.27% (G:37.86% B:0.57%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=159-137
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.63% (G:38.61% B:0.63%) 65.93% (G:39.88% B:0.72%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.37% (G:7.97% B:0.44%) 34.07% (G:8.20% B:0.52%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.629 +1.317
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.790 (-0.210)±0.012 (+0.778..+0.802)
xg Double/Take:+1.028 (+0.028)±0.018 (+1.010..+1.046)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 99.9%
Duration: 17 minutes 23 seconds

Προφανώς φοβήθηκα τα διπλά. Δεν ήξερα πάντως ότι είναι τόσο κοντά στο take.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
World Champ. (+0.0000) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.00 Performance Rating 0.00
0 Move Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Jokers 2
-0.973(-4.29%) Luck +0.973(+4.29%)

 Game 2

13 point match, Score is mman: 0, Iskandar: 1

 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/5 6/5eq: +0.226
Player:
Opponent:		55.30% (G:16.39% B:0.68%)
44.70% (G:11.19% B:0.47%)
2.Book124/23 13/10eq: -0.023 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		49.62% (G:13.69% B:0.54%)
50.38% (G:13.52% B:0.59%)
3.Book113/10 6/5eq: -0.041 (-0.266)
Player:
Opponent:		49.61% (G:13.52% B:0.53%)
50.39% (G:14.07% B:0.87%)
4.Book113/9eq: -0.048 (-0.274)
Player:
Opponent:		49.06% (G:13.76% B:0.63%)
50.94% (G:13.88% B:0.67%)
5.Book124/20eq: -0.052 (-0.278)
Player:
Opponent:		49.13% (G:12.53% B:0.57%)
50.87% (G:13.47% B:0.51%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-163
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.178
Player:
Opponent:		45.48% (G:12.76% B:0.54%)
54.52% (G:16.43% B:0.80%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 13/9eq: -0.332 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		42.06% (G:10.77% B:0.46%)
57.94% (G:17.82% B:0.85%)
3.4-ply13/11 13/9eq: -0.360 (-0.182)
Player:
Opponent:		41.26% (G:11.16% B:0.53%)
58.74% (G:18.70% B:1.21%)
4.4-ply24/18eq: -0.366 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:		41.84% (G:9.22% B:0.40%)
58.16% (G:19.35% B:0.73%)
5.4-ply13/9 6/4eq: -0.451 (-0.273)
Player:
Opponent:		39.96% (G:9.74% B:0.42%)
60.04% (G:20.37% B:1.60%)
 
 41: 24/23 13/9 
Pip=161-163
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 6/5eq: +0.084
Player:
Opponent:		52.44% (G:14.71% B:0.71%)
47.56% (G:13.40% B:0.53%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/9eq: +0.068 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		51.91% (G:15.88% B:0.75%)
48.09% (G:14.43% B:0.63%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: +0.062 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		51.71% (G:16.00% B:0.76%)
48.29% (G:14.42% B:0.77%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 24/20eq: +0.050 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		51.59% (G:14.09% B:0.64%)
48.41% (G:13.43% B:0.49%)
5.XG Roller++13/8eq: +0.037 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		51.06% (G:15.36% B:0.70%)
48.94% (G:14.20% B:0.67%)
 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=161-158
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/8eq: -0.190
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:12.67% B:0.53%)
54.55% (G:17.28% B:0.71%)
2.XG Roller++24/18eq: -0.245 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		44.65% (G:11.63% B:0.57%)
55.35% (G:19.04% B:0.71%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 6/1* eq: -0.325 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		42.20% (G:11.74% B:0.42%)
57.80% (G:18.54% B:0.94%)
4.4-ply13/8 6/5eq: -0.377 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:		41.17% (G:10.69% B:0.46%)
58.83% (G:19.25% B:1.37%)
5.4-ply13/7eq: -0.418 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		39.81% (G:10.58% B:0.44%)
60.19% (G:19.21% B:1.36%)
 
 41: 13/9 6/5 
Pip=155-158
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: +0.134
Player:
Opponent:		53.61% (G:16.44% B:0.67%)
46.39% (G:14.13% B:0.59%)
2.XG Roller++23/22 13/9eq: +0.109 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		53.09% (G:16.09% B:0.69%)
46.91% (G:14.25% B:0.58%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/9eq: +0.080 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		51.79% (G:15.68% B:0.57%)
48.21% (G:13.07% B:0.57%)
4.XG Roller++6/2* 2/1* eq: +0.060 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		51.31% (G:18.11% B:0.45%)
48.69% (G:14.94% B:0.85%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 9/8eq: -0.013 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		50.27% (G:14.26% B:0.72%)
49.73% (G:15.03% B:0.55%)
 
 65: 24/18 23/18 
Pip=155-153
1.played3-ply24/18 23/18eq: +0.232
Player:
Opponent:		56.23% (G:12.31% B:0.43%)
43.77% (G:9.45% B:0.23%)
2.3-ply24/13eq: -0.151 (-0.383)
Player:
Opponent:		46.75% (G:11.03% B:0.45%)
53.25% (G:16.46% B:0.36%)
3.3-ply24/18 13/8eq: -0.323 (-0.556)
Player:
Opponent:		42.76% (G:12.25% B:0.71%)
57.24% (G:21.09% B:0.67%)
4.3-ply13/2* eq: -0.333 (-0.565)
Player:
Opponent:		41.10% (G:12.62% B:0.50%)
58.90% (G:17.95% B:1.03%)
5.3-ply23/18 8/2* eq: -0.380 (-0.612)
Player:
Opponent:		41.52% (G:11.28% B:0.53%)
58.48% (G:20.85% B:1.19%)
 
 21: 24/22 23/22 
Pip=144-153
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 23/22eq: -0.223
Player:
Opponent:		43.04% (G:7.93% B:0.21%)
56.96% (G:8.12% B:0.21%)
2.XG Roller++6/4 5/4eq: -0.263 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		43.43% (G:9.39% B:0.31%)
56.57% (G:12.80% B:0.33%)
3.XG Roller++23/20eq: -0.319 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		42.50% (G:9.02% B:0.31%)
57.50% (G:14.21% B:0.41%)
4.XG Roller++23/22 6/4eq: -0.326 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		42.27% (G:9.54% B:0.33%)
57.73% (G:15.36% B:0.45%)
5.XG Roller++23/22 5/3eq: -0.350 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		41.74% (G:9.59% B:0.33%)
58.26% (G:15.87% B:0.48%)

Το 22 επείγει, ενώ το 4 μπορεί να γίνει και αργότερα.
 
 43: 13/6 
Pip=144-150
1.playedXG Roller++13/6eq: +0.148
Player:
Opponent:		54.71% (G:7.84% B:0.21%)
45.29% (G:8.51% B:0.24%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/2eq: +0.114 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		53.58% (G:8.32% B:0.21%)
46.42% (G:8.89% B:0.28%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 8/4eq: +0.086 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		52.89% (G:8.23% B:0.22%)
47.11% (G:9.28% B:0.29%)
4.XG Roller++8/1eq: +0.052 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		52.29% (G:8.19% B:0.18%)
47.71% (G:10.47% B:0.30%)
5.XG Roller++8/5 6/2eq: +0.003 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		50.76% (G:8.94% B:0.25%)
49.24% (G:11.34% B:0.37%)
 
 31: 13/9 
Pip=137-150
1.playedXG Roller++13/9eq: -0.202
Player:
Opponent:		43.49% (G:8.36% B:0.22%)
56.51% (G:7.73% B:0.20%)
2.XG Roller++6/3 5/4eq: -0.214 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		43.57% (G:8.81% B:0.25%)
56.43% (G:9.20% B:0.33%)
3.XG Roller++9/8 9/6eq: -0.234 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		42.58% (G:8.11% B:0.20%)
57.42% (G:7.83% B:0.21%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 5/4eq: -0.240 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		43.00% (G:8.93% B:0.26%)
57.00% (G:9.63% B:0.32%)
5.XG Roller++6/2eq: -0.251 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		42.49% (G:8.52% B:0.22%)
57.51% (G:9.01% B:0.27%)
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=137-146
1.played4-ply8/5 6/5eq: +0.358
Player:
Opponent:		60.46% (G:9.24% B:0.24%)
39.54% (G:6.68% B:0.19%)
2.4-ply6/2eq: +0.124 (-0.234)
Player:
Opponent:		54.31% (G:8.06% B:0.18%)
45.69% (G:8.99% B:0.29%)
3.4-ply8/4eq: +0.066 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		52.74% (G:7.74% B:0.18%)
47.26% (G:9.56% B:0.30%)
4.3-ply13/10 6/5eq: +0.040 (-0.318)
Player:
Opponent:		52.01% (G:9.60% B:0.26%)
47.99% (G:11.34% B:0.39%)
5.3-ply13/9eq: -0.019 (-0.377)
Player:
Opponent:		49.97% (G:8.47% B:0.20%)
50.03% (G:10.17% B:0.31%)
 
 65: 8/3 8/2 
Pip=133-146
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 8/2eq: -0.465
Player:
Opponent:		37.35% (G:7.68% B:0.21%)
62.65% (G:11.91% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++9/3 6/1eq: -0.515 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		36.16% (G:6.80% B:0.13%)
63.84% (G:11.29% B:0.38%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 8/3eq: -0.524 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		36.00% (G:7.45% B:0.19%)
64.00% (G:11.73% B:0.37%)
4.XG Roller++9/4 9/3eq: -0.553 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		35.14% (G:6.94% B:0.18%)
64.86% (G:11.38% B:0.41%)
5.XG Roller++9/4 8/2eq: -0.581 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		34.51% (G:6.92% B:0.18%)
65.49% (G:12.13% B:0.47%)

Με τόσο ισχυρό αντίπαλο στρατόπεδο δεν είναι καλή ιδέα να αφήσει κανείς αχρείαστες βολές (κάνοντας την πόρτα του 3), ενώ το 9/3 6/1 θάβει πούλι.
 
 No double 
Pip=133-135
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.61% (G:11.95% B:0.44%) 62.57% (G:12.07% B:0.44%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.39% (G:7.42% B:0.23%) 37.43% (G:7.46% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.299 +0.607
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.471
     Double/Take:+0.355 (-0.116)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.529)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.3%
 
 53: 18/15 18/13 
Pip=133-135
1.xgXG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: +0.471
Player:
Opponent:		62.41% (G:12.55% B:0.43%)
37.59% (G:7.06% B:0.24%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/15 18/13eq: +0.459 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		63.26% (G:6.77% B:0.28%)
36.74% (G:5.58% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++13/5eq: +0.390 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		60.33% (G:11.18% B:0.33%)
39.67% (G:7.29% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 6/1eq: +0.363 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		59.66% (G:11.50% B:0.29%)
40.34% (G:8.28% B:0.23%)
5.4-ply18/10eq: +0.271 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		58.44% (G:9.85% B:0.38%)
41.56% (G:10.55% B:0.23%)

Εδώ σκέφτηκα ότι εφόσον προηγούμαι στην κούρσα, είναι μια καλή ευκαιρία να τρέξω λόγω των δύο αντίπαλων εσωτερικών blots.
Το XG προκρίνει για λίγο την προσπάθεια να φτιαχτούν πόρτες στο outfield. Και τα δύο παιξίματα έχουν το πλεονέκτημα ότι πιθανό χτύπημα θα χαλάσει τη γυμνή αντίπαλη midpoint.
 
 42: 6/2 5/3 
Pip=125-135
1.playedXG Roller++6/2 5/3eq: -0.610
Player:
Opponent:		32.14% (G:2.54% B:0.04%)
67.86% (G:4.37% B:0.10%)
2.XG Roller++9/7 6/2eq: -0.634 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		31.56% (G:2.58% B:0.04%)
68.44% (G:4.99% B:0.16%)
3.XG Roller++9/3eq: -0.638 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		31.47% (G:2.55% B:0.05%)
68.53% (G:4.90% B:0.15%)
4.XG Roller++6/2 3/1eq: -0.684 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		30.56% (G:2.85% B:0.04%)
69.44% (G:5.93% B:0.19%)
5.XG Roller++9/7 9/5eq: -0.688 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		30.40% (G:2.52% B:0.04%)
69.60% (G:5.18% B:0.22%)
 
 No double 
Pip=125-129
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 67.78% (G:4.72% B:0.12%) 67.82% (G:4.56% B:0.11%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 32.22% (G:2.81% B:0.05%) 32.18% (G:2.48% B:0.04%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.375 +0.760
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.618
     Double/Take:+0.540 (-0.078)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.382)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.6%
 
 63: 15/6 
Pip=125-129
1.played3-ply15/6eq: +0.627
Player:
Opponent:		69.02% (G:3.91% B:0.05%)
30.98% (G:1.71% B:0.02%)
2.3-ply13/4eq: +0.248 (-0.379)
Player:
Opponent:		58.72% (G:6.14% B:0.18%)
41.28% (G:8.64% B:0.08%)
3.3-ply15/9 13/10eq: +0.211 (-0.416)
Player:
Opponent:		57.60% (G:6.35% B:0.23%)
42.40% (G:12.49% B:0.19%)
4.3-ply8/5 8/2eq: -0.034 (-0.661)
Player:
Opponent:		51.83% (G:6.08% B:0.15%)
48.17% (G:12.61% B:0.12%)
5.2-ply13/10 13/7eq: -0.212 (-0.839)
Player:
Opponent:		47.98% (G:8.44% B:0.37%)
52.02% (G:23.76% B:1.37%)
 
 42: 9/7 9/5 
Pip=116-129
1.playedXG Roller++9/7 9/5eq: -0.726
Player:
Opponent:		28.70% (G:1.18% B:0.02%)
71.30% (G:3.65% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: -0.733 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		28.45% (G:1.14% B:0.02%)
71.55% (G:3.51% B:0.05%)
3.XG Roller++9/3eq: -0.751 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		28.20% (G:1.18% B:0.01%)
71.80% (G:4.00% B:0.07%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 6/4eq: -0.751 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		28.22% (G:1.35% B:0.02%)
71.78% (G:4.02% B:0.09%)
5.XG Roller++9/5 3/1eq: -0.754 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		28.50% (G:1.91% B:0.03%)
71.50% (G:5.27% B:0.18%)
 
 No double 
Pip=116-123
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.30% (G:3.94% B:0.10%) 71.42% (G:3.99% B:0.10%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.70% (G:1.26% B:0.02%) 28.58% (G:1.23% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.454 +0.921
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.742
     Double/Take:+0.735 (-0.007)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.258)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.4%

Λόγω του ότι η anchor του είναι στο 22 και όχι πιο ψηλά, ο βίδος γίνεται ελκυστικός, παρά το μικρό προβάδισμα στην κούρσα.
Είναι από τις αποφάσεις που μπορεί κανείς να πάρει με βάση τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας των παικτών. (Γενικά, ο ισχυρότερος παίκτης παίζει λίγο συντηριτικότερα με τη χρήση του βίδου, με σκοπό το ματς να κριθεί σε περισσότερα games, ώστε να δώσει στον αντίπαλο τη δυνατότητα να κάνει περισσότερα λάθη απ' ό,τι εκείνος. Το αντίθετο ισχύει για τον πιο αδύναμο παίκτή: γενικά, πρέπει να είναι λιγο επιθετικότερος με τη χρήση του βίδου).


 
 31: 6/2 
Pip=116-123
1.playedXG Roller++6/2eq: +0.616
Player:
Opponent:		67.98% (G:4.00% B:0.08%)
32.02% (G:1.58% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/5eq: +0.569 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		66.61% (G:4.76% B:0.16%)
33.39% (G:3.37% B:0.05%)
3.4-ply5/4 5/2eq: +0.343 (-0.273)
Player:
Opponent:		61.04% (G:3.08% B:0.05%)
38.96% (G:2.61% B:0.04%)
4.3-ply13/9eq: +0.181 (-0.434)
Player:
Opponent:		57.14% (G:6.36% B:0.29%)
42.86% (G:9.12% B:0.10%)
5.3-ply8/7 8/5eq: +0.158 (-0.458)
Player:
Opponent:		56.50% (G:5.50% B:0.18%)
43.50% (G:8.83% B:0.12%)
 
 22: 9/1 
Pip=112-123
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/7eq: -0.680
Player:
Opponent:		30.40% (G:1.47% B:0.01%)
69.60% (G:4.11% B:0.11%)
2.XG Roller++13/9(2)eq: -0.685 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		30.19% (G:1.52% B:0.02%)
69.81% (G:4.10% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++13/11(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.687 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		30.34% (G:1.56% B:0.02%)
69.66% (G:4.29% B:0.15%)
4.XG Roller++13/11(2) 5/1eq: -0.691 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		30.24% (G:1.73% B:0.01%)
69.76% (G:4.65% B:0.21%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 13/9 5/3eq: -0.695 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		30.02% (G:1.57% B:0.02%)
69.98% (G:4.40% B:0.14%)
6.playedXG Roller++9/1eq: -0.705 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		29.90% (G:1.62% B:0.01%)
70.10% (G:4.63% B:0.15%)

Μια συνηθισμένη περίπτωση, όπου πρέπει να κατέβουν τα δύο πούλια από τη midpoint, επειδή ο αντίπαλος έχει καλύτερο timing (θα παίξει με τα spare του).
Αν δεν γίνει τώρα, θα γίνει αργότερα, ενώ θα έχουν ήδη θαφτεί πούλια σ' αυτή τη ζαριά.
 
 No double 
Pip=112-115
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.22% (G:4.74% B:0.18%) 70.41% (G:4.68% B:0.17%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.78% (G:1.70% B:0.02%) 29.59% (G:1.55% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.437 +0.890
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.723
     Double/Take:+0.692 (-0.031)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.277)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.1%

Κι εδώ ο βίδος δεν θα ήταν πολύ λάθος, αν και το προβάδισμα στην κούρσα έχει μειωθεί.
Επειδή δεν ήμουν σίγουρος, συνυπολόγισα και τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας και αποφάσισα να περιμένω.
 
 11: 8/7(2) 6/5 2/1 
Pip=112-115
1.xgRollout18/7(2) 6/4eq: +0.655
Player:
Opponent:		67.95% (G:6.01% B:0.25%)
32.05% (G:2.51% B:0.05%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.645...+0.664) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 04 seconds
2.playedRollout18/7(2) 6/5 2/1eq: +0.597 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		66.45% (G:6.46% B:0.19%)
33.55% (G:2.66% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.588...+0.606) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 47 seconds
3.XG Roller++8/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: +0.630 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		67.52% (G:5.96% B:0.17%)
32.48% (G:2.43% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++6/5 6/4 2/1eq: +0.534 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		64.99% (G:5.71% B:0.17%)
35.01% (G:2.90% B:0.03%)
5.4-ply6/4(2)eq: +0.462 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		64.20% (G:4.60% B:0.10%)
35.80% (G:2.61% B:0.03%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
 65: 13/8 13/7 
Pip=108-115
1.xgXG Roller++22/11eq: -0.445
Player:
Opponent:		36.96% (G:3.75% B:0.04%)
63.04% (G:8.55% B:0.18%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: -0.642 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:		32.33% (G:2.50% B:0.02%)
67.67% (G:6.62% B:0.15%)
3.4-ply22/17 7/1eq: -0.609 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		34.32% (G:5.11% B:0.03%)
65.68% (G:14.47% B:0.24%)
4.4-ply13/8 7/1eq: -0.692 (-0.247)
Player:
Opponent:		29.76% (G:3.13% B:0.03%)
70.24% (G:6.76% B:0.11%)
5.4-ply7/1 6/1eq: -0.759 (-0.314)
Player:
Opponent:		29.27% (G:1.64% B:0.01%)
70.73% (G:7.30% B:0.12%)

Δεν θα έβρισκα το σωστό παίξειμο εδώ. Μάλιστα στην παρτίδα, ο Μίμης το δοκίμασε, και με θυμάμαι να παρακαλάω να το παίξει. :-)
Κατόπιν εορτής, μπορώ να εικάσω ότι πρέπει να τρέξει επειδή (α) μετά το 22/11 η κούρσα είναι ίση, (β) το blot στον άσο μου τον προστατεύει εν μέρει από την επίθεσή μου και (γ) το κυριότερο, έχω καλύτερο timing λόγω των spare στη midpoint μου.
Πάντως, ειλικρινά, δεν νομίζω ότι θα το παίξω σωστά όταν θα το ξαναδώ.
 
 No double 
Pip=108-104
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 67.51% (G:6.70% B:0.17%) 67.57% (G:6.52% B:0.16%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 32.49% (G:2.64% B:0.03%) 32.43% (G:2.46% B:0.03%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.392 +0.794
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.649
     Double/Take:+0.591 (-0.058)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.351)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.5%

Εδώ δεν βίδαρα λόγω κούρσας.
 
 61: 13/7 5/4 
Pip=108-104
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 5/4eq: +0.633
Player:
Opponent:		66.80% (G:6.66% B:0.18%)
33.20% (G:2.22% B:0.03%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/6eq: +0.625 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		66.52% (G:7.41% B:0.18%)
33.48% (G:2.58% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 6/5eq: +0.540 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		64.62% (G:7.63% B:0.20%)
35.38% (G:3.23% B:0.05%)
4.XG Roller++13/12 13/7eq: +0.518 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		64.04% (G:7.48% B:0.29%)
35.96% (G:4.43% B:0.07%)
5.4-ply7/6 7/1eq: +0.388 (-0.245)
Player:
Opponent:		61.51% (G:4.82% B:0.10%)
38.49% (G:2.71% B:0.02%)
 
 44: 8/4 7/3 6/2 5/1 
Pip=101-104
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 7/3 6/2 5/1eq: -0.837
Player:
Opponent:		29.43% (G:1.75% B:0.01%)
70.57% (G:10.10% B:0.29%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/4 7/3(2) 5/1eq: -0.839 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		29.75% (G:2.39% B:0.02%)
70.25% (G:11.55% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 7/3 5/1(2)eq: -0.860 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		28.99% (G:1.62% B:0.01%)
71.01% (G:10.13% B:0.32%)
4.XG Roller++8/4 6/2(2) 5/1eq: -0.875 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		28.90% (G:1.56% B:0.01%)
71.10% (G:10.24% B:0.26%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 5/1(3)eq: -0.878 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		28.40% (G:1.32% B:0.01%)
71.60% (G:9.39% B:0.23%)
 
 No double 
Pip=101-88
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.54% (G:10.47% B:0.42%) 70.56% (G:11.08% B:0.43%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.46% (G:1.91% B:0.02%) 29.44% (G:2.11% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.502 +1.027
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.840 (-0.010)
xg Double/Take:+0.850
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.150)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Τα 44 έχουν σχεδόν καταστρέψει το στρατόπεδό του, όμως αν και τα καμένα δεν μετράνε όσο φαίνεται στην κούρσα (wastage) αυτή παραμένει υπέρ του, οπότε δεν βίδαρα.
 
 52: 7/5 6/1 
Pip=101-88
1.xgXG Roller++7/2 4/2eq: +0.877
Player:
Opponent:		70.61% (G:12.08% B:0.38%)
29.39% (G:2.39% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++13/6eq: +0.829 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		69.93% (G:10.46% B:0.28%)
30.07% (G:1.70% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 7/2eq: +0.809 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		68.57% (G:14.58% B:0.89%)
31.43% (G:4.10% B:0.07%)
4.playedXG Roller++7/5 6/1eq: +0.773 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		68.97% (G:9.72% B:0.30%)
31.03% (G:1.83% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 6/1eq: +0.769 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		68.96% (G:9.48% B:0.27%)
31.04% (G:1.72% B:0.02%)

"When in doubt, make the prettiest play"
Το σκεπτικό πίσω από το 7/5 6/1 ήταν να μην έχω blot στο στρατόπεδό μου, ώστε να μπορώ να επιτεθώ όταν θα λύσει (και θα λύσει για να διεκδικήσει την ίση κούρσα) και να έχω τρεις builders.
Το σωστό 7/2 4/2 κάνει την καλύτερη πόρτα του 2, ενώ το blot που αφήνει στον άσο δεν είναι τόσο σημαντικό, λόγω του κακού αντίπαλου board, που θα συνεχίσει να καταστρέφεται. Επίσης, το 7/2 4/2 είναι το πιο pure παίξιμο και κρατάει τη μέγιστη δυνατή ευελιξία λόγω του spare στο 6.
 
 33: 7/4 6/3 5/2(2) 
Pip=94-88
1.playedXG Roller++7/4 6/3 5/2(2)eq: -0.988
Player:
Opponent:		26.99% (G:1.49% B:0.01%)
73.01% (G:12.09% B:0.31%)
2.XG Roller++7/1 6/3 4/1eq: -1.000 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		25.85% (G:1.32% B:0.01%)
74.15% (G:13.04% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++6/3 5/2(2) 4/1eq: -1.000 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		24.24% (G:0.77% B:0.01%)
75.76% (G:13.58% B:0.33%)
4.XG Roller++7/1 5/2 4/1eq: -1.000 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		23.48% (G:0.95% B:0.01%)
76.52% (G:15.03% B:0.57%)
5.XG Roller++7/1 5/2(2)eq: -1.000 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		23.66% (G:1.02% B:0.01%)
76.34% (G:15.97% B:0.61%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=94-76
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 73.00% (G:11.98% B:0.30%) 72.77% (G:12.76% B:0.32%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 27.00% (G:1.35% B:0.01%) 27.23% (G:1.68% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.571 +1.159
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.861 (-0.126)
played Double/Take:+0.988
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.012)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Εδώ πια το στρατόπεδό του είναι χάλια και το wastage μεγάλο. Στην επόμενη ζαριά υπάρχουν πολλά makret losers που θα με κάνουν να χάσω την αγορά μου με double / pass, οπότε ο βίδος τώρα είναι υποχρεωτικός.
 
 53: 13/5 
Pip=94-76
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: +0.479
Player:
Opponent:		72.31% (G:12.35% B:0.29%)
27.69% (G:1.75% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++7/2 5/2eq: +0.368 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		66.73% (G:15.06% B:0.38%)
33.27% (G:2.61% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++7/4 7/2eq: +0.353 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		66.95% (G:13.92% B:0.34%)
33.05% (G:3.10% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 5/2eq: +0.342 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		66.76% (G:13.24% B:0.33%)
33.24% (G:3.82% B:0.04%)
5.4-ply13/8 4/1eq: +0.253 (-0.227)
Player:
Opponent:		64.75% (G:8.54% B:0.22%)
35.25% (G:2.44% B:0.02%)
 
 54: 22/13 
Pip=86-76
1.played3-ply22/13eq: -0.504
Player:
Opponent:		26.67% (G:2.06% B:0.02%)
73.33% (G:13.43% B:0.34%)
 
 41: 13/9 13/12*  
Pip=86-67
1.xgXG Roller++13/12* 7/3* eq: +0.979
Player:
Opponent:		86.49% (G:30.47% B:0.86%)
13.51% (G:4.10% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++7/3* 4/3eq: +0.851 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		85.46% (G:18.01% B:0.46%)
14.54% (G:0.63% B:0.01%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/12* eq: +0.834 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		83.30% (G:21.60% B:0.57%)
16.70% (G:1.23% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++13/12* 5/1eq: +0.829 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		84.14% (G:19.15% B:0.45%)
15.86% (G:0.99% B:0.01%)
5.4-ply13/12* 12/8eq: +0.776 (-0.203)
Player:
Opponent:		81.48% (G:20.78% B:0.56%)
18.52% (G:1.80% B:0.02%)

Πρέπει να παραδεχτώ ότι δεν εξέτασα καθόλου το διπλό χτύπημα. Είδα μόνο την πόρτα και την απέρριψα επειδή ήθελα οπωσδήποτε το έξω πούλι λόγω κούρσας.
Ο λόγος που το έχασα αυτό είναι ο φόβος μου απέναντι στο σεβαστό του board (πάντα πρέπει να σέβεσαι ένα 4-πορτο board), όμως αυτό που αποφασίζει στη θέση αυτή είναι η μεγάλη διαφορά των gammons για μένα (30.5% έναντι 21.6%). Αυτό βέβαια είναι προφανές. Εκείνο που δεν ήξερα είναι ότι και οι συνολικές νίκες είναι περισσότερες (κατά 3.2%)με το διπλό χτύπημα.
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=81-79
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.157
Player:
Opponent:		7.68% (G:0.45% B:0.01%)
92.32% (G:31.43% B:0.93%)
 
 43: 12/8 9/6 
Pip=81-79
1.xgXG Roller++12/9 7/3* eq: +1.050
Player:
Opponent:		88.63% (G:30.21% B:0.87%)
11.37% (G:1.28% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++9/6 7/3* eq: +1.033 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		87.88% (G:31.02% B:0.94%)
12.12% (G:2.34% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++7/4 7/3* eq: +0.957 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		86.02% (G:28.06% B:0.81%)
13.98% (G:2.45% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++9/6 5/1eq: +0.906 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		87.83% (G:17.71% B:0.42%)
12.17% (G:0.25% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/3* 4/1eq: +0.902 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		85.04% (G:26.48% B:0.71%)
14.96% (G:4.21% B:0.11%)
6.playedXG Roller++12/8 9/6eq: +0.872 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		85.23% (G:20.34% B:0.56%)
14.77% (G:0.45% B:0.00%)

Αυτό είναι εγκληματικό. Δεν επιτρέπεται να αφήνεις τον αντίπαλο να δέσει σε τέτοια θέση, πόσω μάλλον όταν το board του επιτρέπει εύκολη διαφυγή.
 
 32: Bar/22 3/1 
Pip=74-79
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 3/1eq: -0.645
Player:
Opponent:		16.80% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
83.20% (G:3.27% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 4/2eq: -0.707 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		15.32% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
84.68% (G:5.88% B:0.09%)
3.3-plyBar/23 4/1eq: -1.318 (-0.673)
Player:
Opponent:		5.37% (G:0.35% B:0.01%)
94.63% (G:40.85% B:1.59%)
 
 53: 8/5 6/1 
Pip=74-74
1.played4-ply8/5 6/1eq: +0.600
Player:
Opponent:		81.72% (G:1.96% B:0.01%)
18.28% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply8/5 7/2eq: +0.404 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		72.72% (G:3.89% B:0.03%)
27.28% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply7/4 7/2eq: +0.372 (-0.229)
Player:
Opponent:		71.22% (G:4.19% B:0.03%)
28.78% (G:0.41% B:0.01%)
4.4-ply6/1 5/2eq: +0.355 (-0.245)
Player:
Opponent:		70.82% (G:4.02% B:0.03%)
29.18% (G:0.78% B:0.01%)
5.3-ply6/1 4/1eq: +0.254 (-0.347)
Player:
Opponent:		67.27% (G:2.67% B:0.03%)
32.73% (G:0.56% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 22/15 
Pip=66-74
1.playedXG Roller++22/15eq: -0.617
Player:
Opponent:		17.50% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
82.50% (G:2.03% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++22/17 3/1eq: -0.670 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		15.47% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
84.53% (G:2.63% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++22/17 4/2eq: -0.726 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		14.36% (G:0.19% B:0.00%)
85.64% (G:5.78% B:0.09%)
 
 62: 7/5 7/1 
Pip=66-67
1.played4-ply7/5 7/1eq: +0.513
Player:
Opponent:		78.57% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
21.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply7/1 5/3* eq: +0.255 (-0.258)
Player:
Opponent:		67.49% (G:3.51% B:0.03%)
32.51% (G:1.36% B:0.01%)
3.3-ply7/1 4/2eq: +0.136 (-0.378)
Player:
Opponent:		63.02% (G:0.53% B:0.00%)
36.98% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply7/1 6/4eq: -0.237 (-0.750)
Player:
Opponent:		46.84% (G:0.46% B:0.00%)
53.16% (G:1.56% B:0.01%)

Η ευκαιρία για gammon έχει πετάξει. Μετά το 62 είμαι μπροστά στην κούρσα 9 pips (και στην ουσία 14 λόγω των καμένων του) οπότε είναι σαφές ότι δεν πρέπει να χτυπήσω.
 
 44: 22/10 15/11 
Pip=58-67
1.playedXG Roller++22/10 15/11eq: -0.040
Player:
Opponent:		41.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
58.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++22/6eq: -0.052 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		40.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++22/14 15/7eq: -0.056 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		40.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++22/18 15/3eq: -0.142 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		36.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 1/Off(4) 
Pip=58-51
1.playedXG Roller++1/Off(4)eq: +0.086
Player:
Opponent:		60.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/4 1/Off(3)eq: +0.057 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		59.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++4/3 1/Off(3)eq: +0.042 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		58.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++5/3 1/Off(2)eq: -0.005 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		56.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/5 1/Off(3)eq: -0.018 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		56.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 66: 11/Off 10/Off 
Pip=54-51
1.played3-ply11/Off 10/Offeq: +0.742
Player:
Opponent:		72.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
27.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 5/3 4/Off 
Pip=54-30
1.played4-ply5/3 4/Offeq: -0.966
Player:
Opponent:		21.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		19.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
80.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/2 4/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		19.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
80.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/3 5/1eq: -1.000 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		19.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
80.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/2 5/3eq: -1.000 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		19.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
80.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=48-30
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 78.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 77.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 21.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 22.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.563 +1.131
Cubeful Equities
     No redouble:+0.862 (-0.138)±0.002 (+0.860..+0.865)
xg Redouble/Take:+1.002 (+0.002)±0.003 (+0.998..+1.005)
played Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 83.6%
Duration: 8.5 seconds

Υπολόγισα ότι είχα γύρω στο 17%, οπότε μου φάνηκε καθαρό πάσο. Όμως ακόμα κι αν ήξερα την ακριβή εκτίμηση (οριακό take) πάλι πάσο θα πήγαινα, λόγω διαφοράς δυναμικότητας και ύψους κύβου.
 
 Wins 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
Advanced (-0.0195) Total Error Expert (-0.0140)
Intermediate (-0.0276) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0159)
World Champ. (-0.0013) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
9.76 Performance Rating 7.01
4(3) Move Errors 2(1)
-0.497(-3.71%) Equity lost (cost) -0.238(-1.06%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
-0.010(-0.05%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
4(3) Total Error 2(1)
-0.507(-3.76%) Equity lost (cost) -0.238(-1.06%)
     
3 Jokers 2
-0.375(-7.12%) Luck +0.375(+7.12%)

 Game 3

13 point match, Score is mman: 0, Iskandar: 3

 
 32: 24/21 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/21 13/11eq: +0.067
Player:
Opponent:		50.23% (G:13.56% B:0.60%)
49.77% (G:12.88% B:0.57%)
2.Book124/22 13/10eq: +0.055 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		49.82% (G:13.32% B:0.53%)
50.18% (G:12.86% B:0.48%)
3.Book113/11 13/10eq: +0.054 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		49.74% (G:14.60% B:0.63%)
50.26% (G:13.81% B:0.74%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: +0.010 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		48.94% (G:13.80% B:0.59%)
51.06% (G:14.34% B:0.84%)
5.Book124/22 24/21eq: +0.007 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		49.21% (G:11.78% B:0.51%)
50.79% (G:12.99% B:0.45%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 63: 13/4*  
Pip=162-167
1.playedXG Roller++13/4* eq: -0.169
Player:
Opponent:		47.09% (G:13.04% B:0.56%)
52.91% (G:14.62% B:0.80%)
2.XG Roller++24/15eq: -0.225 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		46.45% (G:10.51% B:0.43%)
53.55% (G:15.45% B:0.57%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 24/18eq: -0.264 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		45.59% (G:9.90% B:0.41%)
54.41% (G:15.76% B:0.54%)
4.XG Roller++24/18 13/10eq: -0.284 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		45.08% (G:10.34% B:0.43%)
54.92% (G:16.01% B:0.78%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 13/7eq: -0.292 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		44.21% (G:11.08% B:0.45%)
55.79% (G:15.43% B:0.77%)
 
 33: Bar/22 24/21* 6/3(2) 
Pip=166-158
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 24/21* 8/5(2)eq: +0.539
Player:
Opponent:		59.88% (G:20.46% B:1.41%)
40.12% (G:9.43% B:0.41%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 24/21* 6/3(2)eq: +0.517 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		59.83% (G:19.28% B:1.32%)
40.17% (G:9.22% B:0.34%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/21* 13/10(2)eq: +0.413 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		57.55% (G:18.36% B:1.24%)
42.45% (G:10.10% B:0.40%)
4.4-plyBar/22 24/21* 21/15eq: +0.331 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		56.93% (G:15.84% B:0.95%)
43.07% (G:10.92% B:0.43%)
5.4-plyBar/22 24/21* 13/10 11/8eq: +0.309 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		55.58% (G:17.03% B:1.05%)
44.42% (G:10.71% B:0.42%)

Δεν θέλησα να κάνω την 5 επειδή αφήνει φορωμένη την 6 και blot στο 8. Δεν μου κάνει εντύπωση, πάντως, που είναι λίγο καλύτερη.
 
 51: Bar/20 24/23 
Pip=154-179
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 24/23eq: -0.583
Player:
Opponent:		38.62% (G:8.66% B:0.32%)
61.38% (G:20.69% B:1.24%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 6/5eq: -0.661 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		38.53% (G:8.36% B:0.33%)
61.47% (G:24.07% B:2.58%)
3.4-plyBar/24 8/3* eq: -0.743 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		36.24% (G:7.92% B:0.30%)
63.76% (G:23.06% B:2.21%)
4.4-plyBar/24 13/8eq: -0.762 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		35.31% (G:7.95% B:0.28%)
64.69% (G:22.08% B:1.97%)
5.4-plyBar/20 8/7eq: -0.787 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		36.08% (G:7.51% B:0.28%)
63.92% (G:24.17% B:2.51%)
 
 No double 
Pip=154-173
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.43% (G:20.70% B:1.20%) 61.51% (G:20.82% B:1.21%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.57% (G:8.70% B:0.32%) 38.49% (G:8.72% B:0.32%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.355 +0.752
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.587
     Double/Take:+0.555 (-0.032)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.413)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.8%
 
 43: 13/9 8/5*  
Pip=154-173
1.xgXG Roller++8/5* 5/1* eq: +0.483
Player:
Opponent:		58.24% (G:21.35% B:0.93%)
41.76% (G:10.01% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++8/5* 6/2* eq: +0.412 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		56.80% (G:20.40% B:1.38%)
43.20% (G:11.43% B:0.58%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/5* eq: +0.392 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		56.55% (G:19.70% B:1.30%)
43.45% (G:11.76% B:0.64%)
4.XG Roller++22/18 21/18eq: +0.350 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		58.00% (G:13.36% B:0.48%)
42.00% (G:9.09% B:0.28%)
5.4-ply22/18 8/5* eq: +0.296 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:		55.41% (G:16.62% B:1.00%)
44.59% (G:11.86% B:0.52%)

Και πάλι δεν το είδα. Ο νους μου ήταν στην πόρτα 5, αλλά οτιδήποτε άλλο εκτός από το διπλό χτύπημα αφήνει πολύ ελεύθερο τον αντίπαλο.
 
 54: Bar/20* 20/16*  
Pip=147-178
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 20/16* eq: +0.100
Player:
Opponent:		53.27% (G:16.22% B:0.83%)
46.73% (G:12.61% B:0.61%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20* 24/20eq: +0.016 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		50.93% (G:12.26% B:0.52%)
49.07% (G:10.43% B:0.40%)
3.4-plyBar/20* 8/4* eq: -0.091 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		49.26% (G:15.17% B:1.00%)
50.74% (G:15.87% B:1.13%)
4.3-plyBar/20* 13/9eq: -0.330 (-0.430)
Player:
Opponent:		44.24% (G:12.00% B:0.62%)
55.76% (G:18.60% B:1.41%)
5.3-plyBar/20* 6/2eq: -0.403 (-0.503)
Player:
Opponent:		43.23% (G:11.55% B:0.56%)
56.77% (G:20.54% B:1.66%)

Ο Μίμης σκέφτηκε για λίγο την πόρτα το 20, αλλά το διπλό χτύπημα είναι πολύ ισχυρό.
 
 41: Bar/24 Bar/21 
Pip=183-169
1.played3-plyBar/24 Bar/21eq: -0.044
Player:
Opponent:		47.68% (G:12.93% B:0.63%)
52.32% (G:14.86% B:0.54%)
 
 43: 24/20 23/20 
Pip=178-169
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 23/20eq: +0.040
Player:
Opponent:		51.76% (G:11.95% B:0.38%)
48.24% (G:10.13% B:0.36%)
2.XG Roller++23/16eq: +0.007 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		52.51% (G:12.23% B:0.41%)
47.49% (G:14.01% B:0.44%)
3.4-ply24/20 16/13eq: -0.169 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		47.65% (G:11.60% B:0.36%)
52.35% (G:15.46% B:0.59%)
4.4-ply16/13 6/2eq: -0.228 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		46.38% (G:11.55% B:0.37%)
53.62% (G:16.80% B:0.85%)
5.4-ply24/20 6/3* eq: -0.271 (-0.310)
Player:
Opponent:		46.31% (G:11.77% B:0.42%)
53.69% (G:18.60% B:1.26%)

Η χρυσή πόρτα του 20 υπερτερεί της ασφάλειας στο outfield.
 
