mman vs. marcvd

13 point match, Score is mman: 14, marcvd: 5


WBIF (World Internet Backgammon Federation) Champions Cup 2019

Γύρος 13: Τελικός μεταξύ του Μιχάλη Μανωλιού (mman) και του Marc Van Damme (BEL, marcvd)

Σχόλια: Μιχάλης Μανωλιός

mman  Category marcvd 
Expert (-0.0129) Total Error World Class (-0.0061)
Expert (-0.0119) Checker Play World Class (-0.0075)
Advanced (-0.0219) Cube Play World Champ. (-0.0005)
6.46 Performance Rating 3.03

mman  marcvd 
World Champ. (-0.0008) Game 1 World Champ. (-0.0028)
World Champ. (-0.0038) Game 2 World Champ. (-0.0039)
World Champ. (-0.0036) Game 3 Advanced (-0.0171)
World Champ. (-0.0043) Game 4 World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Class (-0.0096) Game 5 Expert (-0.0119)
Advanced (-0.0239) Game 6 World Champ. (0.0000)
Expert (-0.0110) Game 7 World Class (-0.0094)
Distracted (-0.1041) Game 8 World Champ. (+0.0000)
Advanced (-0.0153) Game 9 World Class (-0.0053)
World Class (-0.0091) Game 10 World Champ. (-0.0039)

mman  Category marcvd 
20(8) Move Errors 17(3)
-1.879(-9.50%) Equity lost (cost) -1.085(-5.66%)
     
2(1) Double Errors 0
-0.142(-1.34%) Equity lost (cost) -0.018(-0.06%)
     
2(1) Take Errors 0
-0.252(-0.77%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
24(10) Total Error 17(3)
-2.273(-11.60%) Equity lost (cost) -1.103(-5.72%)
     
23 Jokers 25
+7.389(+55.58%) Luck -7.389(-55.58%)
     
Expert Level of Play World Class
6.46 Performance Rating 3.03

Location: GamesGrid Games Server
Played on: 24-Jul-19
At: 9:07:50 PM


mman: Elo= 1914, Exp=13827

marcvd: Elo= 1724, Exp=269

 Game 1

13 point match, Score is mman: 0, marcvd: 0

 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/13eq: +0.091
Player:
Opponent:		52.82% (G:11.60% B:0.47%)
47.18% (G:11.73% B:0.35%)
2.Book124/18 13/8eq: +0.027 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		50.88% (G:12.72% B:0.58%)
49.12% (G:12.77% B:0.44%)
3.Book113/8 13/7eq: -0.056 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		48.28% (G:13.74% B:0.69%)
51.72% (G:13.93% B:0.70%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: -0.137 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:13.04% B:0.65%)
53.51% (G:15.48% B:0.81%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.178 (-0.270)
Player:
Opponent:		46.29% (G:11.42% B:0.52%)
53.71% (G:16.64% B:0.75%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 21: 24/23 13/11 
Pip=156-167
1.xgXG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.197
Player:
Opponent:		45.05% (G:11.43% B:0.34%)
54.95% (G:14.24% B:0.84%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/11eq: -0.211 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		44.06% (G:11.01% B:0.30%)
55.94% (G:12.74% B:0.55%)
3.XG Roller++24/21eq: -0.250 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		43.15% (G:9.63% B:0.26%)
56.85% (G:12.00% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++13/10eq: -0.264 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		43.02% (G:10.63% B:0.29%)
56.98% (G:13.63% B:0.69%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 6/5eq: -0.267 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		43.37% (G:10.35% B:0.30%)
56.63% (G:14.79% B:0.64%)
 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=156-164
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: +0.111
Player:
Opponent:		53.60% (G:11.91% B:0.54%)
46.40% (G:12.62% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: +0.088 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		52.51% (G:12.31% B:0.50%)
47.49% (G:11.89% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++13/6eq: +0.023 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		51.15% (G:11.73% B:0.47%)
48.85% (G:13.03% B:0.37%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 6/1* eq: +0.004 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		50.56% (G:12.50% B:0.45%)
49.44% (G:13.52% B:0.52%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 6/1* eq: -0.034 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		49.71% (G:11.77% B:0.42%)
50.29% (G:13.78% B:0.48%)
 
 44: 13/5(2) 
Pip=149-164
1.xgRollout113/9(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.045
Player:
Opponent:		49.80% (G:17.46% B:0.51%)
50.20% (G:11.95% B:0.61%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.031...+0.060) - [99.5%]
Duration: 23 minutes 51 seconds
2.playedRollout113/5(2)eq: +0.019 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		49.11% (G:16.06% B:0.44%)
50.89% (G:10.67% B:0.60%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.006...+0.033) - [0.5%]
Duration: 23 minutes 35 seconds
3.XG Roller++13/9(2) 11/3* eq: -0.025 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		48.50% (G:14.15% B:0.43%)
51.50% (G:12.32% B:0.59%)
4.XG Roller++24/16 13/9(2)eq: -0.027 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		49.30% (G:11.38% B:0.37%)
50.70% (G:11.79% B:0.44%)
5.XG Roller++11/3* 8/4(2)eq: -0.040 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		47.57% (G:15.88% B:0.35%)
52.43% (G:12.71% B:0.69%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Προφανώς για λόγους μπλοκάζ στο αντίπαλο πίσω πούλι και καλύτερης κατανομής (το 13/9(2) 6/2(2) ξεφορτώνει τις δύο φορτωμένες πόρτες). Πάντως, κι έγω θα έπαιζα 13/5(2) χωρίς καν να εξετάσω τη σωστή κίνηση. Σε κάνει να σκέφτεσαι πόσα πολλά δεν ξέρουμε ακόμα για το παιχνίδι.
 
 51: 22/16 
Pip=149-148
1.playedXG Roller++22/16eq: -0.274
Player:
Opponent:		45.53% (G:7.83% B:0.33%)
54.47% (G:18.28% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++22/21 13/8eq: -0.362 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		43.44% (G:9.43% B:0.47%)
56.56% (G:21.40% B:0.50%)
3.4-ply22/21 6/1* eq: -0.450 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		41.11% (G:8.10% B:0.28%)
58.89% (G:21.96% B:0.57%)
4.4-ply8/2* eq: -0.496 (-0.222)
Player:
Opponent:		39.76% (G:8.51% B:0.35%)
60.24% (G:22.95% B:0.67%)
5.4-ply8/7 6/1* eq: -0.519 (-0.245)
Player:
Opponent:		39.12% (G:8.17% B:0.28%)
60.88% (G:23.56% B:0.93%)

Μετά από το φτιάξιμο της αντίπαλης πόρτας 5, το πούλι δεν πρέπει να μείνει στο 22 ή ακόμα χειρότερα στο 21, καθώς εκεί δίνει στόχο σε πόρτες που αντίπαλος θέλει πολύ να κάνει.
 
