Avdis vs. Groutsos

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 13, Groutsos: 15


Σχόλια: Μιχάλης Μανωλιός

17/6/2018.
Τελικός Ατομικού Πρωταθλήματος Ελλάδος 2017-18, μεταξύ του Γιώργου Αυδή (Πρωταθλητή 2012 και 2013, Κυπελλούχου 2012, Πρωταθλητή Ευρώπης Διαδικτύου με την Εθνική Ομάδα Διαδικτύου 2013) και του Χρίστου Γρούτσου (Πρωταθλητή Ευρώπης 2009, Πρωταθλητή Ελλάδος Διαδικτύου 2014,  Παίκτη της Χρονιάς 2013, τρίτη θέση στο Πανευρωπαϊκό του 2014 με την Εθνική Ομάδα).
Αν κερδίσει ο Γρούτσος, κατακτά το Πρωτάθλημα, ενώ, σε περίπτωηση νίκης του Αυδή, ακολουθεί δεύτερος και τελευταίος τελικός στα 11.


Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0104) Total Error Expert (-0.0108)
World Class (-0.0086) Checker Play World Class (-0.0080)
Advanced (-0.0193) Cube Play Advanced (-0.0176)
5.22 Performance Rating 5.41

Avdis  Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0025) Game 1 Intermediate (-0.0266)
Expert (-0.0132) Game 2 World Class (-0.0058)
Expert (-0.0110) Game 3 Expert (-0.0116)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 4 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Expert (-0.0116) Game 5 Intermediate (-0.0269)
Advanced (-0.0198) Game 6 Advanced (-0.0172)
World Champ. (-0.0018) Game 7 World Champ. (-0.0044)
Advanced (-0.0163) Game 8 World Class (-0.0059)
World Class (-0.0090) Game 9 World Champ. (-0.0040)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 10 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Intermediate (-0.0269) Game 11 World Champ. (-0.0033)
Expert (-0.0115) Game 12 World Champ. (-0.0044)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 13 World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Class (-0.0052) Game 14 Advanced (-0.0155)
Expert (-0.0127) Game 15 Expert (-0.0148)
Advanced (-0.0163) Game 16 World Champ. (-0.0026)
Expert (-0.0134) Game 17 World Class (-0.0096)
World Champ. (-0.0045) Game 18 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Advanced (-0.0233) Game 19 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Advanced (-0.0236) Game 20 Intermediate (-0.0322)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 21 Advanced (-0.0199)
World Champ. (-0.0012) Game 22 Intermediate (-0.0291)
World Champ. (-0.0036) Game 23 World Champ. (-0.0016)

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
34(6) Move Errors 27(5)
-1.885(-16.58%) Equity lost (cost) -1.665(-11.97%)
     
6(2) Double Errors 11(8)
-0.499(-2.50%) Equity lost (cost) -1.368(-10.94%)
     
2(2) Take Errors 1(1)
-0.349(-2.73%) Equity lost (cost) -0.125(-1.56%)
     
42(10) Total Error 39(14)
-2.733(-21.81%) Equity lost (cost) -3.157(-24.47%)
     
28 Jokers 28
-0.264(-59.05%) Luck +0.264(+59.05%)
     
Expert Level of Play Expert
5.22 Performance Rating 5.41

Location: MindGames, Χολαργός
Played on: 18-Jun-18
At: 11:18:30 PM

Event: Τελική Φάση Πρωτάθλημα 2018
Round: Final

Avdis: Elo= 1600, Exp=0

Groutsos: Elo= 1600, Exp=0

 Game 1

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 0, Groutsos: 0

 
 63: 24/18 13/10 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/10eq: +0.010
Player:
Opponent:		50.37% (G:12.70% B:0.56%)
49.63% (G:13.08% B:0.54%)
2.Book124/15eq: -0.008 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		50.31% (G:11.59% B:0.47%)
49.69% (G:12.92% B:0.46%)
3.Book113/4eq: -0.056 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		48.43% (G:13.74% B:0.66%)
51.57% (G:14.20% B:0.74%)
4.Book124/21 13/7eq: -0.058 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		48.48% (G:13.04% B:0.57%)
51.52% (G:13.71% B:0.59%)
5.Book124/21 24/18eq: -0.084 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		48.79% (G:11.15% B:0.51%)
51.21% (G:14.61% B:0.50%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++

Σχόλια: Μιχάλης Μανωλιός

17/6/2018.
Τελικός Ατομικού Πρωταθλήματος Ελλάδος 2017-18, μεταξύ του Γιώργου Αυδή (Πρωταθλητή 2012 και 2013, Κυπελλούχου 2012, Πρωταθλητή Ευρώπης Διαδικτύου με την Εθνική Ομάδα 2013) και του Χρίστου Γρούτσου (Πρωταθλητή Ευρώπης 2009, Πρωταθλητή Ελλάδος Διαδικτύου 2014,  Παίκτη της Χρονιάς 2013, τρίτη θέση στο Πανευρωπαϊκό του 2014 με την Εθνική Ομάδα).
Αν κερδίσει ο Γρούτσος, κατακτά το Πρωτάθλημα, ενώ, σε περίπτωηση νίκης του Αυδή, ακολουθεί δεύτερος και τελευταίος τελικός στα 11.
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-158
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.165
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:12.42% B:0.43%)
54.55% (G:14.17% B:0.66%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: -0.207 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		44.71% (G:10.45% B:0.36%)
55.29% (G:13.64% B:0.56%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 6/1* eq: -0.210 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		44.69% (G:11.50% B:0.34%)
55.31% (G:14.47% B:0.73%)
4.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.247 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		43.63% (G:11.15% B:0.36%)
56.37% (G:14.67% B:0.76%)
5.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.280 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		43.53% (G:9.14% B:0.33%)
56.47% (G:15.02% B:0.56%)
 
 42: 24/18 
Pip=159-158
1.playedXG Roller++24/18eq: +0.174
Player:
Opponent:		54.52% (G:12.05% B:0.37%)
45.48% (G:9.73% B:0.31%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: +0.092 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		52.61% (G:15.28% B:0.83%)
47.39% (G:14.85% B:0.65%)
3.3-ply18/14 10/8eq: -0.147 (-0.321)
Player:
Opponent:		47.39% (G:10.81% B:0.46%)
52.61% (G:16.12% B:0.59%)
4.3-ply18/14 13/11eq: -0.155 (-0.329)
Player:
Opponent:		47.46% (G:11.85% B:0.61%)
52.54% (G:17.56% B:0.96%)
5.3-ply18/16 13/9eq: -0.189 (-0.363)
Player:
Opponent:		46.68% (G:12.18% B:0.63%)
53.32% (G:18.50% B:1.15%)
 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=159-152
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/8eq: -0.282
Player:
Opponent:		42.64% (G:9.06% B:0.25%)
57.36% (G:12.90% B:0.42%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.304 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		42.08% (G:9.15% B:0.26%)
57.92% (G:13.32% B:0.44%)
3.XG Roller++24/18eq: -0.312 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		42.30% (G:7.87% B:0.24%)
57.70% (G:13.17% B:0.37%)
4.4-ply24/23 6/1eq: -0.435 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		39.04% (G:8.71% B:0.18%)
60.96% (G:16.34% B:0.65%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.460 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		38.31% (G:8.69% B:0.22%)
61.69% (G:16.58% B:0.64%)
 
 21: 13/10 
Pip=153-152
1.played4-ply13/10eq: +0.192
Player:
Opponent:		55.50% (G:11.36% B:0.37%)
44.50% (G:9.37% B:0.24%)
2.4-ply13/11 10/9eq: -0.050 (-0.242)
Player:
Opponent:		49.21% (G:10.25% B:0.33%)
50.79% (G:12.38% B:0.39%)
3.4-ply10/9 8/6eq: -0.111 (-0.302)
Player:
Opponent:		47.47% (G:9.58% B:0.30%)
52.53% (G:12.44% B:0.35%)
4.3-ply10/8 6/5eq: -0.136 (-0.328)
Player:
Opponent:		47.14% (G:9.40% B:0.31%)
52.86% (G:13.53% B:0.31%)
5.3-ply10/9 6/4eq: -0.176 (-0.368)
Player:
Opponent:		46.69% (G:9.88% B:0.35%)
53.31% (G:15.63% B:0.44%)
 
 66: 24/18 8/2(3) 
Pip=153-149
1.played3-ply24/18 8/2(3)eq: -0.259
Player:
Opponent:		43.51% (G:11.05% B:0.22%)
56.49% (G:15.71% B:0.51%)
 
 44: 18/14(2) 6/2*(2)  
Pip=129-149
1.xgXG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.613
Player:
Opponent:		63.62% (G:26.44% B:0.61%)
36.38% (G:9.31% B:0.26%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/14(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.376 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		59.50% (G:14.13% B:0.44%)
40.50% (G:7.65% B:0.19%)
3.4-ply13/9(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.360 (-0.254)
Player:
Opponent:		57.96% (G:19.16% B:0.65%)
42.04% (G:10.80% B:0.25%)
4.4-ply13/5 6/2*(2) eq: +0.313 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:		56.86% (G:20.08% B:0.60%)
43.14% (G:12.49% B:0.27%)
5.3-ply18/10 6/2*(2) eq: +0.286 (-0.328)
Player:
Opponent:		57.68% (G:12.45% B:0.47%)
42.32% (G:8.92% B:0.13%)

Εφόσον με το τρέξιμο 18/14(2) ο Γρούτσος δεν κερδίζει την κούρσα, το σωστό παίξιμο είναι ξεκάθαρα η φουλ επίθεση. Επιπλέον λόγοι γι' αυτό είναι το ευάλωτο πούλι στο 18, το οποίο αυξάνει τα διπλα, το κάπως ασύνδετο αντίπαλο στρατόπεδο και κυρίως το καμένο πούλι στο 2.
 
 52: Bar/18 
Pip=131-133
1.played3-plyBar/18eq: +0.047
Player:
Opponent:		51.38% (G:2.92% B:0.04%)
48.62% (G:2.33% B:0.09%)
2.3-plyBar/20 18/16eq: -0.507 (-0.554)
Player:
Opponent:		36.79% (G:8.33% B:0.21%)
63.21% (G:18.33% B:0.60%)
3.2-plyBar/20 6/4eq: -0.719 (-0.766)
Player:
Opponent:		33.58% (G:8.52% B:0.21%)
66.42% (G:22.48% B:0.80%)
4.2-plyBar/20 3/1eq: -1.000 (-1.047)
Player:
Opponent:		27.89% (G:5.88% B:0.13%)
72.11% (G:27.70% B:1.09%)
 
 54: 13/4 
Pip=124-133
1.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: -0.042
Player:
Opponent:		48.72% (G:1.92% B:0.06%)
51.28% (G:2.33% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++10/6 10/5eq: -0.068 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		47.95% (G:2.37% B:0.09%)
52.05% (G:2.71% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 6/1eq: -0.082 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		47.68% (G:1.98% B:0.04%)
52.32% (G:3.00% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++14/10 14/9eq: -0.094 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		47.67% (G:3.49% B:0.11%)
52.33% (G:5.19% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 6/2eq: -0.094 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		47.26% (G:1.61% B:0.04%)
52.74% (G:2.69% B:0.02%)
 
 65: 13/8 13/7 
Pip=124-124
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 13/7eq: +0.082
Player:
Opponent:		52.44% (G:3.19% B:0.04%)
47.56% (G:2.81% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 6/1eq: +0.062 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		51.80% (G:3.23% B:0.03%)
48.20% (G:3.05% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++13/2eq: +0.009 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		50.30% (G:3.19% B:0.04%)
49.70% (G:3.83% B:0.11%)
4.3-ply18/7eq: -0.351 (-0.433)
Player:
Opponent:		40.75% (G:5.87% B:0.11%)
59.25% (G:10.93% B:0.25%)
 
 42: 10/8 10/6 
Pip=113-124
1.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.167
Player:
Opponent:		44.50% (G:2.39% B:0.08%)
55.50% (G:3.38% B:0.03%)
2.xgXG Roller++10/4eq: -0.176 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		44.53% (G:4.56% B:0.18%)
55.47% (G:5.53% B:0.08%)
3.playedXG Roller++10/8 10/6eq: -0.189 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		43.60% (G:2.13% B:0.09%)
56.40% (G:2.78% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 8/4eq: -0.194 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		44.02% (G:3.61% B:0.15%)
55.98% (G:5.27% B:0.07%)
5.XG Roller++14/10 6/4eq: -0.200 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:3.57% B:0.13%)
55.84% (G:6.26% B:0.06%)
 
 54: 13/9 13/8 
Pip=113-118
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: +0.135
Player:
Opponent:		54.69% (G:2.76% B:0.03%)
45.31% (G:2.37% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/1eq: +0.127 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		54.42% (G:3.55% B:0.04%)
45.58% (G:3.19% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++18/14 18/13eq: +0.104 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		53.13% (G:7.12% B:0.17%)
46.87% (G:5.78% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++7/3 6/1eq: +0.078 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		52.87% (G:2.96% B:0.03%)
47.13% (G:3.55% B:0.10%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 7/2eq: +0.058 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		52.28% (G:3.53% B:0.05%)
47.72% (G:3.95% B:0.12%)
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=104-118
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.184
Player:
Opponent:		42.97% (G:2.84% B:0.12%)
57.03% (G:2.80% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 4/3eq: -0.221 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		41.84% (G:2.69% B:0.11%)
58.16% (G:3.38% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++6/5 6/3eq: -0.223 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		41.85% (G:2.73% B:0.12%)
58.15% (G:3.59% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.239 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		41.33% (G:2.42% B:0.10%)
58.67% (G:3.14% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++6/3 4/3eq: -0.253 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		40.85% (G:2.40% B:0.09%)
59.15% (G:3.47% B:0.03%)
 
 41: 8/4 6/5 
Pip=104-114
1.xgXG Roller++9/5 6/5eq: +0.103
Player:
Opponent:		53.87% (G:2.89% B:0.04%)
46.13% (G:2.65% B:0.09%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: +0.093 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		53.46% (G:2.84% B:0.03%)
46.54% (G:2.38% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 2/1eq: +0.082 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		53.08% (G:2.26% B:0.02%)
46.92% (G:2.19% B:0.05%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 2/1eq: +0.074 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		52.75% (G:2.79% B:0.03%)
47.25% (G:2.63% B:0.08%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 8/4eq: +0.073 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		53.06% (G:2.00% B:0.03%)
46.94% (G:2.86% B:0.12%)
 
 44: 14/10(2) 13/9(2) 
Pip=99-114
1.XG Roller++14/6(2)eq: +0.072
Player:
Opponent:		52.10% (G:1.41% B:0.04%)
47.90% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++14/10(2) 8/4 5/1eq: +0.069 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		51.94% (G:1.73% B:0.06%)
48.06% (G:2.06% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++14/10 14/6 8/4eq: +0.055 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		51.23% (G:4.40% B:0.57%)
48.77% (G:3.26% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++14/10(2) 8/4 6/2eq: +0.054 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		51.47% (G:1.54% B:0.05%)
48.53% (G:1.89% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++14/6 8/4 5/1eq: +0.054 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		51.47% (G:1.61% B:0.05%)
48.53% (G:1.79% B:0.03%)
6.playedXG Roller++14/10(2) 13/9(2)eq: -0.013 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		49.16% (G:0.36% B:0.00%)
50.84% (G:0.24% B:0.00%)

Και πάλι, μετά τα 44 ο Γρούτσος είναι μόλις ένα pip μπροστά. Αυτό σημαίνει ότι (μαθηματικά τουλάχιστον) ο Αυδής είναι ακόμα λίγο μπροστά στην κούρσα (επειδή η μέση ζαριά είναι 8,17 pips, πρέπει κανείς να προηγείται πάνω από 4 pips του αντιπάλου του όταν δεν είναι η σειρά του να παίξει).
Ούτε τώρα λοιπόν  δεν πρέπει να τρέξει ο Γρούτσος. Ένας επιπλεόν λόγος είναι ότι, αν κρατήσει την επαφή, ο Αυδής είναι πιθανόν να αρχίσει να καίει πούλια σε 1-2 ζαριές και σίγουρα πριν από τον Γρούτσο, πράγμα που θα βλάψει την πραγματική κούρσα του.
Ο καλύτερος τρόπος για να κρατηθεί η επαφή είναι ο 14/6(2).
 
 31: 7/4 6/5 
Pip=99-98
1.XG Roller++8/5 2/1eq: -0.194
Player:
Opponent:		43.58% (G:0.35% B:0.01%)
56.42% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++7/4 2/1eq: -0.195 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		43.46% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
56.54% (G:0.40% B:0.01%)
3.playedXG Roller++7/4 6/5eq: -0.199 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		43.41% (G:0.37% B:0.01%)
56.59% (G:0.42% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.204 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		43.23% (G:0.27% B:0.00%)
56.77% (G:0.41% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++9/6 2/1eq: -0.204 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		43.15% (G:0.33% B:0.01%)
56.85% (G:0.43% B:0.01%)
 
 54: 8/4 6/1 
Pip=95-98
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 6/1eq: +0.238
Player:
Opponent:		57.64% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
42.36% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
2.xgXG Roller++9/5 9/4eq: +0.235 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		57.56% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
42.44% (G:0.22% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/3 6/2eq: +0.223 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		57.24% (G:0.37% B:0.00%)
42.76% (G:0.47% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++10/6 10/5eq: +0.202 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		56.51% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
43.49% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 5/1eq: +0.201 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		56.42% (G:0.59% B:0.01%)
43.58% (G:0.43% B:0.01%)
 
 44: 18/14 18/6 
Pip=95-89
1.XG Roller++18/14 18/10 9/5eq: +0.388
Player:
Opponent:		62.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++18/10(2)eq: +0.388 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		62.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++18/14 18/6eq: +0.387 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		62.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++18/14 18/10 8/4eq: +0.385 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		62.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++18/14(2) 9/5 8/4eq: +0.383 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		62.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 10/6 9/3 
Pip=79-89
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 9/3eq: -0.265
Player:
Opponent:		40.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/4 9/5eq: -0.268 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		40.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 10/4eq: -0.269 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		40.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 9/3eq: -0.272 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		40.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/3 8/4eq: -0.273 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		40.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
59.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=79-79
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 59.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 41.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.180 +0.365
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.267
     Double/Take:+0.081 (-0.186)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.733)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.8%
 
 52: 14/9 8/6 
Pip=79-79
1.xgXG Roller++9/4 8/6eq: +0.194
Player:
Opponent:		56.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++14/12 9/4eq: +0.189 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		56.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++14/9 8/6eq: +0.187 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		56.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++14/7eq: +0.177 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		55.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++14/12 8/3eq: +0.162 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		55.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 8/7 8/5 
Pip=72-79
1.playedXG Roller++8/7 8/5eq: -0.490
Player:
Opponent:		33.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/6(2)eq: -0.490 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		33.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/6 8/7eq: -0.497 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		33.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/9 8/5eq: -0.498 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		33.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.498 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		33.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=72-75
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 66.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 33.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.323 +0.654
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.482
     Double/Take:+0.419 (-0.063)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.518)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.8%
 