 62: 22/16 11/9*  
Pip=178-162
1.playedXG Roller++22/16 11/9* eq: +0.023
Player:
Opponent:		49.85% (G:10.51% B:0.38%)
50.15% (G:11.41% B:0.41%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 11/9* eq: -0.029 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		48.55% (G:10.63% B:0.40%)
51.45% (G:12.66% B:0.44%)
3.XG Roller++21/15 11/9* eq: -0.044 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:10.53% B:0.41%)
51.53% (G:13.29% B:0.64%)
4.XG Roller++11/9* 9/3eq: -0.070 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		47.15% (G:10.46% B:0.33%)
52.85% (G:12.16% B:0.41%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 11/9* eq: -0.090 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		46.90% (G:11.01% B:0.43%)
53.10% (G:14.08% B:0.59%)
 
 43: Bar/18 
Pip=170-171
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0.067
Player:
Opponent:		49.06% (G:10.51% B:0.34%)
50.94% (G:10.59% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 6/3eq: -0.134 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		47.66% (G:10.62% B:0.33%)
52.34% (G:12.21% B:0.44%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 8/5eq: -0.200 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		46.32% (G:10.83% B:0.39%)
53.68% (G:13.85% B:0.51%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/10eq: -0.210 (-0.143)
Player:
Opponent:		45.70% (G:10.31% B:0.35%)
54.30% (G:12.93% B:0.48%)
 
 63: 16/7*  
Pip=170-164
1.playedXG Roller++16/7* eq: +0.070
Player:
Opponent:		50.63% (G:11.44% B:0.44%)
49.37% (G:10.86% B:0.39%)
2.XG Roller++16/10 13/10eq: +0.021 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		49.59% (G:10.36% B:0.37%)
50.41% (G:10.79% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++13/7* 9/6eq: -0.005 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		48.80% (G:11.28% B:0.39%)
51.20% (G:12.12% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++13/7* 7/4eq: -0.006 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		49.09% (G:11.06% B:0.40%)
50.91% (G:12.73% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 13/7* eq: -0.019 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		48.70% (G:10.30% B:0.38%)
51.30% (G:11.86% B:0.42%)

Πρέπει να χτυπήσω, και δεν υπάρχει πιο ασφαλές τριάρι από το 16/13.
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=161-171
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/20 6/5eq: -0.162
Player:
Opponent:		47.32% (G:9.39% B:0.31%)
52.68% (G:12.41% B:0.43%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.167 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		46.51% (G:9.24% B:0.27%)
53.49% (G:10.91% B:0.38%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.211 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		45.67% (G:9.85% B:0.26%)
54.33% (G:12.57% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20 8/7eq: -0.267 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:		44.44% (G:9.21% B:0.31%)
55.56% (G:13.16% B:0.47%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3eq: -0.270 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		44.58% (G:9.56% B:0.29%)
55.42% (G:14.04% B:0.54%)
 
 62: 13/7 9/7 
Pip=161-165
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 9/7eq: +0.202
Player:
Opponent:		54.42% (G:10.51% B:0.38%)
45.58% (G:8.65% B:0.26%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 9/7eq: +0.179 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		54.30% (G:9.21% B:0.34%)
45.70% (G:8.42% B:0.24%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/7eq: +0.156 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		53.27% (G:10.39% B:0.41%)
46.73% (G:9.27% B:0.28%)
4.XG Roller++21/15 9/7eq: +0.132 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		53.35% (G:10.67% B:0.44%)
46.65% (G:11.86% B:0.44%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 6/4eq: +0.064 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		50.63% (G:12.33% B:0.54%)
49.37% (G:12.73% B:0.49%)
 
 43: 8/1*  
Pip=153-165
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 6/3eq: -0.244
Player:
Opponent:		44.56% (G:8.01% B:0.24%)
55.44% (G:11.01% B:0.36%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 8/5eq: -0.325 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		42.72% (G:8.28% B:0.25%)
57.28% (G:12.69% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.332 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		42.49% (G:7.99% B:0.26%)
57.51% (G:12.16% B:0.40%)
4.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.343 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		41.48% (G:7.79% B:0.20%)
58.52% (G:10.74% B:0.41%)
5.playedXG Roller++8/1* eq: -0.356 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		41.71% (G:8.71% B:0.22%)
58.29% (G:12.77% B:0.54%)

Το σωστό παίξιμο κερδίζει κάτι αν πετύχει (μάλλον κάνει την πόρτα του 3). Επίσης, εφόσον η κούρσα είναι κοντά και εγώ έχω επίσης τρία πούλια πίσω, δεν πειράζει καθόλου να ανέβει το πούλι στο 20.
Αντίθετα, το αντιθεματικό 8/1 χωρίς να αποφεύγει τον κίνδυνο του χτυπήματος, θάβει το πούλι στην περίπτωση που γλιτώσει και δεν έχει σχέδιο να κάνει καμία χρήσιμη πόρτα.
 
 No double 
Pip=154-158
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.15% (G:12.75% B:0.54%) 58.26% (G:12.63% B:0.54%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.85% (G:8.80% B:0.23%) 41.74% (G:8.75% B:0.23%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.202 +0.422
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.349
     Double/Take:+0.207 (-0.143)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.651)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.2%
 
 21: Bar/24* 24/22 
Pip=154-158
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24* 24/22eq: +0.472
Player:
Opponent:		59.40% (G:17.47% B:0.77%)
40.60% (G:8.29% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24* 6/4eq: +0.334 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		56.21% (G:15.97% B:0.71%)
43.79% (G:9.55% B:0.32%)
3.4-plyBar/24* 13/11eq: +0.281 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		55.10% (G:15.85% B:0.75%)
44.90% (G:9.61% B:0.29%)
4.4-plyBar/24* 8/6eq: +0.280 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		54.89% (G:16.09% B:0.66%)
45.11% (G:9.44% B:0.28%)
5.4-plyBar/22eq: +0.230 (-0.242)
Player:
Opponent:		55.68% (G:10.47% B:0.43%)
44.32% (G:8.78% B:0.19%)
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=151-182
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.561
Player:
Opponent:		38.29% (G:7.39% B:0.19%)
61.71% (G:18.80% B:0.81%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=151-182
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.75% (G:19.42% B:0.91%) 61.94% (G:19.52% B:0.92%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.25% (G:8.17% B:0.34%) 38.06% (G:8.12% B:0.43%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.351 +0.744
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.575±0.018 (+0.557..+0.593)
played Double/Take:+0.519 (-0.057)±0.020 (+0.498..+0.539)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.425)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 33 minutes 17 seconds

Έχω πολλά πλεονεκτήματα (επιπλεόν πόρτα στο 3, καλύτερο αποκλεισμό με το bar, χρήσιμους builders, και μεγάλο προβάδισμα στην κούρσα) αλλά τα τρία πούλια μου πίσω αντιπροσωπεύουν πολλή δουλειά που πρέπει να γίνει μέχρι τη νίκη, ενώ ο αντίπαλος θα έχει ευκαιρίες να φτιάξει τη δεύτερη anchor.


 
 53: 21/13 
Pip=151-182
1.playedXG Roller++21/13eq: +0.248
Player:
Opponent:		60.72% (G:19.34% B:0.98%)
39.28% (G:8.13% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++21/18 21/16eq: +0.224 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		60.17% (G:18.88% B:0.91%)
39.83% (G:9.09% B:0.34%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: +0.170 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		57.76% (G:18.41% B:0.85%)
42.24% (G:8.28% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++21/16 6/3eq: +0.152 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		57.36% (G:19.07% B:0.93%)
42.64% (G:10.09% B:0.37%)
5.XG Roller++21/18 6/1* eq: +0.148 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		57.81% (G:17.53% B:0.48%)
42.19% (G:9.81% B:0.36%)

Ευκαιρία για λύσιμο της anchor όσο το στρατόπεδό του είναι αδύναμο και είναι χτυπημένος.
 
 31: Bar/24 6/3*  
Pip=143-182
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 6/3* eq: -0.255
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:8.27% B:0.29%)
60.51% (G:20.58% B:1.47%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21eq: -0.306 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		36.93% (G:7.34% B:0.24%)
63.07% (G:19.32% B:0.77%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/5eq: -0.312 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		38.04% (G:7.41% B:0.26%)
61.96% (G:22.12% B:1.87%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.333 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		37.32% (G:7.11% B:0.26%)
62.68% (G:22.26% B:1.79%)
 
 64: Bar/21 13/7 
Pip=146-178
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/15eq: +0.239
Player:
Opponent:		60.59% (G:19.17% B:1.46%)
39.41% (G:9.19% B:0.32%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 13/7eq: +0.236 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		60.53% (G:18.78% B:1.04%)
39.47% (G:8.52% B:0.28%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 8/2eq: +0.110 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		55.99% (G:17.60% B:0.99%)
44.01% (G:10.02% B:0.34%)
 
 62: 13/5 
Pip=136-178
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: -0.299
Player:
Opponent:		38.10% (G:7.91% B:0.28%)
61.90% (G:21.24% B:1.77%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 8/6eq: -0.359 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		36.01% (G:7.14% B:0.25%)
63.99% (G:21.66% B:1.80%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 8/2eq: -0.390 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		35.08% (G:7.12% B:0.22%)
64.92% (G:22.23% B:1.85%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 13/7eq: -0.405 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		36.34% (G:6.47% B:0.25%)
63.66% (G:25.82% B:2.64%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 3/1eq: -0.435 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		33.12% (G:6.52% B:0.16%)
66.88% (G:21.99% B:1.73%)
 
 64: 21/11 
Pip=136-170
1.playedXG Roller++21/11eq: +0.188
Player:
Opponent:		58.04% (G:20.50% B:1.83%)
41.96% (G:10.35% B:0.37%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 6/2eq: +0.163 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		57.01% (G:20.21% B:1.47%)
42.99% (G:9.92% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 13/7eq: +0.141 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		56.67% (G:18.47% B:1.15%)
43.33% (G:9.00% B:0.30%)
4.XG Roller++21/15 7/3eq: +0.130 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		56.00% (G:20.30% B:1.91%)
44.00% (G:11.29% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++13/3eq: +0.119 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		55.86% (G:18.53% B:1.27%)
44.14% (G:9.47% B:0.32%)

Το μεγάλο προβάδισμα στην κούρσα και το αδύναμο αντίπαλο στρατόπεδο υποδεικνύουν (όπως και στην προηγούμενη κίνηση) το τρέξιμο με λύσιμο της anchor.
 
 21: 6/4* 5/4 
Pip=126-170
1.xgXG Roller++6/5 6/4* eq: -0.138
Player:
Opponent:		44.54% (G:9.94% B:0.38%)
55.46% (G:21.82% B:2.03%)
2.playedXG Roller++6/4* 5/4eq: -0.150 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		42.92% (G:10.19% B:0.36%)
57.08% (G:19.55% B:1.61%)
3.XG Roller++6/4* 4/3eq: -0.194 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		41.45% (G:9.46% B:0.33%)
58.55% (G:19.88% B:1.64%)
4.XG Roller++8/5eq: -0.229 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		39.43% (G:8.85% B:0.28%)
60.57% (G:18.14% B:1.55%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.282 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		38.52% (G:7.51% B:0.26%)
61.48% (G:20.43% B:1.79%)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=130-167
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.078
Player:
Opponent:		50.81% (G:14.88% B:1.08%)
49.19% (G:15.40% B:0.52%)
 
 43: 24/20 6/3 
Pip=130-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 6/3eq: +0.079
Player:
Opponent:		48.21% (G:13.55% B:0.43%)
51.79% (G:12.28% B:0.37%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 6/3eq: +0.001 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		46.47% (G:13.55% B:0.50%)
53.53% (G:15.47% B:1.12%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 6/3eq: -0.059 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		43.87% (G:12.96% B:0.40%)
56.13% (G:14.97% B:0.86%)
4.4-ply20/16 6/3eq: -0.112 (-0.190)
Player:
Opponent:		44.09% (G:12.54% B:0.44%)
55.91% (G:18.86% B:1.69%)
5.4-ply24/21 24/20eq: -0.130 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		42.79% (G:9.92% B:0.31%)
57.21% (G:17.38% B:0.48%)
 
 52: Bar/23 11/6 
Pip=130-160
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 11/6eq: +0.019
Player:
Opponent:		54.42% (G:13.32% B:0.36%)
45.58% (G:10.43% B:0.33%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 13/11eq: -0.034 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		52.82% (G:13.94% B:0.59%)
47.18% (G:12.88% B:0.41%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20 11/9eq: -0.084 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		51.29% (G:13.50% B:0.55%)
48.71% (G:14.29% B:0.48%)
4.4-plyBar/18eq: -0.126 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		50.64% (G:11.47% B:0.42%)
49.36% (G:15.85% B:0.48%)
5.4-plyBar/23 6/1* eq: -0.221 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		46.41% (G:11.98% B:0.31%)
53.59% (G:15.98% B:0.64%)
 
 42: 24/20 8/6 
Pip=123-160
1.xgXG Roller++20/16 8/6eq: -0.050
Player:
Opponent:		44.95% (G:10.78% B:0.34%)
55.05% (G:15.25% B:0.45%)
2.XG Roller++20/14eq: -0.059 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		44.52% (G:10.32% B:0.34%)
55.48% (G:14.98% B:0.43%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/20 8/6eq: -0.102 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		41.30% (G:8.24% B:0.22%)
58.70% (G:10.54% B:0.23%)
4.XG Roller++8/2* eq: -0.178 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		41.12% (G:10.18% B:0.26%)
58.88% (G:18.36% B:0.69%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: -0.188 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		40.36% (G:9.10% B:0.30%)
59.64% (G:17.07% B:0.50%)

To 24/20 συσσωρεύει πούλια στο 20 και απεμπολεί τον έλεγχο του αντίπαλου στρατόπεδου. Το σωστό είναι να παίξει στο outfield. Εξάλλου στην κούρσα είναι τόσο πίσω που πιθανό χτύπημα δεν στοιχίζει πολύ.
Στο σωστό συναινούν η γυμνή αντίπαλη midpoint και η υπεροπλία σε εσωτερικές πόρτες.
 
 42: 7/3 6/4 
Pip=123-154
1.playedXG Roller++7/3 6/4eq: -0.011
Player:
Opponent:		53.49% (G:11.87% B:0.28%)
46.51% (G:9.34% B:0.31%)
2.XG Roller++6/4 6/2eq: -0.043 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		52.83% (G:11.17% B:0.26%)
47.17% (G:10.43% B:0.32%)
3.XG Roller++7/1eq: -0.043 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		52.73% (G:11.32% B:0.19%)
47.27% (G:10.34% B:0.33%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 8/4eq: -0.086 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		50.45% (G:11.76% B:0.25%)
49.55% (G:9.76% B:0.31%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.126 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		49.82% (G:11.23% B:0.26%)
50.18% (G:12.17% B:0.36%)
 
 62: 8/6 8/2*  
Pip=117-154
1.xgXG Roller++20/14 13/11eq: -0.064
Player:
Opponent:		44.93% (G:10.61% B:0.44%)
55.07% (G:16.48% B:0.52%)
2.XG Roller++20/14 6/4eq: -0.070 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		43.12% (G:8.24% B:0.22%)
56.88% (G:11.57% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/7eq: -0.220 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		39.35% (G:8.03% B:0.24%)
60.65% (G:17.22% B:0.37%)
4.playedXG Roller++8/6 8/2* eq: -0.250 (-0.186)
Player:
Opponent:		36.70% (G:8.55% B:0.20%)
63.30% (G:14.33% B:0.37%)
5.4-ply20/14 8/6eq: -0.249 (-0.185)
Player:
Opponent:		38.12% (G:8.02% B:0.22%)
61.88% (G:16.74% B:0.43%)

Ομολογώ ότι δεν είχα εξετάσει το 20/14 13/11. Θα έπαιζα 20/14 6/4.
Οι λόγοι που το 8/6 8/2* είναι τόσο λάθος, είναι η αξία της πόρτας 8 που χαλάει σε συνδυασμό με τα τέσσερα πούλια στο 20 τα οποία φωνάζουν ότι πρέπει να κινηθούν.
 
 32: Bar/23* 7/4 
Pip=119-146
1.played3-plyBar/23* 7/4eq: +0.599
Player:
Opponent:		71.91% (G:25.51% B:0.52%)
28.09% (G:4.82% B:0.14%)
2.3-plyBar/23* 23/20eq: +0.255 (-0.343)
Player:
Opponent:		61.47% (G:19.26% B:0.49%)
38.53% (G:9.49% B:0.30%)
3.3-plyBar/23* 4/1eq: +0.221 (-0.378)
Player:
Opponent:		59.81% (G:20.12% B:0.43%)
40.19% (G:10.05% B:0.30%)
4.3-plyBar/23* 6/3eq: +0.100 (-0.498)
Player:
Opponent:		56.16% (G:18.11% B:0.44%)
43.84% (G:12.08% B:0.39%)
5.2-plyBar/23* 13/10eq: -0.116 (-0.714)
Player:
Opponent:		49.07% (G:16.59% B:0.51%)
50.93% (G:16.85% B:1.09%)
 
 62: Bar/23 20/14 
Pip=114-169
1.played4-plyBar/23 20/14eq: -0.585
Player:
Opponent:		30.73% (G:6.18% B:0.25%)
69.27% (G:30.71% B:0.79%)
2.4-plyBar/23 13/7eq: -0.885 (-0.299)
Player:
Opponent:		24.73% (G:4.47% B:0.16%)
75.27% (G:42.84% B:2.31%)

Χαρακτηριστικός επιπλεόν λόγος για το ότι έπρεπε πριν να βγει στο outfield: Αναγκάζεται να το κάνει τώρα και μάλιστα με πολύ χειρότερες συνθήκες (επιπλεόν πούλι πίσω και απώλεια της πόρτας 8).
 
 64: 23/13 
Pip=114-161
1.playedXG Roller++23/13eq: +0.718
Player:
Opponent:		79.59% (G:18.63% B:0.23%)
20.41% (G:2.29% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++8/2* 6/2eq: +0.630 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		69.20% (G:34.69% B:0.63%)
30.80% (G:5.69% B:0.21%)
3.3-ply23/17 6/2* eq: +0.420 (-0.297)
Player:
Opponent:		65.08% (G:26.35% B:0.72%)
34.92% (G:9.11% B:0.33%)
4.3-ply8/4 8/2* eq: +0.361 (-0.356)
Player:
Opponent:		62.19% (G:27.14% B:0.67%)
37.81% (G:9.03% B:0.32%)
5.3-ply13/9 13/7eq: +0.252 (-0.465)
Player:
Opponent:		60.60% (G:19.79% B:0.52%)
39.40% (G:7.86% B:0.24%)
 
 64: 20/14 6/2 
Pip=104-161
1.XG Roller++20/10eq: -0.754
Player:
Opponent:		22.65% (G:3.24% B:0.11%)
77.35% (G:27.15% B:0.61%)
2.XG Roller++20/14 13/9eq: -0.759 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		21.36% (G:2.62% B:0.08%)
78.64% (G:24.46% B:0.51%)
3.playedXG Roller++20/14 6/2eq: -0.768 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		19.52% (G:2.19% B:0.05%)
80.48% (G:21.16% B:0.35%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 14/8eq: -0.778 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		21.64% (G:2.68% B:0.08%)
78.36% (G:26.80% B:0.59%)
5.XG Roller++14/4eq: -0.779 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		18.51% (G:1.99% B:0.05%)
81.49% (G:20.05% B:0.25%)
 
 52: 13/6 
Pip=104-151
1.playedXG Roller++13/6eq: +0.763
Player:
Opponent:		80.79% (G:20.03% B:0.38%)
19.21% (G:2.16% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 3/1eq: +0.728 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		80.00% (G:18.77% B:0.26%)
20.00% (G:2.42% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: +0.720 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		79.86% (G:18.20% B:0.30%)
20.14% (G:2.21% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 3/1eq: +0.692 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		78.74% (G:18.23% B:0.23%)
21.26% (G:2.51% B:0.07%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 8/3eq: +0.607 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		75.56% (G:17.34% B:0.32%)
24.44% (G:3.01% B:0.09%)

Πιο ευέλικτο από την πόρτα.
 
 41: 14/13 14/10 
Pip=97-151
1.XG Roller++14/13 6/2eq: -0.828
Player:
Opponent:		21.11% (G:2.51% B:0.07%)
78.89% (G:30.35% B:0.43%)
2.playedXG Roller++14/13 14/10eq: -0.828 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:2.12% B:0.06%)
81.56% (G:24.25% B:0.53%)
3.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.893 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		18.91% (G:2.28% B:0.06%)
81.09% (G:31.17% B:0.74%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: -0.901 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		20.27% (G:3.10% B:0.14%)
79.73% (G:34.94% B:1.27%)
5.XG Roller++13/9 3/2eq: -0.905 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		18.77% (G:2.34% B:0.07%)
81.23% (G:31.96% B:0.74%)
 
 42: 8/6 8/4 
Pip=97-146
1.xgRollout113/7eq: +0.672
Player:
Opponent:		76.72% (G:21.60% B:0.95%)
23.28% (G:3.49% B:0.14%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.666...+0.679) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 17 seconds
2.playedRollout18/6 8/4eq: +0.625 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		75.86% (G:18.97% B:0.36%)
24.14% (G:2.87% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.619...+0.631) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 17 seconds
3.XG Roller++6/4 6/2* eq: +0.575 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		72.59% (G:22.14% B:0.48%)
27.41% (G:5.23% B:0.16%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: +0.523 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		69.19% (G:24.80% B:1.82%)
30.81% (G:7.21% B:0.30%)
5.XG Roller++6/2* 4/2eq: +0.523 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		71.01% (G:21.05% B:0.36%)
28.99% (G:5.60% B:0.18%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Προφανώς η ανοιχτή αντίπαλη πόρτα του 5, και το εσωτερικό blot, μειώνουν τόσο τον κίνδυνο που αξίζει το ρίσκο του χτυπήματος.
Τα οφέλη είναι φυσικά το καθάρισμα της midpoint και η διατήρηση της πόρτας 8.
Παρόλ' αυτά ομολογώ ότι δεν εξέτασα σοβαρά αυτό το παίξιμο.
 
 62: 23/15 
Pip=91-146
1.xgXG Roller++10/2eq: -0.652
Player:
Opponent:		24.44% (G:2.81% B:0.07%)
75.56% (G:21.54% B:0.21%)
2.XG Roller++23/17 13/11eq: -0.713 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		21.74% (G:2.42% B:0.07%)
78.26% (G:20.76% B:0.63%)
3.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.713 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		23.34% (G:2.50% B:0.06%)
76.66% (G:24.38% B:0.65%)
4.XG Roller++23/17 10/8eq: -0.726 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		21.25% (G:2.24% B:0.06%)
78.75% (G:21.02% B:0.46%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 10/8eq: -0.729 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		22.36% (G:2.62% B:0.07%)
77.64% (G:23.63% B:0.62%)
6.playedXG Roller++23/15eq: -0.733 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		20.30% (G:2.13% B:0.06%)
79.70% (G:19.58% B:0.43%)

Εδώ δεν υπάρχει λόγος να βγει το πούλι στο outfield. Ναί, σίγουρα κινδυνεύει και στο 23, λόγω των αντίπαλων τεσσάρων builder, αλλά στο outfield o αντίπαλος θα έχει την ευκαιρία να καθαρίσει τη χειρότερη πόρτα του (τη midpoint) με tempo, όπως και έγινε.
To 23/15 γίνεται ακόμα μεγαλύτερο λάθος επειδή το timing δεν είναι τόσο άσχημο, λόγω των τριών πουλίων στη midpoint ενώ η εναλλακτική (10/2) είναι πολύ εποικοδομητική.
 
 32: 13/11 13/10*  
Pip=91-138
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/10* eq: +0.798
Player:
Opponent:		77.15% (G:31.37% B:1.07%)
22.85% (G:3.56% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++13/10* 6/4eq: +0.773 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		77.56% (G:28.54% B:0.60%)
22.44% (G:3.42% B:0.12%)
3.XG Roller++13/10* 10/8eq: +0.718 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		75.53% (G:28.37% B:0.74%)
24.47% (G:4.26% B:0.16%)
4.4-ply4/1 3/1eq: +0.558 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		76.66% (G:9.92% B:0.15%)
23.34% (G:1.77% B:0.05%)
5.4-ply6/1eq: +0.526 (-0.272)
Player:
Opponent:		75.35% (G:9.98% B:0.16%)
24.65% (G:2.13% B:0.06%)
 
 51: Bar/24 20/15*  
Pip=86-148
1.played3-plyBar/24 20/15* eq: -0.521
Player:
Opponent:		38.14% (G:8.55% B:0.37%)
61.86% (G:39.02% B:3.94%)
2.3-plyBar/20 13/12eq: -0.873 (-0.352)
Player:
Opponent:		12.73% (G:0.89% B:0.02%)
87.27% (G:15.78% B:0.09%)
3.3-plyBar/20 6/5eq: -0.875 (-0.355)
Player:
Opponent:		13.15% (G:0.80% B:0.02%)
86.85% (G:16.85% B:0.12%)
4.3-plyBar/20 10/9eq: -0.877 (-0.356)
Player:
Opponent:		12.76% (G:0.83% B:0.02%)
87.24% (G:16.18% B:0.10%)
5.3-plyBar/20 3/2eq: -0.888 (-0.368)
Player:
Opponent:		12.53% (G:0.77% B:0.02%)
87.47% (G:16.69% B:0.10%)
 
 42: Bar/23* 11/7 
Pip=101-142
1.played4-plyBar/23* 11/7eq: +0.689
Player:
Opponent:		67.67% (G:39.83% B:2.87%)
32.33% (G:3.66% B:0.11%)
2.4-plyBar/23* 6/2eq: +0.386 (-0.304)
Player:
Opponent:		57.99% (G:36.01% B:3.96%)
42.01% (G:10.34% B:0.52%)
3.3-plyBar/23* 7/3eq: +0.336 (-0.353)
Player:
Opponent:		56.70% (G:35.07% B:3.04%)
43.30% (G:10.03% B:0.45%)
 
 32: Bar/20 
Pip=95-165
1.played4-plyBar/20eq: -0.626
Player:
Opponent:		32.82% (G:3.74% B:0.09%)
67.18% (G:37.28% B:0.79%)
2.4-plyBar/23 13/10eq: -0.845 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		29.22% (G:4.25% B:0.16%)
70.78% (G:47.67% B:3.06%)
3.3-plyBar/23 20/17eq: -0.996 (-0.370)
Player:
Opponent:		26.81% (G:3.57% B:0.16%)
73.19% (G:54.35% B:4.66%)
4.3-plyBar/23 15/12eq: -1.027 (-0.401)
Player:
Opponent:		25.63% (G:3.30% B:0.14%)
74.37% (G:53.74% B:5.34%)
5.3-plyBar/23 10/7eq: -1.045 (-0.419)
Player:
Opponent:		25.85% (G:3.54% B:0.15%)
74.15% (G:55.37% B:6.00%)
 
 64: 23/13 
Pip=95-160
1.played4-ply23/13eq: +0.499
Player:
Opponent:		65.97% (G:28.40% B:0.55%)
34.03% (G:3.83% B:0.12%)
2.4-ply23/17 7/3eq: +0.291 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		57.48% (G:28.81% B:0.74%)
42.52% (G:6.16% B:0.19%)
3.4-ply7/1* 6/2eq: +0.180 (-0.319)
Player:
Opponent:		53.86% (G:28.96% B:0.52%)
46.14% (G:9.71% B:0.39%)
4.3-ply23/17 6/2eq: +0.127 (-0.372)
Player:
Opponent:		53.12% (G:24.43% B:0.94%)
46.88% (G:8.53% B:0.27%)
5.3-ply7/3 7/1* eq: +0.089 (-0.410)
Player:
Opponent:		50.89% (G:26.91% B:0.50%)
49.11% (G:9.47% B:0.35%)
 
 61: 13/12* 10/4 
Pip=85-160
1.xgXG Roller++15/9 13/12* eq: -0.297
Player:
Opponent:		42.62% (G:5.77% B:0.18%)
57.38% (G:29.57% B:0.85%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 13/12* eq: -0.308 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		43.62% (G:6.19% B:0.20%)
56.38% (G:31.86% B:2.19%)
3.XG Roller++13/12* 12/6eq: -0.329 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		39.83% (G:4.83% B:0.14%)
60.17% (G:25.86% B:0.57%)
4.playedXG Roller++13/12* 10/4eq: -0.414 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		37.02% (G:4.32% B:0.12%)
62.98% (G:27.26% B:0.65%)
5.XG Roller++20/14 13/12* eq: -0.429 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		40.84% (G:5.98% B:0.20%)
59.16% (G:35.34% B:3.33%)

Αντί να προστεθεί builder για την πόρτα 5 με 15/9, αφαιρείται με 10/4. Η διαφορά τριών builder έναντι ενός είναι τεράστια και τώρα, που αντίπαλος χτυπημένος, είναι η ευκαιρία να παρθεί λίγο ρίσκο.


 
 53: Bar/20 6/3 
Pip=97-153
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 6/3eq: +0.509
Player:
Opponent:		65.24% (G:30.82% B:0.84%)
34.76% (G:4.03% B:0.14%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 4/1* eq: +0.494 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		65.56% (G:30.23% B:0.50%)
34.44% (G:5.68% B:0.20%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20 7/4eq: +0.489 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		63.98% (G:32.02% B:0.98%)
36.02% (G:4.79% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/17eq: +0.423 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		63.66% (G:26.39% B:0.81%)
36.34% (G:4.32% B:0.16%)

Το χτύπημα είναι σχεδόν ισοδύναμο, αλλά σ' αυτή τη δίκοπη θέση θέλω να μειώσω το ρίσκο.
Το 6/3 εκμεταλλεύεται το προηγούμενο άντιπαλο λάθος: εφόσον δεν υπάρχουν αρκετοί builder, μπορώ να μείνω στο 20 χωρίς να ρισκάρω περισσότερο.


 
 42: 24/20 15/13 
Pip=89-153
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 15/13eq: -0.606
Player:
Opponent:		27.88% (G:2.23% B:0.06%)
72.12% (G:24.40% B:0.21%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 4/2eq: -0.681 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		27.62% (G:2.36% B:0.06%)
72.38% (G:30.53% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 12/10eq: -0.714 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		27.80% (G:2.38% B:0.06%)
72.20% (G:33.95% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 6/4eq: -0.725 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		25.03% (G:1.91% B:0.06%)
74.97% (G:28.85% B:0.26%)
5.XG Roller++15/11 13/11eq: -0.765 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		27.55% (G:3.18% B:0.10%)
72.45% (G:38.30% B:0.95%)
 
 32: 4/1 3/1 
Pip=89-147
1.playedXG Roller++4/1 3/1eq: +0.407
Player:
Opponent:		65.55% (G:20.24% B:0.15%)
34.45% (G:2.64% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++7/2eq: +0.303 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		60.10% (G:23.38% B:0.30%)
39.90% (G:4.05% B:0.15%)
3.XG Roller++7/4 3/1eq: +0.299 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		60.00% (G:23.08% B:0.28%)
40.00% (G:3.84% B:0.13%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.281 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		59.73% (G:22.22% B:0.24%)
40.27% (G:4.00% B:0.14%)
5.4-ply20/15eq: +0.256 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		61.82% (G:14.75% B:0.22%)
38.18% (G:3.48% B:0.11%)
 
 61: 20/14 13/12 
Pip=84-147
1.xgXG Roller++20/14 6/5* eq: -0.444
Player:
Opponent:		38.09% (G:2.95% B:0.07%)
61.91% (G:31.92% B:0.36%)
2.XG Roller++12/5* eq: -0.450 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		35.83% (G:2.75% B:0.06%)
64.17% (G:27.42% B:0.19%)
3.playedXG Roller++20/14 13/12eq: -0.507 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		32.80% (G:2.60% B:0.06%)
67.20% (G:26.22% B:0.21%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 6/5* eq: -0.549 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:		35.95% (G:2.99% B:0.07%)
64.05% (G:36.74% B:0.69%)
5.XG Roller++12/6 4/3eq: -0.564 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		25.94% (G:1.80% B:0.04%)
74.06% (G:16.20% B:0.13%)

Το χτύπημα εδώ είναι θεματικό, ακόμα και με χειρότερο στρατόπεδο, λόγω της καλής anchor, αλλά κυρίως για να μην επιτραπεί στο πούλι να δραπετεύσει.
 
 42: 7/3 6/4 
Pip=84-140
1.playedXG Roller++7/3 6/4eq: +0.262
Player:
Opponent:		57.88% (G:24.29% B:0.20%)
42.12% (G:3.50% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++6/4 6/2eq: +0.242 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		57.81% (G:23.00% B:0.22%)
42.19% (G:4.13% B:0.15%)
3.XG Roller++7/1eq: +0.221 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		56.49% (G:23.91% B:0.20%)
43.51% (G:3.77% B:0.14%)
4.XG Roller++20/14eq: +0.209 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		59.29% (G:15.70% B:0.21%)
40.71% (G:3.10% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++6/2 4/2eq: +0.200 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		56.26% (G:22.78% B:0.17%)
43.74% (G:4.37% B:0.16%)
 
 44: 13/5*(2)  
Pip=78-140
1.played3-ply13/5*(2) eq: +0.531
Player:
Opponent:		67.62% (G:5.62% B:0.18%)
32.38% (G:6.16% B:0.05%)
2.2-ply13/5* 12/8(2)eq: -0.201 (-0.732)
Player:
Opponent:		45.19% (G:4.13% B:0.10%)
54.81% (G:25.08% B:0.31%)
3.2-ply20/16(2) 12/8(2)eq: -0.239 (-0.769)
Player:
Opponent:		39.75% (G:2.19% B:0.05%)
60.25% (G:15.79% B:0.06%)
4.2-ply20/16(2) 13/5* eq: -0.302 (-0.833)
Player:
Opponent:		42.28% (G:2.87% B:0.08%)
57.72% (G:27.25% B:0.32%)
5.2-ply14/10 13/9 13/5* eq: -0.326 (-0.857)
Player:
Opponent:		41.55% (G:3.93% B:0.10%)
58.45% (G:28.43% B:0.46%)
 
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=83-124
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.696
Player:
Opponent:		26.58% (G:4.88% B:0.06%)
73.42% (G:5.78% B:0.11%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=83-124
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 73.44% (G:5.51% B:0.15%) 73.74% (G:5.41% B:0.15%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 26.56% (G:5.51% B:0.07%) 26.26% (G:5.70% B:0.06%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.464 +0.871
Cubeful Equities
xg No redouble:+0.717
played Redouble/Take:+0.634 (-0.083)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.283)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 18.5%

Νωρίς. Μπορεί το πούλι μου να είναι χτυπημένο, αλλά ο έλεγχος του outfield δεν είναι τόσο καλός και τα πίσω πούλια στο 20 αντιπροσωπεύουν πολλή δουλειά που πρέπει να γίνει. Μόλις το πούλι μου μπει, ο κίνδυνος θα χαθεί μία βολή ή να βρω μία άμεση ή έμμεση θα στοιχίζει πολύ.
 
 43: 14/10 12/9 
Pip=83-124
1.xgRollout120/17 20/16eq: +0.339
Player:
Opponent:		73.19% (G:4.15% B:0.09%)
26.81% (G:5.68% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.333...+0.345) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 48 seconds
2.playedRollout114/10 12/9eq: +0.275 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		71.08% (G:5.95% B:0.17%)
28.92% (G:7.15% B:0.11%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.270...+0.280) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 18 seconds
3.XG Roller++20/13eq: +0.243 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		71.20% (G:5.55% B:0.16%)
28.80% (G:7.62% B:0.13%)
4.XG Roller++14/11 12/8eq: +0.238 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		70.38% (G:6.00% B:0.16%)
29.62% (G:7.99% B:0.17%)
5.XG Roller++20/16 14/11eq: +0.180 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		68.95% (G:5.45% B:0.16%)
31.05% (G:8.59% B:0.18%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Θα έκανα κι εγώ το ίδιο λάθος. Γενικά, όταν στήνουμε μια επιτροπή υποδοχής για τον αντίπαλο runner, τα πούλια μας πρέπει να είναι κοντά το ένα στο άλλο, ώστε να διασφαλίζονται τουλάχιστον double shots. Υποθέτω ότι εδώ το 14/10 12/9 βλάπτει το connectivity (συνδεσιμότητα) των πουλίων, ενώ το 20/17 2016, το αυξάνει.
 
 22: Bar/23 6/2 4/2 
Pip=83-117
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/2 4/2eq: -0.026
Player:
Opponent:		37.90% (G:10.64% B:0.14%)
62.10% (G:5.89% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 4/2(3)eq: -0.146 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		33.58% (G:7.32% B:0.06%)
66.42% (G:6.41% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/2 3/1eq: -0.152 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		33.44% (G:9.86% B:0.14%)
66.56% (G:8.02% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 4/2 3/1(2)eq: -0.156 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		33.11% (G:9.47% B:0.13%)
66.89% (G:7.50% B:0.24%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/4 3/1(2)eq: -0.162 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		32.88% (G:8.84% B:0.10%)
67.12% (G:8.31% B:0.27%)
 
 64: 9/3 6/2*  
Pip=75-117
1.xgXG Roller++12/2* eq: -0.062
Player:
Opponent:		60.17% (G:7.00% B:0.19%)
39.83% (G:17.47% B:0.31%)
2.playedXG Roller++9/3 6/2* eq: -0.101 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		59.34% (G:6.53% B:0.17%)
40.66% (G:19.70% B:0.38%)
3.XG Roller++20/14 6/2* eq: -0.195 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		57.67% (G:6.15% B:0.19%)
42.33% (G:25.10% B:1.53%)
4.XG Roller++10/4 6/2* eq: -0.207 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		55.50% (G:6.37% B:0.17%)
44.50% (G:19.65% B:0.38%)
5.4-ply10/6 9/3eq: -0.280 (-0.218)
Player:
Opponent:		48.62% (G:3.49% B:0.06%)
51.38% (G:6.54% B:0.06%)

Το χτύπημα είναι αναγκαστικό, παρά το χειρότερο board (δεν μπορεί να επιτραπεί στο αντίπαλο πούλι να πεταχτεί στο outfield).
Για το 6, δεν υπάρχει λόγος να θαφτεί πούλι στο 3, οπότε 12/6.
 
 No double 
Pip=77-107
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 40.86% (G:19.50% B:0.38%) 41.12% (G:19.21% B:0.36%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 59.14% (G:6.35% B:0.17%) 58.88% (G:5.97% B:0.17%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.000 +0.079
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.103
     Redouble/Take:+0.020 (-0.083)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.897)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.8%
 
 21: Bar/23* 3/2 
Pip=77-107
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23* 3/2eq: +0.932
Player:
Opponent:		67.25% (G:42.49% B:0.66%)
32.75% (G:3.37% B:0.11%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23* 7/6eq: +0.917 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		67.01% (G:42.43% B:0.69%)
32.99% (G:3.76% B:0.12%)
3.2-plyBar/23* 2/1eq: +0.305 (-0.628)
Player:
Opponent:		46.10% (G:22.12% B:0.22%)
53.90% (G:12.51% B:0.53%)
4.2-plyBar/23* 4/3eq: +0.255 (-0.677)
Player:
Opponent:		43.90% (G:20.37% B:0.19%)
56.10% (G:13.23% B:0.55%)
5.2-plyBar/24 3/1eq: -0.069 (-1.001)
Player:
Opponent:		35.32% (G:6.46% B:0.04%)
64.68% (G:5.68% B:0.15%)
 
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=74-130
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.257
Player:
Opponent:		23.26% (G:2.57% B:0.11%)
76.74% (G:52.14% B:0.80%)
 
 No double 
Pip=74-130
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 75.92% (G:51.79% B:0.95%) 76.83% (G:50.12% B:0.75%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.08% (G:2.41% B:0.06%) 23.17% (G:2.20% B:0.05%)
  Cubeless Equities +1.117 +1.886
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+1.201
     Redouble/Take:+1.862 (+0.661)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.201)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 23.3%

Το σκέφτηκα λίγο, αλλά το too good είναι ξακάθαρο. Τα δύο blot στο outfield υπόσχονται πολλά gammons, ενώ τα δύο πούλια μου στο 7 θα διαφυλάξουν το πεντάπορτό μου για τουλάχιστον μία ζαριά, αν δεν βγω τώρα έξω.