 65: 24/18 23/18 
Pip=143-148
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 23/18eq: +0.048
Player:
Opponent:		50.36% (G:5.85% B:0.10%)
49.64% (G:3.49% B:0.10%)
2.XG Roller++23/18 11/5eq: -0.044 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		47.67% (G:8.74% B:0.22%)
52.33% (G:6.08% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++11/5 8/3eq: -0.085 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		46.03% (G:11.34% B:0.20%)
53.97% (G:7.58% B:0.30%)
4.4-ply11/5 6/1eq: -0.134 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		44.78% (G:10.57% B:0.13%)
55.22% (G:8.58% B:0.35%)
5.4-ply24/18 11/6eq: -0.136 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		45.07% (G:8.56% B:0.19%)
54.93% (G:7.71% B:0.24%)
 
 65: 16/5 
Pip=143-137
1.played4-ply16/5eq: +0.054
Player:
Opponent:		51.93% (G:1.01% B:0.03%)
48.07% (G:1.29% B:0.03%)
2.4-ply16/10 13/8eq: -0.225 (-0.278)
Player:
Opponent:		44.64% (G:2.50% B:0.07%)
55.36% (G:7.02% B:0.14%)
3.4-ply16/10 8/3eq: -0.247 (-0.300)
Player:
Opponent:		44.14% (G:2.57% B:0.09%)
55.86% (G:7.56% B:0.20%)
4.3-ply16/10 6/1eq: -0.272 (-0.325)
Player:
Opponent:		43.80% (G:2.57% B:0.07%)
56.20% (G:8.75% B:0.22%)
5.3-ply16/11 8/2eq: -0.287 (-0.340)
Player:
Opponent:		43.40% (G:2.59% B:0.08%)
56.60% (G:8.79% B:0.20%)
 
 33: 18/15(2) 13/10(2) 
Pip=132-137
1.XG Roller++18/15(2) 8/5(2)eq: +0.151
Player:
Opponent:		54.93% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
45.07% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++18/15(2) 11/5eq: +0.150 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		54.93% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
45.07% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++18/15(2) 8/5 6/3eq: +0.148 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		54.82% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
45.18% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++18/15(2) 13/10(2)eq: +0.148 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		54.84% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
45.16% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++18/15(2) 11/8 6/3eq: +0.147 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		54.80% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
45.20% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 13/5 
Pip=132-125
1.playedXG Roller++13/5eq: -0.170
Player:
Opponent:		44.34% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
55.66% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 8/3eq: -0.175 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		44.15% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
55.85% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 6/3eq: -0.179 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		44.03% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
55.97% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.185 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		43.79% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
56.21% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/5 6/1eq: -0.185 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		43.78% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
56.22% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 10/5 8/5 
Pip=124-125
1.playedXG Roller++10/5 8/5eq: +0.145
Player:
Opponent:		54.77% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
45.23% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/6 10/7eq: +0.144 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		54.73% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
45.27% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/8 10/5eq: +0.143 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		54.72% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
45.28% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/6 8/5eq: +0.143 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		54.70% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
45.30% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7 8/3eq: +0.143 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		54.69% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
45.31% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 13/7 
Pip=124-117
1.playedXG Roller++13/7eq: -0.270
Player:
Opponent:		40.86% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
59.14% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: -0.271 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		40.86% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
59.14% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
3.xgXG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.271 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		40.83% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
59.17% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/8 5/4eq: -0.272 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		40.82% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
59.18% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 8/3eq: -0.272 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		40.81% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
59.19% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=118-117
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.11% (G:0.03% B:0.00%) 59.04% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.89% (G:0.04% B:0.00%) 40.96% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.182 +0.366
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.271
     Double/Take:+0.076 (-0.195)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.729)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17.4%
 
 51: 10/4 
Pip=118-117
1.XG Roller++11/6 5/4eq: +0.147
Player:
Opponent:		54.92% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
45.08% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/6 10/9eq: +0.146 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		54.90% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
45.10% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++10/4eq: +0.146 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		54.87% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
45.13% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/7 8/3eq: +0.146 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		54.86% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
45.14% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/5eq: +0.146 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		54.87% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
45.13% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 13/7 8/4 
Pip=118-111
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 8/4eq: -0.058
Player:
Opponent:		48.04% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
51.96% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 8/2eq: -0.063 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		47.90% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
52.10% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/9 8/2eq: -0.067 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		47.70% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
52.30% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/3eq: -0.070 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		47.63% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
52.37% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4 7/1eq: -0.072 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		47.59% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
52.41% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 11/5 6/4 
Pip=108-111
1.playedXG Roller++11/5 6/4eq: +0.039
Player:
Opponent:		51.35% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
48.65% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/3eq: +0.035 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		51.22% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
48.78% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: +0.034 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		51.18% (G:0.15% B:0.01%)
48.82% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/9 8/2eq: +0.032 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		51.14% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
48.86% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
5.xgXG Roller++8/2 5/3eq: +0.032 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		51.11% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
48.89% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
 