 42: 9/7 9/5 
Pip=72-75
1.xgXG Roller++9/5 6/4eq: +0.364
Player:
Opponent:		61.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++9/7 9/5eq: +0.354 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		61.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/5 3/1eq: +0.349 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		61.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/3eq: +0.324 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		60.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/5 4/2eq: +0.274 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		58.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 10/4 9/4 
Pip=66-75
1.playedXG Roller++10/4 9/4eq: -0.157
Player:
Opponent:		44.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++10/5 9/3eq: -0.159 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		44.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/4 7/2eq: -0.178 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		43.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
56.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/3 7/2eq: -0.200 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		43.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
56.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/4 7/1eq: -0.202 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		42.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
57.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 66: 7/1 6/Off(3) 
Pip=66-64
1.played3-ply7/1 6/Off(3)eq: +0.978
Player:
Opponent:		90.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
9.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 7/5 6/Off 
Pip=42-64
1.playedXG Roller++7/5 6/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		8.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/1 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		7.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/1 6/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		5.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/1 5/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		5.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/1 4/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		5.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=42-56
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 91.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 91.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 8.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 8.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.832 +1.683
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.978 (-0.022)
     Double/Take:+1.634 (+0.634)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0025) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0266)
World Champ. (-0.0032) Checker Play Intermediate (-0.0288)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
1.24 Performance Rating 13.29
0 Move Errors 3(2)
-0.032(-0.13%) Equity lost (cost) -0.345(-1.41%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 3(2)
-0.032(-0.13%) Equity lost (cost) -0.345(-1.41%)
     
4 Jokers 1
+0.761(+3.10%) Luck -0.761(-3.10%)

 Game 2

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 1, Groutsos: 0

 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/3 6/3eq: +0.074
Player:
Opponent:		51.54% (G:15.89% B:0.76%)
48.46% (G:13.00% B:0.59%)
2.Book124/21 13/8eq: +0.022 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		50.72% (G:13.64% B:0.68%)
49.28% (G:12.97% B:0.49%)
3.Book113/10 13/8eq: -0.009 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		49.79% (G:14.31% B:0.75%)
50.21% (G:13.67% B:0.68%)
4.Book124/16eq: -0.022 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		50.27% (G:11.73% B:0.50%)
49.73% (G:13.36% B:0.48%)
5.Book113/5eq: -0.038 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		49.15% (G:13.82% B:0.64%)
50.85% (G:13.75% B:0.68%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 21: 24/23 13/11 
Pip=159-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: -0.187
Player:
Opponent:		45.82% (G:11.64% B:0.48%)
54.18% (G:17.07% B:0.77%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.199 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		46.23% (G:11.92% B:0.47%)
53.77% (G:18.16% B:1.45%)
3.XG Roller++24/21eq: -0.227 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		45.10% (G:10.56% B:0.44%)
54.90% (G:16.76% B:0.66%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: -0.235 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		44.66% (G:11.74% B:0.48%)
55.34% (G:17.50% B:1.04%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 6/4eq: -0.324 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		43.42% (G:10.46% B:0.43%)
56.58% (G:20.50% B:1.00%)
 
 61: 8/2* 2/1*  
Pip=159-164
1.playedXG Roller++8/2* 2/1* eq: +0.083
Player:
Opponent:		50.84% (G:19.41% B:0.68%)
49.16% (G:13.55% B:0.74%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 24/18eq: +0.029 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		51.07% (G:14.08% B:0.65%)
48.93% (G:13.84% B:0.50%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 8/7eq: +0.027 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		50.15% (G:15.75% B:0.63%)
49.85% (G:13.10% B:0.65%)
4.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.019 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		49.47% (G:14.97% B:0.60%)
50.53% (G:14.03% B:0.63%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -0.059 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		48.21% (G:14.54% B:0.60%)
51.79% (G:13.82% B:0.65%)
 
 43: Bar/21 
Pip=152-167
1.played3-plyBar/21eq: -0.324
Player:
Opponent:		44.27% (G:11.14% B:0.60%)
55.73% (G:23.81% B:0.86%)
 
 42: 8/4* 6/4 
Pip=152-163
1.played3-ply8/4* 6/4eq: +0.522
Player:
Opponent:		60.23% (G:28.07% B:1.15%)
39.77% (G:9.55% B:0.49%)
2.3-ply24/20 6/4* eq: +0.139 (-0.383)
Player:
Opponent:		52.17% (G:19.87% B:0.85%)
47.83% (G:13.19% B:0.80%)
3.3-ply13/9 6/4* eq: +0.102 (-0.420)
Player:
Opponent:		51.36% (G:21.05% B:0.90%)
48.64% (G:14.66% B:1.25%)
4.3-ply13/11 8/4* eq: +0.087 (-0.435)
Player:
Opponent:		50.80% (G:20.06% B:0.81%)
49.20% (G:14.33% B:1.04%)
5.3-ply24/22 8/4* eq: +0.054 (-0.468)
Player:
Opponent:		50.08% (G:18.34% B:0.70%)
49.92% (G:13.49% B:0.72%)
 
 61: Bar/24*  
Pip=146-167
1.played3-plyBar/24* eq: -0.400
Player:
Opponent:		41.73% (G:9.91% B:0.47%)
58.27% (G:21.62% B:1.29%)
 
 No double 
Pip=170-166
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.28% (G:22.05% B:1.24%) 58.37% (G:21.90% B:1.25%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.72% (G:9.94% B:0.46%) 41.63% (G:9.90% B:0.46%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.301 +0.609
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.420
     Double/Take:+0.259 (-0.162)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.580)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.9%
 
 54: Bar/20 24/20 
Pip=170-166
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 24/20eq: +0.534
Player:
Opponent:		60.47% (G:22.40% B:1.11%)
39.53% (G:7.78% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 13/9eq: +0.450 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		58.39% (G:23.12% B:1.52%)
41.61% (G:10.26% B:0.57%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/8eq: +0.411 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		57.81% (G:22.68% B:1.21%)
42.19% (G:10.43% B:0.57%)
4.4-plyBar/16eq: +0.327 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		56.72% (G:20.66% B:1.21%)
43.28% (G:11.33% B:0.60%)
5.4-plyBar/21 6/1* eq: +0.209 (-0.325)
Player:
Opponent:		53.74% (G:20.64% B:0.96%)
46.26% (G:12.17% B:0.67%)
 
 42: Bar/23 24/20 
Pip=161-166
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 24/20eq: -0.485
Player:
Opponent:		40.04% (G:8.06% B:0.28%)
59.96% (G:21.26% B:1.04%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 11/7eq: -0.562 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		38.39% (G:7.70% B:0.27%)
61.61% (G:21.87% B:1.20%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/9eq: -0.655 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		36.99% (G:7.86% B:0.33%)
63.01% (G:25.96% B:2.07%)
4.4-plyBar/23 6/2eq: -0.633 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		37.18% (G:7.67% B:0.27%)
62.82% (G:26.23% B:1.99%)
5.4-plyBar/23 8/4eq: -0.720 (-0.236)
Player:
Opponent:		36.20% (G:7.32% B:0.29%)
63.80% (G:27.89% B:2.35%)
 
 No double 
Pip=161-160
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.17% (G:21.53% B:1.07%) 60.21% (G:21.37% B:1.01%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.83% (G:8.09% B:0.29%) 39.79% (G:7.85% B:0.28%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.352 +0.715
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.497
     Double/Take:+0.384 (-0.113)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.503)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.5%
 
 62: 24/22 20/14*  
Pip=161-160
1.xgXG Roller++13/5* eq: +0.521
Player:
Opponent:		60.74% (G:23.12% B:1.18%)
39.26% (G:7.96% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++20/14* 13/11eq: +0.462 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		59.73% (G:20.09% B:1.08%)
40.27% (G:8.86% B:0.36%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/22 20/14* eq: +0.419 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		59.14% (G:18.02% B:0.96%)
40.86% (G:8.75% B:0.31%)
4.XG Roller++20/18 20/14* eq: +0.360 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		58.02% (G:17.80% B:0.94%)
41.98% (G:10.03% B:0.37%)
5.4-ply20/14* 6/4eq: +0.299 (-0.223)
Player:
Opponent:		56.80% (G:17.48% B:0.77%)
43.20% (G:9.58% B:0.34%)

Το σίγουρο είναι το 13/11 για το 2, επειδή τα πέντε στακαρισμένα πούλια φωνάζουν ότι πρέπει να κατέβουν κάτω.
Το πρόβλημα με το 20/14* είναι διπλό: (α) λύνει τη χρυσή πόρτα (ναι, ακόμα και χωρίς αντίπαλο board αυτό θέλουμε να το αποφεύγουμε) και (β) αφήνει το πούλι του αντιπάλου στο 20 έτοιμο να δέσει την αντίπαλη χρυσή πόρτα.
Οπότε 13/5*, κρατώντας τη χρυσή πόρτα σε περίπτωση χτυπήματος και στοχεύοντας το double out ή και το gammon αν τα πράγματα πάνε καλά.
 
 62: Bar/23 8/2 
Pip=153-174
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/23 13/7eq: -0.583
Player:
Opponent:		37.48% (G:8.45% B:0.34%)
62.52% (G:22.65% B:1.41%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 8/2eq: -0.634 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		35.60% (G:7.82% B:0.28%)
64.40% (G:21.36% B:1.24%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 20/14eq: -0.657 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		35.51% (G:7.14% B:0.26%)
64.49% (G:20.49% B:1.15%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/17eq: -0.676 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		35.90% (G:7.16% B:0.28%)
64.10% (G:25.27% B:1.40%)

Ομολογώ ότι κι εγώ μάλλον θα το έπαιζα λανθασμένα. Η ιδέα του 13/7 είναι ότι, αν δεν χτυπηθεί, έχει πετύχει πολύ καλύτερη κατανομή πουλίων, ενώ, αν χτυπηθεί, κρατάει το πούλι στο 20, ώστε να δέσει τη χρυση πόρτα.
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=153-166
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.37% (G:21.39% B:1.23%) 64.53% (G:21.20% B:1.24%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.63% (G:7.91% B:0.28%) 35.47% (G:7.91% B:0.29%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.438 +0.889
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.637
played Double/Take:+0.592 (-0.045)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.363)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.0%

Λίγο νωρίς. Ναι, ο Αυδής είναι σαφώς καλύτερος, αλλά έχει πολλή δουλειά να κάνει ακόμα: Έχει δύο πούλια πίσω, ένα blot στο outfield και του λείπει η πόρτα 8. Ο Γρούτσος είναι δεμένος και μπορεί σε κάθε ζαριά να προωθήσει την anchor του στο 20.

Από την άλλη, και οι δύο παίκτες είναι γνώστες της διαφοράς επιπέδου μεταξύ τους. Ο Γρούτσος παίζει περίπου 1,0 PR χαμηλότερα από τον Αυδή, πράγμα που δικαιολογεί κάποιες μικρές προσαρμογές στον χειρισμό του βίδου και, πιο σπάνια, των πουλίων.

Το λάθος αυτό είναι τόσο μικρό που μπορεί να δικαιωθεί με βάση τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας των παικτών. (Γενικά, ο ισχυρότερος παίκτης παίζει λίγο συντηριτικότερα με τη χρήση του βίδου, με σκοπό το ματς να κριθεί σε περισσότερα games, ώστε να δώσει στον αντίπαλο τη δυνατότητα να κάνει περισσότερα λάθη απ' ό,τι εκείνος. Το αντίθετο ισχύει για τον λιγότερο ισχυρό παίκτή: γενικά, πρέπει να είναι λιγο επιθετικότερος με τη χρήση του βίδου).


 
 33: 14/5* 13/10 
Pip=153-166
1.playedXG Roller++14/5* 13/10eq: +0.378
Player:
Opponent:		66.35% (G:25.05% B:1.68%)
33.65% (G:7.45% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++13/7(2)eq: +0.262 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		64.02% (G:20.68% B:1.23%)
35.98% (G:8.69% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++14/11 13/10(3)eq: +0.229 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		62.46% (G:21.28% B:1.25%)
37.54% (G:8.78% B:0.36%)
4.XG Roller++14/8 13/10(2)eq: +0.224 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		61.95% (G:22.49% B:1.44%)
38.05% (G:9.48% B:0.41%)
5.4-ply14/5* 6/3eq: +0.144 (-0.233)
Player:
Opponent:		59.42% (G:21.44% B:1.29%)
40.58% (G:9.99% B:0.37%)
 
 21: Bar/23 6/5*  
Pip=141-171
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5* eq: -0.551
Player:
Opponent:		30.88% (G:6.19% B:0.27%)
69.12% (G:33.46% B:2.85%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/4eq: -0.587 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		28.30% (G:5.63% B:0.24%)
71.70% (G:30.63% B:2.28%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.636 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		26.98% (G:5.05% B:0.21%)
73.02% (G:31.49% B:2.58%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 2/1eq: -0.639 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		24.62% (G:4.24% B:0.12%)
75.38% (G:25.74% B:1.55%)
5.4-plyBar/24 8/6eq: -0.720 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		25.29% (G:4.27% B:0.16%)
74.71% (G:34.68% B:2.76%)

Ωραίο παίξιμο από τον Γρούτσο.
 
 54: Bar/20* 13/9 
Pip=146-168
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 13/9eq: +0.562
Player:
Opponent:		69.04% (G:34.54% B:3.05%)
30.96% (G:5.98% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20* 20/16eq: +0.540 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		68.73% (G:33.55% B:2.83%)
31.27% (G:6.22% B:0.29%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 10/5eq: +0.513 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		70.93% (G:25.40% B:1.62%)
29.07% (G:5.71% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20* 22/18eq: +0.481 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		67.34% (G:31.87% B:2.65%)
32.66% (G:6.78% B:0.32%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/20* 10/6eq: +0.462 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		66.65% (G:31.30% B:2.33%)
33.35% (G:6.37% B:0.24%)
 
 11: Bar/23 6/5*(2)  
Pip=137-188
1.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/5* 5/3* eq: -0.451
Player:
Opponent:		35.32% (G:7.61% B:0.48%)
64.68% (G:35.45% B:4.51%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 6/5*(2) 2/1eq: -0.458 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		33.83% (G:7.71% B:0.38%)
66.17% (G:33.14% B:3.23%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5*(2) eq: -0.498 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		33.37% (G:7.41% B:0.43%)
66.63% (G:35.60% B:3.29%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/7 6/5*(2) eq: -0.520 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		34.21% (G:7.25% B:0.48%)
65.79% (G:38.27% B:5.65%)
5.4-plyBar/24 8/7(2) 6/5* eq: -0.676 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		30.41% (G:4.88% B:0.23%)
69.59% (G:41.58% B:5.49%)

Από τα εξωγήινα παιξίματα των bots που δεν τα βρίσκουν εύκολα οι άνθρωποι. Η ιδέα (πρέπει να) είναι είτε να κερδίσει χρόνο με το διπλό χτύπημα αν ο Αυδής δεν βρει, είτε να φτιάξει 1-2 backgame αν βρει.
Ο Γρούτσος πάντως μπορούσε να αποφύγει το σημαντικό λάθος παίζοντας το φυσιολογικό b/24 6/5(2) 2/1.
 
 51: Bar/24 10/5 
Pip=142-184
1.played3-plyBar/24 10/5eq: +0.629
Player:
Opponent:		70.64% (G:36.65% B:2.86%)
29.36% (G:5.41% B:0.17%)
2.3-plyBar/24 9/4eq: +0.219 (-0.410)
Player:
Opponent:		59.78% (G:28.33% B:2.14%)
40.22% (G:10.38% B:0.49%)
3.3-plyBar/24 13/8eq: +0.082 (-0.547)
Player:
Opponent:		56.46% (G:27.46% B:2.29%)
43.54% (G:14.38% B:1.18%)
4.2-plyBar/24 6/1eq: -0.048 (-0.677)
Player:
Opponent:		52.77% (G:24.94% B:1.97%)
47.23% (G:15.64% B:1.08%)
 
 54: 23/14 
Pip=136-184
1.playedXG Roller++23/14eq: -0.685
Player:
Opponent:		28.74% (G:3.87% B:0.13%)
71.26% (G:38.77% B:3.23%)
2.XG Roller++23/18 13/9eq: -0.829 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		27.78% (G:3.33% B:0.11%)
72.22% (G:48.41% B:5.32%)
3.4-ply13/4eq: -0.866 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		25.32% (G:3.47% B:0.10%)
74.68% (G:46.53% B:4.79%)
4.4-ply13/9 13/8eq: -0.867 (-0.182)
Player:
Opponent:		25.44% (G:3.48% B:0.11%)
74.56% (G:47.04% B:4.76%)
5.4-ply13/8 6/2eq: -0.967 (-0.282)
Player:
Opponent:		20.79% (G:2.50% B:0.08%)
79.21% (G:45.24% B:3.80%)
 
 61: 24/23* 22/16 
Pip=136-175
1.playedXG Roller++24/23* 22/16eq: +0.689
Player:
Opponent:		69.43% (G:43.49% B:3.83%)
30.57% (G:3.95% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller++24/23* 9/3eq: +0.611 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		67.26% (G:42.19% B:3.49%)
32.74% (G:4.82% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller++24/23* 13/7eq: +0.608 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		67.22% (G:41.94% B:3.72%)
32.78% (G:5.01% B:0.18%)
4.4-ply24/18 22/21eq: +0.488 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		68.72% (G:28.47% B:2.20%)
31.28% (G:6.13% B:0.27%)
5.4-ply22/15eq: +0.483 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		67.59% (G:30.75% B:2.44%)
32.41% (G:6.29% B:0.28%)
 
 32: Bar/23 14/11 
Pip=129-198
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 14/11eq: -0.659
Player:
Opponent:		30.70% (G:3.80% B:0.12%)
69.30% (G:40.95% B:3.27%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/10eq: -0.807 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		28.78% (G:3.00% B:0.09%)
71.22% (G:48.68% B:4.94%)
3.4-plyBar/23 8/5eq: -0.931 (-0.272)
Player:
Opponent:		25.80% (G:2.24% B:0.06%)
74.20% (G:52.20% B:5.59%)
4.3-plyBar/23 5/2* eq: -1.023 (-0.363)
Player:
Opponent:		23.41% (G:1.91% B:0.06%)
76.59% (G:54.22% B:6.50%)
5.3-plyBar/23 6/3eq: -1.107 (-0.448)
Player:
Opponent:		22.46% (G:1.25% B:0.05%)
77.54% (G:58.63% B:7.47%)
 
 31: 23/22 16/13 
Pip=129-193
1.playedXG Roller++23/22 16/13eq: +0.560
Player:
Opponent:		68.93% (G:33.11% B:2.24%)
31.07% (G:4.25% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++16/13 6/5eq: +0.465 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		65.48% (G:32.96% B:2.29%)
34.52% (G:5.09% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++23/22 13/10eq: +0.435 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		64.51% (G:33.72% B:2.80%)
35.49% (G:6.69% B:0.29%)
4.XG Roller++13/9eq: +0.429 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		63.98% (G:33.86% B:2.65%)
36.02% (G:6.05% B:0.22%)
5.XG Roller++23/22 9/6eq: +0.426 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		64.21% (G:33.13% B:2.44%)
35.79% (G:6.10% B:0.21%)
 