 
 51: 23/18 2/1 
Pip=74-130
1.playedXG Roller++23/18 2/1eq: +1.401
Player:
Opponent:		83.84% (G:54.85% B:0.93%)
16.16% (G:1.36% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++23/18 3/2eq: +1.385 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		83.58% (G:53.91% B:0.86%)
16.42% (G:1.38% B:0.05%)
3.XG Roller++23/18 7/6eq: +1.366 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		81.37% (G:57.80% B:1.14%)
18.63% (G:2.26% B:0.08%)
4.XG Roller++23/17eq: +1.354 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		82.34% (G:53.67% B:0.99%)
17.66% (G:1.49% B:0.05%)
5.3-ply7/6 7/2eq: +0.940 (-0.461)
Player:
Opponent:		65.45% (G:42.08% B:0.55%)
34.55% (G:3.01% B:0.06%)
 
 32: Cannot Move 
Pip=68-130
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.696
Player:
Opponent:		9.16% (G:0.67% B:0.04%)
90.84% (G:70.05% B:1.33%)
 
 21: 18/15*  
Pip=68-130
1.played3-ply18/15* eq: +1.803
Player:
Opponent:		91.16% (G:78.50% B:2.28%)
8.84% (G:0.53% B:0.02%)
2.3-ply7/4eq: +1.401 (-0.402)
Player:
Opponent:		81.75% (G:59.06% B:1.19%)
18.25% (G:2.23% B:0.07%)
3.3-ply7/6 3/1eq: +1.365 (-0.438)
Player:
Opponent:		80.94% (G:57.12% B:0.97%)
19.06% (G:2.33% B:0.07%)
4.3-ply18/17 3/1eq: +1.363 (-0.440)
Player:
Opponent:		81.08% (G:54.36% B:0.86%)
18.92% (G:1.66% B:0.05%)
5.3-ply18/16 3/2eq: +1.333 (-0.470)
Player:
Opponent:		81.81% (G:49.89% B:0.85%)
18.19% (G:1.50% B:0.04%)
 
 41: Cannot Move 
Pip=65-145
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.903
Player:
Opponent:		6.19% (G:0.34% B:0.02%)
93.81% (G:83.05% B:2.63%)
 
 33: 15/6 7/4 
Pip=65-145
1.playedXG Roller++15/6 7/4eq: +1.926
Player:
Opponent:		95.30% (G:84.32% B:1.47%)
4.70% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++15/9 7/4(2)eq: +1.906 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		94.71% (G:83.58% B:1.52%)
5.29% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++15/12 7/4 7/1eq: +1.868 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		93.85% (G:81.96% B:1.17%)
6.15% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++15/3eq: +1.857 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		93.77% (G:81.24% B:1.01%)
6.23% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++15/9 7/1eq: +1.845 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		93.47% (G:80.70% B:0.96%)
6.53% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
 
 54: Bar/20 
Pip=53-145
1.played3-plyBar/20eq: -1.895
Player:
Opponent:		4.24% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
95.76% (G:81.53% B:0.41%)
 
 32: 7/2 
Pip=53-140
1.xgXG Roller++7/4 6/4eq: +1.859
Player:
Opponent:		96.18% (G:78.56% B:0.30%)
3.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++7/2eq: +1.842 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		95.23% (G:78.55% B:0.31%)
4.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/4 3/1eq: +1.812 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		94.86% (G:76.65% B:0.27%)
5.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: +1.700 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		91.29% (G:72.80% B:0.23%)
8.71% (G:0.44% B:0.01%)
5.4-ply4/1 3/1eq: +1.698 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		91.76% (G:70.84% B:0.22%)
8.24% (G:0.40% B:0.02%)
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=48-140
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.916
Player:
Opponent:		5.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.78% (G:84.74% B:0.56%)
 
 63: 6/Off 4/1 
Pip=48-140
1.playedXG Roller++6/Off 4/1eq: +1.942
Player:
Opponent:		95.79% (G:86.15% B:0.40%)
4.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/Off 3/Offeq: +1.936 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		94.86% (G:86.63% B:0.64%)
5.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply6/3 6/Offeq: +1.269 (-0.672)
Player:
Opponent:		74.10% (G:60.97% B:0.35%)
25.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: Bar/20 12/11 
Pip=39-140
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 12/11eq: -1.946
Player:
Opponent:		2.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.15% (G:84.96% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 3/2eq: -1.954 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		2.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.19% (G:85.63% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20 4/3eq: -1.962 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		2.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.30% (G:85.98% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20 6/5eq: -1.992 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		1.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.03% (G:86.94% B:0.05%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/20 5/4eq: -2.003 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		1.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.44% (G:87.26% B:0.04%)
 
 31: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=39-134
1.playedXG Roller++3/Off 1/Offeq: +1.930
Player:
Opponent:		97.29% (G:83.25% B:0.02%)
2.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++4/Offeq: +1.842 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		96.82% (G:76.58% B:0.01%)
3.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++3/Off 2/1eq: +1.839 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		96.97% (G:76.11% B:0.01%)
3.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++3/2 3/Offeq: +1.834 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		96.78% (G:76.03% B:0.01%)
3.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++4/1 3/2eq: +1.780 (-0.150)
Player:
Opponent:		96.78% (G:71.46% B:0.01%)
3.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 20/18 11/6 
Pip=35-134
1.xgXG Roller++20/18 20/15eq: -1.960
Player:
Opponent:		2.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.32% (G:85.71% B:0.01%)
2.playedXG Roller++20/18 11/6eq: -1.961 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		2.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.38% (G:85.64% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++20/13eq: -1.964 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		2.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.29% (G:86.13% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++20/15 11/9eq: -1.971 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		2.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.37% (G:86.55% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++11/6 4/2eq: -1.987 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		2.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.41% (G:87.84% B:0.05%)
 
 51: 6/Off 
Pip=35-127
1.playedXG Roller++6/Offeq: +1.376
Player:
Opponent:		79.73% (G:62.25% B:0.07%)
20.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/1 4/3eq: +1.261 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		78.26% (G:55.65% B:0.04%)
21.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 2/1eq: +1.258 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		78.27% (G:55.54% B:0.04%)
21.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 3/2eq: +1.221 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		76.96% (G:55.11% B:0.04%)
23.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 20/12 
Pip=29-127
1.playedXG Roller++20/12eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.54% (G:88.14% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++20/17 18/13eq: -2.034 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		0.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.54% (G:88.74% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++18/10eq: -2.035 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		0.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.52% (G:88.92% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++20/15 18/15eq: -2.036 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		0.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.54% (G:88.94% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++20/17 20/15eq: -2.052 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		0.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.92% (G:89.75% B:0.01%)
 
 33: 6/Off 3/Off(2) 
Pip=29-119
1.playedXG Roller++6/Off 3/Off(2)eq: +2.106
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:94.35% B:0.00%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/Off 4/1 3/Offeq: +2.058 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:90.19% B:0.00%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/Off 4/1(2)eq: +2.052 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:89.71% B:0.00%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++4/1(2) 3/Off(2)eq: +1.462 (-0.645)
Player:
Opponent:		82.40% (G:63.51% B:0.07%)
17.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 20/18(2) 
Pip=17-119
1.xgXG Roller++20/16eq: -2.147
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:97.81% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++20/19 20/18 12/11eq: -2.148 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:97.88% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/17 12/11eq: -2.148 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:97.89% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++20/18 12/10eq: -2.148 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:97.90% B:0.00%)
5.playedXG Roller++20/18(2)eq: -2.148 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:97.90% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 4/Off(2) 
Pip=17-115
1.played3-ply4/Off(2)eq: +2.162
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.09% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 18/17 12/6 
Pip=9-115
1.XG Roller++18/17 18/12eq: -2.170
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.78% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/17 12/6eq: -2.170 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.78% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++18/11eq: -2.170 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.79% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++12/6 3/2eq: -2.171 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.83% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++12/6 5/4eq: -2.171 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.83% B:0.00%)
 
 22: 2/Off(3) 1/Off 
Pip=9-108
1.played3-ply2/Off(3) 1/Offeq: +2.173
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 18/16 17/13 
Pip=2-108
1.XG Roller++6/4 5/1eq: -2.173
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++17/15 5/1eq: -2.173
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++18/16 6/2eq: -2.173
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++5/1 3/1eq: -2.173
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++5/1 4/2eq: -2.173
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++18/16 17/13eq: -2.173
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 66: 1/Off(2) 
Pip=2-102
1.played3-ply1/Off(2)eq: +2.173
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Gammon 8pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
World Class (-0.0064) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0260)
World Class (-0.0056) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0249)
Expert (-0.0113) Cube Play Casual Player (-0.0415)
3.21 Performance Rating 12.98
3(1) Move Errors 8(4)
-0.181(-1.27%) Equity lost (cost) -0.747(-7.21%)
     
1 Double Errors 1(1)
-0.057(-0.25%) Equity lost (cost) -0.083(-0.75%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
4(1) Total Error 9(5)
-0.237(-1.52%) Equity lost (cost) -0.830(-7.96%)
     
4 Jokers 3
+1.777(+37.59%) Luck -1.777(-37.59%)

 Game 4

13 point match, Score is mman: 8, Iskandar: 3

 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/4 6/4eq: +0.344
Player:
Opponent:		53.57% (G:16.33% B:0.68%)
46.43% (G:11.78% B:0.56%)
2.Book113/11 13/9eq: +0.183 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		49.50% (G:14.91% B:0.62%)
50.50% (G:13.36% B:0.75%)
3.Book124/20 13/11eq: +0.179 (-0.165)
Player:
Opponent:		50.01% (G:13.57% B:0.67%)
49.99% (G:13.18% B:0.59%)
4.Book124/22 13/9eq: +0.177 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		49.82% (G:13.96% B:0.55%)
50.18% (G:13.17% B:0.52%)
5.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: +0.117 (-0.227)
Player:
Opponent:		49.36% (G:11.93% B:0.53%)
50.64% (G:13.21% B:0.44%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=167-161
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: -0.437
Player:
Opponent:		44.14% (G:10.95% B:0.52%)
55.86% (G:17.65% B:0.64%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: -0.511 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		42.75% (G:11.64% B:0.58%)
57.25% (G:18.22% B:0.94%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.554 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		41.86% (G:10.39% B:0.47%)
58.14% (G:18.47% B:1.08%)
4.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.594 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		40.95% (G:10.79% B:0.52%)
59.05% (G:19.18% B:0.96%)
5.4-ply24/22 8/3eq: -0.689 (-0.252)
Player:
Opponent:		39.77% (G:9.63% B:0.43%)
60.23% (G:21.78% B:1.13%)
 
 No double 
Pip=160-161
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.91% (G:17.52% B:0.64%) 55.93% (G:17.49% B:0.64%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.09% (G:11.02% B:0.54%) 44.07% (G:11.15% B:0.54%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.184 +0.451
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.439
     Double/Take:+0.380 (-0.059)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.561)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.7%
 
 42: 24/18 
Pip=160-161
1.XG Roller++24/20 13/11eq: +0.303
Player:
Opponent:		53.31% (G:14.50% B:0.52%)
46.69% (G:11.60% B:0.47%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: +0.288 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		52.06% (G:16.17% B:0.54%)
47.94% (G:12.84% B:0.78%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/9eq: +0.243 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		51.43% (G:14.68% B:0.55%)
48.57% (G:12.36% B:0.53%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 6/4eq: +0.237 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		51.73% (G:13.41% B:0.47%)
48.27% (G:11.69% B:0.42%)
5.playedXG Roller++24/18eq: +0.236 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		52.38% (G:12.51% B:0.44%)
47.62% (G:11.87% B:0.40%)

Τυπική περίπτωση που το ξεστακάρισμα της midpoint είναι το καλύτερο ακόμα και όταν ο αντίπαλος έχει διαχωρίσει τα πίσω πούλια του.
Το 24/18 μού δίνει περισσότερα και πιο άνετα χτυπήματα, και γενικά είναι προτιμότερο, όταν τα πιο "φυσιολογικά" παιξίματα είναι πολύ προβληματικά.
 
 43: 22/15 
Pip=160-155
1.xgRollout113/6eq: -0.505
Player:
Opponent:		41.51% (G:11.20% B:0.53%)
58.49% (G:17.81% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.520...-0.490) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 37 seconds
2.playedRollout122/15eq: -0.569 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		40.51% (G:8.96% B:0.47%)
59.49% (G:17.99% B:0.65%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.582...-0.557) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 43 seconds
3.XG Roller++8/1* eq: -0.520 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		41.12% (G:10.64% B:0.29%)
58.88% (G:16.11% B:0.80%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.543 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		40.82% (G:9.26% B:0.39%)
59.18% (G:17.27% B:0.84%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 8/5eq: -0.638 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		39.60% (G:9.06% B:0.36%)
60.40% (G:19.07% B:0.95%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Ακόμα και τώρα που το βλέπω, εξακολουθεί να μου κάνει εντύπωση αυτό. Δεν ήθελα να στοιβάξω έκτο πούλι στο 6, αλλά προφανώς το χτύπημα στο outfield κοστίζει λόγω της ίσης κούρσας, του καλύτερου αντίπαλου στρατοπέδου και του builder που θα κατέβει στο outfield χτυπώντας.
 
 No double 
Pip=153-155
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.19% (G:17.25% B:0.58%) 59.19% (G:17.57% B:0.59%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.81% (G:8.38% B:0.30%) 40.81% (G:8.45% B:0.31%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.274 +0.629
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.561
     Double/Take:+0.544 (-0.017)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.439)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 3.6%
 
 65: 24/18 13/8 
Pip=153-155
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/8eq: +0.505
Player:
Opponent:		59.03% (G:13.24% B:0.25%)
40.97% (G:5.82% B:0.19%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 6/1* eq: +0.411 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		55.49% (G:15.32% B:0.30%)
44.51% (G:8.59% B:0.31%)
3.4-ply18/7eq: +0.298 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		52.53% (G:15.11% B:0.40%)
47.47% (G:9.70% B:0.35%)
4.4-ply13/7 6/1* eq: +0.297 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		52.12% (G:17.86% B:0.51%)
47.88% (G:12.98% B:0.75%)
5.4-ply24/13eq: +0.264 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:		54.06% (G:10.09% B:0.31%)
45.94% (G:8.79% B:0.23%)
 
 64: 15/9 13/9 
Pip=153-144
1.playedXG Roller++15/9 13/9eq: -0.427
Player:
Opponent:		42.85% (G:6.57% B:0.21%)
57.15% (G:12.46% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++15/5eq: -0.500 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		41.30% (G:6.93% B:0.21%)
58.70% (G:14.29% B:0.28%)
3.4-ply24/14eq: -0.667 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		37.38% (G:3.63% B:0.10%)
62.62% (G:15.07% B:0.36%)
4.4-ply15/9 8/4eq: -0.667 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		37.56% (G:6.82% B:0.20%)
62.44% (G:16.28% B:0.53%)
5.4-ply8/2 6/2eq: -0.718 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		36.96% (G:6.74% B:0.16%)
63.04% (G:17.40% B:0.52%)
 
 No double 
Pip=143-144
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 57.28% (G:12.62% B:0.25%) 57.30% (G:12.63% B:0.25%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 42.72% (G:6.91% B:0.24%) 42.70% (G:6.56% B:0.21%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.202 +0.468
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.437
     Double/Take:+0.356 (-0.080)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.563)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.1%
 
 63: 13/4 
Pip=143-144
1.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: +0.336
Player:
Opponent:		55.20% (G:10.37% B:0.17%)
44.80% (G:6.08% B:0.21%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: +0.259 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		52.24% (G:12.20% B:0.24%)
47.76% (G:8.25% B:0.29%)
3.XG Roller++18/9eq: +0.174 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		51.20% (G:10.11% B:0.30%)
48.80% (G:9.51% B:0.32%)
4.4-ply13/7 8/5eq: +0.149 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:		48.90% (G:12.20% B:0.23%)
51.10% (G:9.57% B:0.29%)
5.4-ply13/10 8/2eq: +0.146 (-0.190)
Player:
Opponent:		50.06% (G:10.45% B:0.19%)
49.94% (G:8.75% B:0.27%)
 
 21: 6/5 6/4 
Pip=143-135
1.playedXG Roller++6/5 6/4eq: -0.478
Player:
Opponent:		42.11% (G:7.79% B:0.30%)
57.89% (G:14.84% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++8/5eq: -0.485 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		41.56% (G:7.10% B:0.26%)
58.44% (G:13.83% B:0.22%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 6/5eq: -0.515 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		41.35% (G:6.93% B:0.28%)
58.65% (G:15.85% B:0.26%)
4.XG Roller++6/3eq: -0.529 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		40.70% (G:6.87% B:0.26%)
59.30% (G:14.88% B:0.23%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 6/4eq: -0.569 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		39.98% (G:6.63% B:0.25%)
60.02% (G:15.61% B:0.25%)
 
 No double 
Pip=140-135
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 57.65% (G:15.18% B:0.26%) 57.59% (G:15.58% B:0.25%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 42.35% (G:8.02% B:0.32%) 42.41% (G:8.40% B:0.34%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.223 +0.512
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.477
     Double/Take:+0.419 (-0.058)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.523)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.1%
 
 21: 13/11 6/5 
Pip=140-135
1.XG Roller++13/11 8/7eq: +0.292
Player:
Opponent:		53.50% (G:12.61% B:0.24%)
46.50% (G:9.40% B:0.38%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: +0.289 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		53.32% (G:12.96% B:0.30%)
46.68% (G:10.05% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++13/10eq: +0.272 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		53.90% (G:9.28% B:0.16%)
46.10% (G:6.71% B:0.22%)
4.XG Roller++4/1* eq: +0.252 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		52.16% (G:12.25% B:0.22%)
47.84% (G:8.50% B:0.33%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 4/3eq: +0.226 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		52.25% (G:11.31% B:0.27%)
47.75% (G:9.95% B:0.38%)
 
 54: 24/20* 9/4 
Pip=140-132
1.played4-ply24/20* 9/4eq: -0.169
Player:
Opponent:		49.98% (G:14.44% B:0.54%)
50.02% (G:15.34% B:0.76%)
2.4-ply24/20* 20/15eq: -0.394 (-0.225)
Player:
Opponent:		45.84% (G:8.90% B:0.39%)
54.16% (G:18.16% B:0.74%)
3.4-ply9/5 9/4eq: -0.432 (-0.263)
Player:
Opponent:		41.65% (G:6.94% B:0.19%)
58.35% (G:11.88% B:0.17%)
4.4-ply24/20* 13/8eq: -0.458 (-0.289)
Player:
Opponent:		43.61% (G:10.59% B:0.42%)
56.39% (G:19.30% B:0.83%)
5.3-ply13/4eq: -0.504 (-0.335)
Player:
Opponent:		40.13% (G:6.83% B:0.22%)
59.87% (G:12.75% B:0.21%)
 
 No double 
Pip=131-152
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 49.92% (G:15.45% B:0.69%) 50.09% (G:15.79% B:0.70%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 50.08% (G:14.54% B:0.55%) 49.91% (G:15.13% B:0.61%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.011 +0.114
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.167
     Double/Take:+0.054 (-0.112)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.833)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.6%
 
 43: Bar/18 
Pip=131-152
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0.275
Player:
Opponent:		38.84% (G:7.00% B:0.19%)
61.16% (G:11.87% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 11/7eq: -0.442 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		35.68% (G:7.09% B:0.22%)
64.32% (G:19.11% B:0.62%)
3.4-plyBar/22 8/4eq: -0.525 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		33.45% (G:6.75% B:0.20%)
66.55% (G:21.60% B:0.75%)
4.4-plyBar/22 6/2eq: -0.603 (-0.328)
Player:
Opponent:		31.74% (G:6.13% B:0.16%)
68.26% (G:23.66% B:0.80%)
5.3-plyBar/22 13/9eq: -0.621 (-0.345)
Player:
Opponent:		32.16% (G:7.21% B:0.39%)
67.84% (G:30.41% B:1.99%)
 
 32: 20/18 9/6 
Pip=131-145
1.xgXG Roller++8/6 8/5eq: -0.150
Player:
Opponent:		49.96% (G:12.55% B:0.39%)
50.04% (G:11.54% B:0.30%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 6/4eq: -0.173 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		49.49% (G:12.27% B:0.39%)
50.51% (G:11.97% B:0.29%)
3.playedXG Roller++20/18 9/6eq: -0.181 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		49.00% (G:9.22% B:0.29%)
51.00% (G:10.37% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++9/6 8/6eq: -0.182 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		48.89% (G:12.62% B:0.41%)
51.11% (G:11.79% B:0.29%)
5.XG Roller++9/4eq: -0.197 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		48.69% (G:12.59% B:0.41%)
51.31% (G:12.31% B:0.29%)

Χαρακτηριστικό παράδειγμα του πόσο ισχυρή θεωρείται η πόρτα 5.
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=126-145
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 50.91% (G:10.28% B:0.22%) 50.92% (G:10.64% B:0.23%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 49.09% (G:9.40% B:0.31%) 49.08% (G:10.08% B:0.35%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.027 +0.109
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.184
played Double/Take:+0.003 (-0.181)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.816)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.3%

Σίγουρα πολύ νωρίς. Ο Μίμης είναι σημαντικά πίσω στην κούρσα και έχει να καθαρίσει τη bar point μου. Ένας τέτοιος βίδος δεν δικαιολογείται ούτε από το σκορ (ή από τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας, αν υπήρχε τέτοιο κριτήριο).
 
 42: 11/7* 8/6 
Pip=126-145
1.xgXG Roller++13/7* eq: -0.027
Player:
Opponent:		49.83% (G:10.86% B:0.25%)
50.17% (G:11.74% B:0.42%)
2.XG Roller++18/16 11/7* eq: -0.042 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		49.29% (G:10.49% B:0.29%)
50.71% (G:11.30% B:0.42%)
3.playedXG Roller++11/7* 8/6eq: -0.084 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		47.71% (G:9.17% B:0.16%)
52.29% (G:8.81% B:0.30%)
4.XG Roller++11/7* 7/5eq: -0.128 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		46.11% (G:9.73% B:0.19%)
53.89% (G:13.19% B:0.39%)
5.XG Roller++11/7* 6/4eq: -0.161 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		45.20% (G:7.33% B:0.15%)
54.80% (G:9.02% B:0.28%)

Είναι σημαντικό να κρατηθεί ο τέταρτος builder για την πόρτα 5. Η κατανομή του θα ήταν πολύ καλύτερη μετά από 13/7*.
 
 63: Bar/16 
Pip=133-139
1.played4-plyBar/16eq: +0.146
Player:
Opponent:		54.51% (G:5.47% B:0.19%)
45.49% (G:6.97% B:0.16%)
2.4-plyBar/22 8/2eq: -0.032 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		48.23% (G:9.06% B:0.27%)
51.77% (G:11.41% B:0.27%)
 
 53: 18/13 8/5 
Pip=124-139
1.xgXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.344
Player:
Opponent:		38.28% (G:2.88% B:0.04%)
61.72% (G:2.79% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/13 8/5eq: -0.366 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		37.62% (G:2.45% B:0.04%)
62.38% (G:3.14% B:0.16%)
3.XG Roller++18/13 6/3eq: -0.369 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		37.50% (G:2.27% B:0.05%)
62.50% (G:2.85% B:0.10%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 4/1eq: -0.373 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		37.08% (G:2.66% B:0.02%)
62.92% (G:2.78% B:0.07%)
5.XG Roller++8/5 7/2eq: -0.375 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		37.18% (G:2.50% B:0.03%)
62.82% (G:3.09% B:0.10%)
 
 32: 16/13 8/6 
Pip=124-131
1.XG Roller++16/13 6/4eq: +0.354
Player:
Opponent:		61.22% (G:1.14% B:0.02%)
38.78% (G:0.97% B:0.01%)
2.playedXG Roller++16/13 8/6eq: +0.352 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		61.15% (G:1.21% B:0.02%)
38.85% (G:0.96% B:0.01%)
3.xgXG Roller++16/13 5/3eq: +0.349 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		61.05% (G:1.22% B:0.02%)
38.95% (G:1.02% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++16/13 4/2eq: +0.347 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		61.01% (G:1.24% B:0.03%)
38.99% (G:1.13% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++16/14 8/5eq: +0.201 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		55.72% (G:3.81% B:0.12%)
44.28% (G:4.25% B:0.06%)
 
 42: 13/9 7/5 
Pip=119-131
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 7/3eq: -0.410
Player:
Opponent:		36.20% (G:1.00% B:0.01%)
63.80% (G:1.22% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/2eq: -0.411 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		36.13% (G:0.99% B:0.01%)
63.87% (G:1.16% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++7/3 4/2eq: -0.411 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		36.16% (G:1.04% B:0.01%)
63.84% (G:1.25% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++7/5 6/2eq: -0.411 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		36.15% (G:0.99% B:0.01%)
63.85% (G:1.15% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++13/9 4/2eq: -0.412 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		36.12% (G:0.98% B:0.01%)
63.88% (G:1.10% B:0.02%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/9 7/5eq: -0.412 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		36.12% (G:0.96% B:0.01%)
63.88% (G:1.17% B:0.02%)
 
 41: 13/8 
Pip=119-125
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.336
Player:
Opponent:		60.53% (G:1.08% B:0.02%)
39.47% (G:0.95% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++6/5 6/2eq: +0.332 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		60.34% (G:1.03% B:0.02%)
39.66% (G:0.98% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.331 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		60.37% (G:1.39% B:0.03%)
39.63% (G:1.25% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++6/2 4/3eq: +0.324 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		60.03% (G:1.20% B:0.03%)
39.97% (G:1.13% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++6/2 5/4eq: +0.315 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		59.66% (G:1.14% B:0.02%)
40.34% (G:1.12% B:0.01%)
 
 66: 13/7(2) 9/3 8/2 
Pip=114-125
1.playedXG Roller++13/7(2) 9/3 8/2eq: -0.035
Player:
Opponent:		52.50% (G:1.84% B:0.03%)
47.50% (G:1.87% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 13/1 8/2eq: -0.040 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		52.36% (G:1.75% B:0.02%)
47.64% (G:1.79% B:0.04%)
3.xgXG Roller++13/7 13/1 9/3eq: -0.041 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		52.25% (G:1.84% B:0.02%)
47.75% (G:1.84% B:0.05%)
4.XG Roller++13/1(2)eq: -0.046 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		52.05% (G:1.72% B:0.02%)
47.95% (G:1.80% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++13/1 9/3 8/2eq: -0.081 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		50.32% (G:2.55% B:0.03%)
49.68% (G:3.14% B:0.11%)
 
 53: 13/5 
Pip=114-101
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: +0.037
Player:
Opponent:		47.38% (G:1.72% B:0.04%)
52.62% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: +0.036 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		47.27% (G:1.65% B:0.03%)
52.73% (G:1.25% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++8/5 8/3eq: +0.027 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		46.96% (G:1.71% B:0.04%)
53.04% (G:1.50% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 6/1eq: +0.017 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		46.67% (G:2.05% B:0.05%)
53.33% (G:2.03% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 6/3eq: +0.004 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		46.25% (G:2.03% B:0.06%)
53.75% (G:2.20% B:0.05%)
 
 64: 7/1 6/2 
Pip=106-101
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 6/2eq: -0.084
Player:
Opponent:		50.29% (G:2.06% B:0.04%)
49.71% (G:2.70% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++7/1 5/1eq: -0.124 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		48.88% (G:1.18% B:0.02%)
51.12% (G:2.63% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++7/3 7/1eq: -0.146 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		47.22% (G:2.62% B:0.05%)
52.78% (G:2.58% B:0.09%)
4.4-ply18/8eq: -0.341 (-0.258)
Player:
Opponent:		38.82% (G:2.51% B:0.05%)
61.18% (G:3.84% B:0.18%)
5.3-ply18/14 7/1eq: -0.564 (-0.480)
Player:
Opponent:		30.63% (G:2.75% B:0.04%)
69.37% (G:14.12% B:0.65%)
 
 55: 13/3(2) 
Pip=106-91
1.xgXG Roller++8/3(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.266
Player:
Opponent:		57.93% (G:1.31% B:0.03%)
42.07% (G:1.15% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++8/3 6/1(3)eq: +0.234 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		56.32% (G:1.04% B:0.02%)
43.68% (G:1.49% B:0.03%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/3(2)eq: +0.184 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		53.78% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
46.22% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 13/3 6/1eq: +0.166 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		53.02% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
46.98% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++13/8(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.122 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		50.94% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
49.06% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)

Στην παρτίδα δοκίμασα και απέρριψα τις δύο πόρτες μέσα, σκεπτόμενος ότι η κατοχή του βίδου ευνοεί για μένα την κούρσα (πιο δύσκολα χάνεις market στην κούρσα, οπότε θα έχω μεγαλύτερο κέρδος από την κατοχή).
Όμως μετά τις 55 η κούρσα είναι ίση και το παίξιμό μου ελευθερώνει τα πούλια του στο bar point μου.
Επίσης, η χρησιμότητα για μένα ενός κύβου στο 4 σ' αυτό το σκορ είναι αρκετά περιορισμένη: Για να βιδάρω, χρειάζομαι τουλάχιστον 83% και στο 87% έχει πάσο (χωρίς να συνυπολογίσουμε τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας που θα με κάνει να βιδάρω ακόμα πιο συντηρητικά).
Νομίζω ότι ο σημαντικός παράγοντας εδώ είναι το timing. Αν κάνω δύο πόρτες μέσα, το αντίπαλο board θα χαλάσει πιο γρήγορα από το δικο μου, βελτιώνοντας έτσι την κούρσα για μένα, λόγω του wastage.
 
 62: 18/16 18/12 
Pip=86-91
1.playedXG Roller++18/16 18/12eq: -0.179
Player:
Opponent:		46.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
53.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/1 6/4eq: -0.273 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		42.02% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
57.98% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/1 5/3eq: -0.281 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		41.64% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
58.36% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/1 4/2eq: -0.301 (-0.122)
Player:
Opponent:		40.80% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
59.20% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++18/12 7/5eq: -0.403 (-0.224)
Player:
Opponent:		36.87% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
63.13% (G:1.92% B:0.07%)
 
 41: 8/7 8/4 
Pip=86-83
1.playedXG Roller++8/7 8/4eq: +0.031
Player:
Opponent:		46.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
53.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: +0.031 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		46.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
53.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 3/2eq: +0.026 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		46.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
53.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/3eq: +0.006 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		45.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 6/2eq: +0.003 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		45.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 16/12 7/6 
Pip=81-83
1.xgXG Roller++12/8 7/6eq: -0.187
Player:
Opponent:		45.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++16/12 7/6eq: -0.191 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		45.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++16/11eq: -0.193 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		45.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++16/15 12/8eq: -0.198 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		45.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++16/12 6/5eq: -0.201 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		45.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 8/3 7/6 
Pip=81-78
1.xgXG Roller++7/2 6/5eq: +0.074
Player:
Opponent:		48.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
51.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: +0.071 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		48.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
51.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/2eq: +0.069 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		48.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
51.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++8/3 7/6eq: +0.065 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		48.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
51.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/5 6/1eq: +0.060 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		48.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
51.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 12/7 12/6 
Pip=75-78
1.playedXG Roller++12/7 12/6eq: +0.088
Player:
Opponent:		58.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++12/1eq: +0.039 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		56.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=75-67
1.xgXG Roller++8/5 3/2eq: -0.289
Player:
Opponent:		32.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.292 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		32.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.320 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		30.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 4/3eq: -0.326 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		30.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/5 4/1eq: -0.327 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		30.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 7/3 2/Off 
Pip=71-67
1.playedXG Roller++7/3 2/Offeq: +0.208
Player:
Opponent:		63.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
36.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/5 4/Offeq: +0.204 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		63.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
36.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/3 6/4eq: +0.179 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		62.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/5 6/2eq: +0.170 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		62.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/1eq: +0.138 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		60.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 6/Off 3/2 
Pip=71-61
1.playedXG Roller++6/Off 3/2eq: -0.275
Player:
Opponent:		32.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/Off 5/4eq: -0.295 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		32.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/5 6/Offeq: -0.301 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		31.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/Off 4/3eq: -0.316 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		31.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 66: 6/Off(4) 
Pip=64-61
1.played3-ply6/Off(4)eq: +0.898
Player:
Opponent:		95.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 44: 5/1 4/Off(3) 
Pip=64-37
1.xgXG Roller++6/2 4/Off(3)eq: -0.795
Player:
Opponent:		9.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++5/1 4/Off(3)eq: -0.798 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		9.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/2 5/1 4/Off(2)eq: -0.812 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		8.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/2(2) 4/Off(2)eq: -0.828 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		7.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply5/1(2) 4/Off(2)eq: -0.832 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		7.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 6/Off 1/Off 
Pip=48-37
1.played4-ply6/Off 1/Offeq: +0.768
Player:
Opponent:		89.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off 3/2eq: +0.733 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		87.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
12.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/Off 4/3eq: +0.732 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		87.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
12.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/Off 5/4eq: +0.721 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		87.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
12.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/Off 2/1eq: +0.721 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		87.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
12.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=48-30
1.played4-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: -0.851
Player:
Opponent:		6.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/4 3/Offeq: -0.869 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		6.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/5 3/Offeq: -0.883 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		5.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/3 1/Offeq: -0.889 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		5.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply5/2 1/Offeq: -0.898 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		4.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 63: 5/Off 3/Off 
Pip=44-30
1.played4-ply5/Off 3/Offeq: +0.882
Player:
Opponent:		94.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/Off 4/1eq: +0.866 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		93.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/2 5/Offeq: +0.839 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		92.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
7.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 55: 6/1 5/Off(3) 
Pip=44-22
1.played4-ply6/1 5/Off(3)eq: -0.604
Player:
Opponent:		18.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1(2) 5/Off(2)eq: -0.668 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		15.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
84.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/1(3) 5/Offeq: -0.783 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		10.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/1(4)eq: -0.895 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		4.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 5/Off 4/Off 
Pip=24-22
1.played4-ply5/Off 4/Offeq: +0.756
Player:
Opponent:		88.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
11.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/1 4/Offeq: +0.632 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		82.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
17.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 6/1 2/Off 
Pip=24-13
1.played4-ply6/1 2/Offeq: -0.890
Player:
Opponent:		5.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 6/1eq: -0.897 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		4.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/1 3/1eq: -0.940 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		2.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 4/Off 2/Off 
Pip=17-13
1.played4-ply4/Off 2/Offeq: +0.904
Player:
Opponent:		95.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/Off 3/1eq: +0.846 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		92.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
7.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/2 4/Offeq: +0.846 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		92.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
7.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 6/4 6/1 
Pip=17-7
1.played4-ply6/4 6/1eq: -0.998
Player:
Opponent:		0.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 3/1eq: -0.998 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 4/Off 
Pip=10-7
1.played4-ply4/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/1 3/2eq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 4/Off 3/1 
Pip=10-3
1.4-ply4/2 3/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.played4-ply4/Off 3/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 3/Off 
Pip=4-3
1.played3-ply3/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Single Game 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
World Class (-0.0096) Total Error Expert (-0.0134)
Expert (-0.0101) Checker Play World Class (-0.0081)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Intermediate (-0.0301)
4.81 Performance Rating 6.69
3(1) Move Errors 3
-0.193(-1.41%) Equity lost (cost) -0.154(-1.16%)
     
0 Double Errors 1(1)
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.181(-0.89%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3(1) Total Error 4(1)
-0.193(-1.41%) Equity lost (cost) -0.334(-2.05%)
     
1 Jokers 2
-0.863(-8.81%) Luck +0.863(+8.81%)

 Game 5

13 point match, Score is mman: 8, Iskandar: 5

 
 62: 24/18 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/11eq: -0.111
Player:
Opponent:		50.58% (G:13.70% B:0.87%)
49.42% (G:14.05% B:0.59%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.115...-0.107) - [100.0%]
2.Book124/16eq: -0.137 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		50.19% (G:12.54% B:0.72%)
49.81% (G:14.25% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.141...-0.134) - [0.0%]
3.Book113/5eq: -0.163 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		49.03% (G:14.66% B:0.92%)
50.97% (G:14.17% B:0.70%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.167...-0.160) - [0.0%]
4.Book224/22 13/7eq: -0.214 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		48.00% (G:12.86% B:0.51%)
52.00% (G:13.78% B:0.59%)
5.Book224/22 24/18eq: -0.218 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		48.68% (G:11.80% B:0.52%)
51.32% (G:14.49% B:0.47%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 17-Jul-13 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
23328 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 69502489
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 No double 
Pip=159-167
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 49.28% (G:13.51% B:0.51%) 49.23% (G:13.60% B:0.52%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 50.72% (G:12.89% B:0.64%) 50.77% (G:12.99% B:0.63%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.008 +0.035
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.121
     Double/Take:-0.075 (-0.196)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.879)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.4%
 
 43: 24/21 13/9 
Pip=159-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/9eq: -0.102
Player:
Opponent:		44.10% (G:10.25% B:0.34%)
55.90% (G:13.48% B:0.62%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 24/20eq: -0.117 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		44.19% (G:9.24% B:0.35%)
55.81% (G:13.52% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.144 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		43.34% (G:10.19% B:0.37%)
56.66% (G:15.15% B:0.75%)
4.XG Roller++24/21 8/4eq: -0.159 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		42.89% (G:10.17% B:0.35%)
57.11% (G:15.21% B:0.76%)
5.XG Roller++8/1* eq: -0.165 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		42.03% (G:11.24% B:0.31%)
57.97% (G:15.17% B:0.83%)
 
 62: 18/16* 16/10 
Pip=159-160
1.xgXG Roller++24/18 13/11eq: +0.111
Player:
Opponent:		56.13% (G:10.65% B:0.34%)
43.87% (G:8.52% B:0.26%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/16* 16/10eq: +0.106 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		55.99% (G:14.79% B:0.68%)
44.01% (G:10.80% B:0.39%)
3.XG Roller++24/16* eq: +0.049 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		55.15% (G:13.79% B:0.70%)
44.85% (G:12.13% B:0.47%)
4.XG Roller++24/18 6/4* eq: +0.030 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		54.08% (G:13.10% B:0.49%)
45.92% (G:11.09% B:0.37%)
5.4-ply24/18 11/9eq: -0.054 (-0.165)
Player:
Opponent:		51.58% (G:10.31% B:0.35%)
48.42% (G:9.84% B:0.31%)

Ενδιαφέρον ότι δύο τόσο διαφορετικές προσεγγίσεις είναι ουσιαστικά ισοδύναμες.
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=151-176
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.574
Player:
Opponent:		33.99% (G:6.81% B:0.27%)
66.01% (G:23.43% B:1.39%)
 
 No double 
Pip=151-176
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.10% (G:23.82% B:1.43%) 66.08% (G:23.89% B:1.43%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.90% (G:6.66% B:0.24%) 33.92% (G:6.69% B:0.24%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.504 +0.993
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.604
     Double/Take:+0.469 (-0.135)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.396)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 20.3%
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=151-176
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +0.544
Player:
Opponent:		65.33% (G:20.56% B:1.22%)
34.67% (G:6.99% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 11/10eq: +0.386 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		62.77% (G:16.47% B:0.83%)
37.23% (G:7.85% B:0.23%)
3.4-ply10/7 8/7eq: +0.348 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		62.11% (G:15.99% B:0.70%)
37.89% (G:7.94% B:0.27%)
4.4-ply24/21 11/10eq: +0.336 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		62.04% (G:15.48% B:0.76%)
37.96% (G:8.31% B:0.26%)
5.4-ply24/23 13/10eq: +0.319 (-0.225)
Player:
Opponent:		61.53% (G:15.69% B:0.75%)
38.47% (G:8.48% B:0.27%)
 
 53: Bar/22 6/1*  
Pip=147-176
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 6/1* eq: -0.672
Player:
Opponent:		31.97% (G:6.40% B:0.21%)
68.03% (G:24.60% B:1.86%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 13/8eq: -0.713 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		30.70% (G:5.94% B:0.23%)
69.30% (G:24.31% B:1.45%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 21/16eq: -0.777 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		30.61% (G:5.78% B:0.24%)
69.39% (G:28.17% B:1.84%)
4.4-plyBar/22 8/3eq: -0.895 (-0.224)
Player:
Opponent:		29.88% (G:5.70% B:0.26%)
70.12% (G:31.84% B:2.96%)

Πολύ σωστό παίξιμο από τον Μίμη. Το 13/8 θα με άφηνε να επιτεθώ ανενόχλητος.
 
 No double 
Pip=148-168
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.07% (G:24.65% B:1.83%) 68.46% (G:23.60% B:1.68%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.93% (G:6.40% B:0.21%) 31.54% (G:6.27% B:0.19%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.560 +1.096
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.672
     Double/Take:+0.607 (-0.065)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.328)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.2%
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=148-168
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: +0.227
Player:
Opponent:		59.48% (G:17.52% B:1.01%)
40.52% (G:11.14% B:0.41%)
 
 64: 24/18 22/18 
Pip=148-168
1.xgXG Roller++22/18 21/15* eq: -0.202
Player:
Opponent:		42.99% (G:10.12% B:0.33%)
57.01% (G:19.15% B:1.06%)
2.XG Roller++21/15* 15/11eq: -0.223 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		41.37% (G:10.98% B:0.35%)
58.63% (G:18.31% B:0.96%)
3.XG Roller++21/15* 13/9eq: -0.223 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		41.70% (G:12.01% B:0.45%)
58.30% (G:20.47% B:1.53%)
4.XG Roller++24/14* eq: -0.234 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		41.59% (G:10.41% B:0.36%)
58.41% (G:19.12% B:1.05%)
5.playedXG Roller++24/18 22/18eq: -0.450 (-0.248)
Player:
Opponent:		36.73% (G:6.88% B:0.19%)
63.27% (G:18.52% B:0.65%)

Αυτό είναι σοβαρό λάθος. Η πόρτα του bar είναι πάντα χρήσιμη, αλλά εδώ οι προτεραιότητες είναι διαφορετικές. Το χτύπημα του δεύτερου πουλίου είναι υποχρεωτικό, λόγω των γνωστών πλεονεκτημάτων (κέρδος στην κούρσα και αφαίρεσης και της άλλης μισής ζαριάς του αντιπάλου) ενισχύεται όμως από το γεγονός ότι το αντίπαλο board δεν είναι ιδιαίτερα δυνατό. Επίσης, κάτι που συχνά παραλείπεται, αφαιρεί τον χρήσιμο builder από την αντίπαλη επίθεση, ενώ αν γίνει η πόρτα στο bar, το πούλι αυτό μπορεί να επιτεθεί στο 4 ή να αποτελέσει τη βάση για πόρτα στο 10 (όπως και έγινε στην παρτίδα).
Γενικά, εδώ ακολουθείται η αρχή ότι τα χτυπήματα στην αρχή της παρτίδας είναι πιο ελκυστικά, επειδή συνήθως τα στρατόπεδα είναι αδύναμε και συνεπώς το ρίσκο αυτού που χτυπάει είναι μικρότερο.
 