 55: 13/8 13/3 7/2 
Pip=108-103
1.xgXG Roller++13/3(2)eq: +0.680
Player:
Opponent:		70.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/8 13/3 7/2eq: +0.672 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		70.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 13/3 6/1eq: +0.659 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		69.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/8(2) 7/2 6/1eq: +0.643 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		69.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++13/8(2) 7/2(2)eq: +0.642 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		69.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 15/10 8/7 
Pip=88-103
1.xgXG Roller++15/10 5/4eq: -0.826
Player:
Opponent:		25.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++15/10 8/7eq: -0.826 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		25.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++15/9eq: -0.829 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		25.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++15/14 8/3eq: -0.829 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		25.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 5/4eq: -0.829 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		25.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=88-97
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 74.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.489 +0.992
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.772 (-0.054)
played Double/Take:+0.826
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.174)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
 42: 8/6 8/4 
Pip=88-97
1.xgXG Roller++8/4 7/5eq: +0.340
Player:
Opponent:		71.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
28.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/6 8/4eq: +0.339 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		71.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
28.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: +0.330 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		71.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
28.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/4 3/1eq: +0.324 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		70.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 7/3eq: +0.323 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		70.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 8/5 7/6 
Pip=82-97
1.xgXG Roller++15/12 7/6eq: -0.508
Player:
Opponent:		21.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/5 7/6eq: -0.509 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		21.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/6eq: -0.509 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		21.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++15/12 10/9eq: -0.510 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		21.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++15/12 5/4eq: -0.510 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		21.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 63: 8/5 8/2 
Pip=82-93
1.xgXG Roller++8/5 7/1eq: +0.559
Player:
Opponent:		80.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
19.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/5 8/2eq: +0.554 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		80.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
19.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/2 7/4eq: +0.554 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		80.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
19.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/1 6/3eq: +0.542 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		80.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
19.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 6/3eq: +0.541 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		80.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
19.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 15/11 
Pip=73-93
1.xgXG Roller++15/12 5/4eq: -0.693
Player:
Opponent:		13.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/6eq: -0.694 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		13.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++15/12 10/9eq: -0.694 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		13.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.playedXG Roller++15/11eq: -0.695 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		13.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7 5/4eq: -0.695 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		13.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 7/3 6/Off 
Pip=73-89
1.playedXG Roller++7/3 6/Offeq: +0.762
Player:
Opponent:		89.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/1 4/Offeq: +0.748 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		89.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/1 6/2eq: +0.743 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		88.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
11.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++7/1 5/1eq: +0.729 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		88.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
11.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 11/9 10/4 
Pip=63-89
1.playedXG Roller++11/9 10/4eq: -0.783
Player:
Opponent:		9.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++10/4 5/3eq: -0.783 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		9.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/3eq: -0.783 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		9.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/5 10/8eq: -0.786 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		9.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/4 6/4eq: -0.789 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		9.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
90.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 5/Off 2/Off 
Pip=63-81
1.playedXG Roller++5/Off 2/Offeq: +0.775
Player:
Opponent:		90.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
9.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/1 2/Offeq: +0.771 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		90.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
9.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/4 5/Offeq: +0.767 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		89.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 6/1eq: +0.761 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		89.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++5/Off 3/1eq: +0.761 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		89.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 44: 9/5 4/Off(3) 
Pip=56-81
1.playedXG Roller++9/5 4/Off(3)eq: -0.574
Player:
Opponent:		18.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++9/1 4/Off(2)eq: -0.580 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		18.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
81.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/5 6/2 4/Off(2)eq: -0.583 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		17.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/1 6/2 4/Offeq: -0.591 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		17.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
82.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/5 6/2(2) 4/Offeq: -0.614 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		16.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
83.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 22: 6/Off 2/Off 
Pip=56-65
1.played4-ply6/Off 2/Offeq: +0.602
Player:
Opponent:		82.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
17.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/Off 3/1 2/Offeq: +0.593 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		82.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
17.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/4 6/Offeq: +0.589 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		82.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
17.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/Off 3/1eq: +0.589 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		82.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
17.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/4(2) 3/1 2/Offeq: +0.581 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		81.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
18.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 6/3 6/2 
Pip=48-65
1.played4-ply6/3 6/2eq: -0.696
Player:
Opponent:		13.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/3 5/1eq: -0.697 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		13.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/2 5/1eq: -0.706 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		12.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/2 5/2eq: -0.712 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		12.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 6/Off 4/Off 
Pip=48-58
1.played4-ply6/Off 4/Offeq: +0.788
Player:
Opponent:		90.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
9.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 6/Offeq: +0.777 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		90.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
9.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/Off 5/1eq: +0.764 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		89.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 5/4 2/Off 
Pip=38-58
1.played4-ply5/4 2/Offeq: -0.886
Player:
Opponent:		4.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 5/4eq: -0.898 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		4.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/4 5/3eq: -0.900 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		4.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply3/Offeq: -0.905 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		4.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/5 2/Offeq: -0.907 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		4.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 6/Off 3/2 
Pip=38-55
1.played4-ply6/Off 3/2eq: +0.883
Player:
Opponent:		94.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off 5/4eq: +0.881 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		94.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/5 6/Offeq: +0.874 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		94.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/Off 4/3eq: +0.867 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		94.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 5/4 3/Off 
Pip=31-55
1.played4-ply5/4 3/Offeq: -0.945
Player:
Opponent:		2.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/Offeq: -0.950 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		2.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/5 3/Offeq: -0.951 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		2.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/4 5/2eq: -0.953 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		2.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/3 5/4eq: -0.954 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		1.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=31-51
1.played4-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +0.923
Player:
Opponent:		96.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/Offeq: +0.916 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		96.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/4 3/Offeq: +0.913 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		96.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/3 2/Offeq: +0.912 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		96.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/1 2/Offeq: +0.911 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		95.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 5/2 4/Off 
Pip=26-51
1.xgXG Roller++6/3 4/Offeq: -0.951
Player:
Opponent:		2.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++5/2 4/Offeq: -0.953 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		2.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/3 6/2eq: -0.960 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		1.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply4/1 4/Offeq: -0.961 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		1.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/3 5/1eq: -0.962 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		1.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 55: 6/1(2) 5/Off(2) 
Pip=26-44
1.played3-ply6/1(2) 5/Off(2)eq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 6/3 2/Off 
Pip=6-44
1.played4-ply6/3 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xg4-ply5/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/1 2/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/4 6/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/3 5/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 4/Off 1/Off 
Pip=6-39
1.played4-ply4/Off 1/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 6/5 4/Off 
Pip=1-39
1.4-ply4/Off 3/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.played4-ply6/5 4/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/5 6/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/2 5/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 1/Off 
Pip=1-34
1.played3-ply1/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Single Game 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
World Champ. (-0.0008) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0028)
World Champ. (-0.0008) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0031)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
0.38 Performance Rating 1.39
0 Move Errors 1
-0.013(-0.08%) Equity lost (cost) -0.050(-0.25%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Total Error 1
-0.013(-0.08%) Equity lost (cost) -0.050(-0.25%)
     
1 Jokers 0
+1.316(+8.44%) Luck -1.316(-8.44%)

 Game 2

13 point match, Score is mman: 2, marcvd: 0

 
 62: 24/18 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/11eq: -0.019
Player:
Opponent:		50.76% (G:12.90% B:0.61%)
49.24% (G:13.50% B:0.55%)
2.Book124/16eq: -0.047 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		50.26% (G:11.72% B:0.50%)
49.74% (G:13.35% B:0.48%)
3.Book113/5eq: -0.067 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		49.13% (G:13.77% B:0.63%)
50.87% (G:13.72% B:0.68%)
4.Book124/22 13/7eq: -0.113 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		48.00% (G:12.92% B:0.51%)
52.00% (G:13.84% B:0.60%)
5.Book113/11 13/7eq: -0.114 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		48.22% (G:13.73% B:0.69%)
51.78% (G:14.94% B:0.89%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 33: 13/7*(2)  
Pip=159-167
1.playedXG Roller++13/7*(2) eq: +0.245
Player:
Opponent:		54.39% (G:16.18% B:0.74%)
45.61% (G:11.03% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++13/7* 8/5(2)eq: +0.238 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		53.37% (G:18.13% B:0.84%)
46.63% (G:12.00% B:0.65%)
3.XG Roller++13/7* 6/3(2)eq: +0.224 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		53.34% (G:17.39% B:0.89%)
46.66% (G:11.76% B:0.58%)
4.XG Roller++24/21(2) 13/7* eq: +0.151 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		51.95% (G:13.55% B:0.53%)
48.05% (G:9.69% B:0.33%)
5.XG Roller++24/21(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.146 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		51.92% (G:11.27% B:0.34%)
48.08% (G:7.29% B:0.23%)
 