 61: 23/16*  
Pip=125-193
1.played3-ply23/16* eq: -0.334
Player:
Opponent:		37.78% (G:6.97% B:0.22%)
62.22% (G:29.74% B:2.51%)
2.3-ply23/17 11/10eq: -0.667 (-0.333)
Player:
Opponent:		29.95% (G:3.59% B:0.13%)
70.05% (G:39.64% B:3.24%)
3.3-ply13/6eq: -0.670 (-0.335)
Player:
Opponent:		27.73% (G:3.62% B:0.13%)
72.27% (G:35.02% B:2.54%)
4.3-ply13/7 11/10eq: -0.746 (-0.412)
Player:
Opponent:		28.16% (G:3.27% B:0.12%)
71.84% (G:42.17% B:3.92%)
5.3-ply13/7 8/7eq: -0.750 (-0.416)
Player:
Opponent:		27.87% (G:3.16% B:0.11%)
72.13% (G:41.82% B:3.83%)
 
 42: Bar/23 13/9*  
Pip=141-186
1.played4-plyBar/23 13/9* eq: +0.597
Player:
Opponent:		67.73% (G:39.52% B:3.63%)
32.27% (G:4.87% B:0.17%)
2.4-plyBar/21 6/4eq: +0.288 (-0.309)
Player:
Opponent:		61.69% (G:27.05% B:1.94%)
38.31% (G:7.19% B:0.26%)
3.4-plyBar/21 13/11eq: +0.274 (-0.323)
Player:
Opponent:		61.30% (G:26.66% B:1.98%)
38.70% (G:7.29% B:0.26%)
4.3-plyBar/23 22/18eq: +0.277 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		61.53% (G:26.58% B:1.73%)
38.47% (G:7.23% B:0.24%)
5.2-plyBar/21 3/1eq: -0.083 (-0.680)
Player:
Opponent:		51.18% (G:21.38% B:1.30%)
48.82% (G:11.90% B:0.56%)
 
 64: Cannot Move 
Pip=135-195
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.691
Player:
Opponent:		30.77% (G:3.92% B:0.14%)
69.23% (G:43.82% B:4.06%)
 
 22: 13/7 9/7 
Pip=135-195
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 9/7eq: +0.720
Player:
Opponent:		70.46% (G:43.78% B:3.86%)
29.54% (G:3.83% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++23/21 13/11(3)eq: +0.693 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		70.16% (G:42.07% B:3.50%)
29.84% (G:3.78% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller++23/21 13/9 6/4eq: +0.675 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		69.73% (G:41.68% B:3.48%)
30.27% (G:4.04% B:0.15%)
4.XG Roller++23/21 13/11 9/5eq: +0.675 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		69.52% (G:42.34% B:3.28%)
30.48% (G:4.09% B:0.15%)
5.XG Roller++23/21 13/11 13/9eq: +0.652 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		69.03% (G:41.29% B:3.56%)
30.97% (G:4.38% B:0.16%)
 
 31: Bar/24 11/8 
Pip=127-195
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 11/8eq: -0.692
Player:
Opponent:		28.82% (G:3.85% B:0.14%)
71.18% (G:39.95% B:3.12%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.726 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		30.46% (G:3.97% B:0.15%)
69.54% (G:46.01% B:5.13%)
3.4-plyBar/24 8/5eq: -0.903 (-0.211)
Player:
Opponent:		27.04% (G:2.26% B:0.07%)
72.96% (G:51.54% B:7.26%)
4.3-plyBar/24 5/2* eq: -1.009 (-0.316)
Player:
Opponent:		24.25% (G:1.89% B:0.06%)
75.75% (G:54.48% B:7.37%)
5.3-plyBar/24 6/3* eq: -1.018 (-0.326)
Player:
Opponent:		24.66% (G:1.81% B:0.06%)
75.34% (G:55.77% B:8.01%)
 
 21: 23/21 22/21 
Pip=127-191
1.playedXG Roller++23/21 22/21eq: +0.682
Player:
Opponent:		71.53% (G:38.42% B:2.91%)
28.47% (G:4.11% B:0.16%)
2.xgXG Roller++23/21 6/5eq: +0.679 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		71.03% (G:39.17% B:3.28%)
28.97% (G:4.17% B:0.16%)
3.XG Roller++22/21 6/4eq: +0.614 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		68.99% (G:38.62% B:3.15%)
31.01% (G:4.95% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++23/22 6/4eq: +0.576 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		68.01% (G:37.95% B:2.99%)
31.99% (G:5.47% B:0.19%)
5.XG Roller++6/3eq: +0.575 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		67.81% (G:38.29% B:3.13%)
32.19% (G:5.48% B:0.22%)
 
 42: 13/9 8/6 
Pip=124-191
1.xgXG Roller++13/7eq: -0.771
Player:
Opponent:		27.96% (G:3.44% B:0.13%)
72.04% (G:44.75% B:3.96%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/6eq: -0.782 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		27.49% (G:3.33% B:0.13%)
72.51% (G:44.29% B:4.27%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: -0.817 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		27.98% (G:3.21% B:0.12%)
72.02% (G:47.78% B:5.52%)
4.XG Roller++8/2eq: -0.866 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		23.69% (G:2.75% B:0.09%)
76.31% (G:43.12% B:3.57%)
5.4-ply13/9 5/3eq: -1.001 (-0.229)
Player:
Opponent:		24.52% (G:2.00% B:0.07%)
75.48% (G:54.58% B:7.26%)
 
 53: 21/16* 16/13 
Pip=124-185
1.xgXG Roller++21/18 21/16* eq: +0.876
Player:
Opponent:		73.49% (G:48.93% B:5.98%)
26.51% (G:1.95% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++21/16* 16/13eq: +0.867 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		72.97% (G:49.19% B:6.20%)
27.03% (G:1.94% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++21/16* 13/10eq: +0.843 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		72.14% (G:49.16% B:6.57%)
27.86% (G:2.62% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++21/16* 6/3eq: +0.811 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		71.44% (G:48.03% B:6.29%)
28.56% (G:2.51% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++21/18 6/1* eq: +0.787 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		72.94% (G:44.91% B:3.80%)
27.06% (G:4.39% B:0.20%)
 
 21: Bar/24 6/4*  
Pip=116-201
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 6/4* eq: -0.536
Player:
Opponent:		35.29% (G:2.17% B:0.12%)
64.71% (G:36.38% B:8.88%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.545 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		34.29% (G:2.05% B:0.11%)
65.71% (G:35.51% B:7.71%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/6eq: -0.579 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		33.26% (G:1.91% B:0.10%)
66.74% (G:36.07% B:7.73%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 5/3eq: -0.585 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		33.25% (G:1.63% B:0.09%)
66.75% (G:36.13% B:8.10%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/23 24/23eq: -0.985 (-0.449)
Player:
Opponent:		22.09% (G:1.70% B:0.03%)
77.91% (G:49.46% B:3.70%)
 
 43: Bar/22 13/9 
Pip=120-198
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/18eq: +0.598
Player:
Opponent:		67.29% (G:36.38% B:7.85%)
32.71% (G:2.00% B:0.08%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 13/9eq: +0.529 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		64.65% (G:35.94% B:8.73%)
35.35% (G:2.29% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21* 13/10eq: +0.473 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		61.45% (G:36.57% B:10.59%)
38.55% (G:1.69% B:0.05%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21* 21/18eq: +0.463 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:		61.44% (G:36.03% B:9.98%)
38.56% (G:1.62% B:0.05%)
5.4-plyBar/21* 6/3eq: +0.397 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		59.29% (G:35.21% B:10.56%)
40.71% (G:2.09% B:0.07%)

Ο Αυδής σωστά δεν χτυπάει, αφού το χτύπημα θα ευνοούσε το timing του 1-2 backgame.
Όμως το πούλι του 22 πρέπει να ελευθερωθεί, οπότε το b/18 είναι καλύτερο. Ποτέ δεν ξέρεις πότε θα πεταχτούν εκείνες οι 55 από το κουπάκι σου θα σου καταστρέψουν το timing.
 
 51: 13/7 
Pip=113-198
1.playedXG Roller++13/7eq: -0.533
Player:
Opponent:		35.17% (G:2.39% B:0.11%)
64.83% (G:36.28% B:8.48%)
2.XG Roller++8/7 8/3* eq: -0.578 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		35.26% (G:1.53% B:0.08%)
64.74% (G:38.15% B:10.75%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 5/4eq: -0.587 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		33.05% (G:2.16% B:0.10%)
66.95% (G:36.47% B:7.79%)
4.XG Roller++8/3* 5/4eq: -0.590 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		34.72% (G:1.46% B:0.07%)
65.28% (G:38.07% B:10.60%)
5.XG Roller++13/8 4/3* eq: -0.616 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		32.61% (G:2.06% B:0.11%)
67.39% (G:37.54% B:8.63%)

Είναι χαρακτηριστικό του 1-2 backgame το πόσο λάθος είναι η πόρτα στο κεφάλι (8/3 4/3). -0.134
 
 62: 22/16 13/11 
Pip=113-192
1.xgXG Roller++22/14eq: +0.608
Player:
Opponent:		68.15% (G:35.91% B:6.76%)
31.85% (G:1.92% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 9/7eq: +0.576 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		67.15% (G:35.08% B:7.19%)
32.85% (G:2.05% B:0.07%)
3.playedXG Roller++22/16 13/11eq: +0.568 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		66.33% (G:36.21% B:8.21%)
33.67% (G:2.87% B:0.14%)
4.XG Roller++22/16 6/4eq: +0.549 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		66.26% (G:34.97% B:7.13%)
33.74% (G:2.30% B:0.09%)
5.4-ply13/11 13/7eq: +0.434 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		62.35% (G:33.88% B:7.64%)
37.65% (G:2.73% B:0.10%)

Αχρείαστο. Το hit στο 13 μπορεί να στοιχήσει αν το πούλι εγκλωβιστεί 2-3 ζαριές και ο Γρούτσος βρει ένα εξάρι για να κερδίσει χρόνο.
 
 63: 23/17 7/4 
Pip=105-192
1.xgXG Roller++23/14* eq: -0.436
Player:
Opponent:		38.44% (G:3.26% B:0.17%)
61.56% (G:34.96% B:9.39%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/17 7/4eq: -0.499 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		34.99% (G:2.17% B:0.10%)
65.01% (G:33.82% B:6.35%)
3.XG Roller++23/17 13/10eq: -0.506 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		35.64% (G:1.68% B:0.08%)
64.36% (G:34.69% B:7.70%)
4.XG Roller++23/17 8/5eq: -0.523 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		34.39% (G:1.71% B:0.07%)
65.61% (G:34.08% B:6.64%)
5.XG Roller++23/17 6/3eq: -0.547 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		34.00% (G:1.35% B:0.06%)
66.00% (G:34.63% B:7.25%)

Ο Γρούτσος δεν είναι υποχρεωμένος να δεσμευτεί στο backgame. Με τόσα blots του Αυδή στο outfield υπάρχει πάντα η πιθανότητα να κλείσει αρκετά πίσω από το prime που είναι έτοιμος να φτιάξει και να υποχρεώσει τον Αυδή να χαλάσει τον δικο του αποκλεισμό.
Το σημαντικό εδώ είναι να καταλάβουμε ότι ο Γρούτσος δεν έχει να χάσει πολλά χτυπώντας τόσο νωρίς. Αν το χτύπημα δουλέψει (δηλαδή αν καταφέρει να αποκλείσει πούλια του Αυδή) τότε ίσως κερδίσει τη μάχη των αποκλεισμών. Αν το χτύπημα δεν δουλέψει, τότε ο Γρούτσος ελπίζει ο Αυδής να υποχρεωθεί να χτυπήσει κάπου, ώστε ο Γρουτσός να βελτιώσει σημαντικά το timing του.


 
 32: 13/8*  
Pip=105-183
1.xgXG Roller++16/13 11/9eq: +0.551
Player:
Opponent:		67.34% (G:33.04% B:5.45%)
32.66% (G:1.65% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++16/14 11/8* eq: +0.536 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		65.67% (G:35.46% B:6.90%)
34.33% (G:2.36% B:0.11%)
3.XG Roller++16/13 9/7eq: +0.531 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		66.74% (G:33.32% B:5.66%)
33.26% (G:2.79% B:0.11%)
4.playedXG Roller++13/8* eq: +0.512 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		64.92% (G:34.96% B:6.94%)
35.08% (G:2.50% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++16/13 6/4eq: +0.500 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		65.63% (G:33.30% B:6.03%)
34.37% (G:3.36% B:0.14%)

Επειδή σχεδόν πάντα το timing του 1-2 backgame είναι οριακό, τα χτυπήματα είναι συχνά υπέρ του αμυνόμενου.
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=100-191
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.405
Player:
Opponent:		39.06% (G:1.49% B:0.06%)
60.94% (G:33.54% B:7.44%)
 
 54: 16/7 
Pip=100-191
1.playedXG Roller++16/7eq: +0.413
Player:
Opponent:		61.43% (G:33.17% B:7.08%)
38.57% (G:1.55% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++16/11 9/5eq: +0.393 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		60.52% (G:33.09% B:7.44%)
39.48% (G:1.44% B:0.05%)
3.XG Roller++16/11 8/4eq: +0.375 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		59.76% (G:32.94% B:7.60%)
40.24% (G:1.22% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++11/6 8/4eq: +0.342 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		58.71% (G:32.48% B:7.97%)
41.29% (G:1.64% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++11/7 9/4eq: +0.342 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		59.08% (G:32.51% B:7.57%)
40.92% (G:2.45% B:0.09%)
 
 51: Bar/24 8/3 
Pip=91-191
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 8/3eq: -0.586
Player:
Opponent:		32.90% (G:1.19% B:0.04%)
67.10% (G:35.93% B:6.53%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.599 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		32.62% (G:1.18% B:0.04%)
67.38% (G:36.34% B:6.61%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1eq: -0.696 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		29.88% (G:0.67% B:0.02%)
70.12% (G:38.12% B:7.24%)
 
 41: 9/8 7/3 
Pip=91-185
1.xgXG Roller++11/7 9/8eq: +0.675
Player:
Opponent:		70.23% (G:36.92% B:5.94%)
29.77% (G:0.98% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++9/5 8/7eq: +0.646 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		69.10% (G:36.56% B:6.10%)
30.90% (G:0.84% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++11/7 8/7eq: +0.632 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		68.89% (G:36.08% B:5.87%)
31.11% (G:0.96% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++11/10 8/4eq: +0.603 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		67.51% (G:36.16% B:6.40%)
32.49% (G:0.95% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++11/10 9/5eq: +0.602 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		67.43% (G:36.52% B:6.69%)
32.57% (G:1.60% B:0.06%)
6.playedXG Roller++9/8 7/3eq: +0.545 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		65.78% (G:35.56% B:6.33%)
34.22% (G:1.56% B:0.05%)

Απορώ πώς το έχασε αυτό ο Αυδής, επειδή η ιδέα είναι πολύ γνωστή και την εφάρμοσε στην προηγούμνενη ζαριά: Σκοτώνουμε όσο πιο γρήγορα μπορούμε τα εξάρια, ώστε να κρατήσουμε το prime όσο περισσότερο γίνεται. Το 7/3 θάβει πολύ νωρίς ένα πούλι και αφήνει τα εξάρια να παίζουν από το 11.
 
 32: 8/3 
Pip=86-185
1.playedXG Roller++8/3eq: -0.487
Player:
Opponent:		36.13% (G:1.84% B:0.06%)
63.87% (G:34.78% B:6.48%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 5/3eq: -0.503 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		35.86% (G:1.59% B:0.05%)
64.14% (G:35.21% B:6.73%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: -0.511 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		35.69% (G:1.44% B:0.05%)
64.31% (G:35.35% B:6.80%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 6/3eq: -0.512 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		35.64% (G:1.52% B:0.05%)
64.36% (G:35.37% B:6.76%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 8/6eq: -0.513 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		35.56% (G:1.48% B:0.05%)
64.44% (G:35.36% B:6.72%)
 
 63: 11/5 8/5 
Pip=86-180
1.XG Roller++11/5 6/3eq: +0.400
Player:
Opponent:		60.96% (G:33.49% B:6.32%)
39.04% (G:2.13% B:0.07%)
2.playedXG Roller++11/5 8/5eq: +0.384 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		60.63% (G:33.40% B:6.54%)
39.37% (G:3.14% B:0.12%)
3.4-ply11/5 7/4eq: +0.094 (-0.305)
Player:
Opponent:		52.77% (G:27.88% B:5.44%)
47.23% (G:5.25% B:0.18%)

Αυτή η ζαριά καταδεικνύει το προγούμενο λάθος. Αν είχε παιχτεί σωστά, τώρα το εξάρι δεν θα έπαιζε.