 43: Bar/21 13/10 
Pip=148-158
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 13/10eq: +0.394
Player:
Opponent:		62.77% (G:14.14% B:0.51%)
37.23% (G:6.33% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 10/6eq: +0.255 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		59.45% (G:13.42% B:0.41%)
40.55% (G:7.59% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 11/8eq: +0.236 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		58.31% (G:15.36% B:0.55%)
41.69% (G:8.19% B:0.20%)
4.4-plyBar/22 8/4* eq: +0.148 (-0.246)
Player:
Opponent:		56.67% (G:17.59% B:0.70%)
43.33% (G:11.22% B:0.59%)
5.4-plyBar/18eq: +0.082 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		55.34% (G:14.13% B:0.67%)
44.66% (G:10.64% B:0.39%)
 
 54: 8/4* 6/1 
Pip=141-158
1.xgXG Roller++18/14* 6/1eq: -0.384
Player:
Opponent:		38.24% (G:8.43% B:0.22%)
61.76% (G:20.79% B:0.96%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/4* 6/1eq: -0.492 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		34.88% (G:6.82% B:0.10%)
65.12% (G:16.78% B:0.59%)
3.4-ply18/13 18/14* eq: -0.527 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		35.55% (G:6.82% B:0.22%)
64.45% (G:24.72% B:0.96%)
4.4-ply13/8 6/2eq: -0.564 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		32.89% (G:5.59% B:0.13%)
67.11% (G:17.85% B:0.55%)
5.4-ply13/4* eq: -0.584 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		33.85% (G:6.55% B:0.21%)
66.15% (G:23.72% B:1.04%)

Ο Μίμης εδώ θα ήθελε με το 5 να βγάλει το πούλι από την επικίνδυνη θέση 21, αυτό όμως δεν είναι δυνατό, λόγω του blot στον άσσο και του ότι δεν υπάρχει αξιοπρεπές τεσσάρι.
Έτσι το 5 είναι σαφές ότι πρέπει να παιχτεί στον άσσο.
Το χτύπημα στο 4 (8/4*) αφήνει έξι πολύ άσχημα διπλά χτυπήματα με 22,42, 44 και 64, ενώ το χτύπημα στο outfield (18/14*) αφήνει μόνο τρεις τέτοιες ζαριές (22, 33, 44). Αυτό, σε συνδυασμό με το μεγάλο κέρδος στην κούρσα που προσφέρει το 18/14*, καθιστά το 8/4* σημαντικό λάθος.
 
 44: Bar/21* 13/9 8/4*(2)  
Pip=145-149
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21* 13/9 8/4*(2) eq: +1.054
Player:
Opponent:		76.56% (G:39.80% B:1.15%)
23.44% (G:3.66% B:0.11%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21* 10/6 8/4*(2) eq: +1.020 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		75.06% (G:39.73% B:1.10%)
24.94% (G:4.13% B:0.14%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21* 8/4*(2) 6/2eq: +0.928 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		73.38% (G:37.56% B:1.06%)
26.62% (G:4.83% B:0.14%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21* 13/9(3)eq: +0.890 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		74.01% (G:25.48% B:1.02%)
25.99% (G:4.14% B:0.10%)
5.4-plyBar/21* 8/4* 6/2(2)eq: +0.826 (-0.229)
Player:
Opponent:		71.58% (G:36.95% B:1.01%)
28.42% (G:6.17% B:0.24%)
 
 62: Bar/23 
Pip=129-174
1.played3-plyBar/23eq: -1.027
Player:
Opponent:		23.74% (G:4.11% B:0.16%)
76.26% (G:43.38% B:1.11%)
 
 No double 
Pip=129-172
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 77.68% (G:38.72% B:1.23%) 77.25% (G:44.67% B:1.31%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 22.32% (G:3.40% B:0.08%) 22.75% (G:3.99% B:0.10%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.915 +1.951
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.095
     Double/Take:+1.593 (+0.498)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.095)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 16.1%

Σκέφτηκα για λίγο, αλλά το too good είναι ξακάθαρο. Το αντίπαλο στρατόπεδο, εκτός από πιο αδύναμο είναι και ασυνεχές, ενώ είμαι τόσο μπροστά στην κούρσα, που αντέχω τούλάχιστον ενά χτύπημα.
Φυσικά τον μεγαλύτερο ρόλο παίζει το χτυπημένο του πούλι και το επίσης ευάλωτο στο 2 μου.
 
 32: 21/18 11/9 
Pip=129-172
1.XG Roller++11/8 10/8eq: +1.003
Player:
Opponent:		75.23% (G:34.73% B:1.40%)
24.77% (G:4.09% B:0.13%)
2.playedXG Roller++21/18 11/9eq: +0.999 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		75.86% (G:26.87% B:0.98%)
24.14% (G:3.48% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: +0.995 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		75.44% (G:30.52% B:1.07%)
24.56% (G:3.51% B:0.09%)
4.XG Roller++9/4eq: +0.961 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		73.42% (G:33.91% B:1.31%)
26.58% (G:4.52% B:0.14%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 11/9eq: +0.943 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		74.01% (G:30.31% B:1.25%)
25.99% (G:4.05% B:0.11%)
 
 42: Bar/23 13/9 
Pip=124-172
1.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		22.78% (G:2.59% B:0.06%)
77.22% (G:19.24% B:0.93%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 13/9eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		24.27% (G:3.11% B:0.06%)
75.73% (G:22.53% B:1.19%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		23.83% (G:2.89% B:0.06%)
76.17% (G:22.87% B:1.27%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 18/14eq: -1.066 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		20.70% (G:2.31% B:0.06%)
79.30% (G:32.50% B:1.91%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=124-166
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 75.61% (G:22.38% B:1.18%) 75.85% (G:23.19% B:1.26%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.39% (G:3.13% B:0.06%) 24.15% (G:3.10% B:0.04%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.715 +1.458
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.981 (-0.019)
     Double/Take:+1.119 (+0.119)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Το take θα ήταν σημαντικό λάθος εδώ. Η θέση του αμυνόμενου είναι εντελώς ξεχαρβαλωμένη και ο κίνδυνος του διπλού δεν έχει αποσoβηθεί.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
World Champ. (-0.0008) Total Error Beginner (-0.0509)
World Champ. (-0.0014) Checker Play Distracted (-0.0713)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.42 Performance Rating 25.47
0 Move Errors 2(2)
-0.008(-0.05%) Equity lost (cost) -0.357(-2.13%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 2(2)
-0.008(-0.05%) Equity lost (cost) -0.357(-2.13%)
     
2 Jokers 1
+0.784(+4.68%) Luck -0.784(-4.68%)

 Game 6

13 point match, Score is mman: 9, Iskandar: 5

 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/5 6/5eq: +0.380
Player:
Opponent:		55.30% (G:16.64% B:0.69%)
44.70% (G:11.54% B:0.53%)
2.Book113/10 6/5eq: +0.115 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		49.76% (G:13.47% B:0.52%)
50.24% (G:14.02% B:0.89%)
3.Book124/23 13/10eq: +0.115 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		49.60% (G:13.50% B:0.52%)
50.40% (G:13.35% B:0.58%)
4.Book113/9eq: +0.096 (-0.284)
Player:
Opponent:		48.84% (G:13.92% B:0.58%)
51.16% (G:13.46% B:0.66%)
5.Book124/20eq: +0.067 (-0.314)
Player:
Opponent:		48.96% (G:12.14% B:0.49%)
51.04% (G:13.14% B:0.48%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 32: 24/21 13/11 
Pip=167-163
1.xgXG Roller++24/22 13/10eq: -0.506
Player:
Opponent:		41.93% (G:10.37% B:0.48%)
58.07% (G:18.28% B:0.84%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 24/21eq: -0.514 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		41.78% (G:9.77% B:0.48%)
58.22% (G:18.83% B:0.68%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/11eq: -0.514 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		41.85% (G:10.25% B:0.49%)
58.15% (G:18.30% B:0.88%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: -0.574 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		40.68% (G:10.98% B:0.47%)
59.32% (G:18.85% B:1.19%)
5.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.579 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		40.67% (G:10.27% B:0.46%)
59.33% (G:19.01% B:0.88%)
 
 No double 
Pip=162-163
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 57.93% (G:18.20% B:0.87%) 57.99% (G:18.22% B:0.85%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 42.07% (G:10.44% B:0.49%) 42.01% (G:10.31% B:0.47%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.219 +0.494
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.506
     Double/Take:+0.442 (-0.065)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.494)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.4%
 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=162-163
1.XG Roller++24/18 13/8eq: +0.344
Player:
Opponent:		55.58% (G:13.99% B:0.63%)
44.42% (G:10.59% B:0.37%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/13eq: +0.343 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		56.33% (G:12.08% B:0.41%)
43.67% (G:9.03% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: +0.306 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		53.18% (G:16.44% B:0.68%)
46.82% (G:11.33% B:0.58%)
4.XG Roller++24/18 6/1* eq: +0.239 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		52.67% (G:13.93% B:0.49%)
47.33% (G:12.16% B:0.56%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 6/1* eq: +0.222 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		51.01% (G:16.53% B:0.54%)
48.99% (G:13.08% B:0.79%)
 
 33: 24/21 11/5 8/5 
Pip=162-152
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 11/5 8/5eq: +0.012
Player:
Opponent:		50.45% (G:11.06% B:0.21%)
49.55% (G:6.23% B:0.20%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 21/18 13/10eq: -0.047 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		49.94% (G:8.55% B:0.17%)
50.06% (G:7.14% B:0.22%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 13/10 6/3(2)eq: -0.050 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		49.15% (G:11.33% B:0.27%)
50.85% (G:7.27% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++24/21 8/5(3)eq: -0.069 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		48.29% (G:10.95% B:0.19%)
51.71% (G:6.87% B:0.23%)
5.XG Roller++24/18 21/18 11/8eq: -0.074 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		49.80% (G:8.19% B:0.17%)
50.20% (G:8.31% B:0.24%)
 
 41: 13/8 
Pip=150-152
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: -0.086
Player:
Opponent:		47.54% (G:6.13% B:0.19%)
52.46% (G:12.00% B:0.22%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: -0.147 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		45.24% (G:8.07% B:0.28%)
54.76% (G:14.18% B:0.41%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/9eq: -0.206 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		43.92% (G:7.94% B:0.27%)
56.08% (G:15.47% B:0.39%)
4.XG Roller++6/5 6/2eq: -0.218 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		44.20% (G:6.54% B:0.21%)
55.80% (G:15.44% B:0.33%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 6/2eq: -0.232 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:6.48% B:0.20%)
55.84% (G:16.47% B:0.32%)
 
 62: 13/5 
Pip=150-147
1.played4-ply13/5eq: +0.037
Player:
Opponent:		50.86% (G:11.53% B:0.17%)
49.14% (G:5.83% B:0.18%)
2.4-ply13/11 13/7eq: -0.185 (-0.222)
Player:
Opponent:		46.08% (G:11.17% B:0.21%)
53.92% (G:8.82% B:0.28%)
3.4-ply21/13eq: -0.201 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		48.01% (G:9.50% B:0.33%)
51.99% (G:12.71% B:0.33%)
4.3-ply13/7 6/4eq: -0.315 (-0.353)
Player:
Opponent:		42.82% (G:10.00% B:0.26%)
57.18% (G:9.72% B:0.29%)
5.3-ply8/6 8/2eq: -0.334 (-0.371)
Player:
Opponent:		41.93% (G:7.97% B:0.15%)
58.07% (G:8.28% B:0.24%)
 
 53: 13/5 
Pip=142-147
1.xgXG Roller++24/16eq: -0.048
Player:
Opponent:		49.01% (G:4.46% B:0.14%)
50.99% (G:9.70% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.085 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		47.55% (G:6.77% B:0.23%)
52.45% (G:12.99% B:0.22%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: -0.111 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		47.00% (G:6.14% B:0.19%)
53.00% (G:12.62% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 6/3eq: -0.127 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		46.57% (G:6.61% B:0.21%)
53.43% (G:13.96% B:0.21%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: -0.157 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		46.20% (G:5.49% B:0.17%)
53.80% (G:13.42% B:0.17%)

Το τρέξιμο εδώ είναι θεματικό, καθώς υπερπηδά τον κύριο όγκο των αντίπαλων builder και τρέχει ενώ είναι μπροστά στην κούρσα. Τα άλλα παιξίματα αποδυναμώνονται πολύ από την αντίπαλη anchor στο 21.
 
 65: 13/7 6/1*  
Pip=142-139
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 6/1* eq: -0.146
Player:
Opponent:		47.01% (G:13.26% B:0.18%)
52.99% (G:9.39% B:0.34%)
2.XG Roller++13/2eq: -0.158 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:10.90% B:0.17%)
53.51% (G:8.42% B:0.29%)
3.XG Roller++21/10eq: -0.269 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		46.22% (G:11.13% B:0.44%)
53.78% (G:14.53% B:0.38%)
4.XG Roller++21/16 21/15eq: -0.270 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		46.36% (G:7.63% B:0.23%)
53.64% (G:14.21% B:0.39%)
5.XG Roller++21/15 6/1* eq: -0.302 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		45.24% (G:11.30% B:0.24%)
54.76% (G:16.37% B:0.74%)
 
 61: Bar/24* 24/18*  
Pip=131-140
1.played3-plyBar/24* 24/18* eq: +0.915
Player:
Opponent:		68.01% (G:19.13% B:0.56%)
31.99% (G:5.82% B:0.17%)
2.3-plyBar/24* 13/7eq: +0.364 (-0.551)
Player:
Opponent:		55.85% (G:15.25% B:0.63%)
44.15% (G:11.39% B:0.40%)
3.2-plyBar/24* 8/2eq: +0.195 (-0.720)
Player:
Opponent:		52.06% (G:14.01% B:0.46%)
47.94% (G:14.25% B:0.52%)
 
 52: Bar/23 
Pip=173-133
1.played3-plyBar/23eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		31.16% (G:5.34% B:0.20%)
68.84% (G:21.17% B:0.61%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=171-133
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.46% (G:21.63% B:0.65%) 68.27% (G:22.36% B:0.65%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.54% (G:5.62% B:0.20%) 31.73% (G:5.68% B:0.18%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.531 +1.162
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.924 (-0.076)
played Double/Take:+1.082 (+0.082)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Δεν ήμουν καθόλου σίγουροα γι' αυτό εδώ.
Σκέφτηκα ότι ο Μίμης δεν έχει σώσει ακόμη τον runner του, ενώ μπορεί να φτιάξω δεύτερη anchor.
Όμως ένας συνδυασμός παραγόντων (τους οποίους, προφανώς, υποτίμησα) δείχνει πάσο: το ότι είμαι χτυπημένος, το ότι είμαι πολύ πίσω στην κούρσα, τα δέκα αντίπαλα πούλια στη ζώνη, ιδανικά τοποθετημένα για επίθεση, ο γενικότερος κίνδυνος για gammon και η πρωτοπορία μου στο σκορ.
(Επίσης, ακόμα κι αν ήταν οριακό -που δεν είναι- θα μπορούσα να πάρω υπόψη μου τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας.)
 
 33: 13/10 8/2* 5/2 
Pip=171-133
1.xgXG Roller++18/15 8/2* 5/2eq: +0.673
Player:
Opponent:		70.91% (G:27.17% B:0.64%)
29.09% (G:4.92% B:0.19%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/10 8/2* 5/2eq: +0.634 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		69.06% (G:27.55% B:0.70%)
30.94% (G:5.81% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++13/10(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.598 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		69.15% (G:24.16% B:0.90%)
30.85% (G:5.14% B:0.20%)
4.XG Roller++8/2*(2) eq: +0.597 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		66.74% (G:29.00% B:0.73%)
33.26% (G:6.59% B:0.27%)
5.XG Roller++8/2* 6/3(2)eq: +0.580 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		67.58% (G:25.97% B:0.74%)
32.42% (G:6.84% B:0.26%)

Το 13/10 δημιουργεί ένα νέο blot χωρίς να προσθέτει builder για την πόρτα 3. Το bar δεν είναι ο επείγον στόχος σ' αυτη τη θέση. Αν δεν μπορούμε να επιτεθούμε, τρέχουμε.
 
 31: Bar/24 Bar/22 
Pip=173-121
1.played3-plyBar/24 Bar/22eq: -0.508
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:6.67% B:0.27%)
65.48% (G:24.13% B:0.71%)
 
 43: 18/14 13/10 
Pip=169-121
1.playedXG Roller++18/14 13/10eq: +0.442
Player:
Opponent:		65.26% (G:19.09% B:0.45%)
34.74% (G:6.03% B:0.21%)
2.XG Roller++10/3* eq: +0.401 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		60.48% (G:24.92% B:1.18%)
39.52% (G:9.87% B:0.40%)
3.XG Roller++18/14 6/3* eq: +0.386 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		60.89% (G:22.82% B:1.15%)
39.11% (G:9.93% B:0.47%)
4.XG Roller++18/15 10/6eq: +0.383 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		61.92% (G:20.53% B:0.74%)
38.08% (G:7.65% B:0.29%)
5.XG Roller++18/11eq: +0.371 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		61.52% (G:20.35% B:0.82%)
38.48% (G:8.52% B:0.32%)

Ομολογώ ότι θα σκεφτόμουν σοβαρά το χτύπημα στο 3, αλλά αν ο αντίπαλος χτυπήσει κι αυτός, η ζημιά είναι σημαντική, λόγω του blot στο bar και του καθόλου άσχημου απέναντι board.
 
 65: 22/11*  
Pip=169-114
1.played3-ply22/11* eq: -0.238
Player:
Opponent:		41.38% (G:9.93% B:0.30%)
58.62% (G:15.27% B:0.48%)
2.3-ply24/13eq: -0.569 (-0.331)
Player:
Opponent:		27.41% (G:3.79% B:0.12%)
72.59% (G:15.34% B:0.23%)
3.3-ply13/8 13/7eq: -0.635 (-0.397)
Player:
Opponent:		29.19% (G:4.57% B:0.18%)
70.81% (G:24.02% B:0.72%)
4.3-ply22/16 8/3eq: -0.693 (-0.455)
Player:
Opponent:		29.54% (G:4.78% B:0.21%)
70.46% (G:29.33% B:1.08%)
5.3-ply8/3 8/2eq: -0.714 (-0.476)
Player:
Opponent:		28.98% (G:5.29% B:0.21%)
71.02% (G:30.01% B:1.13%)
 
 43: Bar/18 
Pip=158-125
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/18eq: +0.272
Player:
Opponent:		59.83% (G:15.57% B:0.53%)
40.17% (G:9.41% B:0.36%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/2eq: +0.207 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		56.63% (G:16.85% B:0.55%)
43.37% (G:11.43% B:0.43%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 6/3eq: +0.172 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		56.18% (G:14.88% B:0.54%)
43.82% (G:12.44% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/10eq: +0.125 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		53.90% (G:14.90% B:0.55%)
46.10% (G:11.41% B:0.37%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 10/6eq: +0.116 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		51.79% (G:18.38% B:0.93%)
48.21% (G:13.57% B:0.57%)
 
 42: 24/22 11/7*  
Pip=158-118
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 11/7* eq: -0.231
Player:
Opponent:		42.15% (G:10.74% B:0.46%)
57.85% (G:16.75% B:0.53%)
2.XG Roller++11/7* 7/5eq: -0.264 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		39.29% (G:9.81% B:0.31%)
60.71% (G:13.84% B:0.40%)
3.XG Roller++11/7* 6/4eq: -0.311 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		42.66% (G:10.59% B:0.43%)
57.34% (G:23.91% B:1.05%)
4.XG Roller++13/7* eq: -0.333 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		40.74% (G:9.92% B:0.43%)
59.26% (G:21.82% B:1.13%)
5.XG Roller++11/7* 5/3eq: -0.361 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		39.98% (G:9.24% B:0.35%)
60.02% (G:22.76% B:0.98%)

Ο επιπλεόν builder στο bar είναι σημαντικός. Επίσης το 24/22 προετοιμάζει είτε δραπέτευση είτε τη δεύτερη καλή anchor σε περίπτωση που χτυπηθεί το πούλι στο bar.
 
 63: Bar/16 
Pip=152-125
1.played3-plyBar/16eq: +0.355
Player:
Opponent:		64.85% (G:12.50% B:0.38%)
35.15% (G:6.59% B:0.24%)
2.3-plyBar/22 8/2eq: -0.103 (-0.458)
Player:
Opponent:		45.00% (G:15.08% B:0.55%)
55.00% (G:17.97% B:0.74%)
3.3-plyBar/22 13/7eq: -0.150 (-0.505)
Player:
Opponent:		43.49% (G:14.40% B:0.82%)
56.51% (G:19.57% B:1.11%)
 
 32: 7/4 6/4 
Pip=152-116
1.playedXG Roller++7/4 6/4eq: -0.402
Player:
Opponent:		31.87% (G:5.18% B:0.14%)
68.13% (G:10.23% B:0.22%)
2.XG Roller++6/3 5/3eq: -0.424 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		31.44% (G:4.95% B:0.15%)
68.56% (G:11.18% B:0.26%)
3.XG Roller++6/4 6/3eq: -0.454 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		30.89% (G:4.87% B:0.15%)
69.11% (G:12.48% B:0.33%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 5/3eq: -0.468 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		30.06% (G:4.60% B:0.11%)
69.94% (G:12.07% B:0.27%)
5.XG Roller++6/4 5/2eq: -0.475 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		30.08% (G:4.92% B:0.13%)
69.92% (G:12.76% B:0.37%)
 
 21: 16/13 
Pip=147-116
1.played4-ply16/13eq: +0.456
Player:
Opponent:		71.29% (G:8.17% B:0.15%)
28.71% (G:3.39% B:0.09%)
2.4-ply16/14 6/5eq: +0.237 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		62.13% (G:8.22% B:0.22%)
37.87% (G:8.14% B:0.23%)
3.4-ply6/3* eq: +0.178 (-0.278)
Player:
Opponent:		58.87% (G:10.32% B:0.27%)
41.13% (G:11.77% B:0.38%)
4.3-ply16/14 2/1eq: +0.128 (-0.327)
Player:
Opponent:		57.33% (G:9.02% B:0.19%)
42.67% (G:10.86% B:0.27%)
5.3-ply13/10eq: -0.013 (-0.469)
Player:
Opponent:		51.00% (G:9.74% B:0.34%)
49.00% (G:13.58% B:0.45%)
 
 65: 22/11 
Pip=147-113
1.playedXG Roller++22/11eq: -0.427
Player:
Opponent:		27.62% (G:2.41% B:0.05%)
72.38% (G:3.63% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: -0.455 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		28.49% (G:3.66% B:0.10%)
71.51% (G:7.92% B:0.16%)
3.XG Roller++22/16 8/3eq: -0.461 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		28.69% (G:4.07% B:0.11%)
71.31% (G:8.65% B:0.39%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 8/2eq: -0.464 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		29.01% (G:4.10% B:0.09%)
70.99% (G:9.75% B:0.22%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 8/3eq: -0.513 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		29.42% (G:5.15% B:0.18%)
70.58% (G:14.89% B:0.46%)
 
 53: 13/8 6/3 
Pip=136-113
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 6/3eq: +0.406
Player:
Opponent:		71.32% (G:3.93% B:0.12%)
28.68% (G:2.96% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++13/5eq: +0.401 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		70.99% (G:4.13% B:0.12%)
29.01% (G:3.08% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 6/1eq: +0.363 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		69.57% (G:3.73% B:0.10%)
30.43% (G:3.37% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++6/3 6/1eq: +0.353 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		69.15% (G:3.68% B:0.10%)
30.85% (G:3.38% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++8/5 8/3eq: +0.326 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		67.58% (G:4.28% B:0.12%)
32.42% (G:3.43% B:0.06%)
 
 62: 11/3 
Pip=136-105
1.playedXG Roller++11/3eq: -0.417
Player:
Opponent:		28.19% (G:2.94% B:0.07%)
71.81% (G:4.03% B:0.10%)
2.XG Roller++11/9 8/2eq: -0.435 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		27.90% (G:3.34% B:0.10%)
72.10% (G:5.05% B:0.26%)
3.XG Roller++8/2 5/3eq: -0.439 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		28.01% (G:3.32% B:0.08%)
71.99% (G:5.35% B:0.41%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: -0.439 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		27.58% (G:3.07% B:0.08%)
72.42% (G:4.72% B:0.25%)
5.XG Roller++11/5 6/4eq: -0.440 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		27.29% (G:2.53% B:0.05%)
72.71% (G:4.17% B:0.10%)
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=128-105
1.xgXG Roller++8/5 2/1eq: +0.351
Player:
Opponent:		69.14% (G:3.47% B:0.08%)
30.86% (G:3.20% B:0.08%)
2.XG Roller++6/3 2/1eq: +0.336 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		68.56% (G:3.32% B:0.09%)
31.44% (G:3.44% B:0.07%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +0.322 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		67.72% (G:3.78% B:0.11%)
32.28% (G:3.81% B:0.09%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 3/2eq: +0.319 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		67.85% (G:3.18% B:0.07%)
32.15% (G:3.50% B:0.07%)
5.XG Roller++6/2eq: +0.302 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		67.24% (G:3.05% B:0.08%)
32.76% (G:3.79% B:0.06%)
 
 33: 8/2 6/3 5/2 
Pip=128-101
1.playedXG Roller++8/2 6/3 5/2eq: -0.265
Player:
Opponent:		34.16% (G:3.91% B:0.10%)
65.84% (G:2.70% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++21/18(2) 6/3 5/2eq: -0.312 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		31.97% (G:2.17% B:0.04%)
68.03% (G:1.90% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++8/2(2)eq: -0.314 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		32.58% (G:3.71% B:0.07%)
67.42% (G:3.81% B:0.13%)
4.XG Roller++21/18(2) 8/2eq: -0.317 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		31.82% (G:2.20% B:0.05%)
68.18% (G:1.94% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++21/18(2) 8/5 6/3eq: -0.317 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		31.65% (G:2.05% B:0.05%)
68.35% (G:1.72% B:0.04%)

Ένα συχνό λάθος που κάνουν αρκετοί παίκτες. Αν έχουμε την 20 ή την 21 δεν ανεβαίνουμε στο bar, όταν είμαστε πίσω στην κούρσα. Ο έλεγχος του αντιπάλου είναι πάντα καλύτερος, ακόμα και αν δεν βλέπουμε άμεσα την midpoint του. Εδώ υπάρχει επίσης η πόρτα 10 η οποία ενισχύει αυτή την άποψη.
 
 53: 13/10 13/8 
Pip=116-101
1.played4-ply13/10 13/8eq: +0.441
Player:
Opponent:		73.84% (G:1.67% B:0.02%)
26.16% (G:1.00% B:0.01%)
2.4-ply8/5 8/3eq: +0.197 (-0.245)
Player:
Opponent:		62.67% (G:2.65% B:0.05%)
37.33% (G:3.52% B:0.04%)
3.3-ply6/3 6/1eq: +0.106 (-0.336)
Player:
Opponent:		58.67% (G:2.94% B:0.03%)
41.33% (G:5.89% B:0.08%)
4.3-ply10/7 10/5eq: -0.016 (-0.458)
Player:
Opponent:		53.79% (G:3.36% B:0.11%)
46.21% (G:9.94% B:0.18%)
5.3-ply8/3 5/2eq: -0.119 (-0.561)
Player:
Opponent:		49.02% (G:4.16% B:0.09%)
50.98% (G:12.09% B:0.18%)
 
 64: 13/9 13/7 
Pip=116-93
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/7eq: -0.439
Player:
Opponent:		26.46% (G:1.12% B:0.02%)
73.54% (G:1.77% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 8/4eq: -0.439 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		26.42% (G:1.13% B:0.02%)
73.58% (G:1.78% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++13/3eq: -0.447 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		26.09% (G:1.13% B:0.01%)
73.91% (G:1.89% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 5/1eq: -0.448 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		26.14% (G:1.12% B:0.02%)
73.86% (G:1.99% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++13/9 8/2eq: -0.448 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		26.06% (G:1.11% B:0.01%)
73.94% (G:1.89% B:0.02%)
 
 64: 10/6 8/2 
Pip=106-93
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 8/2eq: +0.424
Player:
Opponent:		72.71% (G:1.72% B:0.02%)
27.29% (G:1.65% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 5/1eq: +0.403 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		71.85% (G:1.83% B:0.02%)
28.15% (G:1.73% B:0.04%)
3.3-ply8/2 6/2eq: -0.201 (-0.625)
Player:
Opponent:		46.76% (G:1.41% B:0.03%)
53.24% (G:11.44% B:0.12%)
 
 43: 9/6 8/4 
Pip=106-83
1.playedXG Roller++9/6 8/4eq: -0.435
Player:
Opponent:		26.63% (G:1.66% B:0.03%)
73.37% (G:1.73% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++8/1eq: -0.435 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		26.91% (G:1.74% B:0.04%)
73.09% (G:2.08% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++9/5 7/4eq: -0.442 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		26.39% (G:1.57% B:0.03%)
73.61% (G:1.90% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 8/5eq: -0.442 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		26.39% (G:1.67% B:0.04%)
73.61% (G:1.96% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++9/6 7/3eq: -0.445 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		26.21% (G:1.60% B:0.04%)
73.79% (G:1.88% B:0.02%)
 
 53: 8/5 8/3 
Pip=99-83
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 8/3eq: +0.448
Player:
Opponent:		73.53% (G:1.67% B:0.02%)
26.47% (G:0.86% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++6/1 5/2eq: +0.350 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		69.54% (G:1.43% B:0.01%)
30.46% (G:2.25% B:0.06%)
3.4-ply10/7 10/5eq: +0.130 (-0.318)
Player:
Opponent:		59.53% (G:1.61% B:0.03%)
40.47% (G:3.30% B:0.05%)
4.3-ply10/5 6/3eq: -0.014 (-0.462)
Player:
Opponent:		52.77% (G:1.99% B:0.04%)
47.23% (G:3.60% B:0.06%)
5.3-ply8/3 5/2eq: -0.017 (-0.465)
Player:
Opponent:		53.05% (G:2.26% B:0.06%)
46.95% (G:4.58% B:0.06%)
 
 54: 7/3 6/1 
Pip=99-75
1.playedXG Roller++7/3 6/1eq: -0.452
Player:
Opponent:		26.15% (G:0.87% B:0.01%)
73.85% (G:1.83% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++7/2 6/2eq: -0.470 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		25.08% (G:0.64% B:0.01%)
74.92% (G:1.88% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 5/1eq: -0.497 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		24.31% (G:0.53% B:0.01%)
75.69% (G:2.27% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++6/2 6/1eq: -0.516 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		23.66% (G:0.54% B:0.01%)
76.34% (G:2.87% B:0.08%)
5.XG Roller++7/2 5/1eq: -0.529 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		22.99% (G:0.61% B:0.01%)
77.01% (G:2.81% B:0.07%)
 
 54: 10/6 10/5 
Pip=90-75
1.played4-ply10/6 10/5eq: +0.774
Player:
Opponent:		89.04% (G:0.98% B:0.01%)
10.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 5/1eq: +0.481 (-0.293)
Player:
Opponent:		75.18% (G:1.97% B:0.02%)
24.82% (G:0.62% B:0.01%)
3.2-ply10/1eq: +0.049 (-0.725)
Player:
Opponent:		54.77% (G:3.32% B:0.04%)
45.23% (G:1.93% B:0.06%)
4.2-ply10/5 6/2eq: +0.004 (-0.770)
Player:
Opponent:		53.36% (G:2.17% B:0.03%)
46.64% (G:2.32% B:0.05%)
5.2-ply6/2 6/1eq: -0.082 (-0.856)
Player:
Opponent:		50.65% (G:1.86% B:0.03%)
49.35% (G:6.07% B:0.07%)
 
 61: 21/14 
Pip=90-66
1.playedXG Roller++21/14eq: -0.829
Player:
Opponent:		8.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.53% (G:1.12% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++21/15 3/2eq: -0.837 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		8.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.77% (G:1.33% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++21/15 2/1eq: -0.841 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		8.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.88% (G:1.46% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++21/15 4/3eq: -0.843 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		8.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.98% (G:1.45% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++21/15 6/5eq: -0.844 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		8.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.94% (G:1.62% B:0.02%)
 
 43: 5/1 3/Off 
Pip=83-66
1.playedXG Roller++5/1 3/Offeq: +0.774
Player:
Opponent:		89.60% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
10.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/2 3/Offeq: +0.758 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		88.81% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
11.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/3 5/1eq: +0.758 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		88.82% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
11.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++5/2 5/1eq: +0.742 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		88.05% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
11.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/2 5/2eq: +0.728 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		87.40% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)
12.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 14/11 
Pip=83-59
1.playedXG Roller++14/11eq: -0.881
Player:
Opponent:		5.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.37% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++14/12 6/5eq: -0.887 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		5.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.50% (G:0.53% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++14/12 3/2eq: -0.890 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		5.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.72% (G:0.41% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++14/12 2/1eq: -0.892 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		5.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.79% (G:0.46% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++14/13 3/1eq: -0.894 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		5.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.89% (G:0.47% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 5/Off 2/Off 
Pip=80-59
1.playedXG Roller++5/Off 2/Offeq: +0.897
Player:
Opponent:		95.19% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
4.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/3 5/Offeq: +0.872 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		93.94% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
6.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 2/Offeq: +0.865 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		93.71% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
6.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++5/Off 3/1eq: +0.855 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		93.24% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
6.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/1 5/3eq: +0.849 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		92.84% (G:0.41% B:0.00%)
7.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 21/17 11/5 
Pip=80-52
1.playedXG Roller++21/17 11/5eq: -0.888
Player:
Opponent:		5.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.84% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++21/11eq: -0.892 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		4.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.02% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++21/15 11/7eq: -0.895 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		4.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.16% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++21/15 6/2eq: -0.915 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		3.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.08% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/5 6/2eq: -0.918 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		3.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.05% (G:0.30% B:0.01%)

Η βολή, αν έρθει, θα έρθει τόσο αργά που πιο πολλές πιθανότητες έχω να κερδίσω με κούρσα παρά με χτύπημα.
 
 31: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=70-52
1.playedXG Roller++3/Off 1/Offeq: +0.826
Player:
Opponent:		91.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
8.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++5/4 3/Offeq: +0.825 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		91.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
8.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/3 1/Offeq: +0.820 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		91.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
8.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/3 5/4eq: +0.819 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		91.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
8.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++5/2 1/Offeq: +0.799 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		90.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
9.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 17/10 
Pip=70-48
1.playedXG Roller++17/10eq: -0.861
Player:
Opponent:		6.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++17/11 6/5eq: -0.868 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		6.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++17/11 5/4eq: -0.874 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		5.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++17/11 3/2eq: -0.875 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		5.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++17/11 2/1eq: -0.877 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		5.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 5/4 2/Off 
Pip=63-48
1.playedXG Roller++5/4 2/Offeq: +0.759
Player:
Opponent:		88.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
11.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/4 5/4eq: +0.745 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		88.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
11.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++2/1 2/Offeq: +0.740 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		87.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
12.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++5/4 5/3eq: +0.740 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		87.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
12.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/5 2/Offeq: +0.738 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		87.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
12.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 10/6 3/Off 
Pip=63-45
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 3/Offeq: -0.790
Player:
Opponent:		9.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/3eq: -0.843 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		7.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 5/2eq: -0.855 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		6.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/6 4/1eq: -0.855 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		6.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7 6/2eq: -0.872 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		5.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 5/Off 4/Off 
Pip=56-45
1.played4-ply5/Off 4/Offeq: +0.839
Player:
Opponent:		92.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
7.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 5/Offeq: +0.832 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		92.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
7.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/1 5/Offeq: +0.830 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		92.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
7.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/1 4/Offeq: +0.818 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		91.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
8.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/2 6/1eq: +0.806 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		91.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
8.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 4/Off 3/Off 
Pip=56-36
1.played4-ply4/Off 3/Offeq: -0.874
Player:
Opponent:		5.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/3 4/Offeq: -0.912 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		4.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/2 3/Offeq: -0.915 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		3.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/2 4/Offeq: -0.922 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		3.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply5/1 3/Offeq: -0.922 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		3.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 6/Off 5/1 
Pip=49-36
1.played4-ply6/Off 5/1eq: +0.925
Player:
Opponent:		96.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 6/Offeq: +0.923 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		96.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 5/Off 2/Off 
Pip=49-26
1.played4-ply5/Off 2/Offeq: -0.941
Player:
Opponent:		2.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 5/Offeq: -0.972 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		1.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/1 2/Offeq: -0.974 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		1.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/3 5/Offeq: -0.975 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		1.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply5/Off 4/2eq: -0.976 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		1.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 6/2 6/Off 
Pip=42-26
1.played4-ply6/2 6/Offeq: +0.966
Player:
Opponent:		98.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off 5/1eq: +0.949 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		97.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 6/Off 5/Off 
Pip=42-16
1.played4-ply6/Off 5/Offeq: -0.962
Player:
Opponent:		1.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 6/Offeq: -0.991 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		0.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 6/Off 5/Off 
Pip=31-16
1.played4-ply6/Off 5/Offeq: +0.996
Player:
Opponent:		99.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 5/Offeq: +0.996
Player:
Opponent:		99.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 5/Off 4/Off 
Pip=31-5
1.played4-ply5/Off 4/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 4/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/2 5/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/2 6/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/1 5/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=22-5
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 6/3 6/2 
Pip=22-1
1.xg4-ply4/Off 3/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 3/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/3 4/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/2 4/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.played4-ply6/3 6/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 1/Off 
Pip=15-1
1.played3-ply1/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Single Game 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
World Champ. (-0.0041) Total Error World Class (-0.0053)
World Champ. (-0.0004) Checker Play World Class (-0.0058)
Distracted (-0.0825) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
2.05 Performance Rating 2.65
0 Move Errors 3
-0.008(-0.04%) Equity lost (cost) -0.133(-1.13%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1(1) Take Errors 0
-0.082(-0.43%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1(1) Total Error 3
-0.090(-0.48%) Equity lost (cost) -0.133(-1.13%)
     
1 Jokers 2
-1.510(-11.55%) Luck +1.510(+11.55%)

 Game 7

13 point match, Score is mman: 9, Iskandar: 7

 
 64: 8/2 6/2 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/2 6/2eq: +0.035
Player:
Opponent:		49.91% (G:15.94% B:0.83%)
50.09% (G:14.50% B:1.20%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.033...+0.036) - [100.0%]
2.Book124/18 13/9eq: +0.027 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		50.44% (G:13.78% B:0.65%)
49.56% (G:14.01% B:1.16%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.025...+0.028) - [0.0%]
3.Book124/14eq: +0.015 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		50.59% (G:12.36% B:0.58%)
49.41% (G:13.45% B:0.95%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.014...+0.017) - [0.0%]
4.Book224/20 13/7eq: -0.048 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		48.23% (G:13.10% B:0.56%)
51.77% (G:13.94% B:0.63%)
5.Book213/9 13/7eq: -0.053 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		47.81% (G:13.93% B:0.63%)
52.19% (G:14.61% B:0.90%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 31-Jul-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
186624 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

Ωραίο παίξιμο. Ο Μίμης χρειάζεται περισσότερο τα διπλά.
 
 62: 13/5 
Pip=167-157
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: -0.214
Player:
Opponent:		46.64% (G:12.58% B:0.52%)
53.36% (G:16.78% B:0.99%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/11eq: -0.217 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		47.35% (G:11.71% B:0.60%)
52.65% (G:18.86% B:0.78%)
3.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.253 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		46.35% (G:10.15% B:0.44%)
53.65% (G:17.77% B:0.66%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 13/7eq: -0.267 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		46.07% (G:12.69% B:0.58%)
53.93% (G:18.28% B:1.40%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 13/7eq: -0.280 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		45.53% (G:11.82% B:0.55%)
54.47% (G:18.84% B:0.89%)

Επίσης καλό παίξιμο. Λόγω της επιπλέον πόρτας και της μερικής δέσμευσης του αντιπάλου σε attacking game, το λύσιμο της πόρτας 24 είναι λιγότερο ελκυστικό από άλλες θέσεις.
 
 51: 13/8 6/5 
Pip=159-157
1.xgXG Roller++24/23 13/8eq: -0.065
Player:
Opponent:		47.71% (G:14.28% B:0.59%)
52.29% (G:15.35% B:0.61%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.142 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		46.09% (G:13.76% B:0.64%)
53.91% (G:16.30% B:0.86%)
3.XG Roller++24/18eq: -0.151 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		46.67% (G:12.39% B:0.57%)
53.33% (G:17.03% B:0.61%)
4.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.174 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		45.16% (G:13.74% B:0.72%)
54.84% (G:16.96% B:0.93%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.347 (-0.282)
Player:
Opponent:		42.04% (G:12.60% B:0.74%)
57.96% (G:21.68% B:1.28%)

Το 24/23 θα με πίεζε να κλείσω οπωσδήποτε το slot, τη στιγμή που ο Μίμης έχει καλύτερο στρατόπεδο. Αντίθετα, το 6/5 δεν ντουμπλάρει τίποτα: άσσοι και τριάρια κλείνουν, τεσσάρια χτυπάνε.
 