 41: Bar/20 
Pip=166-155
1.xgRollout1Bar/21 6/5eq: -0.328
Player:
Opponent:		44.68% (G:11.33% B:0.53%)
55.32% (G:19.97% B:1.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.346...-0.311) - [100.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 11 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/20eq: -0.372 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		42.83% (G:10.72% B:0.53%)
57.17% (G:18.82% B:0.89%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.386...-0.358) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 13 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 24/23eq: -0.371 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		42.80% (G:10.06% B:0.42%)
57.20% (G:18.27% B:0.78%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/9eq: -0.378 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		42.24% (G:11.65% B:0.51%)
57.76% (G:17.48% B:1.18%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/21 11/10eq: -0.389 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		42.42% (G:10.17% B:0.45%)
57.58% (G:18.25% B:0.86%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Μάλλον δεν θα τα μάθω ποτέ αυτά, ίσως επειδή τέτοια παιξίματα αποτελούν εξαίρεση στον κανόνα που λέει ότι δεν πρέπει να είμαστε ανοιχτοί συγχρόνως στην άμυνα και στην επίθεση. Πάντως, θα έπρεπε να το υποψιαστώ ότι πρόκεται για εξαίρεση, καθώς δεν αισθανόμουν άνετα παίζοντας bar/20.
 
 No double 
Pip=161-155
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 57.39% (G:18.58% B:0.85%) 57.51% (G:18.66% B:0.84%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 42.61% (G:10.27% B:0.44%) 42.49% (G:10.21% B:0.45%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.235 +0.503
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.386
     Double/Take:+0.257 (-0.129)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.614)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.8%
 
 53: 13/5*  
Pip=161-155
1.xgRollout18/3 6/3eq: +0.228
Player:
Opponent:		54.21% (G:17.58% B:0.71%)
45.79% (G:11.72% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.215...+0.241) - [83.3%]
Duration: 23 minutes 39 seconds
2.playedRollout113/5* eq: +0.219 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		53.56% (G:17.34% B:1.00%)
46.44% (G:12.56% B:0.71%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.204...+0.234) - [16.7%]
Duration: 28 minutes 55 seconds
3.XG Roller++8/5* 6/1* eq: +0.179 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		52.27% (G:17.97% B:0.64%)
47.73% (G:12.76% B:0.72%)
4.XG Roller++24/21 13/8eq: +0.176 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		53.27% (G:13.46% B:0.56%)
46.73% (G:10.91% B:0.41%)
5.XG Roller++24/16eq: +0.160 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		53.19% (G:13.51% B:0.63%)
46.81% (G:12.03% B:0.44%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Έχοντας φτιάξει το bar, ο Marc έχει πιο πολλά να χάσει αν χτυπηθεί σε σχέση με το τυπικό χτύπημα της δευτέρης ζαριάς στο 5 με 53.
 
 65: Bar/20* 20/14 
Pip=166-147
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 20/14eq: +0.032
Player:
Opponent:		52.12% (G:13.94% B:0.80%)
47.88% (G:13.92% B:0.60%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20* 13/7eq: -0.108 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		48.42% (G:13.47% B:0.79%)
51.58% (G:14.91% B:0.81%)
3.4-plyBar/20* 11/5eq: -0.158 (-0.190)
Player:
Opponent:		47.38% (G:12.33% B:0.62%)
52.62% (G:15.12% B:0.79%)
4.4-plyBar/20* 8/2eq: -0.278 (-0.310)
Player:
Opponent:		44.77% (G:11.56% B:0.57%)
55.23% (G:17.36% B:1.09%)
 
 62: Bar/23 24/18 
Pip=155-167
1.played4-plyBar/23 24/18eq: -0.131
Player:
Opponent:		45.72% (G:11.56% B:0.48%)
54.28% (G:14.39% B:0.70%)
2.4-plyBar/23 13/7eq: -0.318 (-0.186)
Player:
Opponent:		40.90% (G:10.97% B:0.51%)
59.10% (G:16.97% B:1.13%)
3.4-plyBar/23 8/2eq: -0.323 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		40.79% (G:11.72% B:0.39%)
59.21% (G:17.90% B:1.30%)
4.4-plyBar/23 7/1* eq: -0.365 (-0.234)
Player:
Opponent:		39.69% (G:11.08% B:0.32%)
60.31% (G:17.59% B:1.36%)
 
 51: 8/7* 7/2*  
Pip=155-159
1.xgRollout18/7* 6/1* eq: +0.015
Player:
Opponent:		51.65% (G:15.57% B:0.72%)
48.35% (G:15.48% B:0.81%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.001...+0.031) - [99.9%]
Duration: 29 minutes 28 seconds
2.playedRollout18/7* 7/2* eq: -0.024 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		50.36% (G:15.37% B:0.99%)
49.64% (G:15.39% B:0.89%)		Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.042...-0.006) - [0.1%]
Duration: 30 minutes 00 second
3.XG Roller++14/9 8/7* eq: -0.116 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		48.66% (G:13.09% B:0.67%)
51.34% (G:15.82% B:0.95%)
4.XG Roller++13/7* eq: -0.133 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		48.20% (G:13.37% B:0.74%)
51.80% (G:16.31% B:0.98%)
5.4-ply14/13 11/6eq: -0.203 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		46.29% (G:9.37% B:0.31%)
53.71% (G:14.24% B:0.40%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το σκέφτηκα αρκετή ώρα. Το 8/7* 6/1* έχει σίγουρα καλύτερη κατανομή, αφού ξεφορτώνει την πόρτα 6, αλλά φοβήθηκα να αφήσω τόσα πούλια ανοιχτά. Από την άλλη, τέτοια ρίσκα μπορούμε να τα παίρνουμε στην αρχή της παρτίδας, όταν το αντίπαλο στρατόπεδο είναι ακόμα αδύναμο, όπως εδώ.
 
 21: Bar/24 Bar/23*  
Pip=149-168
1.played3-plyBar/24 Bar/23* eq: +0.179
Player:
Opponent:		53.00% (G:16.23% B:0.80%)
47.00% (G:12.04% B:0.66%)
 
 62: Bar/23 14/8 
Pip=172-165
1.played4-plyBar/23 14/8eq: -0.282
Player:
Opponent:		44.81% (G:11.54% B:0.56%)
55.19% (G:18.21% B:0.84%)
2.4-plyBar/23 11/5eq: -0.477 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		41.42% (G:10.16% B:0.55%)
58.58% (G:22.98% B:1.64%)
3.4-plyBar/23 13/7eq: -0.564 (-0.282)
Player:
Opponent:		39.39% (G:9.48% B:0.48%)
60.61% (G:24.24% B:2.21%)
4.4-plyBar/23 8/2* eq: -0.615 (-0.333)
Player:
Opponent:		38.83% (G:9.44% B:0.51%)
61.17% (G:25.24% B:2.49%)
 
