15 point match
Green-White:
Score 0-0
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Pip: 135 | |
| Game 1 15 point match Green-White: Score 0-0 |
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| Pip: 146 |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R | 13/9(2) | -0,395 |
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0,284 ±0,015. Rollout settings: Truncated rollout, depth 11, 288 games (equiv. 25202 games), played 2-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | |||
| 2 | R | 13/5 | -0,549 (-0,155) |
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0,394 ±0,013. Rollout settings: Truncated rollout, depth 11, 288 games (equiv. 28149 games), played 2-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | |||
| 3 | R | 11/3 | -0,610 (-0,215) |
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0,424 ±0,019. Rollout settings: Truncated rollout, depth 11, 144 games (equiv. 15584 games), played 2-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. | |||
| 4 | 1 | 13/11 11/9(2) 8/6 | -0,748 (-0,353) |
| 5 | 1 | 13/11(3) 11/9 | -0,756 (-0,361) |
| Alert: Blunder (0,180) |
| Cube action |
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Making the five-prime and leaving four (!) blots strewn around and 25 [including 6-6] hits by White, is actually "more than you think" in this position. The long term value of the five-prime (whatever happens, White will have eventually to lap over it, which won't be an easy task, as sixes do not grow on trees), deters White from doubling [if he did, it would be a big mistake]. After the second-best play [13/5], White has a marginal double and easy take. The third-best play [11/3] is worse putting a checker past the opponent's anchor in exchange for a small gain (two fewer shots in the outfield). |