 
 63: 23/17* 17/14 
Pip=77-180
1.XG Roller++23/17* 13/10eq: -0.348
Player:
Opponent:		39.74% (G:6.63% B:0.28%)
60.26% (G:33.55% B:6.34%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/17* 17/14eq: -0.352 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		39.39% (G:6.49% B:0.27%)
60.61% (G:33.38% B:5.74%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: -0.517 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		35.91% (G:1.36% B:0.04%)
64.09% (G:35.95% B:7.16%)
4.XG Roller++13/4eq: -0.540 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		35.24% (G:1.22% B:0.03%)
64.76% (G:36.24% B:7.15%)
5.4-ply13/7 5/2eq: -0.555 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		34.87% (G:0.96% B:0.03%)
65.13% (G:36.87% B:7.71%)
 
 52: Bar/18 
Pip=94-171
1.played3-plyBar/18eq: +0.564
Player:
Opponent:		66.17% (G:36.80% B:6.49%)
33.83% (G:3.32% B:0.11%)
2.3-plyBar/23 7/2* eq: +0.178 (-0.386)
Player:
Opponent:		54.80% (G:33.74% B:6.41%)
45.20% (G:9.18% B:0.47%)
 
 52: 14/7*  
Pip=87-171
1.played3-ply14/7* eq: -0.496
Player:
Opponent:		35.79% (G:4.93% B:0.17%)
64.21% (G:36.15% B:6.63%)
2.3-ply13/11 13/8eq: -0.959 (-0.464)
Player:
Opponent:		26.14% (G:1.51% B:0.08%)
73.86% (G:49.13% B:12.44%)
3.3-ply14/12 13/8eq: -1.033 (-0.537)
Player:
Opponent:		24.86% (G:1.35% B:0.08%)
75.14% (G:52.20% B:13.37%)
4.3-ply13/6eq: -1.043 (-0.547)
Player:
Opponent:		23.90% (G:1.09% B:0.06%)
76.10% (G:51.64% B:12.02%)
5.3-ply14/9 13/11eq: -1.054 (-0.558)
Player:
Opponent:		24.73% (G:1.47% B:0.08%)
75.27% (G:52.94% B:14.32%)
 
 22: Bar/23 6/2* 5/3 
Pip=94-164
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/2* 5/3eq: +0.466
Player:
Opponent:		63.05% (G:37.97% B:6.85%)
36.95% (G:6.94% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 5/3 4/2*(2) eq: +0.356 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		59.39% (G:34.89% B:5.73%)
40.61% (G:5.24% B:0.17%)
3.4-plyBar/23 7/5 4/2*(2) eq: +0.199 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		54.71% (G:32.66% B:5.77%)
45.29% (G:6.45% B:0.19%)
4.4-plyBar/23 6/2* 4/2eq: +0.161 (-0.306)
Player:
Opponent:		53.88% (G:32.61% B:5.91%)
46.12% (G:9.25% B:0.36%)
5.3-plyBar/23 6/4 5/3(2)eq: +0.145 (-0.322)
Player:
Opponent:		54.54% (G:29.10% B:5.09%)
45.46% (G:6.71% B:0.23%)
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=86-166
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.745
Player:
Opponent:		31.88% (G:2.66% B:0.09%)
68.12% (G:46.03% B:8.98%)
 
 31: 5/2 3/2 
Pip=86-166
1.playedXG Roller++5/2 3/2eq: +0.756
Player:
Opponent:		68.72% (G:45.88% B:8.35%)
31.28% (G:2.56% B:0.08%)
2.XG Roller++7/4 3/2eq: +0.741 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		68.28% (G:45.25% B:8.78%)
31.72% (G:2.85% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++7/6 5/2eq: +0.703 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		67.40% (G:44.40% B:8.50%)
32.60% (G:3.11% B:0.10%)
4.3-ply7/6 7/4eq: +0.342 (-0.414)
Player:
Opponent:		58.19% (G:36.67% B:7.05%)
41.81% (G:6.42% B:0.21%)
5.3-ply6/2eq: +0.069 (-0.686)
Player:
Opponent:		51.88% (G:30.54% B:5.20%)
48.12% (G:8.70% B:0.30%)
 
 61: Bar/24 13/7 
Pip=82-166
1.played3-plyBar/24 13/7eq: -0.323
Player:
Opponent:		40.98% (G:5.24% B:0.11%)
59.02% (G:33.27% B:4.21%)
2.3-plyBar/24 7/1eq: -0.769 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		28.32% (G:2.61% B:0.07%)
71.68% (G:42.27% B:5.82%)
 
 22: 7/3(2) 
Pip=82-159
1.playedXG Roller++7/3(2)eq: -0.036
Player:
Opponent:		49.23% (G:25.28% B:3.04%)
50.77% (G:7.13% B:0.23%)
2.XG Roller++7/5(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.050 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		48.08% (G:24.41% B:3.05%)
51.92% (G:4.51% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller++6/2(2)eq: -0.176 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:22.69% B:2.32%)
54.55% (G:8.15% B:0.26%)
4.3-ply7/5 7/3 6/4eq: -0.385 (-0.349)
Player:
Opponent:		37.96% (G:18.24% B:2.43%)
62.04% (G:10.64% B:0.33%)
5.3-ply7/5(2) 4/2(2)eq: -0.421 (-0.386)
Player:
Opponent:		38.42% (G:18.10% B:1.88%)
61.58% (G:9.46% B:0.25%)
 
 21: 13/10 
Pip=74-159
1.played4-ply13/10eq: -0.035
Player:
Opponent:		49.52% (G:6.63% B:0.21%)
50.48% (G:27.54% B:3.50%)
2.4-ply7/6 7/5eq: -0.334 (-0.299)
Player:
Opponent:		41.01% (G:4.50% B:0.10%)
58.99% (G:33.35% B:4.56%)
3.3-ply13/11 3/2* eq: -0.405 (-0.370)
Player:
Opponent:		41.25% (G:5.82% B:0.14%)
58.75% (G:39.22% B:8.47%)
4.3-ply3/1 3/2* eq: -0.426 (-0.391)
Player:
Opponent:		39.77% (G:5.28% B:0.12%)
60.23% (G:38.21% B:7.31%)
5.3-ply13/12 3/1eq: -0.446 (-0.411)
Player:
Opponent:		38.84% (G:5.26% B:0.14%)
61.16% (G:38.30% B:6.55%)
 
 62: 23/15*  
Pip=74-156
1.played3-ply23/15* eq: +1.111
Player:
Opponent:		76.70% (G:56.56% B:11.45%)
23.30% (G:0.58% B:0.01%)
2.1-ply23/17 6/4eq: -0.170 (-1.280)
Player:
Opponent:		45.34% (G:23.30% B:3.00%)
54.66% (G:8.97% B:0.57%)
3.1-ply23/17 5/3eq: -0.302 (-1.413)
Player:
Opponent:		41.86% (G:21.25% B:2.64%)
58.14% (G:10.98% B:0.77%)
4.1-ply23/17 4/2eq: -0.368 (-1.479)
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:21.10% B:2.63%)
60.51% (G:11.46% B:0.66%)
 
 31: Bar/24 7/4 
Pip=66-171
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 7/4eq: -1.124
Player:
Opponent:		22.02% (G:0.70% B:0.02%)
77.98% (G:56.39% B:9.64%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 5/2eq: -1.199 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		20.12% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
79.88% (G:58.29% B:10.16%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: -1.215 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		19.57% (G:0.43% B:0.01%)
80.43% (G:58.70% B:10.03%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 4/1eq: -1.228 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		19.39% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
80.61% (G:59.12% B:10.39%)
 
 42: 15/9 
Pip=66-167
1.played4-ply15/9eq: +1.175
Player:
Opponent:		79.56% (G:57.21% B:9.75%)
20.44% (G:0.57% B:0.02%)
2.4-ply6/4 6/2eq: +0.921 (-0.254)
Player:
Opponent:		73.29% (G:50.75% B:7.73%)
26.71% (G:1.89% B:0.05%)
3.3-ply15/11 6/4eq: +0.646 (-0.528)
Player:
Opponent:		65.86% (G:44.95% B:7.78%)
34.14% (G:5.03% B:0.16%)
4.3-ply15/11 5/3eq: +0.534 (-0.641)
Player:
Opponent:		63.57% (G:41.92% B:6.72%)
36.43% (G:5.58% B:0.21%)
5.3-ply15/13 6/2eq: +0.475 (-0.700)
Player:
Opponent:		61.74% (G:41.23% B:6.66%)
38.26% (G:5.93% B:0.19%)
 
 33: 7/1 5/2(2) 
Pip=60-167
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 5/2(2)eq: -1.465
Player:
Opponent:		12.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.61% (G:64.95% B:10.32%)
2.xgXG Roller++7/1 5/2 4/1eq: -1.467 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		12.56% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
87.44% (G:65.23% B:10.65%)
3.XG Roller++7/1 6/3 4/1eq: -1.479 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		12.08% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
87.92% (G:65.35% B:10.53%)
4.XG Roller++5/2(2) 4/1(2)eq: -1.486 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		11.99% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
88.01% (G:65.82% B:10.54%)
5.XG Roller++7/1 6/3(2)eq: -1.502 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		11.41% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
88.59% (G:66.01% B:10.59%)
 
 62: 9/3 2/Off 
Pip=60-155
1.played4-ply9/3 2/Offeq: +1.510
Player:
Opponent:		88.90% (G:66.06% B:10.55%)
11.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply9/3 6/4eq: +1.237 (-0.273)
Player:
Opponent:		82.70% (G:56.83% B:8.62%)
17.30% (G:0.77% B:0.02%)
3.3-ply9/3 5/3eq: +1.087 (-0.423)
Player:
Opponent:		79.31% (G:52.47% B:7.01%)
20.69% (G:1.27% B:0.02%)
4.3-ply9/3 4/2eq: +0.988 (-0.521)
Player:
Opponent:		76.80% (G:49.82% B:6.29%)
23.20% (G:1.49% B:0.03%)
 
 55: 6/1(2) 
Pip=52-155
1.played3-ply6/1(2)eq: -1.682
Player:
Opponent:		6.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.79% (G:70.73% B:10.92%)
 
 41: 6/5 6/2 
Pip=52-145
1.played4-ply6/5 6/2eq: +1.676
Player:
Opponent:		94.35% (G:70.12% B:9.52%)
5.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 3/2eq: +1.510 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		91.94% (G:61.39% B:7.64%)
8.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/Offeq: +1.507 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		91.73% (G:61.09% B:8.25%)
8.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply4/3 4/Offeq: +1.504 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		90.46% (G:63.75% B:8.44%)
9.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/Off 3/2eq: +1.414 (-0.261)
Player:
Opponent:		89.45% (G:57.94% B:7.82%)
10.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 24/17 
Pip=47-145
1.playedXG Roller++24/17eq: -1.594
Player:
Opponent:		7.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.30% (G:67.87% B:8.52%)
2.XG Roller++24/19 4/2eq: -1.626 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		6.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.18% (G:69.21% B:8.17%)
3.XG Roller++24/19 3/1eq: -1.687 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		5.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.76% (G:71.28% B:8.34%)
 
 65: 5/Off(2) 
Pip=47-138
1.played3-ply5/Off(2)eq: +1.484
Player:
Opponent:		90.20% (G:62.88% B:7.83%)
9.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 17/12 
Pip=37-138
1.playedXG Roller++17/12eq: -1.762
Player:
Opponent:		5.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.58% (G:75.38% B:12.13%)
2.XG Roller++17/14 4/2eq: -1.786 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		4.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.29% (G:76.68% B:11.42%)
3.XG Roller++17/15 4/1eq: -1.797 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		4.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.71% (G:77.05% B:11.11%)
4.XG Roller++17/14 3/1eq: -1.834 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		3.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.51% (G:78.62% B:11.26%)
5.XG Roller++4/1 3/1eq: -1.898 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		1.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.25% (G:82.34% B:9.59%)
 
 21: 5/2 
Pip=37-133
1.playedXG Roller++5/2eq: +1.769
Player:
Opponent:		95.24% (G:76.42% B:10.10%)
4.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/4 2/Offeq: +1.722 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		94.57% (G:73.03% B:10.49%)
5.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply3/Offeq: +1.520 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		91.11% (G:62.92% B:9.09%)
8.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/3 4/3eq: +1.478 (-0.291)
Player:
Opponent:		90.13% (G:62.63% B:7.59%)
9.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3-ply4/3 4/2eq: +1.424 (-0.344)
Player:
Opponent:		88.87% (G:60.81% B:7.13%)
11.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 33: 12/3 4/1 
Pip=34-133
1.playedXG Roller++12/3 4/1eq: -1.871
Player:
Opponent:		2.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.72% (G:79.87% B:10.71%)
2.XG Roller++12/6 4/1(2)eq: -1.909 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		1.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.35% (G:81.83% B:10.94%)
3.XG Roller++12/9 4/1(3)eq: -1.939 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		0.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.01% (G:83.95% B:10.18%)
 
 41: 4/3 4/Off 
Pip=34-121
1.played4-ply4/3 4/Offeq: +1.850
Player:
Opponent:		97.81% (G:79.31% B:8.98%)
2.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/Off 3/2eq: +1.590 (-0.260)
Player:
Opponent:		94.00% (G:65.37% B:6.46%)
6.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 24/19 
Pip=29-121
1.playedXG Roller++24/19eq: -1.873
Player:
Opponent:		1.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.05% (G:80.57% B:9.32%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 3/2eq: -1.878 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		1.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.06% (G:81.06% B:9.27%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 2/1eq: -1.906 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		1.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.54% (G:82.90% B:9.03%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 4/3eq: -1.940 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		0.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.12% (G:85.32% B:8.57%)
 
 41: 3/2 3/Off 
Pip=29-116
1.played3-ply3/2 3/Offeq: +1.819
Player:
Opponent:		97.73% (G:77.82% B:7.64%)
2.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 19/16 
Pip=25-116
1.playedXG Roller++19/16eq: -1.873
Player:
Opponent:		2.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.66% (G:79.50% B:11.33%)
2.XG Roller++19/17 3/2eq: -1.876 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		2.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.72% (G:79.96% B:11.10%)
3.XG Roller++19/18 3/1eq: -1.887 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		1.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.02% (G:80.21% B:11.14%)
4.XG Roller++19/17 2/1eq: -1.910 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		1.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.29% (G:82.02% B:10.97%)
5.XG Roller++19/17 4/3eq: -1.947 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		0.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.02% (G:84.49% B:10.41%)
 
 65: 3/Off(2) 
Pip=25-113
1.played3-ply3/Off(2)eq: +1.890
Player:
Opponent:		97.78% (G:80.86% B:11.45%)
2.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 24/19 
Pip=19-113
1.playedXG Roller++24/19eq: -1.905
Player:
Opponent:		2.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.94% (G:81.54% B:11.81%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 16/15eq: -1.912 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		2.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.88% (G:81.27% B:12.94%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 3/2eq: -1.919 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		2.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.96% (G:81.50% B:13.13%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 2/1eq: -1.955 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		1.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.47% (G:84.26% B:12.70%)
5.XG Roller++16/12 3/2eq: -1.980 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		2.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.78% (G:80.13% B:21.15%)
 
 42: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=19-108
1.played3-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +2.016
Player:
Opponent:		99.05% (G:89.81% B:11.73%)
0.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 24/18 
Pip=14-108
1.playedXG Roller++24/18eq: -2.044
Player:
Opponent:		0.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.26% (G:90.49% B:13.29%)
2.XG Roller++24/20 19/17eq: -2.056 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		0.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.27% (G:90.40% B:14.57%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 16/14eq: -2.099 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		0.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.23% (G:89.90% B:19.56%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 3/1eq: -2.106 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		0.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.35% (G:90.29% B:19.52%)
5.XG Roller++19/17 16/12eq: -2.133 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		0.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.04% (G:88.10% B:25.21%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=14-102
1.playedXG Roller++3/Off 2/Offeq: +1.873
Player:
Opponent:		98.89% (G:82.52% B:5.24%)
1.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++3/1* 3/Offeq: +1.808 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		98.38% (G:81.27% B:1.25%)
1.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 24/18 19/15 
Pip=9-102
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 19/15eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 16/12eq: -2.138 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.11%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 16/10eq: -2.138 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.11%)
4.XG Roller++24/14eq: -2.138 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.11%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 19/13eq: -2.138 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.11%)
 
 43: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=9-92
1.played3-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +2.027
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.99% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: ???? 
Pip=4-92
1.XG Roller++15/14 4/2eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++16/15 3/1eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++16/13eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++18/17 18/16eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++15/12eq: -2.027
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Resigns a Gammon 4pts. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0132) Total Error World Class (-0.0058)
Expert (-0.0131) Checker Play World Class (-0.0060)
Advanced (-0.0151) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
6.62 Performance Rating 2.92
5(2) Move Errors 3
-0.405(-2.95%) Equity lost (cost) -0.175(-1.25%)
     
1 Double Errors 0
-0.045(-0.19%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
6(2) Total Error 3
-0.450(-3.13%) Equity lost (cost) -0.175(-1.25%)
     
1 Jokers 3
+2.521(+18.18%) Luck -2.521(-18.18%)

 Game 3

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 5, Groutsos: 0

 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/4 6/4eq: +0.094
Player:
Opponent:		53.82% (G:16.43% B:0.74%)
46.18% (G:12.02% B:0.53%)
2.Book124/20 13/11eq: -0.076 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		50.14% (G:13.62% B:0.66%)
49.86% (G:13.40% B:0.58%)
3.Book124/22 13/9eq: -0.078 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		49.81% (G:14.00% B:0.60%)
50.19% (G:13.11% B:0.51%)
4.Book113/11 13/9eq: -0.084 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		49.69% (G:15.06% B:0.73%)
50.31% (G:13.93% B:0.77%)
5.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: -0.106 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		49.36% (G:11.94% B:0.53%)
50.64% (G:13.21% B:0.44%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=161-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/13eq: -0.124
Player:
Opponent:		46.34% (G:9.26% B:0.35%)
53.66% (G:15.69% B:0.44%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/8eq: -0.210 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		44.02% (G:10.76% B:0.53%)
55.98% (G:19.29% B:0.69%)
3.4-ply13/8 13/7eq: -0.302 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		40.83% (G:10.64% B:0.50%)
59.17% (G:18.78% B:1.19%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: -0.365 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:10.41% B:0.51%)
60.51% (G:20.61% B:1.28%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.436 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		39.17% (G:9.25% B:0.45%)
60.83% (G:24.46% B:1.28%)
 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=161-156
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: +0.053
Player:
Opponent:		52.05% (G:16.09% B:0.46%)
47.95% (G:10.87% B:0.52%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: +0.032 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		51.21% (G:14.32% B:0.35%)
48.79% (G:9.48% B:0.32%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.034 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		49.84% (G:14.39% B:0.40%)
50.16% (G:10.91% B:0.47%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 6/1* eq: -0.062 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		49.09% (G:14.87% B:0.32%)
50.91% (G:11.23% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.063 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		49.08% (G:14.34% B:0.37%)
50.92% (G:10.95% B:0.49%)

Ενδιαφέρον, καθώς πάει κόντρα στην κοινή λογική που λέει ότι εφόσον έχω καλύτερο στρατόπεδο και ο αντίπαλος έχει λιγότερα πούλια πίσω, διαχωρίζω για να πάρω περισσότερες βολές. Γι' αυτό κι εγώ θα έπαιζα 24/22.
 
 66: 24/18 13/7(3) 
Pip=154-156
1.xgXG Roller++13/7(4)eq: +0.310
Player:
Opponent:		56.10% (G:12.94% B:0.46%)
43.90% (G:9.82% B:0.28%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.288 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		56.70% (G:10.39% B:0.39%)
43.30% (G:10.22% B:0.27%)
3.XG Roller++13/1*(2) eq: +0.188 (-0.122)
Player:
Opponent:		52.61% (G:14.50% B:0.27%)
47.39% (G:11.51% B:0.37%)
4.4-ply13/7(2) 13/1* eq: +0.113 (-0.197)
Player:
Opponent:		51.16% (G:12.60% B:0.31%)
48.84% (G:11.98% B:0.44%)
5.4-ply13/7(3) 8/2eq: +0.062 (-0.248)
Player:
Opponent:		50.06% (G:12.51% B:0.45%)
49.94% (G:13.61% B:0.48%)

Λεπτομέρεια. Συνήθως είναι σωστό το τρέξιμο σε τέτοιες περιπτώσεις που οι 66 σου έχουν δώσει προβάδισμα στην κούρσα.
 
 51: 13/7*  
Pip=154-132
1.played4-ply13/7* eq: -0.225
Player:
Opponent:		45.19% (G:11.92% B:0.28%)
54.81% (G:12.37% B:0.50%)
2.4-ply8/7* 7/2eq: -0.434 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		40.25% (G:10.03% B:0.22%)
59.75% (G:14.32% B:0.68%)
3.4-ply8/7* 6/1eq: -0.500 (-0.276)
Player:
Opponent:		39.49% (G:9.88% B:0.20%)
60.51% (G:16.52% B:0.95%)
4.3-ply8/3 8/7* eq: -0.538 (-0.314)
Player:
Opponent:		39.01% (G:9.99% B:0.29%)
60.99% (G:18.20% B:1.18%)
5.3-ply13/8 6/5eq: -0.670 (-0.446)
Player:
Opponent:		33.85% (G:6.33% B:0.19%)
66.15% (G:12.84% B:0.45%)
 
 No double 
Pip=148-139
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.15% (G:11.95% B:0.54%) 55.07% (G:12.42% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.85% (G:11.85% B:0.33%) 44.93% (G:12.05% B:0.33%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.099 +0.226
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.244
     Double/Take:+0.064 (-0.180)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.756)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.1%
 
 51: Bar/20 8/7 
Pip=148-139
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: +0.116
Player:
Opponent:		51.40% (G:11.85% B:0.42%)
48.60% (G:12.07% B:0.33%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 8/7eq: +0.056 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		50.68% (G:11.33% B:0.51%)
49.32% (G:14.44% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: +0.028 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		49.40% (G:11.82% B:0.39%)
50.60% (G:14.27% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/20 7/6eq: +0.007 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		49.50% (G:10.88% B:0.49%)
50.50% (G:14.58% B:0.38%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3* eq: -0.042 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		47.36% (G:12.40% B:0.49%)
52.64% (G:15.76% B:0.57%)

Περίεργο παίξιμο από τον Γρούτσο, καθώς παραβιάζει τη γνωστή αρχή που λέει ότι δεν πρέπει να ερχόμαστε under the gun, δηλαδή υπό τα πυρά των αντίπαλων builders. Έπρεπε να μείνει στην ασφάλεια του 24.
 