 No double 
Pip=164-165
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.45% (G:18.21% B:0.85%) 55.41% (G:18.26% B:0.85%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.55% (G:11.58% B:0.54%) 44.59% (G:11.61% B:0.54%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.178 +0.379
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.302
     Double/Take:+0.126 (-0.176)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.698)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.7%
 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=164-165
1.played4-ply8/4 6/4eq: +0.317
Player:
Opponent:		55.96% (G:19.22% B:0.97%)
44.04% (G:12.22% B:0.70%)
2.4-ply24/18eq: +0.047 (-0.270)
Player:
Opponent:		50.42% (G:13.68% B:0.67%)
49.58% (G:14.01% B:0.67%)
3.4-ply24/20 23/21eq: +0.044 (-0.272)
Player:
Opponent:		49.87% (G:14.70% B:0.81%)
50.13% (G:14.12% B:0.72%)
4.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: +0.023 (-0.294)
Player:
Opponent:		49.51% (G:13.79% B:0.67%)
50.49% (G:13.92% B:0.65%)
5.4-ply24/22 6/2* eq: +0.018 (-0.298)
Player:
Opponent:		49.43% (G:14.04% B:0.69%)
50.57% (G:14.27% B:0.82%)
 
 32: 23/20 13/11 
Pip=164-159
1.playedXG Roller++23/20 13/11eq: -0.426
Player:
Opponent:		42.57% (G:10.96% B:0.64%)
57.43% (G:22.49% B:0.92%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 11/8eq: -0.541 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		39.73% (G:9.82% B:0.52%)
60.27% (G:24.51% B:0.85%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 23/20eq: -0.573 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		39.26% (G:9.70% B:0.58%)
60.74% (G:25.27% B:1.31%)
4.4-ply13/11 13/10eq: -0.572 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		39.09% (G:10.10% B:0.56%)
60.91% (G:24.97% B:1.31%)
5.4-ply23/20 11/9eq: -0.601 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		38.22% (G:9.27% B:0.52%)
61.78% (G:24.21% B:1.30%)
 
 No double 
Pip=159-159
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 57.27% (G:22.46% B:0.93%) 57.35% (G:22.59% B:0.92%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 42.73% (G:11.15% B:0.65%) 42.65% (G:11.07% B:0.66%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.261 +0.562
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.419
     Double/Take:+0.318 (-0.102)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.581)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.0%
 
 53: 13/5*  
Pip=159-159
1.xgRollout18/5* 6/1* eq: +0.250
Player:
Opponent:		53.01% (G:23.30% B:0.64%)
46.99% (G:14.58% B:1.31%)		Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.232...+0.268) - [98.1%]
Duration: 26 minutes 42 seconds
2.playedRollout113/5* eq: +0.225 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		53.05% (G:19.92% B:1.16%)
46.95% (G:13.77% B:1.13%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.209...+0.240) - [1.9%]
Duration: 27 minutes 16 seconds
3.XG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: +0.176 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:		51.98% (G:17.92% B:0.67%)
48.02% (G:12.58% B:0.78%)
4.XG Roller++24/16eq: +0.165 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		52.98% (G:15.10% B:0.74%)
47.02% (G:12.21% B:0.54%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 6/1* eq: +0.116 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		50.55% (G:16.57% B:0.48%)
49.45% (G:12.06% B:0.57%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το διπλό χτύπημα προστατεύει το blot/slot στο 5, αυξάνοντας τις πιθανότητες να κερδηθεί η μάχη εκεί.
 
 52: Bar/20* 24/22 
Pip=164-151
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 24/22eq: +0.043
Player:
Opponent:		52.74% (G:14.85% B:1.01%)
47.26% (G:14.94% B:0.57%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20* 13/11eq: -0.012 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		51.15% (G:14.63% B:0.90%)
48.85% (G:15.00% B:0.68%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20* 8/6eq: -0.139 (-0.182)
Player:
Opponent:		48.34% (G:13.52% B:0.81%)
51.66% (G:16.52% B:0.77%)
4.4-plyBar/20* 6/4eq: -0.164 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		48.57% (G:13.44% B:0.89%)
51.43% (G:18.91% B:1.20%)
5.4-plyBar/20* 11/9eq: -0.166 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		47.77% (G:14.33% B:1.04%)
52.23% (G:18.71% B:1.37%)
 
 22: Bar/23 13/11 7/5*(2)  
Pip=157-171
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/21 7/5*(2) eq: +0.395
Player:
Opponent:		55.77% (G:23.50% B:0.85%)
44.23% (G:11.71% B:0.71%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 24/22 7/5*(2) eq: +0.370 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		55.05% (G:23.65% B:0.88%)
44.95% (G:11.93% B:0.62%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 13/11 7/5*(2) eq: +0.369 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		54.97% (G:23.63% B:0.83%)
45.03% (G:11.92% B:0.68%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 7/5*(2) 6/4eq: +0.364 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		54.78% (G:23.85% B:0.90%)
45.22% (G:12.60% B:0.76%)
5.4-plyBar/23 13/11 7/5* 5/3* eq: +0.169 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		50.91% (G:21.50% B:0.75%)
49.09% (G:15.10% B:1.14%)

Με δεδομένο ότι ο Marc δεν πρόκειται να πάει για backgame, τώρα που είμαι χτυπημένος είναι η καλύτερη στιγμή να κινητοποιήσει τα πίσω πούλια του.
 
 42: Bar/23 22/18 
Pip=162-163
1.played3-plyBar/23 22/18eq: -0.377
Player:
Opponent:		44.93% (G:11.51% B:0.68%)
55.07% (G:25.04% B:0.71%)
2.3-plyBar/23 13/9eq: -0.708 (-0.331)
Player:
Opponent:		38.57% (G:10.50% B:0.75%)
61.43% (G:30.59% B:1.92%)
3.3-plyBar/23 8/4eq: -0.835 (-0.457)
Player:
Opponent:		37.01% (G:8.95% B:0.54%)
62.99% (G:31.86% B:1.85%)
4.3-plyBar/23 11/7eq: -1.000 (-0.623)
Player:
Opponent:		32.59% (G:7.58% B:0.46%)
67.41% (G:35.74% B:3.61%)
 
 No double 
Pip=156-163
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.29% (G:25.57% B:0.82%) 55.38% (G:25.71% B:0.83%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.71% (G:11.45% B:0.70%) 44.62% (G:11.39% B:0.70%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.248 +0.540
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.398
     Double/Take:+0.281 (-0.117)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.602)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.0%
 
 42: 11/7* 7/5 
Pip=156-163
1.playedXG Roller++11/7* 7/5eq: +0.512
Player:
Opponent:		57.24% (G:26.46% B:1.03%)
42.76% (G:10.88% B:0.58%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 11/7* eq: +0.396 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		54.86% (G:24.06% B:1.01%)
45.14% (G:11.78% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++23/21 11/7* eq: +0.393 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		55.12% (G:24.54% B:0.97%)
44.88% (G:11.79% B:0.71%)
4.XG Roller++11/7* 6/4eq: +0.380 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		54.58% (G:24.69% B:0.97%)
45.42% (G:12.22% B:0.70%)
5.4-ply23/21 6/2* eq: +0.208 (-0.304)
Player:
Opponent:		51.10% (G:21.45% B:0.62%)
48.90% (G:13.45% B:0.95%)
 