 32: 13/11 8/5 
Pip=159-151
1.xgXG Roller++8/5 6/4eq: +0.063
Player:
Opponent:		52.46% (G:17.23% B:0.83%)
47.54% (G:15.67% B:1.05%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 8/5eq: +0.035 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		51.67% (G:15.80% B:0.78%)
48.33% (G:15.40% B:0.57%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: -0.013 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		50.61% (G:16.29% B:0.78%)
49.39% (G:15.78% B:0.97%)
4.4-ply6/3 5/3eq: -0.216 (-0.279)
Player:
Opponent:		46.37% (G:13.29% B:0.68%)
53.63% (G:17.18% B:0.97%)
5.4-ply8/6 8/5eq: -0.234 (-0.296)
Player:
Opponent:		45.77% (G:14.20% B:0.66%)
54.23% (G:17.39% B:1.06%)

Ομολογώ πως ούτε καν το εξέτασα. Το 6/4 σλοτάρει την επόμενη καλύτερη εσωτερική πόρτα και αφήνει μία ντουμπλαρισμένη βολή (τα τριάρια που με χτυπάνε, κλείνουν τη δική του 5) ενώ την ίδια στιγμή ξεφορτώνει την πόρτα 6 μου.
Γενικά, τέτοια ρίσκα είναι καλό να παίρνονται στην αρχή της παρτίδας, όταν τα στρατόπεδα δεν είναι ακόμα πολύ ισχυρά και τα χτυπήματα δεν είναι τόσο καταστροφικά.
 
 51: 13/8 6/5 
Pip=154-151
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.027
Player:
Opponent:		48.37% (G:15.41% B:0.84%)
51.63% (G:16.67% B:0.77%)
2.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: -0.172 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		45.41% (G:14.56% B:0.79%)
54.59% (G:18.63% B:1.22%)
3.3-ply24/23 13/8eq: -0.374 (-0.347)
Player:
Opponent:		41.41% (G:11.81% B:0.61%)
58.59% (G:21.07% B:1.11%)
4.3-ply13/8 5/4eq: -0.446 (-0.419)
Player:
Opponent:		39.34% (G:11.26% B:0.57%)
60.66% (G:19.65% B:1.24%)
5.3-ply24/18eq: -0.468 (-0.441)
Player:
Opponent:		40.30% (G:11.21% B:0.74%)
59.70% (G:25.13% B:1.37%)
 
 21: 13/11 6/5 
Pip=154-145
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.036
Player:
Opponent:		49.93% (G:16.70% B:0.71%)
50.07% (G:16.36% B:1.07%)
2.XG Roller++11/9 6/5eq: -0.098 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		48.69% (G:16.19% B:0.67%)
51.31% (G:16.81% B:1.15%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 6/5eq: -0.139 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		48.50% (G:15.42% B:0.73%)
51.50% (G:18.77% B:0.90%)
4.XG Roller++11/8eq: -0.160 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		47.33% (G:14.90% B:0.62%)
52.67% (G:17.08% B:0.98%)
5.4-ply6/5 6/4eq: -0.205 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		47.95% (G:14.14% B:0.64%)
52.05% (G:18.88% B:1.73%)
 
 66: 24/18(2) 13/7(2) 
Pip=151-145
1.played3-ply24/18(2) 13/7(2)eq: +0.820
Player:
Opponent:		66.88% (G:18.60% B:1.01%)
33.12% (G:6.83% B:0.20%)
2.3-ply24/18(2) 13/7 8/2eq: +0.233 (-0.587)
Player:
Opponent:		54.51% (G:15.33% B:0.75%)
45.49% (G:11.25% B:0.41%)
3.3-ply24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.177 (-0.644)
Player:
Opponent:		52.25% (G:17.76% B:1.51%)
47.75% (G:13.65% B:0.47%)
4.2-ply24/18(2) 8/2(2)eq: +0.091 (-0.729)
Player:
Opponent:		51.57% (G:13.40% B:0.67%)
48.43% (G:12.86% B:0.34%)
5.2-ply24/18 13/7(2) 8/2eq: -0.122 (-0.942)
Player:
Opponent:		45.71% (G:14.99% B:1.30%)
54.29% (G:17.90% B:0.90%)
 
 54: 6/1 5/1 
Pip=151-121
1.playedXG Roller++6/1 5/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.79% (G:6.05% B:0.13%)
70.21% (G:18.64% B:0.98%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/4 8/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.47% (G:6.33% B:0.19%)
70.53% (G:18.33% B:1.15%)
3.XG Roller++8/3 6/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		29.25% (G:6.24% B:0.18%)
70.75% (G:20.49% B:1.65%)
4.XG Roller++11/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		28.24% (G:5.33% B:0.15%)
71.76% (G:20.12% B:1.65%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 6/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		27.94% (G:5.77% B:0.15%)
72.06% (G:20.82% B:1.59%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=142-121
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 69.95% (G:18.71% B:0.99%) 70.79% (G:18.46% B:1.06%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.05% (G:6.13% B:0.14%) 29.21% (G:6.11% B:0.13%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.543 +1.183
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.886 (-0.114)
played Double/Take:+1.045 (+0.045)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Θεώρησα ότι το ασυνεχές στρατόπεδό του με τις τρύπες στο 3 και στο 4, σε συνδυασμό με την πόρτα του στο bar μου αρκούν για το take, αλλά τα αρκετά διπλά του, οι γυμνές πόρτες μου στο outfield που σύντομα θα χαλάσουν αν δεν ελευθερώσω πούλι, και η πόρτα μου στον άσο, συνηγορούν υπέρ του πάσου, σε συνδυασμό, φυσικά και με το προβάδισμά μου στο σκορ.
(Τέλος, εδώ θα μπορούσε να είχε κλίνει τη ζυγαριά υπέρ του πάσου και η διαφορά δυναμικότητας.)
 
 21: 13/11 8/7 
Pip=142-121
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/7eq: +0.547
Player:
Opponent:		71.69% (G:20.47% B:0.96%)
28.31% (G:5.80% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller++8/7 8/6eq: +0.521 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		70.71% (G:20.40% B:1.08%)
29.29% (G:6.70% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++8/5eq: +0.494 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		69.90% (G:19.84% B:1.05%)
30.10% (G:7.00% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: +0.472 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		69.66% (G:18.52% B:0.99%)
30.34% (G:6.88% B:0.16%)
5.4-ply7/6 7/5eq: +0.259 (-0.288)
Player:
Opponent:		62.03% (G:17.02% B:0.80%)
37.97% (G:8.78% B:0.20%)
 
 63: 24/15 
Pip=142-118
1.playedXG Roller++24/15eq: -0.506
Player:
Opponent:		31.13% (G:6.30% B:0.17%)
68.87% (G:23.85% B:0.55%)
2.XG Roller++11/8 11/5eq: -0.570 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		26.03% (G:5.30% B:0.09%)
73.97% (G:17.56% B:0.82%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 11/5eq: -0.636 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		28.65% (G:7.33% B:0.20%)
71.35% (G:29.18% B:1.33%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 8/2eq: -0.637 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		24.78% (G:4.91% B:0.08%)
75.22% (G:20.32% B:1.11%)
5.XG Roller++11/5 6/3eq: -0.641 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		24.97% (G:5.06% B:0.11%)
75.03% (G:20.36% B:1.61%)
 
 21: 11/10* 8/6 
Pip=133-118
1.playedXG Roller++11/10* 8/6eq: +0.633
Player:
Opponent:		71.93% (G:27.85% B:0.97%)
28.07% (G:5.92% B:0.18%)
2.XG Roller++11/10* 7/5eq: +0.573 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		70.31% (G:26.19% B:0.97%)
29.69% (G:6.57% B:0.20%)
3.XG Roller++11/10* 10/8eq: +0.495 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		68.02% (G:24.55% B:0.73%)
31.98% (G:6.64% B:0.18%)
4.4-ply18/16 11/10* eq: +0.341 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		62.92% (G:23.40% B:1.47%)
37.08% (G:13.57% B:0.50%)
5.4-ply11/9 7/6eq: +0.318 (-0.315)
Player:
Opponent:		64.54% (G:16.47% B:0.25%)
35.46% (G:5.59% B:0.12%)
 
 31: Bar/24 6/3 
Pip=143-115
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 11/8eq: -0.632
Player:
Opponent:		24.81% (G:5.08% B:0.12%)
75.19% (G:19.64% B:1.33%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: -0.653 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		24.31% (G:4.94% B:0.11%)
75.69% (G:20.52% B:1.29%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/5eq: -0.695 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		24.31% (G:5.17% B:0.14%)
75.69% (G:23.30% B:1.89%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/5eq: -0.706 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		27.58% (G:6.25% B:0.18%)
72.42% (G:33.77% B:0.87%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 5/2eq: -0.716 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		22.19% (G:4.26% B:0.08%)
77.81% (G:21.11% B:1.40%)
 
 43: 8/4 7/4 
Pip=139-115
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 7/4eq: +0.784
Player:
Opponent:		79.94% (G:22.33% B:1.48%)
20.06% (G:3.77% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++7/3 6/3eq: +0.698 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		77.06% (G:21.26% B:1.40%)
22.94% (G:4.64% B:0.14%)
3.4-ply10/3eq: +0.529 (-0.255)
Player:
Opponent:		70.47% (G:21.56% B:1.30%)
29.53% (G:6.98% B:0.16%)
4.4-ply10/6 8/5eq: +0.510 (-0.274)
Player:
Opponent:		71.14% (G:18.48% B:0.94%)
28.86% (G:5.66% B:0.14%)
5.4-ply10/6 7/4eq: +0.492 (-0.292)
Player:
Opponent:		69.12% (G:21.36% B:1.36%)
30.88% (G:7.77% B:0.19%)
 
 31: 5/2 3/2 
Pip=139-108
1.playedXG Roller++5/2 3/2eq: -0.796
Player:
Opponent:		19.33% (G:3.34% B:0.07%)
80.67% (G:21.71% B:1.42%)
2.XG Roller++6/5 6/3eq: -0.830 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		17.89% (G:2.56% B:0.06%)
82.11% (G:21.40% B:1.41%)
3.XG Roller++6/3 5/4eq: -0.831 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		17.62% (G:2.79% B:0.08%)
82.38% (G:21.01% B:1.42%)
4.XG Roller++11/10 11/8eq: -0.848 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		19.30% (G:3.36% B:0.10%)
80.70% (G:25.06% B:2.13%)
5.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.850 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		20.52% (G:3.51% B:0.10%)
79.48% (G:27.21% B:2.55%)
 
 61: 10/3 
Pip=135-108
1.xgXG Roller++10/4 8/7eq: +0.793
Player:
Opponent:		80.88% (G:20.80% B:1.45%)
19.12% (G:2.93% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++10/3eq: +0.774 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		79.16% (G:23.82% B:1.42%)
20.84% (G:5.49% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller++10/4 6/5eq: +0.751 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		78.95% (G:21.61% B:1.53%)
21.05% (G:4.28% B:0.14%)
4.XG Roller++10/9 8/2eq: +0.697 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		76.72% (G:21.83% B:1.40%)
23.28% (G:4.43% B:0.13%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 6/5eq: +0.661 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		75.66% (G:20.95% B:1.46%)
24.34% (G:4.71% B:0.13%)
 
 52: 24/22* 22/17*  
Pip=135-101
1.played3-ply24/22* 22/17* eq: -0.229
Player:
Opponent:		41.44% (G:17.96% B:0.26%)
58.56% (G:24.58% B:1.52%)
2.3-ply24/22* 11/6eq: -0.848 (-0.619)
Player:
Opponent:		27.42% (G:9.67% B:0.24%)
72.58% (G:40.49% B:4.71%)
3.3-ply13/11 13/8eq: -0.860 (-0.631)
Player:
Opponent:		13.83% (G:1.88% B:0.10%)
86.17% (G:16.17% B:0.78%)
4.2-ply8/6 8/3eq: -0.900 (-0.671)
Player:
Opponent:		15.84% (G:2.26% B:0.05%)
84.16% (G:23.10% B:1.42%)
5.2-ply24/22* 13/8eq: -0.904 (-0.675)
Player:
Opponent:		24.74% (G:7.85% B:0.16%)
75.26% (G:39.83% B:4.35%)
 
 53: Bar/22 Bar/20*  
Pip=128-140
1.played3-plyBar/22 Bar/20* eq: +0.809
Player:
Opponent:		74.52% (G:36.77% B:2.05%)
25.48% (G:6.16% B:0.13%)
 
 43: Bar/22 17/13 
Pip=148-132
1.played3-plyBar/22 17/13eq: -0.678
Player:
Opponent:		29.33% (G:7.89% B:0.20%)
70.67% (G:35.67% B:1.20%)
2.2-plyBar/22 6/2eq: -1.364 (-0.686)
Player:
Opponent:		15.59% (G:2.81% B:0.07%)
84.41% (G:56.22% B:6.04%)
3.2-plyBar/22 8/4eq: -1.406 (-0.728)
Player:
Opponent:		18.88% (G:4.52% B:0.15%)
81.12% (G:59.90% B:10.37%)
4.2-plyBar/22 13/9eq: -1.434 (-0.756)
Player:
Opponent:		17.98% (G:3.91% B:0.12%)
82.02% (G:57.99% B:11.47%)
 
 31: 6/3* 3/2 
Pip=141-132
1.playedRollout16/3* 3/2eq: +0.703
Player:
Opponent:		71.31% (G:36.47% B:1.30%)
28.69% (G:8.16% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.693...+0.713) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 56 seconds
2.Rollout122/21 6/3* eq: +0.642 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		69.47% (G:36.21% B:1.53%)
30.53% (G:10.57% B:0.70%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.632...+0.652) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 41 seconds
3.4-ply6/3* 4/3eq: +0.484 (-0.218)
Player:
Opponent:		65.42% (G:30.38% B:1.27%)
34.58% (G:10.78% B:0.28%)
4.4-ply7/3* eq: +0.479 (-0.224)
Player:
Opponent:		64.01% (G:33.78% B:1.21%)
35.99% (G:12.36% B:0.45%)
5.4-ply22/18eq: +0.475 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		66.90% (G:25.77% B:0.86%)
33.10% (G:7.75% B:0.16%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Μάλλον θα το έπαιζα λάθος αυτό. Όμως το στρατόπεδό μου, αν και ξεχαρβαλωμένο, δεν παύει να έχει τρεις πόρτες. Επίσης, μετά από 6/3* 22/21, τα δύο ανοιχτά του επιτρέπουν πέντε πολύ καλά διπλά χτυπήματα (33,34, 36).
Και μετά από όλα αυτά, πάλι θα το έπαιζα λάθος.
 
 41: Bar/24 13/9 
Pip=144-128
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/9eq: -0.808
Player:
Opponent:		25.15% (G:5.50% B:0.14%)
74.85% (G:32.64% B:3.55%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/4eq: -0.906 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		24.06% (G:4.30% B:0.10%)
75.94% (G:36.58% B:4.73%)
3.4-plyBar/24 6/2eq: -1.002 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		17.18% (G:2.21% B:0.03%)
82.82% (G:32.67% B:2.82%)
 
 51: 22/16*  
Pip=139-128
1.played4-ply22/16* eq: +0.810
Player:
Opponent:		75.21% (G:32.28% B:3.34%)
24.79% (G:5.07% B:0.12%)
2.4-ply22/21 20/15eq: +0.556 (-0.254)
Player:
Opponent:		69.22% (G:26.90% B:2.09%)
30.78% (G:10.87% B:0.22%)
3.3-ply22/21 18/13eq: +0.233 (-0.577)
Player:
Opponent:		58.82% (G:23.63% B:2.13%)
41.18% (G:18.95% B:1.30%)
4.2-ply20/15 7/6eq: +0.048 (-0.761)
Player:
Opponent:		52.98% (G:21.77% B:1.84%)
47.02% (G:21.75% B:0.72%)
5.2-ply7/6 7/2eq: +0.000 (-0.809)
Player:
Opponent:		52.20% (G:18.37% B:1.15%)
47.80% (G:17.57% B:0.33%)
 
 63: Bar/16 
Pip=155-122
1.played4-plyBar/16eq: -0.687
Player:
Opponent:		26.58% (G:5.75% B:0.13%)
73.42% (G:27.16% B:2.33%)
2.4-plyBar/22 11/5* eq: -0.887 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		25.94% (G:6.53% B:0.16%)
74.06% (G:38.34% B:5.65%)
3.3-plyBar/22 8/2eq: -1.008 (-0.321)
Player:
Opponent:		19.50% (G:2.92% B:0.06%)
80.50% (G:36.79% B:3.84%)
 
 52: 16/9*  
Pip=146-122
1.played4-ply16/9* eq: +0.858
Player:
Opponent:		76.05% (G:34.04% B:3.65%)
23.95% (G:4.38% B:0.11%)
2.4-ply20/18 16/11eq: +0.601 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		73.11% (G:21.89% B:1.27%)
26.89% (G:5.61% B:0.14%)
3.4-ply18/16 18/13eq: +0.561 (-0.297)
Player:
Opponent:		70.49% (G:24.41% B:1.66%)
29.51% (G:8.43% B:0.17%)
4.4-ply20/13eq: +0.543 (-0.315)
Player:
Opponent:		70.16% (G:23.76% B:1.72%)
29.84% (G:9.29% B:0.18%)
5.3-ply20/15 18/16eq: +0.549 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		70.13% (G:24.23% B:1.79%)
29.87% (G:9.27% B:0.19%)
 
 21: Bar/22 
Pip=155-115
1.played4-plyBar/22eq: -0.776
Player:
Opponent:		25.68% (G:4.65% B:0.10%)
74.32% (G:31.53% B:3.12%)
2.4-plyBar/24 8/6eq: -1.059 (-0.283)
Player:
Opponent:		19.49% (G:2.49% B:0.05%)
80.51% (G:39.33% B:4.89%)
3.4-plyBar/24 13/11eq: -1.064 (-0.287)
Player:
Opponent:		18.20% (G:2.36% B:0.05%)
81.80% (G:37.79% B:4.36%)
4.4-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -1.090 (-0.314)
Player:
Opponent:		17.93% (G:2.04% B:0.04%)
82.07% (G:38.50% B:4.88%)
5.3-plyBar/24 11/9eq: -1.185 (-0.408)
Player:
Opponent:		20.10% (G:2.15% B:0.06%)
79.90% (G:46.94% B:7.64%)
 
 32: 20/18 9/6 
Pip=152-115
1.playedXG Roller++20/18 9/6eq: +0.690
Player:
Opponent:		73.90% (G:26.82% B:1.88%)
26.10% (G:4.92% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++9/4eq: +0.666 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		71.75% (G:28.06% B:2.94%)
28.25% (G:6.27% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller++20/15eq: +0.631 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		71.39% (G:27.84% B:2.09%)
28.61% (G:8.16% B:0.19%)
4.4-ply18/16 9/6eq: +0.464 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		64.61% (G:26.60% B:3.46%)
35.39% (G:11.38% B:0.43%)
5.4-ply18/15 9/7eq: +0.430 (-0.260)
Player:
Opponent:		63.88% (G:26.31% B:2.99%)
36.12% (G:12.21% B:0.46%)
 
 31: 11/10 11/8 
Pip=152-110
1.playedXG Roller++11/10 11/8eq: -0.921
Player:
Opponent:		22.31% (G:3.18% B:0.07%)
77.69% (G:34.98% B:4.04%)
2.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.926 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		25.00% (G:4.46% B:0.11%)
75.00% (G:38.93% B:5.68%)
3.xgXG Roller++6/5 6/3eq: -0.932 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		22.23% (G:4.08% B:0.10%)
77.77% (G:35.87% B:4.14%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.945 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		23.91% (G:3.96% B:0.10%)
76.09% (G:38.42% B:5.42%)
5.XG Roller++6/2eq: -1.018 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		17.77% (G:2.60% B:0.05%)
82.23% (G:34.49% B:3.36%)
 
 43: 18/15* 7/3*  
Pip=148-110
1.xgXG Roller++7/3* 6/3eq: +1.192
Player:
Opponent:		81.95% (G:45.40% B:6.14%)
18.05% (G:1.85% B:0.06%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/15* 7/3* eq: +1.131 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		78.27% (G:47.45% B:6.90%)
21.73% (G:3.75% B:0.13%)
3.4-ply18/15* 15/11eq: +0.999 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		77.38% (G:40.53% B:5.36%)
22.62% (G:2.20% B:0.05%)
4.4-ply18/14 18/15* eq: +0.975 (-0.216)
Player:
Opponent:		76.74% (G:40.04% B:5.36%)
23.26% (G:2.98% B:0.11%)
5.4-ply18/14 6/3* eq: +0.933 (-0.258)
Player:
Opponent:		77.58% (G:36.49% B:4.19%)
22.42% (G:4.77% B:0.13%)

Η πόρτα το 3 παραείναι σημαντική για να χαθεί τέτοια ευκαιρία. Οι πιθανές γκέλες μου θα δώσουν την ευκαιρία στον Μίμη να μαζέψει το blot ή να δραπετεύσει τα πούλια της bar, ή και τα δύο.
 
 63: Bar/22*  
Pip=166-103
1.played3-plyBar/22* eq: -0.772
Player:
Opponent:		28.67% (G:7.16% B:0.25%)
71.33% (G:36.45% B:4.46%)
 
 43: Bar/22 7/3*  
Pip=163-125
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 7/3* eq: +1.009
Player:
Opponent:		76.33% (G:42.99% B:5.89%)
23.67% (G:4.96% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 6/3* eq: +0.996 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		76.22% (G:42.57% B:5.74%)
23.78% (G:5.48% B:0.20%)
3.4-plyBar/21 7/4eq: +0.816 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		72.52% (G:37.20% B:4.56%)
27.48% (G:5.47% B:0.16%)
4.4-plyBar/22 15/11eq: +0.800 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		72.03% (G:36.99% B:4.55%)
27.97% (G:6.11% B:0.18%)
5.4-plyBar/21 18/15eq: +0.771 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		71.91% (G:35.30% B:4.14%)
28.09% (G:6.41% B:0.21%)
 
 55: Cannot Move 
Pip=166-118
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.216
Player:
Opponent:		19.55% (G:2.82% B:0.11%)
80.45% (G:49.33% B:7.26%)
 
 41: 22/21 15/11 
Pip=166-118
1.playedXG Roller++22/21 15/11eq: +1.067
Player:
Opponent:		77.47% (G:44.80% B:6.30%)
22.53% (G:4.29% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++15/10eq: +1.054 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		77.14% (G:44.41% B:6.28%)
22.86% (G:4.33% B:0.15%)
3.XG Roller++15/11 6/5eq: +1.036 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		76.74% (G:43.96% B:6.17%)
23.26% (G:4.61% B:0.15%)
4.XG Roller++18/14 15/14eq: +1.031 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		76.63% (G:43.70% B:6.19%)
23.37% (G:4.51% B:0.15%)
5.XG Roller++22/18 15/14eq: +1.016 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		76.70% (G:42.94% B:5.78%)
23.30% (G:4.63% B:0.13%)
 
 53: Bar/22*  
Pip=166-113
1.played3-plyBar/22* eq: -0.736
Player:
Opponent:		28.96% (G:7.02% B:0.22%)
71.04% (G:34.92% B:3.85%)
 
 42: Bar/21 11/9 
Pip=163-135
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 11/9eq: +0.772
Player:
Opponent:		71.63% (G:35.62% B:4.32%)
28.37% (G:6.22% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 6/4eq: +0.748 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		71.15% (G:35.17% B:4.05%)
28.85% (G:6.39% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 18/16eq: +0.712 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		69.89% (G:34.49% B:4.30%)
30.11% (G:6.98% B:0.21%)
4.3-plyBar/21 5/3* eq: +0.434 (-0.338)
Player:
Opponent:		62.49% (G:29.67% B:3.13%)
37.51% (G:12.60% B:0.46%)
5.2-plyBar/21 4/2eq: +0.045 (-0.726)
Player:
Opponent:		52.61% (G:19.82% B:1.49%)
47.39% (G:14.23% B:0.40%)
 
 43: Bar/22 13/9 
Pip=163-129
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 13/9eq: -0.753
Player:
Opponent:		29.82% (G:3.63% B:0.08%)
70.18% (G:36.33% B:5.34%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0.760 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		28.93% (G:6.87% B:0.19%)
71.07% (G:36.01% B:4.22%)
3.4-plyBar/22 6/2eq: -0.929 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		22.09% (G:2.93% B:0.05%)
77.91% (G:36.70% B:3.65%)
 
 44: 18/10(2) 
Pip=156-129
1.playedXG Roller++18/10(2)eq: +0.563
Player:
Opponent:		67.60% (G:28.46% B:2.84%)
32.40% (G:6.34% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++18/14 18/10 9/5eq: +0.558 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		66.81% (G:29.75% B:2.96%)
33.19% (G:6.55% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++18/6 9/5eq: +0.479 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		64.81% (G:27.59% B:2.64%)
35.19% (G:6.40% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++18/14(2) 9/5 6/2eq: +0.468 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		64.58% (G:27.82% B:2.64%)
35.42% (G:7.15% B:0.20%)
5.XG Roller++18/14 18/6eq: +0.412 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		62.72% (G:26.57% B:2.63%)
37.28% (G:8.22% B:0.22%)
 
 53: 13/8 9/6 
Pip=156-113
1.xgXG Roller++9/6 8/3eq: -0.651
Player:
Opponent:		29.52% (G:4.92% B:0.10%)
70.48% (G:29.67% B:2.94%)
2.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.672 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		30.89% (G:3.91% B:0.09%)
69.11% (G:32.88% B:4.41%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/8 9/6eq: -0.685 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		27.22% (G:4.89% B:0.11%)
72.78% (G:28.58% B:2.31%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 8/3eq: -0.776 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		28.61% (G:2.93% B:0.06%)
71.39% (G:35.75% B:5.06%)
5.4-ply9/1eq: -0.858 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		22.08% (G:2.56% B:0.03%)
77.92% (G:31.52% B:2.72%)

Το 9/6 8/3 ελέγχει το outfield, ελπίζοντας σε κάποια επίθεση εκεί, που θα δώσει την ευκαιρία στα πίσω πούλια μου να αρχίσουν να δραπετεύουν.
 
 41: 10/9 10/6 
Pip=148-113
1.playedXG Roller++10/9 10/6eq: +0.684
Player:
Opponent:		73.26% (G:28.35% B:1.65%)
26.74% (G:5.10% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller++9/4eq: +0.663 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		71.91% (G:28.83% B:2.02%)
28.09% (G:5.35% B:0.15%)
3.XG Roller++9/5 6/5eq: +0.638 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		71.43% (G:27.95% B:1.95%)
28.57% (G:5.70% B:0.17%)
4.XG Roller++21/20 9/5eq: +0.537 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		66.62% (G:29.40% B:2.60%)
33.38% (G:7.59% B:0.16%)
5.4-ply10/9 6/2eq: +0.511 (-0.173)
Player:
Opponent:		68.30% (G:24.55% B:1.38%)
31.70% (G:6.11% B:0.14%)
 
 32: 8/3 
Pip=148-108
1.playedXG Roller++8/3eq: -0.698
Player:
Opponent:		26.59% (G:4.96% B:0.10%)
73.41% (G:28.64% B:2.09%)
2.XG Roller++8/6 8/5eq: -0.735 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		26.87% (G:3.87% B:0.09%)
73.13% (G:31.21% B:3.02%)
3.4-ply24/22 6/3eq: -0.864 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		20.48% (G:3.00% B:0.05%)
79.52% (G:31.52% B:0.89%)
4.4-ply24/22 8/5eq: -0.875 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		23.30% (G:3.80% B:0.07%)
76.70% (G:37.92% B:1.58%)
5.4-ply6/1eq: -0.918 (-0.220)
Player:
Opponent:		19.05% (G:1.85% B:0.02%)
80.95% (G:30.83% B:2.13%)
 
 64: 21/11 
Pip=143-108
1.playedXG Roller++21/11eq: +0.632
Player:
Opponent:		71.13% (G:27.80% B:2.25%)
28.87% (G:5.89% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++21/15 6/2eq: +0.609 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		70.09% (G:28.62% B:2.01%)
29.91% (G:6.16% B:0.17%)
3.4-ply21/15 9/5eq: +0.386 (-0.246)
Player:
Opponent:		62.35% (G:26.42% B:2.67%)
37.65% (G:11.77% B:0.62%)
 
 52: 8/3 6/4*  
Pip=143-98
1.played4-ply8/3 6/4* eq: -0.553
Player:
Opponent:		32.22% (G:6.74% B:0.10%)
67.78% (G:28.30% B:2.60%)
2.4-ply24/22 8/3eq: -0.818 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		19.98% (G:2.56% B:0.04%)
80.02% (G:26.28% B:0.70%)
3.3-ply8/6 8/3eq: -0.871 (-0.318)
Player:
Opponent:		21.46% (G:1.58% B:0.04%)
78.54% (G:31.35% B:2.59%)
4.3-ply8/1eq: -0.953 (-0.400)
Player:
Opponent:		16.99% (G:1.49% B:0.04%)
83.01% (G:29.47% B:1.87%)
5.3-ply24/17eq: -0.965 (-0.412)
Player:
Opponent:		19.80% (G:2.69% B:0.11%)
80.20% (G:38.33% B:1.37%)
 
 53: Bar/20 11/8 
Pip=136-102
1.played4-plyBar/20 11/8eq: +0.467
Player:
Opponent:		65.46% (G:26.50% B:2.31%)
34.54% (G:9.36% B:0.18%)
2.4-plyBar/20 9/6eq: +0.204 (-0.264)
Player:
Opponent:		57.00% (G:23.28% B:2.58%)
43.00% (G:15.51% B:0.77%)
3.2-plyBar/20 5/2eq: -0.168 (-0.635)
Player:
Opponent:		46.33% (G:17.70% B:1.46%)
53.67% (G:22.91% B:1.15%)
 
 41: 22/17*  
Pip=136-94
1.xgXG Roller++8/4 6/5* eq: -0.546
Player:
Opponent:		35.22% (G:9.03% B:0.12%)
64.78% (G:32.65% B:4.19%)
2.playedXG Roller++22/17* eq: -0.594 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		34.85% (G:10.31% B:0.18%)
65.15% (G:34.00% B:4.86%)
3.4-ply8/7 8/4eq: -0.788 (-0.243)
Player:
Opponent:		23.74% (G:1.94% B:0.02%)
76.26% (G:29.32% B:2.40%)
4.3-ply8/4 2/1eq: -0.991 (-0.445)
Player:
Opponent:		17.93% (G:1.15% B:0.03%)
82.07% (G:33.52% B:2.83%)
5.3-ply6/2 6/5* eq: -0.991 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		19.68% (G:2.10% B:0.04%)
80.32% (G:36.40% B:3.73%)

Βιασύνη, ούτε αυτό το είδα.
Το 22/17* έχει τους γνωστούς κινδύνους για gammon, και τους πήρα εν γνώσει μου, αλλά προφανώς είναι λάθος, αφού μετά από το σωστό 8/4 6/5* πιθανό χτύπημα το μόνο που κάνει είναι να βελτιώνει το δικο μου timing.
 
 11: Cannot Move 
Pip=131-111
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: +0.054
Player:
Opponent:		51.99% (G:21.88% B:1.98%)
48.01% (G:16.50% B:0.26%)
 
 61: 17/11 4/3 
Pip=131-111
1.xgXG Roller++24/17eq: -0.421
Player:
Opponent:		38.52% (G:12.74% B:0.23%)
61.48% (G:33.28% B:1.69%)
2.XG Roller++17/10eq: -0.422 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		38.52% (G:13.47% B:0.21%)
61.48% (G:29.38% B:4.13%)
3.playedXG Roller++17/11 4/3eq: -0.494 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		33.25% (G:9.21% B:0.14%)
66.75% (G:25.28% B:2.29%)
4.XG Roller++24/18 4/3eq: -0.540 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		35.89% (G:9.90% B:0.22%)
64.11% (G:32.75% B:3.60%)
5.XG Roller++17/11 8/7eq: -0.544 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		38.12% (G:13.54% B:0.21%)
61.88% (G:33.34% B:7.46%)

Το πρόβλημα με το 4/3 είναι ότι είναι εντελώς ασυνεπές με το χτύπημα στην προηγούμενη κίνηση. Προηγουμένως έπαιξα για τη νίκη, τώρα φοβάμαι μήπως το χάσω διπλό.
Η αλήθεια είναι ότι, μετά από 24/17, ο αντίπαλος δένει με 5 και χτυπάει με 4, 6, 3 και 1, κάτι πολύ απειλητικό.
Όμως το 4/3 δεν κάνει τίποτα για να εκμεταλλευτεί τις πολλές γκέλες του. Δεν μπορώ να περιμένω να κερδίσω με τις δύο χειρότερες τρύπες στο στρατόπεδό μου (4 και 5) και τέσσερα πούλια πίσω να προσπαθούν να κάνουν τον γύρο του board. Πρέπει να γίνει η πόρτα 4.


 
 51: Bar/20 6/5 
Pip=124-111
1.played3-plyBar/20 6/5eq: +0.802
Player:
Opponent:		79.38% (G:24.88% B:1.49%)
20.62% (G:2.96% B:0.04%)
2.3-plyBar/20 9/8eq: +0.379 (-0.423)
Player:
Opponent:		64.24% (G:22.03% B:1.52%)
35.76% (G:9.01% B:0.16%)
3.3-plyBar/20 4/3* eq: +0.274 (-0.528)
Player:
Opponent:		60.14% (G:21.73% B:1.94%)
39.86% (G:12.22% B:0.23%)
4.3-plyBar/20 5/4eq: +0.204 (-0.598)
Player:
Opponent:		59.23% (G:17.41% B:1.11%)
40.77% (G:8.32% B:0.14%)
 
 31: 11/8 3/2 
Pip=124-105
1.playedXG Roller++11/8 3/2eq: -0.908
Player:
Opponent:		17.48% (G:3.12% B:0.07%)
82.52% (G:26.90% B:1.82%)
2.XG Roller++11/7eq: -1.025 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		17.69% (G:3.12% B:0.08%)
82.31% (G:34.69% B:3.51%)
3.XG Roller++11/8 2/1eq: -1.042 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		14.44% (G:2.39% B:0.05%)
85.56% (G:31.12% B:2.28%)
4.3-ply8/4eq: -1.255 (-0.347)
Player:
Opponent:		15.75% (G:1.91% B:0.06%)
84.25% (G:44.55% B:6.81%)
5.3-ply6/2eq: -1.475 (-0.568)
Player:
Opponent:		10.66% (G:1.24% B:0.03%)
89.34% (G:51.23% B:7.58%)
 
 41: 6/2 5/4 
Pip=120-105
1.xgXG Roller++20/16 5/4eq: +0.717
Player:
Opponent:		76.58% (G:23.61% B:1.54%)
23.42% (G:4.94% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++20/15eq: +0.712 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		77.16% (G:22.04% B:1.32%)
22.84% (G:4.35% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++20/16 6/5eq: +0.667 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		75.30% (G:22.10% B:1.40%)
24.70% (G:4.98% B:0.12%)
4.playedXG Roller++6/2 5/4eq: +0.599 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		74.02% (G:19.55% B:0.87%)
25.98% (G:4.44% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++9/4eq: +0.573 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		72.19% (G:20.72% B:1.04%)
27.81% (G:4.06% B:0.09%)

Το κάψιμο δεύτερου πουλίου στο 2 είναι εξαιρετικά άσχημο ακόμα και για να το σκεφτεί κανείς. Με τις εσωτερικές τρύπες του αντίπαλου board στο 4 και στο 5, μόνο έναν builder επιτίθεται στο blot που μένει εκεί και τρία αντίπαλα πούλια τόσο μακριά, ο κίνδυνος μετά από το λύσιμο της πόρτας (20/16) είναι πολύ μικρός
Επίσης, το 20/16 ελέγχει το outfield, περιμένοντας εκεί πούλια που θα προσπαθήσουν να δραπετεύσουν.
 
 21: 24/22 2/1 
Pip=120-100
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 2/1eq: -0.586
Player:
Opponent:		24.84% (G:4.65% B:0.10%)
75.16% (G:16.92% B:0.48%)
2.XG Roller++8/6 2/1eq: -0.702 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		22.99% (G:3.83% B:0.06%)
77.01% (G:21.49% B:1.31%)
3.4-ply24/22 8/7eq: -0.773 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:		21.99% (G:3.81% B:0.08%)
78.01% (G:26.71% B:0.90%)
4.4-ply24/22 3/2eq: -0.775 (-0.189)
Player:
Opponent:		18.29% (G:1.97% B:0.02%)
81.71% (G:18.72% B:0.49%)
5.4-ply8/6 3/2eq: -0.895 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		17.62% (G:2.39% B:0.03%)
82.38% (G:25.65% B:1.88%)
 
 64: 20/16 20/14 
Pip=117-100
1.played4-ply20/16 20/14eq: +0.669
Player:
Opponent:		79.99% (G:13.17% B:0.29%)
20.01% (G:1.91% B:0.05%)
2.4-ply20/10eq: +0.491 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		71.08% (G:17.24% B:0.54%)
28.92% (G:5.00% B:0.11%)
3.3-ply20/14 9/5eq: +0.165 (-0.505)
Player:
Opponent:		58.69% (G:17.55% B:0.80%)
41.31% (G:13.47% B:0.40%)
4.2-ply20/14 5/1* eq: -0.196 (-0.865)
Player:
Opponent:		48.52% (G:11.06% B:0.22%)
51.48% (G:22.33% B:1.24%)
5.2-ply20/14 6/2eq: -0.266 (-0.935)
Player:
Opponent:		45.96% (G:9.32% B:0.22%)
54.04% (G:19.58% B:0.71%)
 
 21: 24/22 8/7 
Pip=117-90
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 8/7eq: -0.705
Player:
Opponent:		17.17% (G:0.80% B:0.01%)
82.83% (G:10.03% B:0.18%)
2.XG Roller++8/5eq: -0.751 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		17.84% (G:1.40% B:0.02%)
82.16% (G:15.53% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 6/5eq: -0.755 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		15.74% (G:0.78% B:0.01%)
84.26% (G:11.41% B:0.21%)
4.XG Roller++8/7 8/6eq: -0.769 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		17.11% (G:1.37% B:0.02%)
82.89% (G:15.41% B:0.43%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 2/1eq: -0.797 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		13.77% (G:0.51% B:0.00%)
86.23% (G:10.83% B:0.18%)
 
 51: 14/9 2/1 
Pip=114-90
1.playedXG Roller++14/9 2/1eq: +0.713
Player:
Opponent:		82.69% (G:11.01% B:0.22%)
17.31% (G:1.07% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++16/15 14/9eq: +0.682 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		82.51% (G:8.45% B:0.16%)
17.49% (G:0.65% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++16/11 2/1eq: +0.628 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		79.48% (G:10.83% B:0.23%)
20.52% (G:2.61% B:0.05%)
4.XG Roller++16/10eq: +0.600 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		78.92% (G:9.39% B:0.19%)
21.08% (G:2.26% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++16/11 14/13eq: +0.576 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		78.35% (G:8.52% B:0.16%)
21.65% (G:2.37% B:0.04%)
 
 21: 7/4 
Pip=114-84
1.xgXG Roller++8/5eq: -0.743
Player:
Opponent:		15.45% (G:0.49% B:0.01%)
84.55% (G:9.69% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++7/5 6/5eq: -0.754 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		15.23% (G:0.55% B:0.01%)
84.77% (G:10.18% B:0.15%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 7/6eq: -0.760 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		14.82% (G:0.50% B:0.01%)
85.18% (G:9.85% B:0.15%)
4.playedXG Roller++7/4eq: -0.762 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		14.84% (G:0.47% B:0.01%)
85.16% (G:10.09% B:0.15%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 8/6eq: -0.764 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		14.59% (G:0.45% B:0.00%)
85.41% (G:9.74% B:0.14%)
 
 63: 16/10 4/1 
Pip=111-84
1.xgXG Roller++16/10 9/6eq: +0.751
Player:
Opponent:		84.67% (G:9.98% B:0.18%)
15.33% (G:0.52% B:0.01%)
2.playedXG Roller++16/10 4/1eq: +0.721 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		83.57% (G:9.61% B:0.17%)
16.43% (G:0.45% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++16/7eq: +0.624 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		79.50% (G:9.89% B:0.21%)
20.50% (G:1.17% B:0.02%)
4.3-ply16/10 5/2eq: +0.244 (-0.506)
Player:
Opponent:		65.93% (G:7.57% B:0.17%)
34.07% (G:7.91% B:0.12%)
 
 61: 8/7 8/2 
Pip=111-75
1.playedXG Roller++8/7 8/2eq: -0.824
Player:
Opponent:		12.57% (G:0.20% B:0.00%)
87.43% (G:10.64% B:0.17%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/1eq: -0.826 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		12.47% (G:0.20% B:0.00%)
87.53% (G:10.65% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller++8/2 4/3eq: -0.848 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		11.16% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
88.84% (G:9.88% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 6/5eq: -0.869 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		11.86% (G:0.39% B:0.00%)
88.14% (G:12.93% B:0.34%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 3/2eq: -0.904 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		9.50% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
90.50% (G:11.19% B:0.16%)
 
 53: 10/5 9/6 
Pip=104-75
1.playedXG Roller++10/5 9/6eq: +0.840
Player:
Opponent:		88.15% (G:10.33% B:0.21%)
11.85% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++9/1eq: +0.785 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		85.48% (G:11.25% B:0.17%)
14.52% (G:0.34% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++10/7 9/4eq: +0.741 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		83.34% (G:11.86% B:0.21%)
16.66% (G:0.45% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++10/2eq: +0.740 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		84.68% (G:8.93% B:0.12%)
15.32% (G:0.23% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply9/6 9/4eq: +0.636 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		77.20% (G:16.40% B:0.40%)
22.80% (G:2.75% B:0.05%)
 
 43: 22/15 
Pip=104-67
1.playedXG Roller++22/15eq: -0.790
Player:
Opponent:		13.83% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
86.17% (G:10.14% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++22/18 7/4eq: -0.842 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		13.10% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)
86.90% (G:13.48% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++7/3 4/1eq: -0.907 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		9.32% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
90.68% (G:11.15% B:0.10%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 6/2eq: -0.910 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		9.77% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
90.23% (G:12.36% B:0.13%)
5.4-ply22/18 4/1eq: -0.959 (-0.168)
Player:
Opponent:		9.14% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
90.86% (G:15.27% B:0.21%)
 
 61: 9/2 
Pip=97-67
1.played3-ply9/2eq: +0.664
Player:
Opponent:		80.63% (G:10.65% B:0.38%)
19.37% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 22/17 22/16*  
Pip=97-60
1.playedXG Roller++22/17 22/16* eq: -0.500
Player:
Opponent:		35.06% (G:0.39% B:0.00%)
64.94% (G:27.37% B:1.46%)
2.XG Roller++22/16* 15/10eq: -0.552 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		34.98% (G:0.82% B:0.01%)
65.02% (G:30.00% B:2.62%)
3.XG Roller++22/16* 16/11eq: -0.636 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		32.20% (G:1.39% B:0.02%)
67.80% (G:32.20% B:2.39%)
4.4-ply22/16* 7/2eq: -0.659 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		28.39% (G:0.56% B:0.00%)
71.61% (G:27.41% B:1.37%)
5.3-ply15/4eq: -0.877 (-0.377)
Player:
Opponent:		7.25% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
92.75% (G:4.17% B:0.05%)

Φοβήθηκα πολύ αυτό το χτύπημα, αλλά τελικά αποφάσισα ότι δεν μπορώ να κερδίσω αλλιώς, για τους λόγους που εξηγήθηκαν παραπάνω. Ενδιαφέρον είναι ότι τώρα, παρά το ότι σήκωσα το πούλι με 4/3 νωρίτερα, ξαναβρέθηκα με blot εκεί, και αυτή τη φορά πήρα τη σωστή απόφαση, ίσως επειδή με το 5 βγάζω και το άλλο πούλι έξω.
Φυσικά με απάντηση που χτυπάει, η παρτίδα μάλλον χάνεται διπλή.
 