 44: 13/5*(2)  
Pip=148-133
1.played3-ply13/5*(2) eq: +0.394
Player:
Opponent:		58.91% (G:23.52% B:0.53%)
41.09% (G:8.56% B:0.39%)
2.3-ply24/16 13/5* eq: -0.083 (-0.478)
Player:
Opponent:		49.59% (G:13.81% B:0.34%)
50.41% (G:13.40% B:0.67%)
3.3-ply13/5* 6/2(2)eq: -0.115 (-0.510)
Player:
Opponent:		47.75% (G:16.74% B:0.32%)
52.25% (G:12.76% B:0.76%)
4.3-ply13/9(2) 13/5* eq: -0.138 (-0.533)
Player:
Opponent:		47.43% (G:16.08% B:0.48%)
52.57% (G:13.07% B:0.66%)
5.3-ply24/20 13/5* 5/1eq: -0.213 (-0.608)
Player:
Opponent:		45.81% (G:12.40% B:0.28%)
54.19% (G:13.13% B:0.69%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=132-138
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/8eq: -0.487
Player:
Opponent:		37.22% (G:8.45% B:0.45%)
62.78% (G:21.86% B:0.54%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.561 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		36.33% (G:7.76% B:0.31%)
63.67% (G:24.68% B:0.76%)
3.4-plyBar/24 7/2eq: -0.695 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		33.52% (G:7.68% B:0.39%)
66.48% (G:30.17% B:0.88%)
4.3-plyBar/24 8/3* eq: -1.000 (-0.513)
Player:
Opponent:		29.40% (G:6.71% B:0.33%)
70.60% (G:33.67% B:2.04%)
 
 No double 
Pip=132-132
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.58% (G:21.97% B:0.58%) 62.48% (G:22.33% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.42% (G:8.68% B:0.46%) 37.52% (G:8.63% B:0.46%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.400 +0.779
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.473
     Double/Take:+0.312 (-0.161)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.527)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 19.0%
 
 41: 13/9 8/7 
Pip=132-132
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 8/7eq: +0.472
Player:
Opponent:		64.04% (G:17.09% B:0.65%)
35.96% (G:9.51% B:0.41%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/9 8/7eq: +0.415 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		61.51% (G:18.04% B:0.67%)
38.49% (G:9.69% B:0.40%)
3.4-ply8/7 6/2eq: +0.210 (-0.261)
Player:
Opponent:		57.57% (G:17.98% B:0.76%)
42.43% (G:12.68% B:0.74%)
4.4-ply6/1* eq: +0.142 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		53.98% (G:21.07% B:0.43%)
46.02% (G:12.70% B:0.94%)
5.3-ply8/7 8/4eq: -0.027 (-0.499)
Player:
Opponent:		50.73% (G:16.43% B:0.61%)
49.27% (G:13.03% B:0.65%)

Το 13/9 είναι η πρώτη ενστικτώδης σκέψη, αλλά τα υπόλοιπα χαρακτηριστικά της θέσης δείχνουν το 24/20:
Ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει στρατόπεδο, το άλλο πούλι είναι ψηλά, στο 22, οπότε αν χτυπηθεί το ένα μπορεί να δέσει καλή anchor με το άλλο, η αντίπαλη midpoint είναι γυμνή, οπότε ένα χτύπημα από κει αδυνατίζει τον έλεγχο του outfield από τον αντίπαλο. Επίσης, δεν υπάρχει πούλι για να κλείσει το εξάπορτο μετά το 13/9. Αντίθετα, ο αντίπαλος είναι έτοιμος να χτίσει prime.
Με δεδομένα τα παραπάνω, δεν υπάρχει λόγος να μην ξεκινήσει η προσπάθεια δραπέτευσης των πίσω πουλίων πριν προλάβει ο αντίπαλος να τα κλείσει μέσα.


 
 61: 24/23 13/7 
Pip=127-132
1.xgXG Roller++13/12 13/7eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.76% (G:4.84% B:0.19%)
74.24% (G:20.46% B:0.55%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 7/1* eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		27.67% (G:5.83% B:0.20%)
72.33% (G:27.51% B:0.89%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.07% (G:4.75% B:0.19%)
74.93% (G:21.57% B:0.55%)
4.XG Roller++8/1* eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		26.35% (G:5.57% B:0.18%)
73.65% (G:25.75% B:0.97%)
5.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.47% (G:4.73% B:0.19%)
74.53% (G:24.04% B:0.59%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=127-125
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.38% (G:24.56% B:0.59%) 74.36% (G:26.06% B:0.66%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.62% (G:4.96% B:0.22%) 25.64% (G:5.00% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.703 +1.422
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.867 (-0.133)
     Double/Take:+1.115 (+0.115)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Το 61 ήταν καταστροφική ζαριά. Η αποτυχία να γίνει πόρτα σ' αυτή τη θέση, υποχρεώνει τον Γρούτσο σε πάσο.


 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0110) Total Error Expert (-0.0116)
Advanced (-0.0154) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0162)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
5.50 Performance Rating 5.80
2 Move Errors 2
-0.077(-0.30%) Equity lost (cost) -0.081(-0.32%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
2 Total Error 2
-0.077(-0.30%) Equity lost (cost) -0.081(-0.32%)
     
2 Jokers 1
+1.041(+4.06%) Luck -1.041(-4.06%)

 Game 4

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 6, Groutsos: 0

 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/22 13/8eq: +0.128
Player:
Opponent:		50.27% (G:13.01% B:0.52%)
49.73% (G:12.81% B:0.47%)
2.Book113/11 13/8eq: +0.122 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		49.79% (G:14.03% B:0.70%)
50.21% (G:13.63% B:0.64%)
3.Book113/8 6/4eq: +0.062 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		48.75% (G:12.95% B:0.51%)
51.25% (G:14.03% B:0.70%)
4.Book113/6eq: +0.028 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		47.52% (G:13.28% B:0.60%)
52.48% (G:14.59% B:0.66%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 8/3eq: -0.026 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		46.43% (G:12.99% B:0.60%)
53.57% (G:15.70% B:0.92%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 43: 24/20 6/3*  
Pip=167-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 6/3* eq: -0.236
Player:
Opponent:		47.05% (G:11.06% B:0.39%)
52.95% (G:13.89% B:0.64%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 6/3* eq: -0.252 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		47.27% (G:12.88% B:0.54%)
52.73% (G:15.88% B:1.04%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 24/20eq: -0.268 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		46.36% (G:10.23% B:0.40%)
53.64% (G:14.08% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 13/10eq: -0.292 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		45.71% (G:11.16% B:0.42%)
54.29% (G:14.60% B:0.65%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.328 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		44.90% (G:11.15% B:0.37%)
55.10% (G:14.97% B:0.69%)
 
 No double 
Pip=160-163
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.96% (G:14.33% B:0.66%) 52.97% (G:14.20% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.04% (G:11.56% B:0.40%) 47.03% (G:11.36% B:0.40%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.085 +0.219
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.242
     Double/Take:+0.085 (-0.157)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.758)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.7%
 
 11: Bar/23 6/5*(2)  
Pip=160-163
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5*(2) eq: +0.644
Player:
Opponent:		60.87% (G:20.31% B:1.01%)
39.13% (G:8.96% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/7 6/5*(2) eq: +0.635 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		61.00% (G:20.19% B:1.04%)
39.00% (G:9.15% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/5*(3) eq: +0.584 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		59.68% (G:19.77% B:0.98%)
40.32% (G:9.75% B:0.43%)
4.4-plyBar/22* 6/5* eq: +0.439 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		56.71% (G:17.50% B:0.94%)
43.29% (G:9.79% B:0.39%)
5.3-plyBar/24 8/7(2) 6/5* eq: +0.299 (-0.344)
Player:
Opponent:		54.02% (G:15.98% B:0.80%)
45.98% (G:11.79% B:0.58%)
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=165-159
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		33.59% (G:6.67% B:0.24%)
66.41% (G:27.53% B:1.83%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=165-159
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.95% (G:26.73% B:1.66%) 66.61% (G:28.60% B:1.71%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.05% (G:6.40% B:0.23%) 33.39% (G:6.75% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.551 +1.199
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.919 (-0.081)
     Double/Take:+1.096 (+0.096)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Αν υπήρχε η παραμικρή αμφιβολία για τη θέση, το σκορ αποφασίζει πάσο.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (+0.0000) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.00 Performance Rating 0.00
0 Move Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Jokers 2
-0.883(-3.33%) Luck +0.883(+3.33%)

 Game 5

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 6, Groutsos: 1

 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/13eq: -0.002
Player:
Opponent:		52.79% (G:11.70% B:0.51%)
47.21% (G:11.73% B:0.35%)
2.Book124/18 13/8eq: -0.072 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		51.05% (G:12.76% B:0.62%)
48.95% (G:13.03% B:0.44%)
3.Book113/8 13/7eq: -0.169 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		48.18% (G:13.96% B:0.72%)
51.82% (G:14.13% B:0.71%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: -0.241 (-0.239)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:13.04% B:0.65%)
53.51% (G:15.48% B:0.81%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.279 (-0.278)
Player:
Opponent:		46.29% (G:11.41% B:0.52%)
53.71% (G:16.64% B:0.75%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 41: 24/23 13/9 
Pip=156-167
1.xgXG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: -0.127
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:11.13% B:0.35%)
55.84% (G:14.48% B:0.90%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/9eq: -0.130 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		43.76% (G:10.88% B:0.31%)
56.24% (G:12.81% B:0.55%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 6/5eq: -0.159 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		43.71% (G:10.21% B:0.32%)
56.29% (G:14.30% B:0.67%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 24/20eq: -0.172 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		43.02% (G:9.22% B:0.25%)
56.98% (G:11.98% B:0.42%)
5.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.183 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		42.67% (G:10.09% B:0.27%)
57.33% (G:13.34% B:0.62%)
 
 44: 24/16* 6/2*(2)  
Pip=156-162
1.playedXG Roller++24/16* 6/2*(2) eq: +0.602
Player:
Opponent:		65.74% (G:21.31% B:1.21%)
34.26% (G:6.78% B:0.24%)
2.XG Roller++24/16* 13/9(2)eq: +0.573 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		66.25% (G:17.32% B:0.91%)
33.75% (G:6.62% B:0.22%)
3.XG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.511 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		64.24% (G:18.11% B:1.07%)
35.76% (G:7.06% B:0.24%)
4.XG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.505 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		62.81% (G:23.12% B:1.17%)
37.19% (G:8.17% B:0.31%)
5.4-ply13/5(2)eq: +0.423 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		62.93% (G:17.34% B:0.66%)
37.07% (G:7.93% B:0.24%)
 
 53: Bar/22 Bar/20 
Pip=140-180
1.played3-plyBar/22 Bar/20eq: -0.490
Player:
Opponent:		35.69% (G:7.23% B:0.24%)
64.31% (G:18.65% B:0.81%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=140-172
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.14% (G:18.37% B:0.94%) 64.10% (G:18.64% B:0.97%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.86% (G:7.48% B:0.23%) 35.90% (G:7.48% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.403 +0.775
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.495
played Double/Take:+0.326 (-0.168)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.505)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 20.0%

Η θέση του Αυδή είναι καλή, αλλά όχι χωρίς προβλήματα: Η midpoint είναι βαριά φορτωμένη με 6 πούλια, υπάρχει ένα πούλι σε κίνδυνο, και το στρατόπεδό του δεν είναι ιδιαίτερα δυνατό και κυρίως είναι αρκετά ασύνδετο.
Αντίθετα, η θέση του Γρούτσου, όσο κι αν είναι χειρότερη, παραμένει πολύ υγιής: Δεν έχει κάψει πούλια, και είναι έτοιμος να βρει βολή ή να δέσει anchor.
Τέλος, το σκορ συνηγορεί επίσης υπέρ του να περιμένει κανείς.
 
 64: 16/6 
Pip=140-172
1.played4-ply16/6eq: +0.171
Player:
Opponent:		64.83% (G:16.21% B:0.53%)
35.17% (G:6.77% B:0.24%)
2.4-ply13/3* eq: -0.040 (-0.210)
Player:
Opponent:		58.31% (G:16.70% B:0.80%)
41.69% (G:10.04% B:0.33%)
3.4-ply16/10 13/9eq: -0.097 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		56.46% (G:15.82% B:0.66%)
43.54% (G:9.97% B:0.36%)
4.3-ply16/10 6/2eq: -0.155 (-0.326)
Player:
Opponent:		55.18% (G:14.21% B:0.50%)
44.82% (G:10.83% B:0.34%)
5.3-ply16/10 8/4eq: -0.171 (-0.341)
Player:
Opponent:		55.20% (G:12.77% B:0.48%)
44.80% (G:10.87% B:0.40%)
 
 64: 24/20 13/7 
Pip=130-172
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 13/7eq: -0.183
Player:
Opponent:		33.42% (G:6.04% B:0.13%)
66.58% (G:11.72% B:0.22%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 20/16eq: -0.216 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		34.31% (G:6.31% B:0.14%)
65.69% (G:18.91% B:0.30%)
3.XG Roller++24/20 8/2eq: -0.248 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		31.71% (G:5.72% B:0.12%)
68.29% (G:13.39% B:0.33%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 6/2eq: -0.259 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		33.01% (G:6.92% B:0.15%)
66.99% (G:20.17% B:0.92%)
5.XG Roller++24/18 22/18eq: -0.278 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		31.00% (G:4.62% B:0.07%)
69.00% (G:13.06% B:0.15%)
 
 51: 13/8 2/1 
Pip=130-162
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 2/1eq: +0.102
Player:
Opponent:		64.21% (G:10.71% B:0.17%)
35.79% (G:7.06% B:0.21%)
2.XG Roller++8/3* 3/2eq: +0.067 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		62.76% (G:12.45% B:0.28%)
37.24% (G:7.62% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 2/1eq: +0.046 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		62.36% (G:11.90% B:0.21%)
37.64% (G:8.17% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.005 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		60.38% (G:12.00% B:0.40%)
39.62% (G:8.06% B:0.24%)
5.4-ply8/2eq: -0.053 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		59.15% (G:10.87% B:0.20%)
40.85% (G:9.11% B:0.29%)
 
 54: 13/4 
Pip=124-162
1.XG Roller++13/9 8/3eq: -0.141
Player:
Opponent:		34.64% (G:6.92% B:0.14%)
65.36% (G:11.64% B:0.28%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/3 7/3eq: -0.141 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		34.25% (G:6.74% B:0.12%)
65.75% (G:10.46% B:0.16%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: -0.144 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		34.39% (G:6.55% B:0.13%)
65.61% (G:10.71% B:0.17%)
4.XG Roller++8/4 8/3eq: -0.153 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		34.32% (G:6.78% B:0.13%)
65.68% (G:11.92% B:0.30%)
5.XG Roller++7/2 6/2eq: -0.165 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		33.64% (G:6.52% B:0.10%)
66.36% (G:10.98% B:0.17%)
 
 41: 13/8 
Pip=124-153
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.121
Player:
Opponent:		64.98% (G:9.17% B:0.15%)
35.02% (G:6.49% B:0.18%)
2.XG Roller++6/1eq: +0.106 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		64.38% (G:10.10% B:0.16%)
35.62% (G:6.93% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 2/1eq: -0.005 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		61.30% (G:10.79% B:0.26%)
38.70% (G:8.77% B:0.22%)
4.4-ply13/9 2/1eq: -0.090 (-0.211)
Player:
Opponent:		57.91% (G:12.17% B:0.33%)
42.09% (G:9.81% B:0.28%)
5.4-ply8/7 6/2eq: -0.128 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		57.05% (G:12.30% B:0.39%)
42.95% (G:10.99% B:0.34%)
 
 52: 8/3 6/4 
Pip=119-153
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/4eq: -0.135
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:6.63% B:0.11%)
65.48% (G:9.32% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.172 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		33.25% (G:6.04% B:0.11%)
66.75% (G:9.38% B:0.11%)
3.XG Roller++7/2 6/4eq: -0.181 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		33.03% (G:6.08% B:0.09%)
66.97% (G:9.92% B:0.14%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 7/5eq: -0.194 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		33.00% (G:6.34% B:0.12%)
67.00% (G:11.72% B:0.30%)
5.XG Roller++6/4 6/1eq: -0.210 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		31.90% (G:6.03% B:0.07%)
68.10% (G:10.22% B:0.16%)
 
 11: 8/7(3) 2/1 
Pip=119-146
1.playedXG Roller++8/7(3) 2/1eq: +0.223
Player:
Opponent:		68.44% (G:7.95% B:0.11%)
31.56% (G:5.21% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++8/7(2) 8/6eq: +0.126 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		65.06% (G:8.02% B:0.14%)
34.94% (G:6.53% B:0.17%)
3.4-ply8/6(2)eq: +0.004 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		61.31% (G:7.43% B:0.11%)
38.69% (G:7.45% B:0.23%)
4.3-ply8/7 8/6 2/1eq: -0.245 (-0.468)
Player:
Opponent:		54.30% (G:11.27% B:0.33%)
45.70% (G:12.58% B:0.27%)
5.2-ply8/7(4)eq: -0.387 (-0.609)
Player:
Opponent:		49.93% (G:8.97% B:0.24%)
50.07% (G:16.10% B:0.35%)
 
 66: 22/10 8/2(2) 
Pip=115-146
1.xgXG Roller++13/7(2) 8/2(2)eq: -0.121
Player:
Opponent:		35.19% (G:4.53% B:0.05%)
64.81% (G:4.95% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++13/1(2)eq: -0.130 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		34.73% (G:4.74% B:0.03%)
65.27% (G:4.93% B:0.10%)
3.playedXG Roller++22/10 8/2(2)eq: -0.153 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		34.24% (G:1.03% B:0.01%)
65.76% (G:1.35% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++22/10 13/7(2)eq: -0.154 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		34.21% (G:1.06% B:0.02%)
65.79% (G:1.35% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++22/4 8/2eq: -0.154 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		34.21% (G:1.06% B:0.01%)
65.79% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)

Κι εγώ το ίδιο θα έπαιζα. Το XG είναι πολύ αυστηρό στον κανόνα ότι δεν τρέχουμε όταν είμαστε πίσω. Μετά τις 66 ο Γρούτσος είναι 7 pips πίσω και το 22/10 ελευθερώνει τις θέσεις 3 και 4 του Αυδή.