 41: Bar/24 13/9 
Pip=163-157
1.played4-plyBar/24 13/9eq: -0.833
Player:
Opponent:		37.66% (G:9.68% B:0.59%)
62.34% (G:33.47% B:2.23%)
2.4-plyBar/24 8/4eq: -1.000 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		35.37% (G:8.53% B:0.48%)
64.63% (G:37.72% B:2.58%)
3.4-plyBar/24 11/7eq: -1.000 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		31.76% (G:7.07% B:0.36%)
68.24% (G:40.36% B:4.75%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=158-157
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 62.34% (G:33.21% B:1.97%) 62.18% (G:34.25% B:1.97%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 37.66% (G:9.80% B:0.62%) 37.82% (G:10.12% B:0.72%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.496 +1.051
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.705 (-0.097)±0.017 (+0.688..+0.722)
played Double/Take:+0.802±0.025 (+0.778..+0.827)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.198)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 29 minutes 04 seconds

Το θέωρησα λάθος και εντυπωσιάζομαι από το πόσο βίδος είναι. Φυσικά ποντάρει στις βολές στο 16 και στην επίθεσή του με το καλό στρατόπεδο.
Μπράβο στον Marc για έναν τόσο καλό βίδο.
 
 61: 23/16*  
Pip=158-157
1.playedXG Roller++23/16* eq: +0.430
Player:
Opponent:		63.33% (G:31.48% B:2.42%)
36.67% (G:8.70% B:0.49%)
2.XG Roller++8/2* 2/1* eq: +0.402 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		61.09% (G:36.25% B:1.83%)
38.91% (G:10.90% B:0.73%)
3.4-ply23/22 8/2* eq: +0.128 (-0.303)
Player:
Opponent:		54.75% (G:26.71% B:1.89%)
45.25% (G:13.94% B:1.16%)
4.3-ply8/2* 6/5eq: +0.063 (-0.368)
Player:
Opponent:		52.67% (G:25.73% B:1.83%)
47.33% (G:14.35% B:1.18%)
5.3-ply8/2* 5/4eq: +0.058 (-0.373)
Player:
Opponent:		52.48% (G:25.77% B:1.78%)
47.52% (G:14.46% B:1.15%)
 
 44: Cannot Move 
Pip=174-150
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.733
Player:
Opponent:		29.57% (G:6.08% B:0.34%)
70.43% (G:41.72% B:3.01%)
 
 43: 6/2* 5/2 
Pip=174-150
1.played4-ply6/2* 5/2eq: +0.812
Player:
Opponent:		72.27% (G:43.61% B:3.65%)
27.73% (G:5.10% B:0.25%)
2.4-ply16/13 6/2* eq: +0.617 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		67.76% (G:37.44% B:3.21%)
32.24% (G:7.34% B:0.46%)
3.4-ply24/21 6/2* eq: +0.605 (-0.207)
Player:
Opponent:		67.60% (G:36.57% B:3.05%)
32.40% (G:7.08% B:0.35%)
4.4-ply23/20 6/2* eq: +0.584 (-0.228)
Player:
Opponent:		66.87% (G:36.49% B:3.08%)
33.13% (G:7.35% B:0.43%)
5.4-ply23/16eq: +0.576 (-0.236)
Player:
Opponent:		67.86% (G:33.63% B:2.24%)
32.14% (G:6.59% B:0.28%)
 
 31: Bar/24 Bar/22 
Pip=176-143
1.played3-plyBar/24 Bar/22eq: -0.480
Player:
Opponent:		35.09% (G:7.61% B:0.39%)
64.91% (G:30.64% B:3.68%)
 
 65: 24/18 23/18 
Pip=172-143
1.Rollout116/10 8/3* eq: +0.490
Player:
Opponent:		65.02% (G:32.53% B:4.20%)
34.98% (G:7.81% B:0.61%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.479...+0.501) - [99.9%]
Duration: 14 minutes 18 seconds
2.playedRollout124/18 23/18eq: +0.466 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		66.05% (G:28.34% B:2.56%)
33.95% (G:7.08% B:0.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.457...+0.476) - [0.1%]
Duration: 12 minutes 38 seconds
3.XG Roller++24/18 8/3* eq: +0.436 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		63.24% (G:31.30% B:4.27%)
36.76% (G:9.80% B:0.75%)
4.XG Roller++24/13eq: +0.394 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		62.96% (G:28.36% B:3.20%)
37.04% (G:8.96% B:0.54%)
5.XG Roller++24/18 16/11eq: +0.385 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:		62.85% (G:27.62% B:2.57%)
37.15% (G:8.00% B:0.42%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Γενικά ο κανόνας είναι παίξε εκεί που είσαι δυνατός. Δεν είναι σοβαρό λάθος επειδή η πόρτα του bar είναι σημαντική.
 
 61: 22/15 
Pip=172-132
1.playedXG Roller++22/15eq: -0.589
Player:
Opponent:		30.53% (G:5.02% B:0.22%)
69.47% (G:29.17% B:3.12%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 6/5eq: -0.607 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		31.88% (G:5.16% B:0.24%)
68.12% (G:32.82% B:4.36%)
3.XG Roller++11/5 6/5eq: -0.701 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		30.27% (G:5.49% B:0.31%)
69.73% (G:37.36% B:5.46%)
4.XG Roller++8/1* eq: -0.708 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		28.61% (G:4.89% B:0.20%)
71.39% (G:34.88% B:4.53%)
5.4-ply8/2 6/5eq: -0.838 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		28.47% (G:4.04% B:0.20%)
71.53% (G:42.84% B:7.85%)
 
 21: 16/13 
Pip=165-132
1.playedXG Roller++16/13eq: +0.470
Player:
Opponent:		67.29% (G:24.70% B:2.07%)
32.71% (G:6.31% B:0.23%)
2.xgXG Roller++18/16 6/5eq: +0.465 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		66.67% (G:25.72% B:2.24%)
33.33% (G:6.57% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 16/15eq: +0.447 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		66.53% (G:24.82% B:1.90%)
33.47% (G:6.85% B:0.27%)
4.XG Roller++24/23 18/16eq: +0.435 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		65.87% (G:24.79% B:2.23%)
34.13% (G:6.75% B:0.26%)
5.XG Roller++16/15 6/4eq: +0.416 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		65.17% (G:25.29% B:1.99%)
34.83% (G:7.40% B:0.29%)
 
 43: 15/12* 12/8 
Pip=165-129
1.playedXG Roller++15/12* 12/8eq: -0.405
Player:
Opponent:		34.76% (G:7.46% B:0.28%)
65.24% (G:24.47% B:1.60%)
2.XG Roller++15/8eq: -0.522 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		30.27% (G:5.41% B:0.20%)
69.73% (G:23.86% B:1.74%)
3.XG Roller++15/11 6/3eq: -0.559 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		30.45% (G:5.08% B:0.22%)
69.55% (G:26.72% B:2.55%)
4.4-ply15/11 8/5eq: -0.567 (-0.162)
Player:
Opponent:		30.24% (G:5.12% B:0.24%)
69.76% (G:27.05% B:2.62%)
5.4-ply15/12* 6/2eq: -0.635 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		31.10% (G:5.17% B:0.21%)
68.90% (G:33.64% B:4.46%)
 