 43: Bar/21* 21/18*  
Pip=86-76
1.played3-plyBar/21* 21/18* eq: +1.983
Player:
Opponent:		95.32% (G:80.72% B:8.74%)
4.68% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
2.2-plyBar/21* 5/2eq: +1.272 (-0.711)
Player:
Opponent:		86.87% (G:49.80% B:1.59%)
13.13% (G:0.63% B:0.01%)
3.2-plyBar/21* 6/3eq: +1.166 (-0.817)
Player:
Opponent:		80.79% (G:52.39% B:2.46%)
19.21% (G:1.92% B:0.04%)
4.2-plyBar/21* 4/1eq: +0.624 (-1.359)
Player:
Opponent:		69.37% (G:31.98% B:0.91%)
30.63% (G:3.57% B:0.07%)
 
 63: Bar/22 
Pip=125-69
1.played3-plyBar/22eq: -1.831
Player:
Opponent:		5.57% (G:0.21% B:0.01%)
94.43% (G:75.54% B:5.44%)
 
 51: 18/12 
Pip=122-69
1.xgXG Roller++18/13 2/1eq: +1.616
Player:
Opponent:		91.25% (G:64.11% B:4.84%)
8.75% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++18/13 6/5eq: +1.599 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		91.30% (G:63.75% B:4.18%)
8.70% (G:0.20% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++18/13 5/4eq: +1.598 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		91.14% (G:63.69% B:4.35%)
8.86% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++18/12eq: +1.592 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		91.25% (G:62.77% B:4.45%)
8.75% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++18/17 6/1eq: +1.508 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		90.06% (G:61.46% B:2.61%)
9.94% (G:0.32% B:0.01%)
 
 62: Cannot Move 
Pip=122-63
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.885
Player:
Opponent:		4.64% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
95.36% (G:76.78% B:6.16%)
 
 21: 12/10* 10/9*  
Pip=122-63
1.played4-ply12/10* 10/9* eq: +2.172
Player:
Opponent:		95.98% (G:83.99% B:14.84%)
4.02% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply12/10* 2/1eq: +1.962 (-0.210)
Player:
Opponent:		95.35% (G:79.50% B:8.32%)
4.65% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply12/10* 5/4eq: +1.953 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		95.44% (G:79.65% B:7.72%)
4.56% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply12/10* 6/5eq: +1.934 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		95.55% (G:79.25% B:6.96%)
4.45% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply12/9* eq: +1.901 (-0.270)
Player:
Opponent:		95.43% (G:78.14% B:6.15%)
4.57% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=141-60
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.316
Player:
Opponent:		3.46% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
96.54% (G:86.22% B:19.60%)
 
 44: 9/5 6/2(3) 
Pip=141-60
1.playedXG Roller++9/5 6/2(3)eq: +1.927
Player:
Opponent:		95.84% (G:84.84% B:3.32%)
4.16% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++9/1 4/Off(2)eq: +1.902 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		92.75% (G:78.81% B:8.78%)
7.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/5 6/2 4/Off(2)eq: +1.897 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		93.50% (G:79.54% B:7.31%)
6.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/1 6/2 5/1eq: +1.884 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		94.04% (G:82.55% B:4.52%)
5.96% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/2(3) 5/1eq: +1.863 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		94.05% (G:81.97% B:3.87%)
5.95% (G:0.07% B:0.02%)
 
 61: Bar/19 
Pip=141-44
1.played3-plyBar/19eq: -1.872
Player:
Opponent:		4.82% (G:0.04% B:0.02%)
95.18% (G:83.81% B:2.24%)
 
 53: 5/2 5/Off 
Pip=135-44
1.played3-ply5/2 5/Offeq: +1.915
Player:
Opponent:		96.34% (G:87.05% B:1.20%)
3.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply5/Off 4/1eq: +1.440 (-0.475)
Player:
Opponent:		87.20% (G:65.47% B:0.75%)
12.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: Bar/22 
Pip=135-36
1.played3-plyBar/22eq: -1.858
Player:
Opponent:		4.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.38% (G:85.55% B:0.43%)
 
 66: 5/Off(2) 4/Off(2) 
Pip=132-36
1.played3-ply5/Off(2) 4/Off(2)eq: +2.159
Player:
Opponent:		99.99% (G:99.74% B:1.59%)
0.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 22: Cannot Move 
Pip=132-18
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.338
Player:
Opponent:		0.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.92% (G:99.50% B:9.90%)
 
 31: 2/1 2/Off 
Pip=132-18
1.played3-ply2/1 2/Offeq: +2.181
Player:
Opponent:		99.99% (G:99.78% B:2.55%)
0.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply2/Off 1/Offeq: +1.829 (-0.351)
Player:
Opponent:		93.74% (G:80.13% B:3.61%)
6.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: Bar/22 19/18 
Pip=132-15
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 19/18eq: -2.186
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:2.66%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21eq: -2.191 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.99% B:2.88%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 17/16eq: -2.237 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:4.97%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 3/2eq: -2.237 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:4.97%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/5eq: -2.237 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:4.97%)
 
 62: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=128-15
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +2.151
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.96% B:1.12%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 22/21 22/20 
Pip=128-11
1.playedXG Roller++22/21 22/20eq: -2.222
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:4.29%)
2.XG Roller++22/19eq: -2.230 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:4.66%)
3.XG Roller++22/20 6/5eq: -2.278 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:6.83%)
4.XG Roller++22/20 2/1eq: -2.278 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:6.83%)
5.XG Roller++22/20 18/17eq: -2.278 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:6.83%)
 
 44: 2/Off(4) 
Pip=125-11
1.played3-ply2/Off(4)eq: +2.544
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.98% B:18.87%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 22/17 21/17 
Pip=125-3
1.XG Roller++22/18 20/15eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:16.67%)
2.XG Roller++22/18 21/16eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:16.67%)
3.xgXG Roller++22/17 20/16eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:16.67%)
4.playedXG Roller++22/17 21/17eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:16.67%)
5.XG Roller++21/17 20/15eq: -2.598 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:21.30%)
 
 51: 1/Off(2) 
Pip=116-3
1.played3-ply1/Off(2)eq: +2.127
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 20/18 17/16(2) 
Pip=116-1
1.XG Roller++20/18 2/1(2)eq: -2.127
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++20/18 6/5 3/2eq: -2.127
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/18 6/5(2)eq: -2.127
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++20/18 6/4eq: -2.127
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++20/18 17/16 3/2eq: -2.127
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++20/18 17/16(2)eq: -2.127
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 1/Off 
Pip=112-1
1.played3-ply1/Offeq: +2.127
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Gammon 4pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
Expert (-0.0102) Total Error World Class (-0.0100)
World Class (-0.0090) Checker Play Expert (-0.0103)
Casual Player (-0.0447) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
5.10 Performance Rating 4.98
5 Move Errors 5(1)
-0.271(-3.43%) Equity lost (cost) -0.329(-4.29%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Take Errors 0
-0.045(-0.30%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
6 Total Error 5(1)
-0.316(-3.73%) Equity lost (cost) -0.329(-4.29%)
     
6 Jokers 7
-2.655(-31.79%) Luck +2.655(+31.79%)

 Game 8

13 point match, Score is mman: 9, Iskandar: 11

 
 51: 13/8 6/5 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook113/8 6/5eq: +0.355
Player:
Opponent:		49.89% (G:14.16% B:1.24%)
50.11% (G:15.56% B:2.21%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.352...+0.358) - [100.0%]
2.Book124/23 13/8eq: +0.333 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		50.13% (G:13.70% B:1.01%)
49.87% (G:14.19% B:1.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.330...+0.336) - [0.0%]
3.Book213/7eq: +0.235 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		47.64% (G:13.24% B:0.59%)
52.36% (G:14.64% B:0.80%)
4.Book224/18eq: +0.234 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		49.41% (G:11.37% B:0.43%)
50.59% (G:13.07% B:0.49%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: +0.097 (-0.258)
Player:
Opponent:		45.72% (G:12.13% B:0.52%)
54.28% (G:16.25% B:0.77%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 06-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 98044190
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

Λόγω σκορ, θέλω να μεγιστοποιήσω τα διπλά, οπότε το 6/5 γίνεται θεματικό.
 
 21: 13/11 6/5 
Pip=161-167
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.626
Player:
Opponent:		45.11% (G:12.05% B:0.52%)
54.89% (G:17.21% B:1.13%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: -0.637 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		44.66% (G:11.50% B:0.51%)
55.34% (G:16.84% B:0.68%)
3.XG Roller++24/21eq: -0.654 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		44.42% (G:10.63% B:0.48%)
55.58% (G:17.06% B:0.66%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: -0.673 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		43.77% (G:11.79% B:0.52%)
56.23% (G:16.87% B:0.93%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 24/22eq: -0.695 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		43.66% (G:10.52% B:0.48%)
56.34% (G:17.11% B:0.60%)
 
 No double 
Pip=161-164
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 54.76% (G:17.18% B:1.09%) 54.88% (G:17.15% B:1.13%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 45.24% (G:12.11% B:0.51%) 45.12% (G:12.30% B:0.55%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.063 +0.624
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.579 (-0.045)
xg Double/Take:+0.624
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.376)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Γνώριζα ότι εδώ πιθανόν να είχα βίδο, αλλά δεν ήθελα να δεσμευτώ ακόμα, κυρίως για λόγους διαφοράς δυναμικότητας.
 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=161-164
1.playedXG Roller++24/13eq: +0.198
Player:
Opponent:		48.45% (G:11.09% B:0.48%)
51.55% (G:14.65% B:0.51%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/8eq: +0.052 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		44.20% (G:11.41% B:0.60%)
55.80% (G:18.67% B:0.90%)
3.4-ply13/8 13/7eq: -0.058 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		41.36% (G:11.53% B:0.57%)
58.64% (G:18.81% B:1.37%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: -0.094 (-0.291)
Player:
Opponent:		40.65% (G:11.42% B:0.54%)
59.35% (G:19.16% B:1.36%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.121 (-0.318)
Player:
Opponent:		41.34% (G:10.34% B:0.56%)
58.66% (G:23.09% B:1.57%)
 
 44: 24/20*(2) 13/5 
Pip=150-164
1.playedXG Roller++24/20*(2) 13/5eq: +0.551
Player:
Opponent:		67.16% (G:21.44% B:0.79%)
32.84% (G:5.04% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++24/20* 20/16 13/5eq: +0.407 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		64.92% (G:20.47% B:1.06%)
35.08% (G:7.27% B:0.30%)
3.4-ply24/20* 13/9 13/5eq: +0.335 (-0.216)
Player:
Opponent:		62.69% (G:22.41% B:1.16%)
37.31% (G:7.58% B:0.34%)
4.4-ply24/20* 13/5 11/7eq: +0.316 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:		62.28% (G:21.11% B:0.89%)
37.72% (G:7.49% B:0.29%)
5.3-ply24/20* 13/5 8/4eq: +0.177 (-0.374)
Player:
Opponent:		59.66% (G:21.47% B:1.03%)
40.34% (G:8.99% B:0.41%)
 
 41: Bar/21 24/23 
Pip=170-148
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/21 8/7eq: -0.515
Player:
Opponent:		32.79% (G:5.03% B:0.17%)
67.21% (G:23.23% B:0.90%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 24/23eq: -0.544 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		31.83% (G:4.71% B:0.14%)
68.17% (G:21.37% B:0.67%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/4eq: -0.563 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		31.05% (G:4.70% B:0.15%)
68.95% (G:21.28% B:0.96%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/9eq: -0.588 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		30.35% (G:4.62% B:0.15%)
69.65% (G:21.91% B:1.16%)
5.4-plyBar/24 6/2eq: -0.670 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		27.95% (G:4.09% B:0.09%)
72.05% (G:20.70% B:1.16%)
 
 61: 13/7 8/7 
Pip=165-148
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 8/7eq: +0.600
Player:
Opponent:		68.50% (G:20.53% B:0.67%)
31.50% (G:4.71% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++11/5 6/5eq: +0.467 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		64.86% (G:19.38% B:0.59%)
35.14% (G:5.18% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller++11/4* eq: +0.446 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		64.16% (G:21.36% B:0.65%)
35.84% (G:5.52% B:0.17%)
4.4-ply13/6eq: +0.374 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		63.06% (G:17.07% B:0.49%)
36.94% (G:5.12% B:0.16%)
5.4-ply8/2* 6/5eq: +0.368 (-0.232)
Player:
Opponent:		62.73% (G:18.17% B:0.53%)
37.27% (G:5.65% B:0.17%)
 
 65: 21/10 
Pip=165-141
1.XG Roller++21/16 13/7eq: -0.725
Player:
Opponent:		27.92% (G:4.32% B:0.15%)
72.08% (G:28.91% B:1.12%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: -0.731 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		27.65% (G:4.23% B:0.15%)
72.35% (G:27.05% B:1.09%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 8/3eq: -0.736 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		27.87% (G:4.37% B:0.16%)
72.13% (G:29.15% B:1.48%)
4.playedXG Roller++21/10eq: -0.738 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		27.10% (G:3.93% B:0.13%)
72.90% (G:27.14% B:0.61%)
5.XG Roller++13/2eq: -0.758 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		26.91% (G:4.25% B:0.13%)
73.09% (G:27.43% B:0.86%)
 
 42: 11/7 6/4 
Pip=154-141
1.XG Roller++11/5eq: +0.641
Player:
Opponent:		68.30% (G:26.19% B:0.41%)
31.70% (G:4.22% B:0.16%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/9 11/9eq: +0.635 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		68.71% (G:25.80% B:0.63%)
31.29% (G:4.98% B:0.20%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: +0.615 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		67.65% (G:25.84% B:0.46%)
32.35% (G:4.30% B:0.16%)
4.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: +0.597 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		66.12% (G:28.52% B:0.42%)
33.88% (G:4.53% B:0.16%)
5.XG Roller++13/7eq: +0.561 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		66.47% (G:24.30% B:0.48%)
33.53% (G:4.57% B:0.17%)
6.playedXG Roller++11/7 6/4eq: +0.514 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		65.33% (G:24.48% B:0.48%)
34.67% (G:5.20% B:0.20%)

Αν ο Μίμης ήθελε να αφήσει βολή (όχι απαραίτητο), τότε το 13/9 11/9 κάνει πεντάπορτο, ενώ το παίξιμό του απλώς σλοτάρει.
 
 51: 10/4 
Pip=154-135
1.playedXG Roller++10/4eq: -0.782
Player:
Opponent:		27.11% (G:4.03% B:0.13%)
72.89% (G:32.95% B:0.53%)
2.XG Roller++23/22 13/8eq: -0.789 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		27.27% (G:3.82% B:0.12%)
72.73% (G:33.27% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++23/22 8/3eq: -0.814 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		26.81% (G:4.02% B:0.15%)
73.19% (G:35.69% B:0.83%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 10/9eq: -0.815 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		26.20% (G:3.75% B:0.12%)
73.80% (G:32.28% B:0.55%)
5.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.815 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		26.61% (G:4.16% B:0.16%)
73.39% (G:34.81% B:0.97%)

Ενδιαφέρον το πόσο κοντά είναι οι δύο διαφορετικές προσεγγίσεις.
 
 42: 13/9 6/4 
Pip=148-135
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 6/4eq: +0.862
Player:
Opponent:		73.71% (G:31.63% B:0.72%)
26.29% (G:4.13% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++7/3 6/4eq: +0.723 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		70.17% (G:30.06% B:0.56%)
29.83% (G:4.80% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++20/16 6/4eq: +0.708 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		72.69% (G:24.33% B:0.74%)
27.31% (G:5.83% B:0.22%)
4.4-ply6/2* 4/2eq: +0.687 (-0.175)
Player:
Opponent:		69.67% (G:27.66% B:0.25%)
30.33% (G:3.78% B:0.14%)
5.4-ply8/6 8/4eq: +0.639 (-0.223)
Player:
Opponent:		68.42% (G:24.76% B:0.22%)
31.58% (G:3.40% B:0.11%)
 
 64: 8/4 8/2 
Pip=148-129
1.xgXG Roller++13/7 8/4eq: -0.892
Player:
Opponent:		23.71% (G:3.78% B:0.15%)
76.29% (G:31.99% B:0.66%)
2.XG Roller++13/3eq: -0.968 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		21.48% (G:3.61% B:0.14%)
78.52% (G:33.35% B:0.61%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/4 8/2eq: -0.987 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		21.24% (G:3.47% B:0.13%)
78.76% (G:34.01% B:0.64%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 6/2eq: -1.006 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		20.84% (G:3.27% B:0.12%)
79.16% (G:34.24% B:0.59%)
5.XG Roller++13/9 13/7eq: -1.090 (-0.198)
Player:
Opponent:		21.15% (G:3.51% B:0.21%)
78.85% (G:43.78% B:2.34%)

Το σκεπτικό του 137/ είναι βέβαια να φτιαξει την πόρτα, αλλά κυρίως να επιτεθεί στο blot που θα μείνει στο 5, ώστε να αναγκάσει τον αντίπαλο να σπάσει το prime του. Επίσης, όταν ο αντίπαλος θα λύσει, εγώ θα πρέπει να επιτεθώ στο 5, και τότε δεν θέλω να έχω ευάλωτα blot βαθιά στο στρατόπεδό μου.
Αυτό που έχει ενδιαφέρον είναι ότι το 13/7 χάνει λιγότερα διπλά, ίσως λόγω του πιθανού δεσίματος μιας anchor.
 
 No double 
Pip=138-129
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 78.19% (G:35.81% B:0.78%) 79.37% (G:31.45% B:1.32%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 21.81% (G:3.60% B:0.14%) 20.63% (G:3.27% B:0.13%)
  Cubeless Equities +1.147 +1.616
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.996
     Double/Take:+0.807 (-0.189)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.004)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 49.5%

Είναι σημαντικό εδώ να κατανοήσουμε ότι ο προηγούμενος στο συγκεκριμένο σκορ (2-away, 4-away) δεν είναι αρκετά καλός για να βιδάρει σε οποιαδήποτε θέση έχει την παραμικρή περιπλοκή.
Ένας επιπλεόν λόγος εδώ είναι ότι ο προηγούμενος έχει σημαντικές ελπίδες διπλού, οπότε ένα βίδος από μέρους του θα "σκότωνε" αυτή την πιθανότητα (gammon killing double) αφού τα διπλά του δεν θα μετρούσαν πια, ενώ θα έθετε σε κίνδυνο όλο το ματς, λόγω του automatic redouble.


 
 31: 13/9 
Pip=138-129
1.playedXG Roller++13/9eq: +1.055
Player:
Opponent:		80.73% (G:29.30% B:1.06%)
19.27% (G:3.47% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 7/6eq: +0.956 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		77.10% (G:30.54% B:0.78%)
22.90% (G:3.88% B:0.16%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 9/8eq: +0.889 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		75.30% (G:29.58% B:0.50%)
24.70% (G:3.74% B:0.14%)
4.4-ply9/5eq: +0.824 (-0.231)
Player:
Opponent:		74.17% (G:27.70% B:0.56%)
25.83% (G:3.97% B:0.13%)
5.4-ply9/6 7/6eq: +0.807 (-0.248)
Player:
Opponent:		73.55% (G:28.19% B:0.54%)
26.45% (G:4.16% B:0.13%)
 
 41: 23/22 6/2 
Pip=138-125
1.XG Roller++13/12 6/2eq: -0.989
Player:
Opponent:		19.99% (G:3.58% B:0.15%)
80.01% (G:28.92% B:0.91%)
2.XG Roller++13/8eq: -1.009 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		18.54% (G:3.29% B:0.14%)
81.46% (G:27.71% B:0.76%)
3.playedXG Roller++23/22 6/2eq: -1.020 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		20.23% (G:3.75% B:0.17%)
79.77% (G:33.05% B:0.83%)
4.XG Roller++6/2 4/3eq: -1.108 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		17.02% (G:2.90% B:0.12%)
82.98% (G:31.69% B:0.99%)
5.XG Roller++13/12 13/9eq: -1.111 (-0.122)
Player:
Opponent:		18.99% (G:3.13% B:0.15%)
81.01% (G:37.53% B:2.03%)

Το σκεπτικό του 13/12 ειναι να φτιάξει κάποια πόρτα στο outfield που θα μπλοκάρει τα πίσω πούλια του.
 
 No double 
Pip=133-125
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 79.51% (G:33.89% B:0.89%) 81.30% (G:25.68% B:1.15%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20.49% (G:3.82% B:0.19%) 18.70% (G:3.25% B:0.16%)
  Cubeless Equities +1.137 +1.706
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.024
     Double/Take:+0.987 (-0.037)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.024)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take

Έχοντας κάνει πλεόν το εξάπορτο, ο προηγούμενος στο σκορ είναι λίγο too good. Είναι χαρακτηριστικό ότι το παράθυρο βίδου (doubling window) είναι εδώ τόσο μικρό που πηδάει κατευθείαν από το No Double στο Too Good.
Κατά τον ίδιο τρόπο, ο υπολοιπόμενος στο σκορ έχει ακόμα οριακό take.
 
 62: 20/18 20/14 
Pip=133-125
1.XG Roller++20/14 7/5eq: +0.862
Player:
Opponent:		76.02% (G:26.89% B:1.36%)
23.98% (G:5.49% B:0.27%)
2.playedXG Roller++20/18 20/14eq: +0.862 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		77.61% (G:21.80% B:1.01%)
22.39% (G:4.94% B:0.21%)
3.XG Roller++9/3* 7/5eq: +0.769 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		70.75% (G:33.39% B:0.69%)
29.25% (G:5.46% B:0.21%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 8/2eq: +0.736 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		69.57% (G:28.17% B:0.33%)
30.43% (G:3.54% B:0.15%)
5.XG Roller++9/7 9/3* eq: +0.704 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		68.73% (G:30.15% B:0.52%)
31.27% (G:4.35% B:0.16%)
 
 42: 13/11* 11/7*  
Pip=133-117
1.played3-ply13/11* 11/7* eq: -0.465
Player:
Opponent:		31.83% (G:8.33% B:0.31%)
68.17% (G:17.12% B:0.68%)
2.3-ply13/9 13/11* eq: -0.796 (-0.331)
Player:
Opponent:		24.90% (G:5.88% B:0.21%)
75.10% (G:23.06% B:1.13%)
3.3-ply13/7* eq: -0.856 (-0.391)
Player:
Opponent:		22.53% (G:4.59% B:0.17%)
77.47% (G:20.35% B:0.70%)
4.3-ply13/11* 6/2eq: -0.901 (-0.436)
Player:
Opponent:		21.81% (G:4.66% B:0.14%)
78.19% (G:23.46% B:0.89%)
5.3-ply13/11* 8/4eq: -0.945 (-0.480)
Player:
Opponent:		21.36% (G:4.50% B:0.15%)
78.64% (G:24.68% B:1.16%)
 
 32: Bar/22 
Pip=127-135
1.played3-plyBar/22eq: +0.671
Player:
Opponent:		73.58% (G:17.82% B:0.68%)
26.42% (G:6.58% B:0.24%)
 
 32: 8/5 7/5 
Pip=127-132
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 7/5eq: -0.591
Player:
Opponent:		27.83% (G:7.10% B:0.34%)
72.17% (G:17.70% B:0.82%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/3* eq: -0.636 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		27.54% (G:7.02% B:0.37%)
72.46% (G:22.66% B:1.75%)
3.XG Roller++8/3* eq: -0.714 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		25.75% (G:6.35% B:0.33%)
74.25% (G:23.47% B:1.69%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: -0.758 (-0.168)
Player:
Opponent:		25.03% (G:5.64% B:0.26%)
74.97% (G:24.45% B:2.06%)
5.XG Roller++7/5 6/3* eq: -0.782 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		24.78% (G:5.78% B:0.30%)
75.22% (G:27.59% B:1.71%)
 
 42: Cannot Move 
Pip=122-132
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: +0.631
Player:
Opponent:		73.22% (G:15.42% B:0.61%)
26.78% (G:7.54% B:0.27%)
 
 53: 8/3* 6/3 
Pip=122-132
1.played4-ply8/3* 6/3eq: -0.250
Player:
Opponent:		34.54% (G:11.50% B:0.47%)
65.46% (G:7.98% B:0.32%)
2.4-ply13/8 6/3* eq: -0.485 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:		30.12% (G:8.92% B:0.38%)
69.88% (G:14.76% B:0.66%)
3.4-ply13/10 8/3* eq: -0.513 (-0.263)
Player:
Opponent:		29.33% (G:8.74% B:0.36%)
70.67% (G:14.46% B:0.68%)
4.4-ply13/10 13/8eq: -0.614 (-0.364)
Player:
Opponent:		26.95% (G:7.12% B:0.29%)
73.05% (G:13.85% B:0.60%)
5.3-ply13/5eq: -0.735 (-0.485)
Player:
Opponent:		24.87% (G:6.35% B:0.20%)
75.13% (G:13.99% B:0.54%)
 
 21: Bar/24 
Pip=114-135
1.played3-plyBar/24eq: -0.066
Player:
Opponent:		57.99% (G:8.52% B:0.39%)
42.01% (G:14.16% B:0.69%)
 
 54: 13/9 13/8 
Pip=114-134
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: -0.061
Player:
Opponent:		39.52% (G:11.34% B:0.93%)
60.48% (G:9.91% B:0.51%)
2.XG Roller++13/4eq: -0.224 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		34.93% (G:10.40% B:0.82%)
65.07% (G:10.14% B:0.42%)
3.2-ply13/8 6/2eq: -0.780 (-0.719)
Player:
Opponent:		23.87% (G:6.69% B:0.31%)
76.13% (G:22.87% B:1.23%)
4.2-ply13/9 6/1* eq: -0.891 (-0.830)
Player:
Opponent:		21.09% (G:6.18% B:0.22%)
78.91% (G:22.66% B:1.51%)
5.2-ply13/8 5/1* eq: -0.903 (-0.842)
Player:
Opponent:		20.60% (G:5.91% B:0.22%)
79.40% (G:22.42% B:1.51%)
 
 61: Bar/18 
Pip=105-134
1.played3-plyBar/18eq: +0.382
Player:
Opponent:		68.20% (G:9.62% B:0.44%)
31.80% (G:10.01% B:0.52%)
2.2-plyBar/24 7/1eq: -1.000 (-1.382)
Player:
Opponent:		37.95% (G:7.64% B:0.47%)
62.05% (G:19.51% B:1.02%)
3.1-plyBar/24 9/3* eq: -1.000 (-1.382)
Player:
Opponent:		41.77% (G:8.88% B:0.59%)
58.23% (G:26.19% B:3.11%)
4.1-plyBar/24 8/2eq: -1.000 (-1.382)
Player:
Opponent:		28.20% (G:4.35% B:0.25%)
71.80% (G:23.87% B:2.24%)
 
 54: 9/5 8/3 
Pip=105-127
1.xgXG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.52% (G:4.13% B:0.21%)
81.48% (G:10.84% B:0.43%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 8/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.00% (G:4.07% B:0.23%)
82.00% (G:13.11% B:0.45%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 9/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		17.46% (G:3.36% B:0.17%)
82.54% (G:12.16% B:0.40%)
4.playedXG Roller++9/5 8/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		16.87% (G:3.58% B:0.20%)
83.13% (G:12.24% B:0.45%)
5.XG Roller++9/4 8/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		16.52% (G:3.53% B:0.20%)
83.48% (G:12.24% B:0.43%)
 
 No double 
Pip=96-127
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 82.98% (G:12.42% B:0.46%) 83.28% (G:15.26% B:0.70%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 17.02% (G:3.47% B:0.20%) 16.72% (G:3.47% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.839 +1.788
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.930 (-0.070)
     Double/Take:+1.172 (+0.172)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Η θέση δεν είναι too good, επειδή (α) σε περίπτωση που το πούλι στο bar χτυπήθεί, ο Μίμης θα είναι και πάλι not good enough, και (β) επειδή στις τελευταίες ζαριές έχω τρέξει αρκετά ώστε να μειώσω σημαντικά τον κίνδυνο για gammon, οπότε δεν αξίζει το ρίσκο: Double / Pass.
 
 43: 18/15 7/3*  
Pip=96-127
1.xgXG Roller++18/11eq: +0.980
Player:
Opponent:		83.02% (G:12.30% B:0.44%)
16.98% (G:3.27% B:0.12%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/15 7/3* eq: +0.859 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		80.68% (G:13.09% B:0.45%)
19.32% (G:5.16% B:0.40%)
3.4-ply18/14 7/4eq: +0.741 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		76.98% (G:10.20% B:0.33%)
23.02% (G:5.76% B:0.24%)
4.1-ply9/6 7/3* eq: -1.000 (-1.980)
Player:
Opponent:		49.40% (G:10.51% B:0.33%)
50.60% (G:37.81% B:3.31%)
5.1-ply7/3* 6/3eq: -1.000 (-1.980)
Player:
Opponent:		36.85% (G:6.48% B:0.28%)
63.15% (G:38.56% B:1.80%)

Σημαντικό λάθος. Πιθανό δικό μου χτύπημα, και μάλιστα στην άκρη του prime του, θα ήταν joker για μένα. έπειτα θα αρκούσε να μπει το πούλι στον άσο, για να κινδυνεύει να χαλάσει το εξάπορτο.
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=99-120
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.875
Player:
Opponent:		20.00% (G:5.08% B:0.18%)
80.00% (G:11.76% B:0.41%)
 
 No double 
Pip=99-120
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 81.13% (G:12.58% B:0.43%) 81.44% (G:13.81% B:0.56%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 18.87% (G:3.94% B:0.21%) 18.56% (G:4.33% B:0.29%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.800 +1.662
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.867 (-0.133)
xg Double/Take:+1.000 (+0.000)
     Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Ο Μίμης έπρεπε να κάνει cash (Double / Pass) για τους λόγους που αναφέρθηκαν νωρίτερα, και επιπλέον επειδή (α) μπορεί να μην καταφέρει να  καλύψει το εσωτερικό blot του χωρίς να χαλάσει το εξάπορτο, (β) έχει ντουπλάρει τα εξάρια του (με 6 βγαίνει και με 6 κάνει rolling prime) και (γ) το timing του έχει χειροτερέψει και ίσως να μην φέρει ποτέ το εξάρι για να βγει.
 
 43: 15/8 
Pip=99-120
1.played3-ply15/8eq: +0.769
Player:
Opponent:		77.54% (G:11.06% B:0.44%)
22.46% (G:5.28% B:0.23%)
2.2-ply7/4 7/3eq: -0.548 (-1.317)
Player:
Opponent:		48.79% (G:9.48% B:0.31%)
51.21% (G:19.18% B:0.48%)
3.1-ply15/11 9/6eq: -0.735 (-1.503)
Player:
Opponent:		54.40% (G:10.69% B:0.31%)
45.60% (G:28.81% B:2.16%)
4.1-ply9/6 9/5eq: -0.773 (-1.542)
Player:
Opponent:		51.23% (G:10.62% B:0.32%)
48.77% (G:26.46% B:1.37%)
5.1-ply9/6 7/3eq: -0.781 (-1.549)
Player:
Opponent:		51.59% (G:12.23% B:0.19%)
48.41% (G:26.98% B:2.17%)
 
 22: Bar/23 5/1* 3/1 
Pip=99-113
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/23 13/7eq: -0.918
Player:
Opponent:		19.74% (G:3.18% B:0.11%)
80.26% (G:16.48% B:0.73%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/11 13/9eq: -1.000 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		18.38% (G:2.92% B:0.11%)
81.62% (G:11.07% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/11(2) 5/3eq: -1.000 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		17.54% (G:2.92% B:0.12%)
82.46% (G:10.20% B:0.33%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/9 5/3eq: -1.000 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		17.46% (G:2.76% B:0.11%)
82.54% (G:11.71% B:0.42%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/11(2) 3/1* eq: -1.000 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		16.52% (G:2.62% B:0.10%)
83.48% (G:14.34% B:0.46%)
6.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 5/1* 3/1eq: -1.044 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		9.59% (G:0.63% B:0.01%)
90.41% (G:8.86% B:0.19%)

Φοβήθηκα τα διπλά και ουσιαστικά εγκατέλειψα το game. Είναι εύκολο να βρει κανείς τη σωστή κίνηση όταν έχει δει τις αναλύσεις των προηγούμενων, αλλά όχι όταν παίζει "στα τυφλά" ένα τόσο σημαντικό ματς.
Οτιδήποτε άλλο εκτός από τη διεκδίκηση του game με 13/7 είναι σφάλμα.
Μερικές φορές, όμως, θέλει κότσια για να αφήσεις τρία blots όταν ο αντίπαλος έχει εξάπορτο σε έναν τέλικό.
Διδακτικό.
 
 No double 
Pip=91-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 90.58% (G:9.41% B:0.24%) 89.39% (G:22.81% B:1.24%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 9.42% (G:0.51% B:0.00%) 10.61% (G:0.39% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.969 +2.216
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.050
     Double/Take:+1.740 (+0.690)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.050)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 6.8%
 
 11: Cannot Move 
Pip=91-114
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: +1.034
Player:
Opponent:		90.60% (G:7.40% B:0.20%)
9.40% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)
 
 41: 13/12 13/9 
Pip=91-114
1.xgXG Roller++23/22* 13/9eq: -1.043
Player:
Opponent:		10.80% (G:0.59% B:0.01%)
89.20% (G:10.17% B:0.22%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/12 13/9eq: -1.048 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		9.52% (G:0.50% B:0.00%)
90.48% (G:9.24% B:0.22%)
3.XG Roller++13/8eq: -1.050 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		9.44% (G:0.52% B:0.00%)
90.56% (G:9.37% B:0.22%)
4.XG Roller++23/22* 6/2eq: -1.063 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		12.05% (G:0.55% B:0.01%)
87.95% (G:13.49% B:0.41%)
5.XG Roller++23/22* 5/1eq: -1.068 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		12.20% (G:0.64% B:0.01%)
87.80% (G:14.65% B:0.46%)
 
 No double 
Pip=86-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 91.17% (G:9.61% B:0.28%) 89.69% (G:19.61% B:0.89%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 8.83% (G:0.35% B:0.00%) 10.32% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.986 +2.235
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.057
     Double/Take:+1.768 (+0.711)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.057)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 7.4%
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=86-114
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: +1.051
Player:
Opponent:		91.91% (G:8.10% B:0.21%)
8.09% (G:0.63% B:0.01%)
 
 65: 12/6 9/4 
Pip=86-114
1.playedXG Roller++12/6 9/4eq: -1.054
Player:
Opponent:		8.39% (G:0.32% B:0.00%)
91.61% (G:8.96% B:0.26%)
2.XG Roller++12/7 9/3eq: -1.062 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		8.46% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
91.54% (G:9.58% B:0.28%)
3.XG Roller++12/1eq: -1.069 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		8.22% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
91.78% (G:9.95% B:0.30%)
4.XG Roller++9/3 6/1eq: -1.149 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		8.68% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
91.32% (G:16.06% B:0.73%)
 
 No double 
Pip=75-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 92.13% (G:8.77% B:0.30%) 90.01% (G:16.12% B:0.57%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 7.87% (G:0.28% B:0.00%) 9.99% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.991 +2.249
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.058
     Double/Take:+1.798 (+0.740)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.058)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 7.3%
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=75-114
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: +1.053
Player:
Opponent:		91.54% (G:8.69% B:0.19%)
8.46% (G:0.46% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 6/2 
Pip=75-114
1.xgXG Roller++23/22* 6/3eq: -1.041
Player:
Opponent:		9.13% (G:0.36% B:0.00%)
90.87% (G:8.73% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++5/4 5/2eq: -1.050 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		7.54% (G:0.25% B:0.00%)
92.46% (G:7.68% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++6/3 4/3eq: -1.051 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		7.55% (G:0.25% B:0.00%)
92.45% (G:7.87% B:0.26%)
4.playedXG Roller++6/2eq: -1.051 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		7.59% (G:0.25% B:0.00%)
92.41% (G:7.89% B:0.25%)
5.XG Roller++23/22* 5/2eq: -1.058 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		10.69% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
89.31% (G:12.23% B:0.38%)
 
 No double 
Pip=71-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 92.99% (G:7.50% B:0.24%) 90.56% (G:17.27% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 7.01% (G:0.20% B:0.00%) 9.44% (G:0.30% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.987 +2.275
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.053
     Double/Take:+1.850 (+0.796)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.053)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 6.3%
 
 42: Cannot Move 
Pip=71-114
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: +1.047
Player:
Opponent:		91.87% (G:7.84% B:0.19%)
8.13% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 4/2 
Pip=71-114
1.playedXG Roller++4/2eq: -1.070
Player:
Opponent:		7.44% (G:0.25% B:0.00%)
92.56% (G:9.21% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++6/4eq: -1.080 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		8.55% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
91.45% (G:11.06% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++5/3eq: -1.107 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		8.79% (G:0.37% B:0.00%)
91.21% (G:13.40% B:0.47%)
4.XG Roller++3/1eq: -1.157 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		8.18% (G:0.34% B:0.00%)
91.82% (G:16.56% B:0.63%)
 
 No double 
Pip=69-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 92.82% (G:8.89% B:0.26%) 90.87% (G:18.54% B:0.69%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 7.18% (G:0.21% B:0.00%) 9.13% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +1.008 +2.289
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.068
     Double/Take:+1.878 (+0.809)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.068)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 7.8%
 
 52: Cannot Move 
Pip=69-114
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: +1.068
Player:
Opponent:		91.48% (G:9.87% B:0.23%)
8.52% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 6/4 6/3 
Pip=69-114
1.playedXG Roller++6/4 6/3eq: -1.043
Player:
Opponent:		6.65% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
93.35% (G:6.21% B:0.20%)
2.XG Roller++5/3 5/2eq: -1.067 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		7.19% (G:0.20% B:0.00%)
92.81% (G:8.81% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++4/2 4/1eq: -1.125 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		6.66% (G:0.23% B:0.00%)
93.34% (G:12.53% B:0.37%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: -1.126 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		8.12% (G:0.32% B:0.00%)
91.88% (G:14.28% B:0.44%)
5.XG Roller++6/3 5/3eq: -1.210 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		8.51% (G:0.49% B:0.00%)
91.49% (G:20.59% B:1.05%)
 
 No double 
Pip=64-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 93.69% (G:6.24% B:0.20%) 92.26% (G:11.28% B:0.36%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 6.31% (G:0.15% B:0.00%) 7.74% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.980 +2.354
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.045
     Double/Take:+2.007 (+0.962)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.045)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 4.5%
 
 64: Bar/15 
Pip=64-114
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/15eq: +1.021
Player:
Opponent:		93.11% (G:4.57% B:0.09%)
6.89% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/19 8/4eq: +1.015 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		92.82% (G:4.36% B:0.08%)
7.18% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
3.3-plyBar/19 9/5eq: +0.507 (-0.514)
Player:
Opponent:		78.31% (G:4.38% B:0.18%)
21.69% (G:10.70% B:0.07%)
4.2-plyBar/19 7/3eq: +0.330 (-0.691)
Player:
Opponent:		63.57% (G:2.72% B:0.03%)
36.43% (G:12.81% B:0.04%)
5.1-plyBar/19 5/1eq: -1.000 (-2.021)
Player:
Opponent:		43.18% (G:2.35% B:0.11%)
56.82% (G:27.23% B:0.11%)
 
 64: 5/1 
Pip=64-104
1.played3-ply5/1eq: -1.016
Player:
Opponent:		6.66% (G:0.42% B:0.00%)
93.34% (G:4.18% B:0.03%)
 
 No double 
Pip=60-104
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 92.91% (G:5.31% B:0.14%) 93.64% (G:5.24% B:0.15%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 7.09% (G:0.16% B:0.00%) 6.36% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.948 +2.427
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.030
     Double/Take:+2.136 (+1.106)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.030)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 2.6%
 
 61: 9/3 8/7 
Pip=60-104
1.xgXG Roller++15/14 8/2* eq: +1.033
Player:
Opponent:		92.00% (G:6.50% B:0.14%)
8.00% (G:0.52% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/2* 2/1eq: +1.027 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		90.13% (G:6.36% B:0.13%)
9.87% (G:0.60% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++15/14 9/3eq: +1.025 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		93.66% (G:4.47% B:0.09%)
6.34% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++9/3 8/7eq: +1.024 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		93.92% (G:4.45% B:0.09%)
6.08% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/8 9/3eq: +1.024 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		93.51% (G:4.42% B:0.09%)
6.49% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)

Η διαφορά είναι ελάχιστη, αλλά το σημειώνω ως χαρακτηριστική περίπτωση του ότι πρέπει πάντα να έχουμε το μυαλό μας ανοιχτό σε όλες τις δυνατότητες. Αυτό είναι ένα παίξιμο που όταν ο παίκτης το βλέπει, καταλαβαίνει αμέσως γιατί είναι σωστό. Το θέμα είναι να το δει.  
 