 
 31: 6/2 
Pip=115-122
1.xgXG Roller++7/3eq: +0.015
Player:
Opponent:		60.32% (G:1.42% B:0.02%)
39.68% (G:1.34% B:0.01%)
2.playedXG Roller++6/2eq: -0.003 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		59.65% (G:1.47% B:0.02%)
40.35% (G:1.43% B:0.01%)
3.4-ply13/9eq: -0.149 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		55.47% (G:4.96% B:0.23%)
44.53% (G:7.43% B:0.10%)
4.4-ply13/10 7/6eq: -0.220 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:		53.05% (G:5.41% B:0.28%)
46.95% (G:9.03% B:0.13%)
5.4-ply8/4eq: -0.264 (-0.279)
Player:
Opponent:		51.70% (G:4.61% B:0.24%)
48.30% (G:9.52% B:0.14%)
 
 42: 10/8 7/3 
Pip=111-122
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 13/9eq: -0.087
Player:
Opponent:		36.83% (G:1.20% B:0.01%)
63.17% (G:1.38% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++10/6 7/5eq: -0.093 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		36.65% (G:1.29% B:0.01%)
63.35% (G:1.64% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++7/3 6/4eq: -0.094 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		36.60% (G:1.20% B:0.01%)
63.40% (G:1.53% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++10/4eq: -0.096 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		36.48% (G:1.22% B:0.01%)
63.52% (G:1.59% B:0.03%)
5.playedXG Roller++10/8 7/3eq: -0.097 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		36.48% (G:1.23% B:0.01%)
63.52% (G:1.57% B:0.02%)
 
 32: 13/8 
Pip=111-116
1.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: -0.002
Player:
Opponent:		59.48% (G:1.45% B:0.02%)
40.52% (G:1.41% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++7/4 6/4eq: -0.010 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		59.08% (G:1.75% B:0.03%)
40.92% (G:1.54% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++7/2eq: -0.029 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		58.48% (G:1.41% B:0.03%)
41.52% (G:1.53% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++6/1eq: -0.131 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		54.50% (G:2.07% B:0.03%)
45.50% (G:2.22% B:0.03%)
5.3-ply8/6 7/4eq: -0.385 (-0.383)
Player:
Opponent:		47.06% (G:2.95% B:0.06%)
52.94% (G:11.92% B:0.15%)
 
 64: 13/9 13/7 
Pip=106-116
1.playedXG Roller++13/9 13/7eq: +0.026
Player:
Opponent:		41.54% (G:1.64% B:0.02%)
58.46% (G:1.62% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++20/10eq: -0.017 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		40.37% (G:1.79% B:0.02%)
59.63% (G:3.06% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++8/2 6/2eq: -0.038 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		39.14% (G:1.34% B:0.01%)
60.86% (G:2.20% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 20/14eq: -0.064 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		38.87% (G:3.54% B:0.06%)
61.13% (G:6.62% B:0.10%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 8/4eq: -0.069 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		37.57% (G:2.27% B:0.02%)
62.43% (G:2.49% B:0.05%)
 
 52: 8/6 7/2 
Pip=106-106
1.xgXG Roller++13/6eq: -0.064
Player:
Opponent:		56.41% (G:1.56% B:0.03%)
43.59% (G:1.83% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++7/2 6/4eq: -0.064 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		56.28% (G:1.88% B:0.08%)
43.72% (G:2.02% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.070 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		56.11% (G:2.31% B:0.08%)
43.89% (G:2.38% B:0.05%)
4.playedXG Roller++8/6 7/2eq: -0.082 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		55.65% (G:1.71% B:0.05%)
44.35% (G:1.99% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 6/4eq: -0.101 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		54.81% (G:2.03% B:0.06%)
45.19% (G:1.92% B:0.04%)
 
 65: 7/1 6/1 
Pip=99-106
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 6/1eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:		44.83% (G:2.49% B:0.03%)
55.17% (G:2.01% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 6/1eq: +0.070 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		44.12% (G:2.23% B:0.02%)
55.88% (G:2.37% B:0.05%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 6/1eq: +0.065 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		43.98% (G:2.13% B:0.02%)
56.02% (G:2.24% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 7/1eq: +0.051 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		43.41% (G:2.31% B:0.02%)
56.59% (G:2.42% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++9/4 7/1eq: +0.050 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		43.36% (G:2.19% B:0.02%)
56.64% (G:2.30% B:0.05%)
 
 54: 13/4 
Pip=99-95
1.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: -0.044
Player:
Opponent:		56.33% (G:2.06% B:0.04%)
43.67% (G:2.04% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 8/3eq: -0.105 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		54.09% (G:2.34% B:0.06%)
45.91% (G:2.30% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/2eq: -0.137 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		52.97% (G:1.49% B:0.03%)
47.03% (G:2.28% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++7/3 7/2eq: -0.182 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		51.49% (G:1.67% B:0.03%)
48.51% (G:2.69% B:0.03%)
5.4-ply6/2 6/1eq: -0.293 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		48.01% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)
51.99% (G:2.89% B:0.02%)
 
 22: 9/5 8/4 
Pip=90-95
1.playedXG Roller++9/5 8/4eq: -0.023
Player:
Opponent:		40.89% (G:2.26% B:0.03%)
59.11% (G:2.44% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++9/5 6/2eq: -0.030 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		40.67% (G:1.90% B:0.02%)
59.33% (G:2.63% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++9/7 8/2eq: -0.035 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		40.32% (G:1.43% B:0.02%)
59.68% (G:2.21% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++9/7 8/4 6/4eq: -0.038 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		40.07% (G:1.32% B:0.01%)
59.93% (G:2.24% B:0.05%)
5.XG Roller++9/3 6/4eq: -0.039 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		40.03% (G:1.28% B:0.01%)
59.97% (G:2.24% B:0.04%)
 
 42: 6/4 6/2 
Pip=90-87
1.xgXG Roller++8/6 8/4eq: -0.016
Player:
Opponent:		56.70% (G:2.50% B:0.05%)
43.30% (G:2.05% B:0.03%)
2.playedXG Roller++6/4 6/2eq: -0.032 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		56.20% (G:2.26% B:0.04%)
43.80% (G:2.18% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.163 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		50.49% (G:2.23% B:0.05%)
49.51% (G:3.54% B:0.05%)
4.4-ply6/2 4/2eq: -0.223 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		49.92% (G:1.32% B:0.02%)
50.08% (G:2.39% B:0.02%)
5.4-ply7/3 6/4eq: -0.254 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		48.15% (G:4.95% B:0.14%)
51.85% (G:10.08% B:0.09%)
 
 54: 20/11 
Pip=84-87
1.playedXG Roller++20/11eq: +0.063
Player:
Opponent:		43.95% (G:4.41% B:0.04%)
56.05% (G:1.49% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++6/1 5/1eq: -0.052 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:		39.99% (G:1.39% B:0.01%)
60.01% (G:2.52% B:0.04%)
3.4-ply6/2 6/1eq: -0.077 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		38.30% (G:0.94% B:0.00%)
61.70% (G:2.89% B:0.07%)
4.4-ply20/15 5/1eq: -0.209 (-0.271)
Player:
Opponent:		34.16% (G:2.48% B:0.02%)
65.84% (G:6.94% B:0.12%)
5.4-ply20/16 20/15eq: -0.213 (-0.275)
Player:
Opponent:		34.23% (G:1.85% B:0.02%)
65.77% (G:7.19% B:0.13%)

Πολύ σωστό παίξιμο. Ο Γρούτσος δεν έχει την πολυτέλεια να χαλάσει το στρατόπεδό του, αφού και θα μείνει πίσω στην κούρσα (στην οποία έχει πολύ καλές τύχες μετά το τρέξιμο) λόγω των καμένων πουλίων που θα έχει, και πιθανά χτυπήματά του δεν θα είναι πλεόν καθοριστικά.
 
 63: 8/2 8/5*  
Pip=84-78
1.playedXG Roller++8/2 8/5* eq: -0.238
Player:
Opponent:		48.31% (G:1.34% B:0.02%)
51.69% (G:9.94% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++13/4eq: -0.293 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		44.98% (G:0.84% B:0.02%)
55.02% (G:2.07% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 8/5* eq: -0.329 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		51.59% (G:1.90% B:0.03%)
48.41% (G:18.61% B:0.60%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 7/1eq: -0.384 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		43.15% (G:0.23% B:0.00%)
56.85% (G:2.47% B:0.03%)
5.4-ply13/7 4/1eq: -0.568 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		37.25% (G:0.48% B:0.01%)
62.75% (G:3.21% B:0.03%)

Σωστό χτύπημα.
Πρώτα απ' όλα να ξεκαθαρίσουμε ότι το "απολύτως" ασφαλές 7/1 7/4 καταστρέφει την κούρσα καίγοντας πούλια και δεν είναι και τόσο ασφαλές, αφού στην επόμενη ζαριά μπορεί να αφήσει άμεση βολή.
Μετά από 13/4 η κούρσα είναι στην ουσία ίση (μάλιστα ο Αυδής είναι περισσότερο καμένος) και  ο Γρούτσος έχει επίσης 5 έμμεσες βολές.
Οπότε το χτύπημα είναι υποχρεωτικό, αφού οι γκέλες ισοδυναμούν με σχεδόν σίγουρη νίκη, αφήνοντας έτσι τον αντίπαλο με λιγότερες νίκες από όσες στην ίση κούρσα με έξτρα βολές.
Όσο για το έξι, το 13/7 παραείναι ριψοκίνδυνο, οπότε 8/2.
 
 No double 
Pip=75-83
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.68% (G:10.04% B:0.05%) 51.55% (G:10.12% B:0.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.32% (G:1.22% B:0.02%) 48.45% (G:1.27% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.134 +0.401
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.243
     Redouble/Take:+0.234 (-0.009)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.757)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.2%
 
 43: Bar/22 11/7 
Pip=75-83
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 11/7eq: +0.012
Player:
Opponent:		42.40% (G:2.14% B:0.03%)
57.60% (G:0.68% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/2eq: -0.034 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		41.15% (G:2.09% B:0.03%)
58.85% (G:1.14% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 5/1eq: -0.050 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		40.43% (G:1.62% B:0.02%)
59.57% (G:0.76% B:0.01%)
 
 61: 13/7 5/4 
Pip=75-76
1.played3-ply13/7 5/4eq: -0.092
Player:
Opponent:		54.62% (G:0.39% B:0.01%)
45.38% (G:0.86% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply13/6eq: -0.453 (-0.361)
Player:
Opponent:		42.54% (G:1.14% B:0.02%)
57.46% (G:7.82% B:0.08%)
3.3-ply7/6 7/1eq: -0.530 (-0.438)
Player:
Opponent:		39.62% (G:0.74% B:0.01%)
60.38% (G:6.08% B:0.03%)
4.3-ply7/1 5/4eq: -0.607 (-0.515)
Player:
Opponent:		38.32% (G:0.53% B:0.01%)
61.68% (G:6.80% B:0.03%)
5.3-ply13/7 2/1eq: -0.629 (-0.537)
Player:
Opponent:		39.94% (G:1.15% B:0.02%)
60.06% (G:10.12% B:0.10%)
 
 51: 7/2 6/5 
Pip=68-76
1.xgXG Roller++22/17 6/5eq: -0.004
Player:
Opponent:		40.49% (G:0.53% B:0.01%)
59.51% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++7/2 6/5eq: -0.047 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		40.34% (G:0.60% B:0.01%)
59.66% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++22/17 7/6eq: -0.070 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		38.38% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
61.62% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++22/17 4/3eq: -0.103 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		37.17% (G:0.39% B:0.00%)
62.83% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++22/16eq: -0.111 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		36.77% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
63.23% (G:0.34% B:0.00%)

Τα επιχειρήματα υπέρ του 22/17 είναι τα εξής:
α) Δεν καίει πούλι, οπότε δεν βλάπτει την κούρσα.
β) Αυτό το αστείο τρίπορτο μπροστά στο πούλι μπορεί να αποδειχτεί πιο ενοχλητικό απ' όσο φαίνεται για την κούρσα (33, 43, 44 κλπ.).
γ) Το 22/17 έχει και τα τυχερά του αν ο αντίπαλος δεν μπορέσει να τρέξει (11, 21, 31) και
δ) το κυριότερο, αποφεύγει αρκετές ζαριές που κάνουν πόρτα πάνω του ή χτυπάνε en passant (11, 44, 33, 42, 22, 21).
Αξίζουν όλα τα παραπάνω τις 15 βολές που αφήνει το 22/17; Ναι, όταν η κούρσα είναι τόσο κοντά.

Τέλος, ο άσος είναι ξεκάθαρος 6/5, λόγω του ότι από το 17 ελέγχουμε καλύτερα, ενώ οι  βολές που δίνουμε είναι όσες και από το 16.
 
 65: 13/2 
Pip=68-70
1.played3-ply13/2eq: +0.070
Player:
Opponent:		61.37% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
38.63% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply13/8 7/1eq: -0.327 (-0.397)
Player:
Opponent:		42.27% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
57.73% (G:2.24% B:0.02%)
3.3-ply7/2 7/1eq: -0.618 (-0.688)
Player:
Opponent:		39.86% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
60.14% (G:9.26% B:0.21%)
4.2-ply13/7 6/1eq: -0.736 (-0.806)
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
65.48% (G:4.65% B:0.03%)
5.2-ply7/1 6/1eq: -1.000 (-1.070)
Player:
Opponent:		31.66% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
68.34% (G:12.29% B:0.15%)
 
 66: 22/4 6/Off 
Pip=57-70
1.played3-ply22/4 6/Offeq: +0.969
Player:
Opponent:		84.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
15.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 44: 7/3(3) 4/Off 
Pip=57-46
1.playedXG Roller++7/3(3) 4/Offeq: -0.598
Player:
Opponent:		35.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
64.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/3(3) 6/2eq: -0.841 (-0.243)
Player:
Opponent:		29.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/3(2) 6/2(2)eq: -1.000 (-0.402)
Player:
Opponent:		25.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=41-46
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 64.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 35.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.293 +0.678
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.597
     Redouble/Take:+0.570 (-0.027)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.403)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.0%

Σ' αυτές τις θέσεις ο υπολοιπόμενος στο σκορ πρέπει να προσέξει πολύ να μην χάσει το market. Θέλει οπωσδήποτε να παίξει με πλεονέκτημα για 4 πόντους, επειδή αυτό είναι μια μεγάλη ευκαιρία για να κλείσει την ψαλίδα του σκορ.
Εδώ ο Γρούτσος φαίνεται να είναι 5 pips πίσω, αλλά ο Αυδής έχει αρκετά καμένα και μία τρύπα στο 5.
Η μέθοδος που χρησιμοποιώ (Isight) δίνει 62,6%, οπότε No Double / Take. Πάντως δεν πρέπει να είναι μακριά.


 
 64: 6/Off 4/Off 
Pip=41-46
1.played4-ply6/Off 4/Offeq: +0.800
Player:
Opponent:		70.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off 5/1eq: +0.379 (-0.421)
Player:
Opponent:		56.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply6/2 5/Offeq: +0.315 (-0.485)
Player:
Opponent:		54.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 4/Off 2/Off 
Pip=41-36
1.played4-ply4/Off 2/Offeq: -0.977
Player:
Opponent:		26.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		20.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/Off 3/1eq: -1.000 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		16.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
83.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply4/2 4/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		14.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
85.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/4 6/2eq: -1.000 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		17.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=35-36
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 73.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 73.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 26.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 26.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.478 +1.055
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.821 (-0.163)
xg Redouble/Take:+0.984
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.016)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Isight: 67,7%
Κανονικά αυτό δεν θα αρκούσε για Redouble, αλλά το σκορ φωνάζει βίδο εδώ.
 
 22: 4/Off 2/Off(2) 
Pip=35-36
1.played4-ply4/Off 2/Off(2)eq: +0.914
Player:
Opponent:		80.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
19.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/3 2/Off(3)eq: +0.903 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		78.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
21.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/3 4/Off 2/Offeq: +0.892 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		76.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
23.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply3/1 2/Off(3)eq: +0.882 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		76.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
23.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/Off(2)eq: +0.872 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		75.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
24.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 33: 6/Off 3/Off(2) 
Pip=35-28
1.played4-ply6/Off 3/Off(2)eq: -0.566
Player:
Opponent:		36.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off(2)eq: -0.664 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		33.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/3 6/Off 4/1eq: -1.000 (-0.434)
Player:
Opponent:		13.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply4/1 3/Off(3)eq: -1.000 (-0.434)
Player:
Opponent:		25.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3-ply6/Off 4/1 3/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.434)
Player:
Opponent:		22.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
77.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=23-28
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 63.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 63.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 36.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 36.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.271 +0.634
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.597
     Redouble/Take:+0.565 (-0.032)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.403)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.9%

Isight: 64,7%
Κανονικά No Redouble, αλλά εδώ, λόγω σκορ, είναι οριακό.
 
 62: 5/Off 2/Off 
Pip=23-28
1.played4-ply5/Off 2/Offeq: +0.570
Player:
Opponent:		61.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/Off 4/2eq: +0.468 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		59.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/3 5/Offeq: +0.306 (-0.263)
Player:
Opponent:		54.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/Off 3/1eq: +0.260 (-0.310)
Player:
Opponent:		52.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
47.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=23-21
1.played4-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: -0.800
Player:
Opponent:		30.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/3 2/Offeq: -0.888 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		28.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
71.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/4 3/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		23.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
76.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply4/1 2/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		17.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/2 3/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:		17.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=18-21
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 69.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 69.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 30.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.394 +0.885
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.731 (-0.102)
xg Redouble/Take:+0.833
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.167)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Isight: 69%

Redouble / Take, λόγω σκορ.


 
 41: 4/Off 1/Off 
Pip=18-21
1.played4-ply4/Off 1/Offeq: +0.698
Player:
Opponent:		65.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
35.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/Off 3/2eq: +0.496 (-0.202)
Player:
Opponent:		59.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
40.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/1 3/2eq: -0.399 (-1.098)
Player:
Opponent:		25.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply5/Offeq: +0.060 (-0.638)
Player:
Opponent:		46.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
53.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply4/3 4/Offeq: -0.031 (-0.730)
Player:
Opponent:		41.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
58.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 6/Off 
Pip=18-16
1.played4-ply6/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		25.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 2/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		7.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/1 4/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		7.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=12-16
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 74.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.489 +1.077
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.737 (-0.263)
     Redouble/Take:+1.061 (+0.061)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

Isight: 73%

Εδώ το Redouble παραείναι σαφές. Το πούλι που έσπασε ο Αυδής στην τελευταία ζαριά στην ουσία του δίνει πάσο λόγω σκορ.
Δεν ξέρω τι φοβήθηκε ο Χρίστος και άφησε τη μεγάλη ευκαιρία να πετάξει, αλλά εδώ δεν χωράει ούτε σκέψη για προσαρμογή λόγω διαφοράς δυναμικότητας.