 51: Bar/20 6/5 
Pip=158-141
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/20 6/5eq: +0.328
Player:
Opponent:		62.57% (G:24.34% B:1.67%)
37.43% (G:9.25% B:0.36%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 24/23eq: +0.317 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		62.30% (G:23.83% B:1.57%)
37.70% (G:9.00% B:0.32%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/3eq: +0.266 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		60.00% (G:24.66% B:1.52%)
40.00% (G:9.61% B:0.48%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 18/13eq: +0.240 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		59.96% (G:22.65% B:1.81%)
40.04% (G:10.07% B:0.60%)
5.4-plyBar/20 8/7eq: +0.150 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		56.72% (G:22.66% B:1.40%)
43.28% (G:11.50% B:0.52%)
 
 62: 24/16 
Pip=158-135
1.playedXG Roller++24/16eq: -0.454
Player:
Opponent:		35.70% (G:7.07% B:0.34%)
64.30% (G:31.70% B:0.79%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 8/6eq: -0.553 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		32.96% (G:6.78% B:0.34%)
67.04% (G:34.59% B:0.87%)
3.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: -0.584 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		31.07% (G:6.16% B:0.25%)
68.93% (G:30.36% B:3.53%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 24/18eq: -0.597 (-0.143)
Player:
Opponent:		32.56% (G:6.68% B:0.36%)
67.44% (G:37.87% B:0.84%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 8/2eq: -0.600 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		28.99% (G:5.79% B:0.21%)
71.01% (G:27.90% B:2.48%)
 
 66: 24/18 8/2(2) 
Pip=150-135
1.played3-ply24/18 8/2(2)eq: +0.046
Player:
Opponent:		54.12% (G:17.32% B:0.29%)
45.88% (G:8.56% B:0.37%)
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=150-117
1.playedRollout18/3 6/3eq: -0.225
Player:
Opponent:		41.44% (G:10.15% B:0.48%)
58.56% (G:26.57% B:0.49%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.234...-0.216) - [76.5%]
Duration: 9 minutes 09 seconds
2.Rollout116/11 8/5* eq: -0.230 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		41.33% (G:9.35% B:0.38%)
58.67% (G:26.00% B:0.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.241...-0.219) - [23.5%]
Duration: 10 minutes 23 seconds
3.XG Roller++16/11 6/3eq: -0.227 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		40.79% (G:8.39% B:0.36%)
59.21% (G:23.09% B:0.28%)
4.XG Roller++16/13 8/3eq: -0.271 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		39.35% (G:8.13% B:0.35%)
60.65% (G:23.75% B:0.27%)
5.XG Roller++16/8eq: -0.293 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		38.31% (G:7.19% B:0.29%)
61.69% (G:22.84% B:0.25%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
 43: 18/15 5/1*  
Pip=142-117
1.playedXG Roller++18/15 5/1* eq: +0.127
Player:
Opponent:		54.70% (G:27.01% B:0.44%)
45.30% (G:12.81% B:0.68%)
2.XG Roller++20/13eq: +0.033 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		53.83% (G:17.39% B:0.32%)
46.17% (G:9.59% B:0.37%)
3.4-ply18/11eq: -0.085 (-0.212)
Player:
Opponent:		49.91% (G:17.01% B:0.31%)
50.09% (G:12.18% B:0.47%)
4.4-ply20/16 18/15eq: -0.103 (-0.230)
Player:
Opponent:		49.07% (G:19.33% B:0.83%)
50.93% (G:15.60% B:0.64%)
5.4-ply20/16 5/2eq: -0.185 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		47.53% (G:13.30% B:0.20%)
52.47% (G:12.73% B:0.40%)

Το χτύπημα είναι θεματικό. Σωστά παίζει εκεί που υπερτερεί.
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=143-110
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.552
Player:
Opponent:		34.52% (G:8.33% B:0.49%)
65.48% (G:39.84% B:0.50%)
 
 33: 18/15(2) 6/3(2) 
Pip=143-110
1.playedXG Roller++18/15(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.215
Player:
Opponent:		57.41% (G:27.93% B:0.41%)
42.59% (G:10.93% B:0.49%)
2.XG Roller++18/15(2) 4/1(2)eq: +0.073 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		53.87% (G:22.79% B:0.16%)
46.13% (G:11.38% B:0.49%)
3.3-ply18/15 6/3(2) 4/1eq: -0.185 (-0.399)
Player:
Opponent:		45.87% (G:20.79% B:0.19%)
54.13% (G:17.38% B:1.12%)
4.3-ply6/3(2) 4/1(2)eq: -0.248 (-0.462)
Player:
Opponent:		44.06% (G:18.04% B:0.10%)
55.94% (G:16.25% B:0.83%)
5.3-ply18/15(2) 5/2(2)eq: -0.432 (-0.646)
Player:
Opponent:		39.38% (G:13.71% B:0.24%)
60.62% (G:19.66% B:0.94%)
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=143-98
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.601
Player:
Opponent:		32.72% (G:7.13% B:0.39%)
67.28% (G:39.48% B:0.36%)
 
 53: 15/7 
Pip=143-98
1.played4-ply15/7eq: +0.363
Player:
Opponent:		61.30% (G:31.87% B:0.33%)
38.70% (G:9.13% B:0.51%)
2.4-ply20/15 4/1eq: +0.178 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		56.84% (G:25.51% B:0.20%)
43.16% (G:10.72% B:0.44%)
3.4-ply15/10 4/1eq: +0.129 (-0.233)
Player:
Opponent:		54.71% (G:26.69% B:0.18%)
45.29% (G:11.65% B:0.66%)
4.2-ply15/10 5/2eq: -0.418 (-0.780)
Player:
Opponent:		39.26% (G:16.61% B:0.31%)
60.74% (G:21.85% B:1.63%)
5.2-ply20/15 5/2eq: -0.445 (-0.808)
Player:
Opponent:		38.97% (G:12.36% B:0.21%)
61.03% (G:19.10% B:0.63%)
 
 61: Bar/24* 24/18*  
Pip=143-90
1.played3-plyBar/24* 24/18* eq: +0.614
Player:
Opponent:		66.41% (G:16.94% B:0.88%)
33.59% (G:7.97% B:0.15%)
2.3-plyBar/24* 11/5* eq: +0.211 (-0.403)
Player:
Opponent:		55.67% (G:19.84% B:1.14%)
44.33% (G:22.79% B:1.43%)
3.3-plyBar/18* eq: +0.149 (-0.465)
Player:
Opponent:		52.28% (G:12.54% B:0.66%)
47.72% (G:16.12% B:0.19%)
4.2-plyBar/24* 8/2eq: -0.249 (-0.863)
Player:
Opponent:		42.26% (G:11.85% B:0.65%)
57.74% (G:30.63% B:1.16%)
5.2-plyBar/19 6/5* eq: -0.281 (-0.895)
Player:
Opponent:		42.60% (G:10.55% B:0.62%)
57.40% (G:33.89% B:0.70%)
 