 41: 5/1 2/1 
Pip=60-97
1.playedXG Roller++5/1 2/1eq: -1.030
Player:
Opponent:		6.14% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
93.86% (G:4.83% B:0.14%)
2.XG Roller++5/1 4/3eq: -1.038 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		6.29% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
93.71% (G:5.49% B:0.16%)
3.XG Roller++5/1 3/2eq: -1.043 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		6.21% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
93.79% (G:5.83% B:0.15%)
 
 No double 
Pip=55-97
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 93.71% (G:5.04% B:0.13%) 94.09% (G:4.99% B:0.15%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 6.29% (G:0.13% B:0.00%) 5.91% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.960 +2.448
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.031
     Double/Take:+2.178 (+1.147)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.031)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 2.7%
 
 21: 9/6 
Pip=55-97
1.playedXG Roller++9/6eq: +1.041
Player:
Opponent:		94.05% (G:5.53% B:0.12%)
5.95% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++15/13 9/8eq: +1.038 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		93.64% (G:5.47% B:0.12%)
6.36% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++15/12eq: +1.036 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		93.79% (G:5.33% B:0.12%)
6.21% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++15/13 7/6eq: +1.036 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		93.70% (G:5.30% B:0.12%)
6.30% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/8 7/5eq: +1.035 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		93.62% (G:5.33% B:0.12%)
6.38% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
 
 63: 4/1 
Pip=55-94
1.played3-ply4/1eq: -1.044
Player:
Opponent:		5.75% (G:0.19% B:0.00%)
94.25% (G:5.58% B:0.10%)
 
 No double 
Pip=52-94
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 93.95% (G:6.57% B:0.16%) 94.60% (G:5.78% B:0.15%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 6.05% (G:0.16% B:0.00%) 5.40% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.991 +2.469
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.055
     Double/Take:+2.225 (+1.170)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.055)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 4.5%
 
 53: 15/12 7/2*  
Pip=52-94
1.playedXG Roller++15/12 7/2* eq: +1.058
Player:
Opponent:		94.12% (G:6.73% B:0.16%)
5.88% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/2* 6/3eq: +1.043 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		93.14% (G:6.33% B:0.15%)
6.86% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++15/10 7/4eq: +1.034 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		93.00% (G:5.53% B:0.14%)
7.00% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++15/7eq: +1.032 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		92.89% (G:5.83% B:0.15%)
7.11% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++15/10 6/3eq: +1.027 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		92.25% (G:5.62% B:0.14%)
7.75% (G:0.22% B:0.00%)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=54-86
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.032
Player:
Opponent:		5.49% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
94.51% (G:4.55% B:0.09%)
 
 No double 
Pip=54-86
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 93.92% (G:6.16% B:0.15%) 94.55% (G:4.74% B:0.11%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 6.08% (G:0.13% B:0.00%) 5.45% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.984 +2.471
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.051
     Double/Take:+2.221 (+1.170)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.051)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 4.1%
 
 63: 8/5 8/2 
Pip=54-86
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 8/2eq: +1.036
Player:
Opponent:		94.90% (G:4.72% B:0.11%)
5.10% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++12/9 8/2eq: +1.033 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		94.58% (G:4.62% B:0.11%)
5.42% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++12/3eq: +1.032 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		92.74% (G:5.48% B:0.14%)
7.26% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 6/3eq: +1.021 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		93.34% (G:4.39% B:0.10%)
6.66% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 7/4eq: +0.916 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		89.29% (G:3.57% B:0.07%)
10.71% (G:0.68% B:0.00%)
 
 31: Bar/24 4/1 
Pip=54-77
1.played3-plyBar/24 4/1eq: -1.050
Player:
Opponent:		4.60% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
95.40% (G:5.35% B:0.13%)
 
 No double 
Pip=50-77
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 95.08% (G:5.76% B:0.15%) 95.68% (G:4.88% B:0.11%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 4.92% (G:0.06% B:0.00%) 4.32% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +1.001 +2.525
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.049
     Double/Take:+2.326 (+1.277)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.049)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 3.7%
 
 64: 12/6 5/1*  
Pip=50-77
1.playedXG Roller++12/6 5/1* eq: +1.067
Player:
Opponent:		95.72% (G:6.16% B:0.15%)
4.28% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/1* 5/1eq: +1.035 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		96.74% (G:3.48% B:0.08%)
3.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++12/2eq: +1.004 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		93.46% (G:3.20% B:0.06%)
6.54% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/3 7/1* eq: +0.919 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		89.36% (G:5.50% B:0.16%)
10.64% (G:0.54% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++12/8 7/1* eq: +0.918 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		89.88% (G:5.55% B:0.14%)
10.12% (G:1.50% B:0.00%)
 
 53: Cannot Move 
Pip=51-67
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.032
Player:
Opponent:		3.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.14% (G:3.69% B:0.14%)
 
 No double 
Pip=51-67
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 95.63% (G:4.15% B:0.08%) 96.24% (G:3.03% B:0.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 4.37% (G:0.03% B:0.00%) 3.76% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.984 +2.552
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.035
     Double/Take:+2.377 (+1.343)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.035)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 2.5%
 
 31: 6/5 6/3 
Pip=51-67
1.playedXG Roller++6/5 6/3eq: +1.053
Player:
Opponent:		95.21% (G:5.47% B:0.14%)
4.79% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/2eq: +1.046 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		95.01% (G:5.44% B:0.13%)
4.99% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/4 6/5eq: +0.904 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		90.01% (G:5.26% B:0.13%)
9.99% (G:0.86% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/3eq: +0.884 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		88.42% (G:5.11% B:0.13%)
11.58% (G:0.81% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply7/6 7/4eq: +0.880 (-0.173)
Player:
Opponent:		87.40% (G:5.20% B:0.18%)
12.60% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
 
 55: Cannot Move 
Pip=51-63
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.021
Player:
Opponent:		4.21% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
95.79% (G:3.14% B:0.11%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=51-63
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 95.08% (G:3.35% B:0.07%) 95.87% (G:2.54% B:0.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 4.92% (G:0.06% B:0.00%) 4.13% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.959 +2.533
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+1.020±0.002 (+1.019..+1.022)
     Double/Take:+2.343 (+1.323)±0.004 (+2.340..+2.347)
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.020)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 1.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 15.4 seconds

Από τα 1296 sequences μέχρι την επόμενη ευκαιρία για cash, υπάρχουν μόνο 4 μετά τα οποία δεν έχω πάσο. Ο Μίμης μπορούσε να παίξει ακόμα μια ζαριά και να επανμαξιολογήσει τη θέση.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
Advanced (-0.0169) Total Error Expert (-0.0142)
Advanced (-0.0163) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0152)
Advanced (-0.0225) Cube Play Expert (-0.0131)
8.43 Performance Rating 7.08
4(2) Move Errors 2(2)
-0.309(-3.32%) Equity lost (cost) -0.258(-2.77%)
     
1 Double Errors 3(1)
-0.045(-0.48%) Equity lost (cost) -0.223(-2.40%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
5(2) Total Error 5(3)
-0.354(-3.81%) Equity lost (cost) -0.481(-5.17%)
     
4 Jokers 4
-1.292(-13.88%) Luck +1.292(+13.88%)

 Game 9

13 point match, Score is mman: 9, Iskandar: 12 Crawford

 
 61: 13/7 8/7 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook113/7 8/7eq: -0.055
Player:
Opponent:		53.60% (G:15.49% B:0.80%)
46.40% (G:12.35% B:0.52%)
2.Book124/23 24/18eq: -0.168 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		49.17% (G:12.02% B:0.55%)
50.83% (G:14.79% B:0.47%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -0.180 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		48.25% (G:13.20% B:0.61%)
51.75% (G:14.15% B:0.60%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 6/5eq: -0.196 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		47.89% (G:12.91% B:0.54%)
52.11% (G:14.98% B:0.96%)
5.XG Roller++24/18 6/5eq: -0.198 (-0.143)
Player:
Opponent:		48.32% (G:11.64% B:0.52%)
51.68% (G:16.01% B:0.65%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=167-160
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +0.136
Player:
Opponent:		49.51% (G:14.19% B:0.54%)
50.49% (G:14.05% B:0.74%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 6/5eq: -0.003 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		44.12% (G:11.18% B:0.43%)
55.88% (G:17.54% B:1.25%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/10eq: -0.009 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		43.72% (G:11.32% B:0.40%)
56.28% (G:16.25% B:0.80%)
4.XG Roller++24/21 6/5eq: -0.017 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		43.90% (G:10.22% B:0.39%)
56.10% (G:17.39% B:0.93%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 24/21eq: -0.025 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:		43.64% (G:9.98% B:0.34%)
56.36% (G:16.26% B:0.67%)
 
 63: 24/15 
Pip=163-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/15eq: -0.182
Player:
Opponent:		49.04% (G:12.21% B:0.62%)
50.96% (G:15.82% B:0.54%)
2.xgXG Roller++24/21 13/7eq: -0.182 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		48.69% (G:14.05% B:0.83%)
51.31% (G:15.20% B:0.57%)
3.XG Roller++24/18 13/10eq: -0.229 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		47.17% (G:12.50% B:0.67%)
52.83% (G:16.79% B:0.77%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: -0.236 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		46.38% (G:14.73% B:0.74%)
53.62% (G:15.86% B:0.84%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 24/18eq: -0.243 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		47.19% (G:11.77% B:0.67%)
52.81% (G:18.22% B:0.62%)
 
 65: 13/7 6/1*  
Pip=163-151
1.xgXG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: +0.061
Player:
Opponent:		45.91% (G:13.93% B:0.39%)
54.09% (G:13.21% B:0.76%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/7 6/1* eq: +0.041 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		44.81% (G:14.14% B:0.31%)
55.19% (G:14.19% B:0.94%)
3.XG Roller++13/2eq: -0.032 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		42.30% (G:11.89% B:0.28%)
57.70% (G:14.03% B:0.84%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 8/3eq: -0.094 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		39.58% (G:11.17% B:0.32%)
60.42% (G:17.35% B:1.38%)
5.4-ply8/2 6/1* eq: -0.139 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		37.75% (G:10.34% B:0.25%)
62.25% (G:17.58% B:1.36%)

Το ξεφόρτωμα της midpoint είναι λίγο καλύτερο από το χτύπημα στον άσο. σκέφτηκα ότι ήθελα να περιπλεξω λίγο τα πράγματα και να αυξήσω κάπως τα διπλά που τόσο χρειάζομαι.
 
 41: Bar/24* 15/11 
Pip=152-152
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24* 15/11eq: -0.015
Player:
Opponent:		54.99% (G:17.15% B:1.24%)
45.01% (G:11.13% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24* 13/9eq: -0.100 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		51.85% (G:16.92% B:1.30%)
48.15% (G:13.36% B:0.64%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 15/14eq: -0.160 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		51.28% (G:11.98% B:0.75%)
48.72% (G:18.12% B:0.36%)
4.4-plyBar/21 6/5eq: -0.222 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		49.54% (G:12.26% B:0.77%)
50.46% (G:20.71% B:0.81%)
5.4-plyBar/24* 6/2eq: -0.233 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		46.73% (G:12.92% B:0.79%)
53.27% (G:16.31% B:0.90%)
 
 31: Bar/22 8/7 
Pip=176-147
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 8/7eq: -0.043
Player:
Opponent:		42.71% (G:10.04% B:0.36%)
57.29% (G:17.72% B:1.28%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21eq: -0.063 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		41.99% (G:9.46% B:0.35%)
58.01% (G:19.25% B:1.55%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/5eq: -0.082 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		41.17% (G:9.17% B:0.32%)
58.83% (G:18.93% B:1.46%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/23eq: -0.084 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		41.07% (G:9.20% B:0.31%)
58.93% (G:20.06% B:1.34%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.091 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		40.57% (G:9.50% B:0.36%)
59.43% (G:21.19% B:2.13%)
 
 61: 24/17*  
Pip=172-147
1.xgRollout111/5 6/5eq: +0.128
Player:
Opponent:		61.02% (G:27.79% B:4.73%)
38.98% (G:9.00% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.121...+0.135) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 41 seconds
2.playedRollout124/17* eq: +0.102 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		59.79% (G:25.17% B:5.27%)
40.21% (G:9.11% B:0.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.094...+0.110) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 41 seconds
3.4-ply24/23 13/7eq: -0.046 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		53.59% (G:16.99% B:1.08%)
46.41% (G:11.45% B:0.43%)
4.4-ply13/7 11/10eq: -0.107 (-0.234)
Player:
Opponent:		51.07% (G:15.90% B:0.94%)
48.93% (G:12.44% B:0.50%)
5.3-ply13/6eq: -0.157 (-0.285)
Player:
Opponent:		48.92% (G:14.29% B:0.90%)
51.08% (G:13.15% B:0.51%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
 54: Bar/21 13/8*  
Pip=189-140
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 13/8* eq: -0.002
Player:
Opponent:		44.32% (G:10.89% B:0.41%)
55.68% (G:18.48% B:1.42%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 24/20eq: -0.126 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		39.42% (G:8.30% B:0.23%)
60.58% (G:16.30% B:0.50%)
3.4-plyBar/20 13/9eq: -0.181 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		37.18% (G:7.38% B:0.28%)
62.82% (G:20.44% B:1.66%)
4.4-plyBar/20 7/3eq: -0.233 (-0.232)
Player:
Opponent:		34.86% (G:6.77% B:0.23%)
65.14% (G:21.41% B:1.88%)
5.4-plyBar/16eq: -0.234 (-0.233)
Player:
Opponent:		34.88% (G:6.64% B:0.23%)
65.12% (G:19.89% B:1.40%)
 
 21: Bar/24 13/11 
Pip=180-148
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.045
Player:
Opponent:		53.59% (G:18.03% B:1.14%)
46.41% (G:11.38% B:0.45%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/22eq: -0.049 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		53.95% (G:17.46% B:1.29%)
46.05% (G:12.45% B:0.46%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 11/10eq: -0.108 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		51.36% (G:16.46% B:1.08%)
48.64% (G:13.14% B:0.52%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/4* eq: -0.122 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		50.97% (G:16.85% B:1.36%)
49.03% (G:13.77% B:0.72%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 11/9eq: -0.180 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		48.32% (G:14.66% B:0.82%)
51.68% (G:14.19% B:0.58%)
 
 53: 24/21 13/8 
Pip=180-145
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: +0.082
Player:
Opponent:		48.08% (G:11.72% B:0.47%)
51.92% (G:16.36% B:0.72%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: +0.012 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		44.96% (G:10.99% B:0.52%)
55.04% (G:21.38% B:2.19%)
3.XG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: +0.002 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:11.55% B:0.45%)
55.84% (G:17.77% B:1.34%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 6/3eq: -0.019 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		43.83% (G:10.14% B:0.44%)
56.17% (G:21.99% B:2.05%)
5.XG Roller++21/16 13/10eq: -0.031 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		43.17% (G:10.26% B:0.49%)
56.83% (G:21.81% B:2.29%)
 
 41: 13/8 
Pip=172-145
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: -0.171
Player:
Opponent:		47.79% (G:14.97% B:0.62%)
52.21% (G:12.36% B:0.47%)
2.XG Roller++6/1* eq: -0.215 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		46.48% (G:13.98% B:0.50%)
53.52% (G:14.04% B:0.58%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 6/2eq: -0.235 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		45.90% (G:13.57% B:0.56%)
54.10% (G:14.83% B:0.59%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 11/7eq: -0.246 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		44.74% (G:13.37% B:0.54%)
55.26% (G:13.72% B:0.49%)
5.XG Roller++11/6eq: -0.299 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		42.56% (G:12.99% B:0.55%)
57.44% (G:14.61% B:0.59%)
 
 62: 24/16 
Pip=172-140
1.XG Roller++24/22 21/15eq: +0.153
Player:
Opponent:		51.43% (G:12.08% B:0.54%)
48.57% (G:15.56% B:0.68%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/16eq: +0.151 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		51.46% (G:11.83% B:0.47%)
48.54% (G:14.17% B:0.56%)
3.XG Roller++22/16 13/11eq: +0.141 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		50.74% (G:12.29% B:0.56%)
49.26% (G:17.09% B:0.91%)
4.XG Roller++22/16 6/4eq: +0.107 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		49.33% (G:11.70% B:0.51%)
50.67% (G:19.38% B:0.96%)
5.XG Roller++22/20 21/15eq: +0.096 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		48.84% (G:11.54% B:0.55%)
51.16% (G:20.18% B:1.47%)
 
 53: 24/16 
Pip=164-140
1.playedXG Roller++24/16eq: +0.017
Player:
Opponent:		55.97% (G:14.51% B:0.56%)
44.03% (G:9.97% B:0.37%)
2.XG Roller++8/3* 6/3eq: -0.141 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		48.67% (G:16.17% B:0.60%)
51.33% (G:11.08% B:0.42%)
3.4-ply24/21 6/1eq: -0.206 (-0.222)
Player:
Opponent:		47.26% (G:14.56% B:0.52%)
52.74% (G:14.67% B:0.51%)
4.4-ply24/21 8/3* eq: -0.210 (-0.227)
Player:
Opponent:		46.88% (G:12.81% B:0.49%)
53.12% (G:14.37% B:0.58%)
5.3-ply24/21 11/6eq: -0.300 (-0.317)
Player:
Opponent:		42.99% (G:11.81% B:0.45%)
57.01% (G:15.56% B:0.58%)

Η υπερπήδηση του prime εδώ είναι βέβαια must.
 
 54: 16/11 13/9*  
Pip=164-132
1.playedXG Roller++16/11 13/9* eq: +0.244
Player:
Opponent:		54.93% (G:14.13% B:0.56%)
45.07% (G:12.33% B:0.56%)
2.XG Roller++21/16 13/9* eq: +0.234 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		54.24% (G:14.56% B:0.63%)
45.76% (G:14.45% B:0.80%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 13/9* eq: +0.178 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		51.65% (G:14.13% B:0.57%)
48.35% (G:12.50% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++13/9* 9/4eq: +0.151 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		50.56% (G:13.59% B:0.56%)
49.44% (G:15.76% B:0.75%)
5.4-ply13/9* 6/1eq: +0.014 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		44.85% (G:11.37% B:0.42%)
55.15% (G:16.69% B:0.82%)
 
 53: Bar/22 6/1 
Pip=155-141
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 8/3* eq: -0.381
Player:
Opponent:		39.89% (G:11.37% B:0.54%)
60.11% (G:17.42% B:0.69%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 6/1eq: -0.409 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		38.56% (G:10.90% B:0.41%)
61.44% (G:17.53% B:0.64%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 11/6eq: -0.457 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		35.95% (G:9.55% B:0.48%)
64.05% (G:17.12% B:0.62%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 13/8eq: -0.469 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		36.03% (G:8.93% B:0.42%)
63.97% (G:18.41% B:0.59%)
5.4-plyBar/22 7/2eq: -0.594 (-0.212)
Player:
Opponent:		32.47% (G:8.11% B:0.41%)
67.53% (G:23.64% B:0.95%)

Η ιδέα του χτυπήματος είναι φυσικά να εμποδίσει το χτίσιμο του πεντάπορτου, το οποίο θα κλείσει τα εξάρια της εξόδου.
Πιθανότατα κι εγώ θα φοβόμουν να χτυπήσω.
 
 61: 11/10 9/3*  
Pip=155-133
1.playedXG Roller++11/10 9/3* eq: +0.225
Player:
Opponent:		53.08% (G:15.85% B:0.66%)
46.92% (G:14.37% B:0.58%)
2.XG Roller++22/21 9/3* eq: +0.215 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		52.98% (G:15.15% B:0.60%)
47.02% (G:13.22% B:0.45%)
3.XG Roller++22/15eq: +0.206 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		53.61% (G:13.03% B:0.56%)
46.39% (G:14.28% B:0.51%)
4.XG Roller++21/20 9/3* eq: +0.202 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		51.98% (G:15.81% B:0.73%)
48.02% (G:16.39% B:1.04%)
5.XG Roller++9/3* 6/5eq: +0.202 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		52.12% (G:15.50% B:0.66%)
47.88% (G:15.16% B:0.68%)
 
 42: Bar/21 8/6 
Pip=148-136
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/23 11/7eq: -0.426
Player:
Opponent:		38.94% (G:11.81% B:0.55%)
61.06% (G:19.92% B:0.75%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/2eq: -0.450 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		38.21% (G:11.57% B:0.44%)
61.79% (G:20.84% B:0.85%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 8/6eq: -0.462 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		38.99% (G:11.44% B:0.52%)
61.01% (G:23.50% B:0.86%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/11eq: -0.516 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		37.00% (G:10.06% B:0.45%)
63.00% (G:24.91% B:0.84%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/23 7/3* eq: -0.580 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		35.37% (G:10.20% B:0.42%)
64.63% (G:27.89% B:1.97%)

Ένα πολύ ενδιαφέρον δίλημμα: Στο 21 δέχεται πιο εύκολα επίθεση, στο 23 δεν δραπετεύει εύκολα και αφήνει έμμεσες βολές αλλά έχει πολύ καλύτερη κατανομή. Καλή τύχη στη μαντεψιά αν δεν είσαι bot.
 
 54: 8/3 8/4*  
Pip=148-130
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 8/4* eq: +0.415
Player:
Opponent:		58.50% (G:23.78% B:0.98%)
41.50% (G:11.74% B:0.51%)
2.XG Roller++13/4* eq: +0.248 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		53.63% (G:17.09% B:0.73%)
46.37% (G:14.50% B:0.55%)
3.4-ply10/5 8/4* eq: +0.120 (-0.295)
Player:
Opponent:		48.10% (G:15.34% B:0.63%)
51.90% (G:17.58% B:0.80%)
4.4-ply21/16 8/4* eq: +0.097 (-0.318)
Player:
Opponent:		47.24% (G:14.76% B:0.71%)
52.76% (G:25.06% B:3.01%)
5.3-ply13/9 10/5eq: +0.025 (-0.389)
Player:
Opponent:		44.69% (G:12.79% B:0.49%)
55.31% (G:10.96% B:0.36%)
 
 32: Bar/23 11/8 
Pip=139-134
1.Rollout1Bar/23 6/3* eq: -0.628
Player:
Opponent:		35.52% (G:10.14% B:0.79%)
64.48% (G:32.85% B:2.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.635...-0.621) - [98.5%]
Duration: 5 minutes 55 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/23 11/8eq: -0.638 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		34.86% (G:11.08% B:0.81%)
65.14% (G:32.61% B:1.39%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.644...-0.632) - [1.5%]
Duration: 5 minutes 08 seconds
3.4-plyBar/23 13/10eq: -0.903 (-0.275)
Player:
Opponent:		26.20% (G:6.06% B:0.29%)
73.80% (G:41.45% B:2.88%)
4.3-plyBar/23 8/5eq: -1.028 (-0.400)
Player:
Opponent:		21.58% (G:4.35% B:0.20%)
78.42% (G:44.58% B:3.82%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

!
 
 62: 22/14*  
Pip=139-129
1.playedXG Roller++22/14* eq: +0.663
Player:
Opponent:		68.41% (G:28.61% B:1.36%)
31.59% (G:8.71% B:0.36%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 4/2* eq: +0.539 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		62.72% (G:27.72% B:0.95%)
37.28% (G:9.52% B:0.38%)
3.XG Roller++22/16 6/4eq: +0.511 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		63.46% (G:23.51% B:1.31%)
36.54% (G:8.29% B:0.31%)
4.4-ply22/20 10/4eq: +0.496 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		62.61% (G:23.73% B:0.83%)
37.39% (G:7.20% B:0.22%)
5.4-ply21/15 4/2* eq: +0.495 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		61.05% (G:26.68% B:1.06%)
38.95% (G:11.97% B:0.83%)
 
 52: Bar/23 6/1 
Pip=131-143
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/1eq: -0.585
Player:
Opponent:		29.10% (G:5.26% B:0.11%)
70.90% (G:16.22% B:0.59%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/3eq: -0.671 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		25.05% (G:4.27% B:0.11%)
74.95% (G:16.72% B:0.65%)
3.4-plyBar/23 13/8eq: -0.772 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:		21.80% (G:3.84% B:0.21%)
78.20% (G:20.17% B:1.02%)
4.4-plyBar/23 7/2eq: -0.772 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:		21.69% (G:3.75% B:0.15%)
78.31% (G:19.98% B:1.06%)
 
 54: 13/4 
Pip=131-136
1.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: +0.572
Player:
Opponent:		70.75% (G:15.23% B:0.55%)
29.25% (G:4.96% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++14/9 13/9eq: +0.483 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		66.30% (G:15.32% B:0.62%)
33.70% (G:6.63% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 10/5eq: +0.414 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		62.75% (G:15.48% B:0.55%)
37.25% (G:8.59% B:0.24%)
4.4-ply14/10 13/8eq: +0.386 (-0.185)
Player:
Opponent:		61.20% (G:15.77% B:0.62%)
38.80% (G:7.90% B:0.17%)
5.4-ply14/5eq: +0.385 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:		60.77% (G:16.47% B:0.72%)
39.23% (G:9.21% B:0.25%)
 
 21: 13/11* 8/7 
Pip=122-136
1.XG Roller++13/12 13/11* eq: -0.561
Player:
Opponent:		30.25% (G:5.41% B:0.14%)
69.75% (G:16.15% B:0.58%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11* 8/7eq: -0.569 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		30.10% (G:5.33% B:0.13%)
69.90% (G:16.65% B:0.59%)
3.XG Roller++6/3eq: -0.630 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		26.03% (G:4.39% B:0.09%)
73.97% (G:14.65% B:0.59%)
4.XG Roller++13/11* 11/10eq: -0.655 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		27.81% (G:5.05% B:0.13%)
72.19% (G:20.58% B:0.86%)
5.XG Roller++7/5 6/5eq: -0.656 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		26.42% (G:5.01% B:0.13%)
73.58% (G:17.97% B:0.79%)
 
 53: Bar/20 10/7 
Pip=133-133
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 10/7eq: +0.536
Player:
Opponent:		69.51% (G:14.18% B:0.46%)
30.49% (G:5.02% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 6/3eq: +0.520 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		68.20% (G:15.13% B:0.50%)
31.80% (G:5.74% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 21/16eq: +0.514 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		67.02% (G:16.91% B:0.80%)
32.98% (G:10.13% B:0.55%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 10/5eq: +0.500 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		67.27% (G:15.05% B:0.54%)
32.73% (G:6.10% B:0.18%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/1eq: +0.439 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		63.44% (G:16.57% B:0.55%)
36.56% (G:7.93% B:0.27%)

Σε μάχη αποκλεισμών (priming battle) είναι σημαντικό να έρχεσαι στην άκρη του αντίπαλου prime.
 
 54: 13/8 11/7 
Pip=125-133
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 11/7eq: -0.612
Player:
Opponent:		25.84% (G:3.53% B:0.07%)
74.16% (G:12.55% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++11/2eq: -0.721 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		22.15% (G:2.87% B:0.05%)
77.85% (G:15.96% B:0.56%)
3.XG Roller++11/6 7/3eq: -0.722 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		22.17% (G:2.84% B:0.05%)
77.83% (G:16.04% B:0.57%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 7/3eq: -0.736 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		22.04% (G:3.12% B:0.06%)
77.96% (G:17.22% B:0.63%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 6/2eq: -0.744 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		21.83% (G:3.10% B:0.06%)
78.17% (G:17.59% B:0.66%)
 
 63: 20/14 7/4 
Pip=125-124
1.playedXG Roller++20/14 7/4eq: +0.603
Player:
Opponent:		73.66% (G:12.61% B:0.37%)
26.34% (G:3.80% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++20/11eq: +0.599 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		73.18% (G:13.18% B:0.37%)
26.82% (G:3.40% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++20/14 6/3eq: +0.598 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		73.39% (G:12.72% B:0.36%)
26.61% (G:3.91% B:0.09%)
4.XG Roller++21/15 7/4eq: +0.531 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		69.95% (G:12.82% B:0.45%)
30.05% (G:7.20% B:0.25%)
5.XG Roller++21/15 6/3eq: +0.517 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		69.35% (G:12.68% B:0.42%)
30.65% (G:7.58% B:0.25%)
 
 61: 8/2 7/6 
Pip=116-124
1.playedXG Roller++8/2 7/6eq: -0.692
Player:
Opponent:		21.98% (G:2.75% B:0.05%)
78.02% (G:12.81% B:0.39%)
2.XG Roller++8/1eq: -0.714 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		20.91% (G:2.18% B:0.04%)
79.09% (G:12.90% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++7/6 7/1eq: -0.717 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		21.06% (G:2.31% B:0.04%)
78.94% (G:13.40% B:0.36%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 6/5eq: -0.755 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		20.27% (G:2.68% B:0.05%)
79.73% (G:15.62% B:0.57%)
5.XG Roller++7/1 6/5eq: -0.783 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		18.93% (G:1.99% B:0.03%)
81.07% (G:15.70% B:0.52%)
 
 63: 21/12 
Pip=116-117
1.playedXG Roller++21/12eq: +0.686
Player:
Opponent:		78.45% (G:11.44% B:0.35%)
21.55% (G:2.86% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++21/15 6/3eq: +0.678 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		77.72% (G:12.02% B:0.38%)
22.28% (G:3.24% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++21/15 14/11eq: +0.674 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		77.76% (G:11.52% B:0.36%)
22.24% (G:2.82% B:0.07%)
4.XG Roller++21/15 4/1eq: +0.669 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		76.92% (G:12.70% B:0.39%)
23.08% (G:3.78% B:0.13%)
5.XG Roller++14/5eq: +0.661 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		76.29% (G:13.18% B:0.41%)
23.71% (G:2.51% B:0.06%)
 
 53: 7/2 6/3 
Pip=107-117
1.playedXG Roller++7/2 6/3eq: -0.718
Player:
Opponent:		19.98% (G:1.95% B:0.03%)
80.02% (G:11.49% B:0.37%)
2.XG Roller++6/3 6/1eq: -0.763 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		17.06% (G:1.02% B:0.01%)
82.94% (G:10.18% B:0.28%)
3.XG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.821 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		16.00% (G:1.18% B:0.01%)
84.00% (G:13.66% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++7/2 7/4* eq: -0.837 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		19.36% (G:4.00% B:0.09%)
80.64% (G:21.76% B:1.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/5 8/3eq: -0.850 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		14.39% (G:0.84% B:0.01%)
85.61% (G:13.40% B:0.41%)
 
 62: 21/15 14/12 
Pip=107-109
1.xgXG Roller++21/15 12/10eq: +0.732
Player:
Opponent:		81.28% (G:10.40% B:0.37%)
18.72% (G:1.58% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++21/13eq: +0.728 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		81.34% (G:9.82% B:0.31%)
18.66% (G:1.48% B:0.03%)
3.playedXG Roller++21/15 14/12eq: +0.714 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		81.26% (G:8.64% B:0.26%)
18.74% (G:0.82% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++21/15 6/4eq: +0.708 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		80.29% (G:9.91% B:0.32%)
19.71% (G:1.91% B:0.05%)
5.XG Roller++12/4eq: +0.637 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		74.87% (G:13.62% B:0.51%)
25.13% (G:3.87% B:0.06%)
 
 64: 8/2 7/3 
Pip=99-109
1.xgXG Roller++7/3 7/1eq: -0.767
Player:
Opponent:		16.65% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)
83.35% (G:9.77% B:0.25%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/2 7/3eq: -0.768 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		16.65% (G:0.74% B:0.01%)
83.35% (G:9.86% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 7/1eq: -0.782 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		15.79% (G:0.47% B:0.00%)
84.21% (G:9.50% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++8/4 8/2eq: -0.791 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		15.47% (G:0.42% B:0.00%)
84.53% (G:9.75% B:0.24%)
5.XG Roller++7/1 6/2eq: -0.798 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		14.87% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
85.13% (G:9.26% B:0.21%)
 
 21: 15/12 
Pip=99-99
1.xgXG Roller++4/1eq: +0.739
Player:
Opponent:		80.76% (G:12.01% B:0.32%)
19.24% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++15/14 6/4eq: +0.738 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		81.42% (G:10.62% B:0.31%)
18.58% (G:0.94% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++6/3eq: +0.736 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		81.15% (G:11.03% B:0.31%)
18.85% (G:0.80% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++15/14 12/10eq: +0.726 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		80.08% (G:12.10% B:0.46%)
19.92% (G:2.15% B:0.04%)
5.playedXG Roller++15/12eq: +0.717 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		81.00% (G:9.46% B:0.26%)
19.00% (G:0.49% B:0.01%)
 
 32: 7/4 6/4 
Pip=96-99
1.playedXG Roller++7/4 6/4eq: -0.724
Player:
Opponent:		18.48% (G:0.73% B:0.01%)
81.52% (G:9.09% B:0.20%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 7/5eq: -0.749 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		17.92% (G:0.87% B:0.01%)
82.08% (G:10.44% B:0.26%)
3.XG Roller++8/5 6/4eq: -0.749 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		17.82% (G:0.78% B:0.01%)
82.18% (G:10.26% B:0.45%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 6/3eq: -0.751 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		17.60% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)
82.40% (G:9.98% B:0.50%)
5.XG Roller++7/5 6/3eq: -0.767 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		16.93% (G:0.61% B:0.00%)
83.07% (G:10.31% B:0.31%)
 
 53: 12/4 
Pip=96-94
1.xgXG Roller++12/7 4/1eq: +0.720
Player:
Opponent:		80.77% (G:10.16% B:0.23%)
19.23% (G:0.88% B:0.02%)
2.playedXG Roller++12/4eq: +0.713 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		81.24% (G:8.56% B:0.19%)
18.76% (G:0.60% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++12/7 6/3eq: +0.704 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		81.09% (G:8.04% B:0.18%)
18.91% (G:0.76% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 4/1eq: +0.702 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		79.77% (G:10.40% B:0.23%)
20.23% (G:1.07% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++12/9 6/1eq: +0.674 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		78.74% (G:9.69% B:0.23%)
21.26% (G:1.87% B:0.04%)
 
 52: 6/4 6/1 
Pip=88-94
1.XG Roller++8/3 6/4eq: -0.761
Player:
Opponent:		16.71% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)
83.29% (G:9.26% B:0.22%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/1eq: -0.761 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		16.65% (G:0.64% B:0.00%)
83.35% (G:9.17% B:0.22%)
3.playedXG Roller++6/4 6/1eq: -0.777 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		15.52% (G:0.41% B:0.00%)
84.48% (G:8.53% B:0.27%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 4/2eq: -0.803 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		14.89% (G:0.32% B:0.00%)
85.11% (G:9.77% B:0.33%)
5.XG Roller++6/1 3/1eq: -0.803 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		14.80% (G:0.36% B:0.00%)
85.20% (G:9.64% B:0.34%)
 
 43: 12/5 
Pip=88-87
1.playedXG Roller++12/5eq: +0.786
Player:
Opponent:		85.14% (G:8.06% B:0.24%)
14.86% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++12/9 12/8eq: +0.673 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		78.76% (G:9.53% B:0.39%)
21.24% (G:1.86% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++7/4 7/3eq: +0.672 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		79.15% (G:8.64% B:0.20%)
20.85% (G:0.57% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++12/8 4/1eq: +0.663 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		77.65% (G:10.65% B:0.51%)
22.35% (G:2.48% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++7/3 4/1eq: +0.654 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		75.18% (G:14.60% B:0.69%)
24.82% (G:2.07% B:0.02%)
 
 64: 23/13*  
Pip=81-87
1.playedXG Roller++23/13* eq: -0.797
Player:
Opponent:		26.29% (G:1.49% B:0.01%)
73.71% (G:31.27% B:2.91%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 6/2eq: -0.826 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		12.63% (G:0.20% B:0.00%)
87.37% (G:7.63% B:0.13%)
3.4-ply23/17 6/2eq: -1.056 (-0.259)
Player:
Opponent:		11.01% (G:1.04% B:0.01%)
88.99% (G:26.89% B:0.84%)
4.4-ply23/17 8/4eq: -1.063 (-0.266)
Player:
Opponent:		10.57% (G:0.86% B:0.01%)
89.43% (G:26.72% B:0.99%)
 
 63: Bar/19* 5/2*  
Pip=94-77
1.played4-plyBar/19* 5/2* eq: +1.482
Player:
Opponent:		92.63% (G:60.84% B:7.23%)
7.37% (G:0.94% B:0.02%)
2.4-plyBar/19* 6/3eq: +1.259 (-0.222)
Player:
Opponent:		90.96% (G:42.67% B:3.56%)
9.04% (G:0.56% B:0.02%)
3.4-plyBar/19* 19/16eq: +1.241 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		91.55% (G:39.83% B:2.64%)
8.45% (G:0.41% B:0.01%)
4.4-plyBar/19* 4/1eq: +1.241 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:		89.72% (G:43.20% B:4.48%)
10.28% (G:1.06% B:0.02%)
5.3-plyBar/19* 7/4eq: +1.152 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		84.79% (G:44.22% B:3.21%)
15.21% (G:1.54% B:0.01%)
 
 44: Cannot Move 
Pip=85-98
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.681
Player:
Opponent:		3.67% (G:0.28% B:0.01%)
96.33% (G:72.88% B:9.15%)
 
 43: 6/2 4/1 
Pip=85-98
1.playedXG Roller++6/2 4/1eq: +1.691
Player:
Opponent:		97.29% (G:72.00% B:9.41%)
2.71% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++19/16 6/2eq: +1.655 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		96.99% (G:69.35% B:5.27%)
3.01% (G:0.21% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/4 6/2eq: +1.640 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		96.39% (G:68.91% B:7.40%)
3.61% (G:0.20% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++19/12* eq: +1.620 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		96.27% (G:67.29% B:6.68%)
3.73% (G:0.21% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply19/15 6/3eq: +1.416 (-0.275)
Player:
Opponent:		92.23% (G:55.46% B:4.29%)
7.77% (G:0.91% B:0.02%)

Με το εξάπορτο έτοιμο, σλοτάρω στον άσο, ώστε να ολοκληρώσω το close out και να μεγιστοποιήσω τις πιθανότητες να μαζέψω κι άλλα πούλια για το διπλό.
 