 
 55: 5/Off 4/Off 3/Off(2) 
Pip=12-16
1.played3-ply5/Off 4/Off 3/Off(2)eq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 2/Off 1/Off 
Pip=12-1
1.played4-ply2/Off 1/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/3 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/2 1/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply2/1 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 1/Off 
Pip=9-1
1.played3-ply1/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Single Game 2pts. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Expert (-0.0116) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0269)
World Champ. (-0.0029) Checker Play World Class (-0.0056)
Distracted (-0.1683) Cube Play Distracted (-0.0754)
5.81 Performance Rating 13.43
0 Move Errors 2
-0.052(-0.43%) Equity lost (cost) -0.090(-0.73%)
     
1(1) Double Errors 3(3)
-0.168(-0.69%) Equity lost (cost) -0.528(-4.32%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1(1) Total Error 5(3)
-0.221(-1.11%) Equity lost (cost) -0.618(-5.05%)
     
3 Jokers 2
-1.196(-12.11%) Luck +1.196(+12.11%)

 Game 6

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 6, Groutsos: 3

 
 32: 24/21 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/21 13/11eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:		50.23% (G:13.52% B:0.59%)
49.77% (G:12.84% B:0.56%)
2.Book113/11 13/10eq: +0.077 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		49.75% (G:14.57% B:0.63%)
50.25% (G:13.78% B:0.74%)
3.Book124/22 13/10eq: +0.076 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		49.78% (G:13.39% B:0.54%)
50.22% (G:12.92% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: +0.034 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		48.95% (G:13.79% B:0.58%)
51.05% (G:14.32% B:0.85%)
5.Book124/22 24/21eq: +0.030 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		49.23% (G:11.77% B:0.51%)
50.77% (G:12.99% B:0.45%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 52: 13/8 6/4*  
Pip=167-162
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 6/4* eq: -0.186
Player:
Opponent:		47.42% (G:12.67% B:0.54%)
52.58% (G:14.72% B:0.80%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: -0.235 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		46.17% (G:10.94% B:0.39%)
53.83% (G:14.63% B:0.50%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: -0.279 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		45.18% (G:11.31% B:0.42%)
54.82% (G:15.13% B:0.75%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 6/1* eq: -0.290 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		44.73% (G:10.91% B:0.33%)
55.27% (G:14.71% B:0.65%)
5.XG Roller++6/4* 6/1* eq: -0.312 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:		44.81% (G:11.90% B:0.40%)
55.19% (G:16.73% B:1.01%)
 
 21: Bar/23 6/5 
Pip=160-166
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 6/5eq: -0.029
Player:
Opponent:		48.22% (G:12.59% B:0.53%)
51.78% (G:16.60% B:0.93%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.081 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		46.58% (G:12.21% B:0.49%)
53.42% (G:16.05% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 11/10eq: -0.101 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		45.99% (G:11.93% B:0.47%)
54.01% (G:15.86% B:0.70%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 11/9eq: -0.127 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		45.29% (G:12.08% B:0.47%)
54.71% (G:16.24% B:0.93%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22eq: -0.127 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		45.59% (G:11.15% B:0.44%)
54.41% (G:16.01% B:0.72%)

Ωραίο παίξιμο, από αυτά που σχεδόν όλοι κάνουμε λάθος.
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=160-163
1.xgXG Roller++24/20* eq: -0.021
Player:
Opponent:		50.83% (G:14.35% B:0.70%)
49.17% (G:12.43% B:0.57%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.102 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		49.31% (G:15.20% B:0.77%)
50.69% (G:15.07% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.110 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		48.93% (G:15.45% B:0.72%)
51.07% (G:15.17% B:0.70%)
4.4-ply6/3 4/3eq: -0.262 (-0.242)
Player:
Opponent:		45.33% (G:13.07% B:0.59%)
54.67% (G:16.59% B:0.78%)
5.3-ply24/23 4/1* eq: -0.356 (-0.335)
Player:
Opponent:		43.04% (G:11.16% B:0.38%)
56.96% (G:16.37% B:0.77%)

Πολύ δύσκολο. Το μόνο που μπορώ να σκεφτώ είναι η αρχή ότι στο ξεκίνημα της παρτίδας, όταν τα στρατόπεδα είναι ακόμα αδύναμα, μπορούμε να ρισκάρουμε περισσότερο.
Αν δεν χτυπήσει, αφήνει έτσι κι αλλιώς 13 ζαριές που χτυπάνε και κλείνουν την 5.
 
 53: 13/5 
Pip=156-163
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: -0.078
Player:
Opponent:		46.31% (G:13.97% B:0.65%)
53.69% (G:17.60% B:0.85%)
2.XG Roller++24/21* 21/16eq: -0.113 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		46.65% (G:11.47% B:0.58%)
53.35% (G:17.75% B:1.09%)
3.XG Roller++24/21* 13/8eq: -0.141 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		45.09% (G:12.36% B:0.66%)
54.91% (G:17.19% B:1.03%)
4.XG Roller++23/18 8/5eq: -0.160 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		45.45% (G:11.87% B:0.59%)
54.55% (G:19.25% B:0.92%)
5.XG Roller++24/21* 11/6eq: -0.196 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		43.57% (G:11.20% B:0.58%)
56.43% (G:16.44% B:0.77%)
 
 51: 8/3 4/3 
Pip=156-155
1.played4-ply8/3 4/3eq: -0.087
Player:
Opponent:		49.16% (G:16.52% B:0.70%)
50.84% (G:15.31% B:0.83%)
2.4-ply13/8 4/3eq: -0.367 (-0.280)
Player:
Opponent:		43.18% (G:12.32% B:0.50%)
56.82% (G:18.08% B:1.25%)
3.4-ply24/23 13/8eq: -0.399 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		43.37% (G:11.71% B:0.55%)
56.63% (G:20.38% B:1.21%)
4.3-ply13/8 6/5eq: -0.410 (-0.322)
Player:
Opponent:		42.45% (G:11.82% B:0.55%)
57.55% (G:18.55% B:1.29%)
5.3-ply8/2* eq: -0.452 (-0.365)
Player:
Opponent:		42.77% (G:12.54% B:0.61%)
57.23% (G:21.03% B:2.02%)
 
 61: 13/7 8/7 
Pip=150-155
1.played4-ply13/7 8/7eq: +0.185
Player:
Opponent:		53.36% (G:16.32% B:0.91%)
46.64% (G:16.92% B:0.87%)
2.4-ply24/23 11/5eq: -0.071 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		45.23% (G:14.49% B:0.48%)
54.77% (G:14.35% B:0.62%)
3.4-ply11/5 6/5eq: -0.084 (-0.268)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:14.15% B:0.74%)
53.51% (G:19.04% B:0.70%)
4.3-ply24/18 6/5eq: -0.177 (-0.362)
Player:
Opponent:		45.82% (G:12.93% B:0.78%)
54.18% (G:23.51% B:1.09%)
5.3-ply13/6eq: -0.195 (-0.380)
Player:
Opponent:		43.93% (G:13.33% B:0.73%)
56.07% (G:20.83% B:1.06%)
 
 43: 24/21 6/2*  
Pip=150-148
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 6/2* eq: -0.212
Player:
Opponent:		46.37% (G:15.49% B:0.82%)
53.63% (G:16.95% B:0.95%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/9eq: -0.266 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		45.22% (G:15.74% B:0.88%)
54.78% (G:17.99% B:1.02%)
3.4-ply13/6eq: -0.379 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		41.77% (G:14.76% B:0.66%)
58.23% (G:17.45% B:0.97%)
4.4-ply13/10 6/2* eq: -0.419 (-0.206)
Player:
Opponent:		41.70% (G:15.08% B:0.85%)
58.30% (G:19.67% B:1.57%)
5.4-ply13/10 13/9eq: -0.462 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		40.72% (G:13.60% B:0.68%)
59.28% (G:18.81% B:1.33%)

Πολύ σωστό χτύπημα από τον Αυδή.
Μετά το κλείσιμο του αντίπαλου bar, το 24/21 είναι θεματικό. Για το τεσσάρι, το 13/9 θα άφηνε όλη τη ζαριά στον Γρούτσο για να επιτεθεί. Ο σκοπός του χτυπήματος είναι να προστατέψει το πούλι στο 21 ώστε να φτιαχτεί η anchor.


 
 No double 
Pip=143-150
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.42% (G:17.01% B:0.97%) 53.42% (G:17.12% B:0.95%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.58% (G:16.02% B:0.85%) 46.58% (G:15.93% B:0.84%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.080 +0.208
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.207
     Double/Take:+0.019 (-0.188)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.793)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.1%
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=143-150
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.248
Player:
Opponent:		44.27% (G:11.76% B:0.62%)
55.73% (G:23.67% B:1.30%)
 
 62: 13/11 8/2 
Pip=143-150
1.xgXG Roller++24/22 8/2eq: +0.355
Player:
Opponent:		57.69% (G:25.46% B:1.43%)
42.31% (G:11.64% B:0.57%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/2eq: +0.301 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		56.28% (G:25.75% B:1.53%)
43.72% (G:11.97% B:0.70%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 8/2eq: +0.291 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		56.14% (G:25.67% B:1.38%)
43.86% (G:11.41% B:0.54%)
4.3-ply24/16eq: +0.011 (-0.343)
Player:
Opponent:		52.65% (G:17.66% B:1.18%)
47.35% (G:16.62% B:0.95%)
5.3-ply13/5eq: -0.102 (-0.457)
Player:
Opponent:		48.21% (G:18.58% B:0.97%)
51.79% (G:15.37% B:0.95%)

Και πάλι το κλειστό αντίπαλο bar είναι αποφασιστικής σημασίας. Το πούλι στο 24 πρέπει να ανέβεί τώρα που ο αντίπαλος είναι χτυμηπένος, είτε για να μπορέσει να δραπετεύσει, είτε για να αποτελέσει βάση για anchor.


 
 51: Bar/24 11/6 
Pip=135-150
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 11/6eq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:		42.70% (G:11.62% B:0.61%)
57.30% (G:20.45% B:1.33%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: -0.345 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		41.11% (G:12.32% B:0.61%)
58.89% (G:22.96% B:2.13%)
3.4-plyBar/24 13/8eq: -0.426 (-0.160)
Player:
Opponent:		39.51% (G:9.80% B:0.61%)
60.49% (G:22.89% B:2.31%)
4.3-plyBar/24 8/3eq: -0.832 (-0.566)
Player:
Opponent:		33.65% (G:7.34% B:0.36%)
66.35% (G:32.30% B:5.07%)
5.2-plyBar/24 7/2eq: -1.000 (-0.734)
Player:
Opponent:		30.12% (G:6.23% B:0.37%)
69.88% (G:37.76% B:6.69%)
 
 53: 24/21 13/8 
Pip=135-144
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: +0.522
Player:
Opponent:		62.81% (G:21.93% B:0.89%)
37.19% (G:7.48% B:0.29%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 11/6eq: +0.451 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		61.10% (G:21.19% B:0.85%)
38.90% (G:7.90% B:0.29%)
3.4-ply24/21 8/3eq: +0.330 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		58.73% (G:17.70% B:0.72%)
41.27% (G:8.11% B:0.27%)
4.3-ply21/16 11/8eq: +0.134 (-0.389)
Player:
Opponent:		54.75% (G:18.51% B:1.35%)
45.25% (G:13.02% B:0.57%)
5.3-ply21/13eq: +0.109 (-0.414)
Player:
Opponent:		54.32% (G:17.20% B:1.12%)
45.68% (G:12.83% B:0.53%)
 
 63: 8/5 8/2 
Pip=127-144
1.xgXG Roller++24/15eq: -0.669
Player:
Opponent:		35.22% (G:7.01% B:0.32%)
64.78% (G:29.62% B:0.90%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 6/3eq: -0.805 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		30.42% (G:5.88% B:0.26%)
69.58% (G:20.71% B:1.54%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/5 8/2eq: -0.824 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		29.19% (G:5.93% B:0.18%)
70.81% (G:19.87% B:1.02%)
4.4-ply24/18 6/3eq: -0.822 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		33.71% (G:7.56% B:0.38%)
66.29% (G:35.60% B:1.05%)
5.4-ply24/21 24/18eq: -0.847 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		33.38% (G:6.65% B:0.35%)
66.62% (G:34.41% B:0.77%)

Ναι, το 24/15 φαίνεται πολύ επικίνδυνο, αλλά το ξήλωμα του prime είναι ακόμα χειρότερο, αφού αποκόπτει ακόμα περισσότερο τα πούλια του βλάπτοντας τη συνεκτικότητα της θέσης του (connectivity). Επίσης βάζει πρόωρα πούλι στο 2.
Ο Γρούτσος πρέπει να βγει στο outfield και να ελπίσει ότι θα τη γλιτώσει. Το να μείνει μέσα είναι αργός θάνατος.
Μετά από 24/15 ο Αυδής θα είχε οριακό βίδο (για 0,037) και φυσικά θα ήταν πολύ εύκολο take (0,305).
Μετά από 8/5 8/2 το take εξακολουθεί να είναι άνετο (0,177) αλλά η διαφορά είναι αισθητή.
 
 No double 
Pip=127-135
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.75% (G:20.01% B:1.05%) 70.72% (G:20.58% B:1.16%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.25% (G:5.90% B:0.19%) 29.28% (G:5.94% B:0.19%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.568 +1.136
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.780 (-0.043)
xg Double/Take:+0.823
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.177)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Βίδος εδώ. Δεν ξέρω αν ο Αυδής σκεφτόταν ότι το take είναι εύκολο. Καμιά φορά αυτό μας μπερδεύει. Εύκολο take δεν σημαίνει πάντα ότι ο βίδος δεν είναι επίσης σωστός. Εδώ, με  οποιαδήποτε βελτίωση της θέσης, θα γίνει πάσο, οπότε τώρα είναι η στιγμή.


 
 55: 21/11(2) 
Pip=127-135
1.playedXG Roller++21/11(2)eq: +0.970
Player:
Opponent:		78.66% (G:12.11% B:0.55%)
21.34% (G:2.21% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++21/16(2) 13/8(2)eq: +0.906 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		73.87% (G:15.58% B:0.70%)
26.13% (G:4.04% B:0.10%)
3.XG Roller++21/16(2) 13/8 11/6eq: +0.899 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		73.46% (G:17.80% B:1.12%)
26.54% (G:4.38% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++21/16 21/6eq: +0.870 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		74.53% (G:16.58% B:1.12%)
25.47% (G:4.70% B:0.14%)
5.4-ply21/16(2) 11/6 8/3eq: +0.790 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		71.01% (G:17.38% B:0.81%)
28.99% (G:5.75% B:0.16%)
 
 51: 7/2 5/4 
Pip=107-135
1.XG Roller++7/2 6/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		20.35% (G:1.96% B:0.05%)
79.65% (G:11.58% B:0.48%)
2.playedXG Roller++7/2 5/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		20.19% (G:2.08% B:0.05%)
79.81% (G:12.30% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 2/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		19.22% (G:1.81% B:0.03%)
80.78% (G:11.62% B:0.45%)
4.XG Roller++7/6 7/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.87% (G:1.67% B:0.04%)
81.13% (G:12.21% B:0.52%)
5.XG Roller++6/1 5/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.26% (G:1.57% B:0.04%)
81.74% (G:12.16% B:0.58%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=107-129
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 79.87% (G:12.50% B:0.63%) 79.76% (G:13.67% B:0.80%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20.13% (G:2.11% B:0.08%) 20.24% (G:2.37% B:0.07%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.709 +1.439
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.968 (-0.032)
     Double/Take:+1.248 (+0.248)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Χαρακτηριστικό του πόσο καλή ήταν ήδη η θέση είναι ότι με τον τζόκερ των 55, κόντεψε να γίνει too good.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
Advanced (-0.0198) Total Error Advanced (-0.0172)
Advanced (-0.0193) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0221)
Advanced (-0.0215) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
9.88 Performance Rating 8.59
2(1) Move Errors 1(1)
-0.135(-0.63%) Equity lost (cost) -0.155(-0.72%)
     
1 Double Errors 0
-0.043(-0.20%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3(1) Total Error 1(1)
-0.178(-0.83%) Equity lost (cost) -0.155(-0.72%)
     
1 Jokers 0
+1.098(+5.13%) Luck -1.098(-5.13%)

 Game 7

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 7, Groutsos: 3

 
 64: 24/18 13/9 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook18/2 6/2eq: +0.100
Player:
Opponent:		49.83% (G:15.10% B:0.75%)
50.17% (G:13.73% B:0.61%)
2.playedBook124/18 13/9eq: +0.088 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		50.41% (G:13.15% B:0.59%)
49.59% (G:13.36% B:0.58%)
3.Book124/14eq: +0.074 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		50.43% (G:11.83% B:0.51%)
49.57% (G:12.73% B:0.46%)
4.Book124/20 13/7eq: +0.015 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		48.31% (G:13.08% B:0.57%)
51.69% (G:14.03% B:0.63%)
5.Book113/9 13/7eq: +0.007 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		47.86% (G:13.88% B:0.67%)
52.14% (G:14.68% B:0.92%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 53: 24/16*  
Pip=167-157
1.played4-ply24/16* eq: +0.024
Player:
Opponent:		52.50% (G:12.68% B:0.50%)
47.50% (G:11.60% B:0.44%)
2.4-ply24/21 6/1* eq: -0.252 (-0.276)
Player:
Opponent:		45.48% (G:11.77% B:0.39%)
54.52% (G:14.46% B:0.70%)
3.4-ply8/3 6/3eq: -0.270 (-0.295)
Player:
Opponent:		44.65% (G:11.66% B:0.38%)
55.35% (G:14.28% B:0.71%)
4.3-ply24/21 13/8eq: -0.295 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		44.37% (G:10.05% B:0.35%)
55.63% (G:14.08% B:0.54%)
5.3-ply13/5eq: -0.316 (-0.340)
Player:
Opponent:		43.81% (G:10.74% B:0.38%)
56.19% (G:14.54% B:0.74%)
 
 64: Bar/21 24/18 
Pip=159-173
1.played4-plyBar/21 24/18eq: +0.017
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:10.45% B:0.31%)
51.53% (G:9.92% B:0.29%)
2.4-plyBar/21 13/7eq: -0.220 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		43.07% (G:11.11% B:0.49%)
56.93% (G:17.60% B:1.13%)
3.4-plyBar/15eq: -0.236 (-0.253)
Player:
Opponent:		42.88% (G:9.90% B:0.41%)
57.12% (G:16.69% B:0.80%)
4.3-plyBar/21 8/2eq: -0.333 (-0.350)
Player:
Opponent:		40.77% (G:9.94% B:0.42%)
59.23% (G:19.69% B:1.20%)
 
 33: 24/21 16/10 13/10 
Pip=159-163
1.xgXG Roller++16/10 13/10(2)eq: +0.197
Player:
Opponent:		56.59% (G:10.89% B:0.34%)
43.41% (G:7.82% B:0.23%)
2.XG Roller++13/10(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.197 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		56.40% (G:12.56% B:0.39%)
43.60% (G:8.71% B:0.29%)
3.playedXG Roller++24/21 16/10 13/10eq: +0.173 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		56.28% (G:10.68% B:0.35%)
43.72% (G:8.40% B:0.24%)
4.XG Roller++16/10 13/10 6/3eq: +0.166 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		55.85% (G:11.54% B:0.36%)
44.15% (G:8.70% B:0.26%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 13/10(3)eq: +0.101 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		54.29% (G:11.18% B:0.38%)
45.71% (G:9.25% B:0.30%)

Όχι πως είναι κανένα μεγάλο λάθος, αλλά γενικά το ανέβασμα στο 21 δεν είναι καλή ιδέα όταν δεν υπάρχει κάποιο απειλητικό prime ή ένα δεύτερο πούλι πίσω με το οποίο θα μπορούσε να γίνει πόρτα.
 
 55: 21/11 18/13(2) 
Pip=147-163
1.xgXG Roller++21/6 13/8eq: +0.007
Player:
Opponent:		48.72% (G:4.42% B:0.08%)
51.28% (G:3.32% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++21/11 13/3eq: -0.006 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		47.78% (G:6.79% B:0.12%)
52.22% (G:5.24% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++21/16 13/3 8/3eq: -0.010 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		47.36% (G:9.45% B:0.21%)
52.64% (G:7.91% B:0.30%)
4.playedXG Roller++21/11 18/13(2)eq: -0.021 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		48.66% (G:2.86% B:0.05%)
51.34% (G:2.97% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++21/6 8/3eq: -0.022 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		47.80% (G:5.10% B:0.08%)
52.20% (G:4.19% B:0.15%)

Το πρόβλημα με το 18/13(2) είναι ότι φορτώνει άσχημα τη midpoint. Επίσης η κούρσα είναι ακριβώς ίση (4 pips μπροστά αλλά η ζαριά στον αντίπαλο).
Ένας επιπλεόν λόγος για τον Γρούτσο εδώ να κρατήσει την επαφή θα ήταν να ποντάρει στη διαφορά δυναμικότητας: 'Όσο περισσότερο επαφή υπάρχει, τόσο περισσότερο μετράει.
 
 44: 13/5(2) 
Pip=147-143
1.playedXG Roller++13/5(2)eq: +0.171
Player:
Opponent:		55.78% (G:4.82% B:0.09%)
44.22% (G:2.99% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.158 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		55.67% (G:3.72% B:0.05%)
44.33% (G:2.93% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++13/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.147 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		55.07% (G:5.32% B:0.13%)
44.93% (G:3.46% B:0.08%)
4.XG Roller++13/5 8/4(2)eq: +0.142 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		54.65% (G:6.98% B:0.15%)
45.35% (G:3.96% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.140 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		55.16% (G:4.66% B:0.09%)
44.84% (G:3.61% B:0.08%)
 
 41: 11/7 8/7 
Pip=131-143
1.playedXG Roller++11/7 8/7eq: -0.345
Player:
Opponent:		38.31% (G:1.76% B:0.03%)
61.69% (G:2.33% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++11/6eq: -0.429 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		36.20% (G:1.68% B:0.03%)
63.80% (G:4.11% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++13/8eq: -0.484 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		34.75% (G:1.95% B:0.04%)
65.25% (G:6.01% B:0.10%)
4.XG Roller++11/10 8/4* eq: -0.490 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		37.69% (G:3.97% B:0.10%)
62.31% (G:17.50% B:0.41%)
5.4-ply8/3eq: -0.516 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		33.86% (G:1.95% B:0.03%)
66.14% (G:6.57% B:0.11%)
 
 41: 21/16 
Pip=131-138
1.playedXG Roller++21/16eq: +0.107
Player:
Opponent:		54.27% (G:1.50% B:0.03%)
45.73% (G:2.06% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: +0.105 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		54.06% (G:3.59% B:0.07%)
45.94% (G:2.83% B:0.06%)
3.XG Roller++10/5eq: +0.096 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		53.74% (G:3.86% B:0.07%)
46.26% (G:3.08% B:0.06%)
4.XG Roller++6/5 6/2eq: +0.080 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		53.27% (G:4.95% B:0.08%)
46.73% (G:3.74% B:0.08%)
5.XG Roller++10/9 8/4eq: +0.077 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		53.24% (G:4.68% B:0.09%)
46.76% (G:3.42% B:0.10%)

Πολύ σωστά. Ο Αυδής, μετά το 41, είναι 12 pips μπροστά, άρα θέλει να τρέξει. Στο outfield ο Γρούτσος δεν είναι φαβορί να τον χτυπήσει. Αν το πούλι έμενε στο 21 θα ήταν  μόνο στόχος για πόρτα.
 
 52: 13/8 7/5 
Pip=126-138
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 7/5eq: -0.464
Player:
Opponent:		34.83% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
65.17% (G:0.24% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/6eq: -0.464 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		34.77% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
65.23% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -0.467 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		34.70% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
65.30% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 7/5eq: -0.470 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		34.65% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
65.35% (G:0.33% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 8/3eq: -0.474 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		34.45% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
65.55% (G:0.16% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=126-131
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.10% (G:0.34% B:0.01%) 65.22% (G:0.22% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.90% (G:0.16% B:0.00%) 34.78% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.304 +0.671
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.460
     Double/Take:+0.344 (-0.117)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.540)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.1%
 
 32: 16/11 
Pip=126-131
1.XG Roller++16/13 8/6eq: +0.315
Player:
Opponent:		60.39% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.61% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++16/13 6/4eq: +0.315 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.35% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++16/13 10/8eq: +0.315 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.34% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.66% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++16/11eq: +0.314 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.35% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++16/13 5/3eq: +0.314 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.33% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.67% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 13/9 6/5 
Pip=121-131
1.XG Roller++8/4 7/6eq: -0.485
Player:
Opponent:		34.17% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
65.83% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 7/6eq: -0.486 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		34.15% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
65.85% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
3.xgXG Roller++8/4 6/5eq: -0.487 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		34.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
65.90% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++13/9 6/5eq: -0.487 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		34.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
65.91% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 5/4eq: -0.489 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		33.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.02% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=121-126
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.89% (G:0.01% B:0.00%) 65.86% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 34.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.318 +0.696
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.489
     Double/Take:+0.383 (-0.106)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.511)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.6%
 
 32: 13/11 13/10 
Pip=121-126
1.XG Roller++8/6 8/5eq: +0.320
Player:
Opponent:		60.51% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/9 8/5eq: +0.320 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		60.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/3eq: +0.320 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/5eq: +0.319 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7 8/6eq: +0.319 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		60.48% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
39.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: +0.319 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		60.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 13/6 
Pip=116-126
1.playedXG Roller++13/6eq: -0.389
Player:
Opponent:		37.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
62.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++13/12 13/7eq: -0.390 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		37.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
62.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/12 8/2eq: -0.393 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		36.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 7/6eq: -0.393 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		36.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/3 7/6eq: -0.393 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		36.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=116-119
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 62.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 37.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.256 +0.570
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.386
     Double/Take:+0.231 (-0.154)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.614)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.7%
 
 11: 10/9 8/7 6/4 
Pip=116-119
1.XG Roller++10/9(2) 8/7(2)eq: +0.158
Player:
Opponent:		55.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/9(3) 8/7eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/9 10/9 6/5eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/9 8/7 6/5eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++11/9 10/9 8/7eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++10/9 8/7 6/4eq: +0.158 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		55.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 13/11 8/5 
Pip=112-119
1.XG Roller++13/11 7/4eq: -0.334
Player:
Opponent:		38.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: -0.334 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		38.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 7/4eq: -0.334 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		38.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: -0.335 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		38.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++8/5 7/5eq: -0.335 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		38.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=112-114
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 61.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 61.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 38.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 38.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.223 +0.502
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.337
     Double/Take:+0.148 (-0.189)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.663)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 18.1%
 
 54: 10/5 8/4 
Pip=112-114
1.playedXG Roller++10/5 8/4eq: +0.401
Player:
Opponent:		62.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/6 9/5eq: +0.401 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		62.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 9/4eq: +0.400 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		62.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/7 9/4eq: +0.400 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		62.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/6 8/4eq: +0.400 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		62.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
37.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 11: 13/12 8/6 5/4 
Pip=103-114
1.XG Roller++13/12(2) 7/5eq: -0.641
Player:
Opponent:		29.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++13/12(2) 11/10 6/5eq: -0.641 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		29.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 11/10eq: -0.641 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		29.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/12 7/4eq: -0.641 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		29.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++13/12 11/10 7/5eq: -0.641 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		29.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/12 8/6 5/4eq: -0.642 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		29.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=103-110
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 70.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 29.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.407 +0.882
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.643
     Double/Take:+0.622 (-0.021)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.357)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.3%

Αν ο Αυδής έπαιρνε υπόψη του τη διαφορά δυναμικότητας, θα μπορούσε να δοκιμάσει έναν βίδο εδώ: Είναι μπροστά 7 pips συν ένα crossover σε μια κατοστάρα κούρσα,  οπότε ο βίδος δεν θα μπορούσε να είναι πολύ λάθος.
 
 64: 11/5 8/4 
Pip=103-110
1.playedXG Roller++11/5 8/4eq: +0.815
Player:
Opponent:		73.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/5 10/6eq: +0.815 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		73.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/5 9/5eq: +0.814 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		73.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/4 9/5eq: +0.814 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		73.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/5 7/3eq: +0.814 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		73.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 13/10 
Pip=93-110
1.XG Roller++11/10 7/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/10eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.xgXG Roller++12/10 6/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++12/10 7/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/5 6/5eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		18.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=93-107
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 81.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 81.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 18.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 18.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.631 +1.352
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.932 (-0.068)
     Double/Take:+1.197 (+0.197)
played Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

Avdis  Category Groutsos 
World Champ. (-0.0018) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0044)
World Champ. (-0.0031) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0048)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.92 Performance Rating 2.18
1 Move Errors 1
-0.027(-0.12%) Equity lost (cost) -0.044(-0.19%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Total Error 1
-0.027(-0.12%) Equity lost (cost) -0.044(-0.19%)
     
1 Jokers 0
+1.046(+4.66%) Luck -1.046(-4.66%)

 Game 8

15 point match, Score is Avdis: 8, Groutsos: 3

 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/23 13/8eq: +0.129
Player:
Opponent:		49.88% (G:13.05% B:0.48%)
50.12% (G:12.50% B:0.49%)
2.Book113/8 6/5eq: +0.114 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		49.54% (G:13.18% B:0.50%)
50.46% (G:13.24% B:0.67%)
3.Book124/18eq: +0.077 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		49.29% (G:11.55% B:0.46%)
50.71% (G:13.18% B:0.50%)
4.Book113/7eq: +0.050 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		47.78% (G:13.41% B:0.62%)
52.22% (G:14.63% B:0.77%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.052 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:		45.71% (G:12.10% B:0.49%)
54.29% (G:15.95% B:0.76%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=167-161
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.174
Player:
Opponent:		48.87% (G:13.88% B:0.57%)
51.13% (G:14.23% B:0.63%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: -0.214 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		48.04% (G:11.40% B:0.45%)
51.96% (G:13.74% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.251 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		47.84% (G:10.14% B:0.39%)
52.16% (G:14.81% B:0.50%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 13/8eq: -0.270 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		46.57% (G:12.29% B:0.47%)
53.43% (G:14.56% B:0.72%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 6/1* eq: -0.299 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		45.93% (G:11.38% B:0.34%)
54.07% (G:14.67% B:0.65%)
 
 No double 
Pip=159-161
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 51.27% (G:14.25% B:0.62%) 51.48% (G:14.12% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 48.73% (G:13.92% B:0.56%) 48.52% (G:14.03% B:0.58%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.026 +0.122
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.181
     Double/Take:+0.012 (-0.169)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.819)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.6%
 
 54: 23/14 
Pip=159-161
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 13/8eq: -0.025
Player:
Opponent:		46.74% (G:11.86% B:0.56%)
53.26% (G:16.40% B:0.60%)
2.playedXG Roller++23/14eq: -0.035 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		46.94% (G:10.63% B:0.43%)
53.06% (G:15.81% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 13/8eq: -0.047 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		45.68% (G:13.10% B:0.55%)
54.32% (G:17.03% B:0.82%)
4.XG Roller++24/15eq: -0.057 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		46.70% (G:10.82% B:0.47%)
53.30% (G:17.87% B:0.61%)
5.XG Roller++23/18 13/9eq: -0.065 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		46.05% (G:12.25% B:0.63%)
53.95% (G:19.02% B:0.88%)
 
 42: 24/20 13/11*  
Pip=159-152
1.xgXG Roller++13/9 13/11* eq: +0.182
Player:
Opponent:		56.57% (G:19.95% B:1.00%)
43.43% (G:11.17% B:0.58%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/20 13/11* eq: +0.159 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		56.13% (G:17.35% B:0.76%)
43.87% (G:10.00% B:0.39%)
3.XG Roller++13/11* 11/7eq: +0.055 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		53.65% (G:18.13% B:0.80%)
46.35% (G:12.04% B:0.61%)
4.4-ply8/4 6/4eq: -0.057 (-0.239)
Player:
Opponent:		50.17% (G:16.73% B:0.45%)
49.83% (G:11.42% B:0.63%)
5.4-ply13/11* 6/2eq: -0.118 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:		50.02% (G:15.38% B:0.67%)
49.98% (G:14.08% B:0.85%)

Συνήθως το hit and split είναι σωστό, δηλαδή βρίσκουμε την ευκαιρία να διαχωρίσουμε τα πίσω πούλια μας όταν ο αντίπαλοε είναι χτυπημένος. Εδώ εικάζω ότι η επιπλεόν εσωτερική πόρτα δίνει μεγαλύτερη αξία στον buider (13/9) που θα ενισχύσει την επίθεση.
 
 61: Bar/18 
Pip=153-163
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0.288
Player:
Opponent:		41.41% (G:8.77% B:0.37%)
58.59% (G:20.96% B:0.72%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/7eq: -0.389 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		38.29% (G:8.48% B:0.31%)
61.71% (G:19.51% B:1.33%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/2eq: -0.420 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		37.44% (G:8.48% B:0.28%)
62.56% (G:20.06% B:1.30%)
 
 62: 13/11 13/7*  
Pip=153-156
1.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/7* eq: +0.230
Player:
Opponent:		57.28% (G:21.08% B:1.07%)
42.72% (G:10.08% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++13/7* 11/9eq: +0.204 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		56.68% (G:21.38% B:1.04%)
43.32% (G:10.70% B:0.53%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/7* eq: +0.203 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		56.72% (G:19.89% B:0.93%)
43.28% (G:10.05% B:0.45%)
4.XG Roller++20/18 13/7* eq: +0.161 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		56.32% (G:19.29% B:0.87%)
43.68% (G:11.31% B:0.57%)
5.XG Roller++13/7* 7/5eq: +0.142 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		55.47% (G:19.29% B:0.84%)
44.53% (G:10.96% B:0.55%)

Χαρακτηριστικό παράδειγμα που το χτύπημα έχει προτεραιότητα έναντι της anchor στην αρχή της παρτίδας, όταν ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει στρατόπεδο.
 
 22: Bar/21 6/4(2) 
Pip=145-163
1.XG Roller++Bar/23 13/11 6/4(2)eq: -0.167
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:11.20% B:0.56%)
55.84% (G:21.57% B:1.20%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/23 8/4 6/4eq: -0.170 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		43.77% (G:10.84% B:0.53%)
56.23% (G:20.33% B:0.78%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 6/4(2)eq: -0.192 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		43.52% (G:10.62% B:0.56%)
56.48% (G:21.18% B:0.80%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/4(3)eq: -0.295 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		40.84% (G:9.86% B:0.45%)
59.16% (G:22.30% B:0.87%)
5.4-plyBar/21 13/11(2)eq: -0.319 (-0.152)
Player:
Opponent:		40.68% (G:9.36% B:0.45%)
59.32% (G:23.19% B:0.91%)

Θυμάμαι να σκέφτομαι βλέποντάς το ότι το 23/21 είναι κάπως πιο τολμηρό απ' όσο θα έπρεπε, λόγω του επιπλέον builder στο bar. Όχι μεγάλη διαφορά, πάντως.
 
 32: 7/4* 6/4 
Pip=145-155
1.played3-ply7/4* 6/4eq: +0.517
Player:
Opponent:		63.95% (G:26.34% B:1.29%)
36.05% (G:8.14% B:0.33%)
2.3-ply6/4* 4/1* eq: +0.141 (-0.375)
Player:
Opponent:		55.27% (G:23.77% B:0.53%)
44.73% (G:11.99% B:0.67%)
3.3-ply8/5 7/5eq: -0.080 (-0.597)
Player:
Opponent:		50.65% (G:16.63% B:0.70%)
49.35% (G:13.22% B:0.70%)
4.3-ply24/22 7/4* eq: -0.097 (-0.614)
Player:
Opponent:		50.47% (G:17.09% B:0.72%)
49.53% (G:14.27% B:0.67%)
5.2-ply7/4* 4/2eq: -0.134 (-0.651)
Player:
Opponent:		49.27% (G:16.30% B:0.70%)
50.73% (G:14.38% B:0.75%)
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=140-159
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.839
Player:
Opponent:		30.47% (G:5.97% B:0.26%)
69.53% (G:33.16% B:1.17%)
 
 No double 
Pip=140-159
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.20% (G:32.37% B:1.33%) 70.32% (G:32.39% B:1.36%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.80% (G:5.76% B:0.24%) 29.68% (G:5.71% B:0.24%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.687 +1.303
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.810 (-0.062)
xg Double/Take:+0.872
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.128)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Αυτός είναι ένα υγιής βίδος, παρά το προβάδισμα στο σκορ. Ο Αυδής είναι σαφώς μπροστά στην κούρσα, έχει δύο επιπλεόν πόρτες, είναι έτοιμος να κάνει την χρυσή πόρτα με τα τεσσάρια που δεν του κάνουν για την 5, ενώ (το κυριότερο) ο αντίπαλος είναι στο bar.
 
 54: 24/20 11/6 
Pip=140-159
1.xgXG Roller++24/20 13/8eq: +0.781
Player:
Opponent:		68.57% (G:29.71% B:1.06%)
31.43% (G:5.12% B:0.19%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/20 11/6eq: +0.752 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		68.39% (G:28.63% B:0.96%)
31.61% (G:5.14% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++20/11eq: +0.725 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		68.56% (G:26.99% B:1.31%)
31.44% (G:6.12% B:0.23%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 6/1* eq: +0.693 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		66.32% (G:33.44% B:0.59%)
33.68% (G:6.38% B:0.25%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 8/3eq: +0.670 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		66.46% (G:28.20% B:0.87%)
33.54% (G:5.95% B:0.23%)

Κι εγώ θα φοβόμουν να χαλάσω τη midpoint, αλλά εδώ όλη η μάχη θα δοθεί για την 5 και δευτερευόντως για την bar. Η πολυτέλεια να χτυπηθεί κανείς στο 13 υπάρχει επειδή μόλις φτιάχτηκε η χρυση 20.
Και ολ' αυτά βέβαια επειδή η κατανομή που προκύπτει μετά από 13/8 είναι καλύτερη επιθετικά από εκείνη μετά από 11/6.


 
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=131-159
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		27.30% (G:4.58% B:0.17%)
72.70% (G:41.08% B:0.83%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=131-159