 21: Bar/24*  
Pip=78-98
1.played3-plyBar/24* eq: -1.537
Player:
Opponent:		3.88% (G:0.29% B:0.01%)
96.12% (G:59.39% B:7.61%)
 
 54: Bar/16 
Pip=102-97
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/16eq: +1.561
Player:
Opponent:		96.26% (G:61.27% B:9.95%)
3.74% (G:0.23% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 19/15eq: +1.523 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		95.82% (G:58.54% B:8.37%)
4.18% (G:0.37% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20 7/3eq: +1.480 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		92.15% (G:61.38% B:10.02%)
7.85% (G:1.41% B:0.03%)
4.3-plyBar/20 5/1* eq: +1.079 (-0.482)
Player:
Opponent:		78.49% (G:49.26% B:5.62%)
21.51% (G:7.75% B:0.17%)
5.3-plyBar/20 6/2eq: +0.897 (-0.664)
Player:
Opponent:		75.26% (G:37.95% B:3.65%)
24.74% (G:6.23% B:0.10%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=93-97
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -1.029
Player:
Opponent:		6.77% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
93.23% (G:15.98% B:0.43%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3eq: -1.168 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		5.32% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
94.68% (G:26.69% B:1.25%)
 
 43: 16/9 
Pip=93-91
1.playedXG Roller++16/9eq: +1.035
Player:
Opponent:		93.35% (G:16.30% B:0.50%)
6.65% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++19/15 16/13eq: +1.004 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		92.65% (G:14.74% B:0.36%)
7.35% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++19/12eq: +1.003 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		93.17% (G:13.64% B:0.32%)
6.83% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 7/3eq: +0.908 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		85.09% (G:20.05% B:0.75%)
14.91% (G:0.95% B:0.01%)
5.4-ply19/16 7/3eq: +0.824 (-0.210)
Player:
Opponent:		82.20% (G:17.52% B:0.53%)
17.80% (G:1.78% B:0.01%)
 
 31: 4/1 2/1 
Pip=86-91
1.playedXG Roller++4/1 2/1eq: -1.022
Player:
Opponent:		6.90% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
93.10% (G:15.55% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++4/3 4/1eq: -1.035 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		6.92% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
93.08% (G:16.84% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++4/1 3/2eq: -1.048 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		6.74% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
93.26% (G:17.81% B:0.51%)
4.XG Roller++8/7 8/5eq: -1.085 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		6.30% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
93.70% (G:20.49% B:0.84%)
5.XG Roller++8/4eq: -1.092 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		6.15% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
93.85% (G:20.89% B:0.88%)
 
 31: 9/5 
Pip=86-87
1.playedXG Roller++9/5eq: +1.052
Player:
Opponent:		93.66% (G:17.36% B:0.53%)
6.34% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++9/6 4/3eq: +1.044 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		93.38% (G:17.15% B:0.52%)
6.62% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++19/18 9/6eq: +1.030 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		93.44% (G:15.67% B:0.40%)
6.56% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++19/15eq: +1.014 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		93.37% (G:14.28% B:0.34%)
6.63% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++19/16 9/8eq: +1.012 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		93.36% (G:14.10% B:0.33%)
6.64% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 8/6* 6/2 
Pip=82-87
1.playedXG Roller++8/6* 6/2eq: -1.084
Player:
Opponent:		5.93% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
94.07% (G:19.68% B:0.63%)
2.XG Roller++8/2eq: -1.121 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		5.69% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
94.31% (G:22.83% B:0.96%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 3/1eq: -1.140 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		5.30% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
94.70% (G:23.94% B:1.05%)
4.XG Roller++8/4 8/6* eq: -1.142 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		5.43% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
94.57% (G:24.37% B:1.05%)
 
 54: Bar/16 
Pip=88-81
1.played4-plyBar/16eq: +1.029
Player:
Opponent:		93.43% (G:15.62% B:0.35%)
6.57% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
2.4-plyBar/20 7/3eq: +0.862 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		83.18% (G:19.31% B:0.69%)
16.82% (G:1.38% B:0.01%)
3.3-plyBar/20 6/2eq: +0.657 (-0.372)
Player:
Opponent:		76.03% (G:13.24% B:0.42%)
23.97% (G:2.20% B:0.01%)
 
 32: 8/3 
Pip=79-81
1.playedXG Roller++8/3eq: -1.015
Player:
Opponent:		7.01% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
92.99% (G:15.14% B:0.33%)
2.XG Roller++8/6 4/1eq: -1.040 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		7.23% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
92.77% (G:17.98% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++4/2 4/1eq: -1.042 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		6.48% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
93.52% (G:16.73% B:0.38%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 4/2eq: -1.048 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		8.28% (G:0.34% B:0.00%)
91.72% (G:20.75% B:0.76%)
5.XG Roller++8/5 3/1eq: -1.064 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		7.85% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
92.15% (G:21.50% B:0.77%)
 
 65: 16/5 
Pip=79-76
1.played4-ply16/5eq: +1.019
Player:
Opponent:		93.77% (G:13.93% B:0.33%)
6.23% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply16/10 7/2eq: +0.851 (-0.168)
Player:
Opponent:		85.45% (G:13.81% B:0.33%)
14.55% (G:0.84% B:0.01%)
 
 53: 4/1 
Pip=68-76
1.played3-ply4/1eq: -1.034
Player:
Opponent:		5.79% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
94.21% (G:14.54% B:0.35%)
 
 54: 7/3 7/2 
Pip=68-73
1.played3-ply7/3 7/2eq: +1.049
Player:
Opponent:		95.15% (G:14.27% B:0.30%)
4.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply7/2 6/2eq: +0.636 (-0.414)
Player:
Opponent:		76.45% (G:10.38% B:0.31%)
23.55% (G:1.04% B:0.00%)
 
 55: Cannot Move 
Pip=59-73
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.091
Player:
Opponent:		3.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.22% (G:16.21% B:0.48%)
 
 63: 6/3 6/Off 
Pip=59-73
1.playedXG Roller++6/3 6/Offeq: +1.088
Player:
Opponent:		97.97% (G:12.53% B:0.28%)
2.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/Off 3/Offeq: +0.968 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		91.22% (G:14.01% B:0.39%)
8.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/Off 5/2eq: +0.931 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		90.31% (G:12.19% B:0.28%)
9.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 4/2 
Pip=50-73
1.playedXG Roller++4/2eq: -1.171
Player:
Opponent:		1.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.37% (G:19.77% B:0.74%)
2.XG Roller++3/1eq: -1.175 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		1.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.40% (G:20.19% B:0.71%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=50-71
1.playedXG Roller++3/Off 2/Offeq: +1.175
Player:
Opponent:		98.79% (G:19.35% B:0.69%)
1.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/Offeq: +1.136 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		98.45% (G:16.28% B:0.45%)
1.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++4/2 3/Offeq: +1.096 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		97.14% (G:14.97% B:0.40%)
2.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++5/3 5/2eq: +1.043 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		96.93% (G:10.18% B:0.22%)
3.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++5/2 4/2eq: +1.017 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		95.52% (G:10.36% B:0.21%)
4.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 44: Cannot Move 
Pip=45-71
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.271
Player:
Opponent:		1.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.70% (G:28.85% B:1.04%)
 
 62: 5/3 5/Off 
Pip=45-71
1.playedXG Roller++5/3 5/Offeq: +1.228
Player:
Opponent:		98.63% (G:24.82% B:1.11%)
1.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/Off 4/2eq: +1.224 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		98.26% (G:25.13% B:1.12%)
1.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++5/Off 2/Offeq: +1.091 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		94.92% (G:18.69% B:0.92%)
5.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 24/17 
Pip=38-71
1.playedXG Roller++24/17eq: -1.185
Player:
Opponent:		1.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.61% (G:20.72% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++24/19 3/1eq: -1.237 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		1.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.69% (G:25.59% B:0.52%)
 
 65: 5/Off(2) 
Pip=38-64
1.played3-ply5/Off(2)eq: +1.211
Player:
Opponent:		99.17% (G:22.18% B:0.40%)
0.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 63: 17/8 
Pip=28-64
1.playedXG Roller++17/8eq: -1.188
Player:
Opponent:		0.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.06% (G:20.17% B:0.45%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 17/14eq: -1.203 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:19.80% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++24/15eq: -1.205 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:20.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 4/Off(2) 
Pip=28-55
1.played3-ply4/Off(2)eq: +1.102
Player:
Opponent:		97.60% (G:14.59% B:0.14%)
2.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 24/21* 21/19 
Pip=20-55
1.playedXG Roller++24/21* 21/19eq: -0.940
Player:
Opponent:		6.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.86% (G:6.13% B:0.18%)
2.XG Roller++24/21* 3/1eq: -0.968 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		5.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.72% (G:7.19% B:0.20%)
3.XG Roller++24/21* 8/6eq: -1.026 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		5.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.72% (G:12.83% B:0.38%)
4.3-ply8/3eq: -1.361 (-0.421)
Player:
Opponent:		0.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.81% (G:35.52% B:0.74%)
5.3-ply8/5 3/1eq: -1.363 (-0.423)
Player:
Opponent:		0.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.83% (G:35.66% B:0.99%)
 
 53: Bar/17*  
Pip=41-50
1.played3-plyBar/17* eq: +1.178
Player:
Opponent:		97.27% (G:22.61% B:0.41%)
2.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: Bar/18 
Pip=33-67
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/18eq: -1.140
Player:
Opponent:		3.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.80% (G:19.86% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 19/16eq: -1.163 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		2.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.15% (G:21.41% B:0.44%)
 
 41: 17/13 3/2 
Pip=33-60
1.playedXG Roller++17/13 3/2eq: +1.028
Player:
Opponent:		95.61% (G:11.31% B:0.25%)
4.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++17/12eq: +0.975 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		94.32% (G:8.62% B:0.17%)
5.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++17/13 2/1eq: +0.970 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		93.70% (G:9.37% B:0.12%)
6.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 19/12*  
Pip=28-60
1.playedXG Roller++19/12* eq: -0.954
Player:
Opponent:		5.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.15% (G:6.88% B:0.22%)
2.xgXG Roller++18/12* 12/11eq: -0.954 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		5.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.42% (G:6.43% B:0.15%)
3.XG Roller++18/12* 2/1eq: -0.967 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		5.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.59% (G:7.29% B:0.15%)
4.XG Roller++18/12* 3/2eq: -0.968 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		5.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.68% (G:7.28% B:0.14%)
5.4-ply18/11eq: -1.119 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		1.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.52% (G:14.53% B:0.11%)
 
 63: Bar/16 
Pip=40-53
1.played3-plyBar/16eq: +0.931
Player:
Opponent:		94.81% (G:3.35% B:0.05%)
5.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 18/13 12/9*  
Pip=31-53
1.playedXG Roller++18/13 12/9* eq: -0.874
Player:
Opponent:		8.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.58% (G:4.09% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++12/9* 9/4eq: -0.967 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		6.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.91% (G:8.59% B:0.29%)
3.XG Roller++12/4eq: -0.980 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		3.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.98% (G:3.97% B:0.07%)
4.4-ply18/15 12/7eq: -1.056 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		1.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.03% (G:9.31% B:0.21%)
5.4-ply18/10eq: -1.130 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		0.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.11% (G:14.35% B:0.38%)
 
 42: Bar/19 
Pip=40-45
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/19eq: +0.881
Player:
Opponent:		92.26% (G:3.45% B:0.09%)
7.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 3/1eq: +0.829 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		89.84% (G:3.13% B:0.07%)
10.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 44: 13/1 9/5 
Pip=34-45
1.played3-ply13/1 9/5eq: -0.890
Player:
Opponent:		5.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 19/10 
Pip=34-29
1.played3-ply19/10eq: +0.941
Player:
Opponent:		97.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 5/Off 3/Off 
Pip=25-29
1.playedXG Roller++5/Off 3/Offeq: -0.962
Player:
Opponent:		1.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/1 3/Offeq: -0.964 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		1.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 10/5 2/Off 
Pip=25-21
1.playedXG Roller++10/5 2/Offeq: +0.977
Player:
Opponent:		98.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/5 3/1eq: +0.969 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		98.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/3eq: +0.948 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		97.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=18-21
1.played4-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: -0.991
Player:
Opponent:		0.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply3/2 3/Offeq: -0.991 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply3/Off 2/1eq: -0.992 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		0.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=18-17
1.played4-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +0.992
Player:
Opponent:		99.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply3/1 3/Offeq: +0.988 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		99.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/Offeq: +0.978 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		98.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/2 3/1eq: +0.953 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		97.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=13-17
1.played4-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: -0.998
Player:
Opponent:		0.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply3/Offeq: -0.998
Player:
Opponent:		0.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply3/Off 2/1eq: -0.998
Player:
Opponent:		0.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 5/Off 3/Off 
Pip=13-13
1.played4-ply5/Off 3/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/1 3/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 2/Off 1/Off 
Pip=5-13
1.played4-ply2/Off 1/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply2/1 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 33: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=5-10
1.played3-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Single Game 1pt. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
World Champ. (-0.0021) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0039)
World Champ. (-0.0021) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0039)
NA Cube Play NA
1.05 Performance Rating 1.95
2 Move Errors 3
-0.069(-1.12%) Equity lost (cost) -0.125(-2.01%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
2 Total Error 3
-0.069(-1.12%) Equity lost (cost) -0.125(-2.01%)
     
1 Jokers 1
+0.756(+12.20%) Luck -0.756(-12.20%)

 Game 10

13 point match, Score is mman: 10, Iskandar: 12

 
 63: 24/15 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook124/18 13/10eq: -0.316
Player:
Opponent:		50.15% (G:15.89% B:2.26%)
49.85% (G:14.39% B:1.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.318...-0.315) - [94.2%]
2.playedBook124/15eq: -0.318 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		50.55% (G:15.50% B:2.30%)
49.45% (G:14.87% B:1.18%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.320...-0.316) - [5.8%]
3.Book224/21 13/7eq: -0.349 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		47.79% (G:15.53% B:2.12%)
52.21% (G:13.62% B:1.35%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.351...-0.347) - [0.0%]
4.Book213/4eq: -0.361 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		47.92% (G:15.93% B:2.39%)
52.08% (G:14.33% B:1.84%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.363...-0.359) - [0.0%]
5.Book324/21 24/18eq: -0.368 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		48.83% (G:21.20% B:2.22%)
51.17% (G:15.57% B:1.32%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.371...-0.364) - [0.0%]
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 15-May-13 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1274850
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 01-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38795247
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 26-Feb-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38613390
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
 
 No double 
Pip=167-158
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.90% (G:14.29% B:0.55%) 49.07% (G:14.00% B:0.46%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.10% (G:13.22% B:0.91%) 50.93% (G:12.61% B:0.69%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.004 +0.292
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.295
     Double/Take:+0.295
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.705)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
 66: 24/18(2) 13/7(2) 
Pip=167-158
1.playedXG Roller++24/18(2) 13/7(2)eq: +0.541
Player:
Opponent:		61.56% (G:13.64% B:0.24%)
38.44% (G:5.22% B:0.20%)
2.XG Roller++13/1*(2) eq: +0.513 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		53.28% (G:20.54% B:0.23%)
46.72% (G:9.39% B:0.47%)
3.XG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.413 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		54.44% (G:14.50% B:0.47%)
45.56% (G:9.37% B:0.38%)
4.XG Roller++13/7(2) 8/2(2)eq: +0.389 (-0.152)
Player:
Opponent:		49.82% (G:17.94% B:0.34%)
50.18% (G:11.18% B:0.64%)
5.XG Roller++24/18(2) 8/2(2)eq: +0.379 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		54.57% (G:12.73% B:0.21%)
45.43% (G:7.32% B:0.30%)

Επειδή το take στο automatic double είναι πολύ εύκολο στο post-Crawford όταν ο υπολειπόμενος στο σκορ θέλει μονούς πόντους για τη νίκη, ο βίδος μπορεί να καθυστερήσει μέχρι να υπάρχουν σοβαρές απειλες για gammon, με την ελπίδα να πάρει κανείς ένα λανθασμένο πάσο.
Δεν πιάνει συχνά, αλλά είναι μια στατιστικά επικερδής τακτική, ιδιαίτερα απέναντι σε αδύναμους παίκτες, οι οποίοι μπορεί να φοβηθούν υπερβολικά μια gammonish θέση και να πουλήσουν έναν ολόκληρο βήμα προς τη νίκη.
Απέναντι στον Μίμη δεν έτρεφα τέτοιες ελπίδες, αλλά το να περιμένω δεν στοιχίζει τίποτα.
 
 42: 15/11 13/11 
Pip=143-158
1.playedXG Roller++15/11 13/11eq: -0.546
Player:
Opponent:		39.47% (G:5.73% B:0.21%)
60.53% (G:14.92% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.614 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		37.91% (G:6.76% B:0.25%)
62.09% (G:16.84% B:0.36%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 15/11eq: -0.654 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		36.44% (G:5.36% B:0.20%)
63.56% (G:17.22% B:0.34%)
4.XG Roller++15/11 6/4eq: -0.682 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		35.88% (G:6.35% B:0.23%)
64.12% (G:17.87% B:0.45%)
5.XG Roller++15/9eq: -0.686 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		35.36% (G:5.86% B:0.20%)
64.64% (G:17.58% B:0.37%)
 
 No double 
Pip=143-152
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.62% (G:14.94% B:0.25%) 60.64% (G:14.83% B:0.25%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.38% (G:6.04% B:0.25%) 39.36% (G:5.95% B:0.25%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.225 +0.547
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.548
xg Double/Take:+0.548
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.452)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
 44: 8/4(2) 6/2(2) 
Pip=143-152
1.XG Roller++13/5(2)eq: +0.749
Player:
Opponent:		65.20% (G:20.18% B:0.35%)
34.80% (G:5.43% B:0.21%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.739 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		64.15% (G:20.73% B:0.21%)
35.85% (G:5.41% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.642 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		62.59% (G:17.52% B:0.29%)
37.41% (G:6.30% B:0.28%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 8/4(3)eq: +0.628 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		61.97% (G:17.49% B:0.20%)
38.03% (G:5.27% B:0.23%)
5.XG Roller++13/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.620 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		60.51% (G:18.53% B:0.35%)
39.49% (G:6.64% B:0.31%)

Σκέφτηκα αρκετή ώρα, χωρίς να ξέρω ότι είναι ισοδύναμα.
 
 11: 11/10(2) 6/5(2) 
Pip=127-152
1.playedXG Roller++11/10(2) 6/5(2)eq: -0.780
Player:
Opponent:		35.11% (G:5.67% B:0.24%)
64.89% (G:21.99% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++6/4(2)eq: -0.802 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		35.51% (G:6.09% B:0.28%)
64.49% (G:23.51% B:0.21%)
3.XG Roller++6/5(2) 6/4eq: -0.834 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		35.47% (G:6.51% B:0.29%)
64.53% (G:24.85% B:0.26%)
4.XG Roller++11/9(2)eq: -0.927 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		31.44% (G:4.95% B:0.22%)
68.56% (G:25.07% B:0.24%)
5.XG Roller++11/10(2) 6/4eq: -0.928 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		32.42% (G:5.56% B:0.25%)
67.58% (G:26.09% B:0.27%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=127-148
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.12% (G:21.92% B:0.16%) 64.99% (G:22.22% B:0.17%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.88% (G:5.67% B:0.26%) 35.01% (G:5.82% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.317 +0.787
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.772 (-0.015)
played Double/Take:+0.787
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.213)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Εδώ πλέον αρχίζει και μυρίζει διπλό, έστω και λίγο (σενάριο γρήγορου close out) οπότε δεν μπορώ να ρισκάρω άλλο: βίδος και φυσικά εύκολο take. Δεν μπορει να εγκαταλείψει έναν ολόκληρο πόντο (και μετά να παίξει στα ίσα από 50%-50%) έχοντας τόσο καλές πιθανότητες νίκης, επειδη υπάρχουν κάποια διπλά.
 
 11: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=127-148
1.played4-ply8/5 6/5eq: +0.914
Player:
Opponent:		70.81% (G:24.91% B:0.21%)
29.19% (G:4.94% B:0.22%)
2.4-ply7/5(2)eq: +0.707 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		64.48% (G:20.85% B:0.11%)
35.52% (G:5.08% B:0.22%)
3.4-ply8/4eq: +0.582 (-0.333)
Player:
Opponent:		62.58% (G:16.51% B:0.11%)
37.42% (G:5.34% B:0.25%)
4.3-ply8/6 2/1*(2) eq: +0.594 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		61.42% (G:18.29% B:0.12%)
38.58% (G:5.77% B:0.17%)
5.3-ply8/6 4/3(2)eq: +0.552 (-0.363)
Player:
Opponent:		61.19% (G:16.39% B:0.19%)
38.81% (G:6.40% B:0.20%)
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=123-148
1.xgXG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.967
Player:
Opponent:		28.86% (G:5.51% B:0.24%)
71.14% (G:27.23% B:0.25%)
2.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.968 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		29.20% (G:5.79% B:0.25%)
70.80% (G:27.62% B:0.24%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.979 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		30.93% (G:6.57% B:0.30%)
69.07% (G:29.90% B:0.28%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 8/3eq: -1.006 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		30.22% (G:6.72% B:0.33%)
69.78% (G:30.52% B:0.31%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 6/3eq: -1.056 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		29.77% (G:6.52% B:0.31%)
70.23% (G:32.55% B:0.32%)
 
 31: 13/9 
Pip=123-140
1.played4-ply13/9eq: +0.882
Player:
Opponent:		70.92% (G:23.18% B:0.28%)
29.08% (G:5.47% B:0.25%)
2.4-ply7/6 7/4eq: +0.706 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		64.50% (G:20.81% B:0.13%)
35.50% (G:5.76% B:0.25%)
3.4-ply13/10 7/6eq: +0.589 (-0.293)
Player:
Opponent:		59.35% (G:20.08% B:0.21%)
40.65% (G:8.38% B:0.37%)
4.3-ply13/10 2/1* eq: +0.440 (-0.442)
Player:
Opponent:		53.46% (G:18.54% B:0.35%)
46.54% (G:12.30% B:0.53%)
5.3-ply13/10 5/4eq: +0.436 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		54.03% (G:17.75% B:0.29%)
45.97% (G:11.57% B:0.49%)
 
 31: 13/10 6/5 
Pip=119-140
1.xgRollout113/9eq: -1.139
Player:
Opponent:		30.53% (G:7.54% B:1.17%)
69.47% (G:37.48% B:1.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-1.146...-1.131) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds
2.playedRollout113/10 6/5eq: -1.193 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		26.92% (G:5.96% B:0.53%)
73.08% (G:36.55% B:0.85%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-1.200...-1.185) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 38 seconds
3.XG Roller++13/10 5/4eq: -1.166 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		29.32% (G:8.23% B:0.49%)
70.68% (G:37.63% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++10/6eq: -1.175 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		28.68% (G:7.35% B:0.43%)
71.32% (G:37.42% B:0.56%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 3/2eq: -1.251 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		27.56% (G:7.18% B:0.39%)
72.44% (G:40.12% B:0.57%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Ο Μίμης σκέφτηκε πολύ εδώ. Οποιοσδήποτε άσος στο στρατόπεδό του είναι χάλια, αλλά και το δεύτερο ανοιχτό πούλι φαίνεται πολύ επικίνδυνο.
 
 33: 7/1*(2)  
Pip=119-136
1.played3-ply7/1*(2) eq: +1.573
Player:
Opponent:		78.32% (G:50.35% B:0.24%)
21.68% (G:4.26% B:0.30%)
2.3-ply13/10(2) 4/1*(2) eq: +1.173 (-0.400)
Player:
Opponent:		71.06% (G:37.60% B:0.21%)
28.94% (G:5.31% B:0.31%)
3.3-ply13/1* eq: +1.165 (-0.408)
Player:
Opponent:		70.87% (G:37.39% B:0.46%)
29.13% (G:6.48% B:0.35%)
4.3-ply13/10 9/6 7/1* eq: +1.128 (-0.445)
Player:
Opponent:		68.38% (G:38.04% B:0.36%)
31.62% (G:8.22% B:0.53%)
5.3-ply13/10 9/6 4/1*(2) eq: +1.097 (-0.476)
Player:
Opponent:		70.04% (G:34.81% B:0.17%)
29.96% (G:5.44% B:0.31%)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=107-137
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.734
Player:
Opponent:		17.12% (G:3.02% B:0.22%)
82.88% (G:53.80% B:0.08%)
 
 41: 18/13 
Pip=107-137
1.xgXG Roller++13/8eq: +1.760
Player:
Opponent:		80.04% (G:57.94% B:0.30%)
19.96% (G:4.28% B:0.35%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/13eq: +1.699 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		81.23% (G:53.72% B:0.21%)
18.77% (G:3.38% B:0.24%)
3.XG Roller++18/14 9/8eq: +1.698 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		79.20% (G:55.69% B:0.35%)
20.80% (G:5.12% B:0.46%)
4.4-ply9/4eq: +1.482 (-0.277)
Player:
Opponent:		78.35% (G:45.76% B:0.07%)
21.65% (G:3.76% B:0.23%)
5.2-ply13/9 4/3eq: +0.996 (-0.764)
Player:
Opponent:		62.93% (G:36.87% B:0.22%)
37.07% (G:11.08% B:0.73%)

Με τον αντίπαλο χτυπημένο, σκέφτηκα ότι είναι ευκαιρία να καθαρίσω την πιο αδύναμη πόρτα μου, αλλά εδώ η προτεραιότητα είναι το gammon. Έχω φέρει μερικές ιδανικές ζαριές (66, 44, 11, 33)  και αν θέλω να πάω για το ματς, χρειάζομαι οπωσδήποτε το close out. Αν μετά από 13/8 με χτυπήσει με έμμεση βολή δεν είναι καταστροφή: θα έχω το blot στο 6 του και άλλες έμμεσες βολές στο outfield.
 
 43: Bar/22 10/6 
Pip=102-137
1.played3-plyBar/22 10/6eq: -1.031
Player:
Opponent:		29.95% (G:7.09% B:0.51%)
70.05% (G:31.51% B:0.07%)
2.3-plyBar/22 6/2eq: -1.491 (-0.460)
Player:
Opponent:		20.89% (G:4.78% B:0.30%)
79.11% (G:45.45% B:0.14%)
3.3-plyBar/22 5/1eq: -1.501 (-0.470)
Player:
Opponent:		21.03% (G:5.20% B:0.32%)
78.97% (G:46.08% B:0.24%)
4.3-plyBar/18eq: -1.502 (-0.471)
Player:
Opponent:		14.94% (G:1.90% B:0.12%)
85.06% (G:40.04% B:0.07%)
5.3-plyBar/22 13/9eq: -1.607 (-0.576)
Player:
Opponent:		22.59% (G:6.48% B:0.55%)
77.41% (G:52.95% B:0.60%)
 
 22: 18/14 5/3*(2)  
Pip=102-130
1.xgXG Roller++13/11(2) 5/3*(2) eq: +1.477
Player:
Opponent:		75.58% (G:48.25% B:0.17%)
24.42% (G:5.34% B:0.37%)
2.XG Roller++18/16 13/11 5/3*(2) eq: +1.443 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		76.67% (G:45.46% B:0.11%)
23.33% (G:4.22% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 5/3*(2) eq: +1.395 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		76.97% (G:42.78% B:0.18%)
23.03% (G:4.07% B:0.26%)
4.playedXG Roller++18/14 5/3*(2) eq: +1.373 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		77.63% (G:41.01% B:0.07%)
22.37% (G:3.43% B:0.17%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 9/7 5/3*(2) eq: +1.342 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		74.30% (G:42.81% B:0.18%)
25.70% (G:4.84% B:0.28%)

Κι άλλος τζόκερ, κι άλλο λάθος. Βλέποντας ότι το  6 του έκλεισε, εξακολουθώ να είμαι συγκεντρωμένος στο πώς θα σώσω τα δικά μου πούλια, ενώ θα έπρεπε να πηγαίνω για το gammon και το πρωτάθλημα.
Παρατηρούμε ότι το παίξιμό μου όντως φέρνει περισσότερες συνολικές νίκες, αλλά το 13/11(2) που ούτε καν εξέτασα, παράγει σημαντικά περισσότερα διπλά, λόγω βεβαίως των επιπλέον builder.
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=94-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.600
Player:
Opponent:		14.83% (G:1.83% B:0.10%)
85.17% (G:44.83% B:0.02%)
 
 63: 14/8 9/6 
Pip=94-133
1.xgXG Roller++13/7 9/6eq: +1.619
Player:
Opponent:		84.37% (G:46.57% B:0.05%)
15.63% (G:1.89% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++14/8 13/10eq: +1.592 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		81.78% (G:47.80% B:0.05%)
18.22% (G:2.06% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++14/11 13/7eq: +1.587 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		80.16% (G:49.20% B:0.06%)
19.84% (G:2.34% B:0.13%)
4.playedXG Roller++14/8 9/6eq: +1.581 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		85.28% (G:43.78% B:0.05%)
14.72% (G:1.56% B:0.08%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: +1.560 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		79.55% (G:48.46% B:0.06%)
20.45% (G:3.72% B:0.28%)

Μετά από το παίξιμό μου 24 ζαριές χτυπάνε το πούλι του αν μπει στο 5. Μετά από το σωστό 13/7 9/6 οι ζαριές γίνονται 28, χωρίς επιπλεόν κόστος (δύο έμμεσες βολές από το bar).
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=85-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.753
Player:
Opponent:		12.47% (G:1.32% B:0.10%)
87.53% (G:50.11% B:0.03%)
 
 51: 13/7 
Pip=85-133
1.playedXG Roller++13/7eq: +1.639
Player:
Opponent:		86.31% (G:45.64% B:0.04%)
13.69% (G:1.16% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: +1.526 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		75.41% (G:50.86% B:0.10%)
24.59% (G:3.13% B:0.14%)
3.XG Roller++8/2eq: +1.461 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		83.33% (G:39.70% B:0.03%)
16.67% (G:1.84% B:0.08%)
4.4-ply8/7 6/1eq: +1.336 (-0.303)
Player:
Opponent:		80.27% (G:36.54% B:0.03%)
19.73% (G:2.34% B:0.10%)
5.3-ply8/3 6/5eq: +1.186 (-0.453)
Player:
Opponent:		69.40% (G:39.92% B:0.09%)
30.60% (G:5.71% B:0.23%)

Ήξερα ότι είναι το σωστό, ωστόσο άργησα να το αποφασίσω λόγω της σημασίας της στιγμής και του ματς. Ενδιαφέρον για την κατανόηση της θέσης σ' αυτό το σκορ είχε να προσέξει κανείς ποια είναι η δεύτερη σωστότερη κίνηση -όχι αυτή που σκεφτόμουν σαν εναλλακτική.
 
 31: Cannot Move 
Pip=79-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.918
Player:
Opponent:		9.78% (G:0.70% B:0.05%)
90.22% (G:55.69% B:0.03%)
 
 42: 13/7 
Pip=79-133
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: +1.743
Player:
Opponent:		82.64% (G:54.53% B:0.05%)
17.36% (G:1.63% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/7eq: +1.651 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		88.26% (G:44.27% B:0.04%)
11.74% (G:0.88% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 7/5eq: +1.596 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		74.55% (G:55.25% B:0.05%)
25.45% (G:5.25% B:0.36%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 8/6eq: +1.585 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		85.59% (G:43.65% B:0.04%)
14.41% (G:1.54% B:0.06%)
5.4-ply8/2eq: +1.584 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		86.82% (G:42.37% B:0.02%)
13.18% (G:1.04% B:0.06%)

Συγνώμη, φίλε μου XG, δεν έχω ακόμα τα κότσια για τέτοια παιξίματα σε τέτοια σημεία του ματς στον τελικό ενός τέτοιου τουρνουά!
Οκτώ έμμεσες βολές έναντι τεσσάρων, αλλά ας δούμε το αντάλλαγμα, επειδή οι πέντε builders έχουν μεγάλη διαφορά από τους τρεις:
Μετά από 13/7, 8 ζαριές κάνουν την πόρτα (32, 31, 21, 11, 22).
Μετά από 13/11 13/9, οι ζαριές αυτές γίνονται... 23! (64, 63, 62, 61, 43, 42, 41, 32, 31, 21, 33, 22, 11)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=73-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.974
Player:
Opponent:		6.80% (G:0.17% B:0.01%)
93.20% (G:55.52% B:0.03%)
 
 41: 13/8 
Pip=73-133
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +1.842
Player:
Opponent:		94.84% (G:47.25% B:0.04%)
5.16% (G:0.21% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 8/7eq: +1.735 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		92.30% (G:44.46% B:0.03%)
7.70% (G:0.25% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 7/6eq: +1.689 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		86.13% (G:48.32% B:0.05%)
13.87% (G:0.99% B:0.04%)
4.4-ply8/3eq: +1.677 (-0.165)
Player:
Opponent:		91.02% (G:42.84% B:0.02%)
8.98% (G:0.36% B:0.02%)
5.4-ply8/4 7/6eq: +1.613 (-0.229)
Player:
Opponent:		88.39% (G:42.25% B:0.02%)
11.61% (G:0.71% B:0.03%)

Αντίθετα, εδώ οι τρεις builder είναι απόλυτα ασφαλείς (καμία έμμεση βολή) και κάνουν την 5 με 9 ζαριές, ενώ οι τέσσερις builder (13/9 7/6) αφήνουν 6 έμμεσες βολες (μεγάλο κόστος συγκριτικά) και κάνουν την 5 με 14 ζαριές (όχι τόσο μεγάλο κέρδος).
 
 11: Cannot Move 
Pip=68-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.042
Player:
Opponent:		4.88% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
95.12% (G:56.96% B:0.03%)
 
 11: 7/5(2) 
Pip=68-133
1.playedXG Roller++7/5(2)eq: +2.527
Player:
Opponent:		96.32% (G:80.04% B:0.07%)
3.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +2.505 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		96.31% (G:78.93% B:0.06%)
3.69% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply6/5(2) 6/4eq: +1.861 (-0.666)
Player:
Opponent:		96.51% (G:46.53% B:0.01%)
3.49% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply7/6 7/4eq: +1.850 (-0.677)
Player:
Opponent:		95.11% (G:47.39% B:0.01%)
4.89% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply8/6(2)eq: +1.825 (-0.702)
Player:
Opponent:		95.27% (G:46.00% B:0.01%)
4.73% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
 
 62: Cannot Move 
Pip=64-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.524
Player:
Opponent:		4.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.88% (G:80.31% B:0.07%)
 
 61: 8/7 8/2 
Pip=64-133
1.xgXG Roller++8/2 6/5eq: +2.542
Player:
Opponent:		97.52% (G:79.59% B:0.06%)
2.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/1eq: +2.540 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		97.43% (G:79.58% B:0.06%)
2.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/7 8/2eq: +2.532 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		97.36% (G:79.25% B:0.06%)
2.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply8/2 5/4eq: +1.611 (-0.932)
Player:
Opponent:		77.22% (G:53.31% B:0.02%)
22.78% (G:1.64% B:0.10%)
5.2-ply8/2 4/3eq: +1.547 (-0.995)
Player:
Opponent:		75.42% (G:51.91% B:0.02%)
24.58% (G:1.85% B:0.12%)

Γενικά, σε τέτοιες θέσεις το spare στο πέντε είναι το καλύτερο.
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=57-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.533
Player:
Opponent:		3.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.69% (G:79.98% B:0.06%)
 
 61: 7/1 6/5 
Pip=57-133
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 6/5eq: +2.420
Player:
Opponent:		95.41% (G:75.59% B:0.05%)
4.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/Offeq: +2.346 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		91.36% (G:75.95% B:0.08%)
8.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply7/1 2/1eq: +2.169 (-0.251)
Player:
Opponent:		89.16% (G:69.27% B:0.05%)
10.84% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply7/1 5/4eq: +1.624 (-0.796)
Player:
Opponent:		76.58% (G:54.61% B:0.03%)
23.42% (G:0.82% B:0.05%)
5.2-ply7/1 4/3eq: +1.458 (-0.962)
Player:
Opponent:		72.63% (G:50.26% B:0.02%)
27.37% (G:1.14% B:0.06%)
 
 52: Cannot Move 
Pip=50-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.447
Player:
Opponent:		4.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.95% (G:76.41% B:0.05%)
 
 52: 5/Off 2/Off 
Pip=50-133
1.played4-ply5/Off 2/Offeq: +2.660
Player:
Opponent:		97.62% (G:85.40% B:0.07%)
2.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 6/1eq: +2.351 (-0.310)
Player:
Opponent:		98.00% (G:69.53% B:0.04%)
2.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply6/4 5/Offeq: +1.749 (-0.911)
Player:
Opponent:		76.75% (G:60.72% B:0.06%)
23.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply6/1 2/Offeq: +1.725 (-0.935)
Player:
Opponent:		76.28% (G:59.99% B:0.06%)
23.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply6/1 5/3eq: +1.615 (-1.046)
Player:
Opponent:		75.15% (G:55.59% B:0.03%)
24.85% (G:1.31% B:0.06%)
 
 42: Cannot Move 
Pip=43-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.680
Player:
Opponent:		1.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.14% (G:85.84% B:0.09%)
 
 53: 6/3 6/1 
Pip=43-133
1.playedXG Roller++6/3 6/1eq: +2.676
Player:
Opponent:		99.02% (G:84.78% B:0.06%)
0.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/2 5/Offeq: +2.586 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		95.94% (G:83.38% B:0.09%)
4.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.1-ply6/3 5/Offeq: +1.193 (-1.483)
Player:
Opponent:		61.70% (G:47.93% B:0.25%)
38.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.1-ply6/1 5/2eq: +1.066 (-1.610)
Player:
Opponent:		59.33% (G:43.96% B:0.13%)
40.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.1-ply6/1 4/1eq: +0.867 (-1.809)
Player:
Opponent:		55.19% (G:38.17% B:0.08%)
44.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=35-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.767
Player:
Opponent:		1.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.87% (G:89.50% B:0.06%)
 
 32: 5/3 5/2 
Pip=35-133
1.playedXG Roller++5/3 5/2eq: +2.695
Player:
Opponent:		99.90% (G:84.88% B:0.09%)
0.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++4/2 4/1eq: +2.465 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		95.58% (G:77.69% B:0.07%)
4.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply5/Offeq: +1.896 (-0.799)
Player:
Opponent:		78.49% (G:66.32% B:0.06%)
21.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +1.737 (-0.958)
Player:
Opponent:		73.33% (G:63.55% B:0.09%)
26.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply4/2 3/Offeq: +1.695 (-1.000)
Player:
Opponent:		74.05% (G:60.71% B:0.05%)
25.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 33: Cannot Move 
Pip=30-133
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.873
Player:
Opponent:		0.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.70% (G:93.93% B:0.03%)
 
 62: 4/2 4/Off 
Pip=30-133
1.played3-ply4/2 4/Offeq: +2.873
Player:
Opponent:		99.90% (G:93.75% B:0.02%)
0.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.2-ply4/Off 2/Offeq: +1.941 (-0.932)
Player:
Opponent:		79.56% (G:67.50% B:0.06%)
20.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply4/Off 3/1eq: +1.932 (-0.941)
Player:
Opponent:		78.92% (G:67.66% B:0.03%)
21.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: Bar/20 8/5 
Pip=24-133
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/20 13/10eq: -2.903
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.16% B:0.39%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 8/5eq: -2.903 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.17% B:0.77%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/17eq: -2.911 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.55% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20 10/7eq: -2.914 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.71% B:0.13%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/20 5/2eq: -2.931 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.57% B:0.09%)
 
 61: 3/Off 1/Off 
Pip=24-125
1.playedXG Roller++3/Off 1/Offeq: +2.883
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:94.16% B:0.37%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++3/Off 2/1eq: +2.633 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:81.68% B:0.24%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply3/2 3/Offeq: +2.612 (-0.270)
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:80.64% B:0.00%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 10/6 8/6 
Pip=20-125
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 8/6eq: -2.925
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.23% B:0.45%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 10/6eq: -2.927 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.34% B:1.06%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 8/6eq: -2.928 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.41% B:0.41%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 8/6eq: -2.930 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.49% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: -2.931 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.54% B:1.17%)
 
 55: 3/Off(3) 2/Off 
Pip=20-119
1.played3-ply3/Off(3) 2/Offeq: +2.993
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.64% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Ένα ματς κοντά στους Μ.Ο. error rate των δύο αντιπάλων. Στην τελευταία παρτίδα πολλές καλές και ιδανικές ζαριές για μένα (66, 44, 33, 22, 11) μερικές παιγμένες φοβισμένα, οι απαραίτητες γκέλες από τον αντίπαλο (το παιχνίδι είναι τάβλι) και Διαδικτυακό Πρωτάθλημα Ελλάδος 2018.
Ευχαριστώ που φτάσατε μαζί μου ως εδώ.
 
 43: 13/6 
Pip=9-119
1.xgXG Roller++20/16 13/10eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++20/13eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/16 5/2eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 6/3eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 5/1eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:2.63%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/6eq: -3.000 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:2.50%)
 
 51: 2/Off 1/Off 
Pip=9-112
1.playedXG Roller++2/Off 1/Offeq: +3.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:2.70%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++2/1 2/Offeq: +2.960 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:98.00% B:0.61%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 20/19 6/4 5/4 
Pip=6-112
1.XG Roller++20/16eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++20/18 13/12(2)eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/18 13/11eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/12(2) 6/5 3/2eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:13.89%)
5.XG Roller++13/12(2) 6/4eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:13.89%)
6.playedXG Roller++20/19 6/4 5/4eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:13.89%)
 
 54: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=6-108
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +3.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 19/13 10/5 
Pip=2-108
1.xgXG Roller++19/8eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++19/14 10/4eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++19/14 13/7eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++19/13 6/1eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.playedXG Roller++19/13 10/5eq: -3.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 1/Off(2) 
Pip=2-97
1.played3-ply1/Off(2)eq: +3.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Gammon 4pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category Iskandar 
Expert (-0.0137) Total Error World Class (-0.0062)
Advanced (-0.0157) Checker Play World Class (-0.0068)
World Champ. (0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
6.85 Performance Rating 3.08
4(2) Move Errors 1
-0.315(-7.86%) Equity lost (cost) -0.068(-1.69%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
0.000(0.00%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
4(2) Total Error 1
-0.315(-7.87%) Equity lost (cost) -0.068(-1.69%)
     
4 Jokers 1
+2.871(+71.50%) Luck -2.871(-71.50%)

Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 14-Mar-18 7:28:19 PM