 64: Bar/21 
Pip=136-132
1.played3-plyBar/21eq: -0.737
Player:
Opponent:		29.88% (G:8.32% B:0.25%)
70.12% (G:23.86% B:1.22%)
 
 No double 
Pip=136-128
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 69.51% (G:22.81% B:1.24%) 69.71% (G:22.08% B:1.23%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.49% (G:8.53% B:0.21%) 30.29% (G:7.97% B:0.16%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.538 +0.980
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.723
     Redouble/Take:+0.680 (-0.042)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.277)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.6%

Σκέφτηκα το redouble εδώ, αλλά με φόβησαν το καλύτερο στρατόπεδό του και τα δύο ανοιχτά μου. Σε περίπτωση που χτυπηθώ, τα διπλα είναι πολλά.
 
 41: 8/4* 4/3 
Pip=136-128
1.playedXG Roller++8/4* 4/3eq: +0.543
Player:
Opponent:		63.39% (G:16.61% B:0.82%)
36.61% (G:8.37% B:0.19%)
2.XG Roller++16/12 6/5* eq: +0.475 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		62.92% (G:18.47% B:0.95%)
37.08% (G:14.94% B:0.53%)
3.XG Roller++16/11eq: +0.468 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		61.53% (G:11.99% B:0.49%)
38.47% (G:6.99% B:0.12%)
4.XG Roller++18/14 6/5* eq: +0.446 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		62.16% (G:17.68% B:0.95%)
37.84% (G:15.64% B:0.55%)
5.XG Roller++8/4* 6/5* eq: +0.423 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		62.44% (G:24.45% B:1.50%)
37.56% (G:19.83% B:1.19%)

Είναι σημαντικό να μειώσω την πιθανότητα να δέσει.
 
 54: Bar/21 Bar/20 
Pip=131-132
1.played3-plyBar/21 Bar/20eq: -0.323
Player:
Opponent:		42.68% (G:8.06% B:0.16%)
57.32% (G:9.28% B:0.30%)
 
 54: 16/11 6/2 
Pip=131-123
1.playedXG Roller++16/11 6/2eq: +0.281
Player:
Opponent:		55.68% (G:9.40% B:0.33%)
44.32% (G:8.91% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++18/14 16/11eq: +0.201 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		53.28% (G:7.16% B:0.26%)
46.72% (G:9.44% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller++18/13 16/12eq: +0.150 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		51.25% (G:6.54% B:0.24%)
48.75% (G:9.17% B:0.12%)
4.XG Roller++18/13 6/2eq: +0.129 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		51.00% (G:8.39% B:0.32%)
49.00% (G:12.21% B:0.20%)
5.4-ply16/7eq: 0.000 (-0.282)
Player:
Opponent:		47.96% (G:8.77% B:0.34%)
52.04% (G:17.68% B:0.32%)
 
 55: 20/10(2) 
Pip=122-123
1.playedXG Roller++20/10(2)eq: +0.126
Player:
Opponent:		59.42% (G:11.42% B:0.23%)
40.58% (G:6.38% B:0.20%)
2.XG Roller++21/11 20/15(2)eq: +0.028 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		55.86% (G:10.97% B:0.16%)
44.14% (G:7.62% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller++20/15 20/5eq: -0.016 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		53.96% (G:11.49% B:0.21%)
46.04% (G:8.46% B:0.19%)
4.4-ply21/6 20/15eq: -0.100 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		51.51% (G:9.55% B:0.17%)
48.49% (G:9.33% B:0.23%)
5.4-ply21/11 15/10(2)eq: -0.145 (-0.271)
Player:
Opponent:		48.84% (G:7.59% B:0.06%)
51.16% (G:4.35% B:0.12%)
 
 44: 18/14 8/4*(2) 6/2 
Pip=122-103
1.playedXG Roller++18/14 8/4*(2) 6/2eq: +0.592
Player:
Opponent:		64.88% (G:14.63% B:0.39%)
35.12% (G:5.53% B:0.10%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 8/4*(2) 6/2eq: +0.569 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		63.60% (G:19.87% B:0.54%)
36.40% (G:11.02% B:0.39%)
3.XG Roller++11/7 8/4*(2) 6/2eq: +0.521 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		62.19% (G:18.90% B:0.50%)
37.81% (G:10.54% B:0.23%)
4.3-ply13/9(2) 8/4*(2) eq: +0.142 (-0.450)
Player:
Opponent:		51.86% (G:13.62% B:0.37%)
48.14% (G:15.97% B:0.31%)
5.3-ply11/3 8/4*(2) eq: +0.021 (-0.572)
Player:
Opponent:		48.13% (G:10.74% B:0.25%)
51.87% (G:17.21% B:0.37%)
 
 21: Bar/24 10/8 
Pip=106-107
1.played4-plyBar/24 10/8eq: -0.540
Player:
Opponent:		34.80% (G:4.44% B:0.05%)
65.20% (G:10.55% B:0.23%)
2.4-plyBar/24 5/3eq: -0.710 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		30.36% (G:4.94% B:0.08%)
69.64% (G:18.49% B:0.38%)
3.4-plyBar/24 3/1eq: -0.765 (-0.225)
Player:
Opponent:		28.96% (G:4.67% B:0.06%)
71.04% (G:19.70% B:0.48%)
4.4-plyBar/24 4/2eq: -0.789 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		28.48% (G:4.36% B:0.06%)
71.52% (G:19.31% B:0.40%)
5.3-plyBar/24 15/13eq: -1.081 (-0.541)
Player:
Opponent:		18.69% (G:3.43% B:0.13%)
81.31% (G:34.93% B:2.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=106-104
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.03% (G:10.60% B:0.33%) 65.21% (G:10.71% B:0.39%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.97% (G:4.23% B:0.06%) 34.79% (G:4.00% B:0.07%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.364 +0.685
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.548
     Redouble/Take:+0.352 (-0.196)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.452)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 23.2%

Κι εδώ σκέφτηκα το redouble, αλλά ο αντίπαλος είναι καλός στην κούρσα και υπάρχει αρκετή δουλειά να γίνει στο outfield.
 
 55: 14/4 13/8(2) 
Pip=106-104
1.playedXG Roller++14/4 13/8(2)eq: +0.915
Player:
Opponent:		76.55% (G:5.94% B:0.12%)
23.45% (G:0.95% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++14/9 13/8(2) 11/6eq: +0.861 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		75.01% (G:7.45% B:0.15%)
24.99% (G:1.27% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++11/1*(2) eq: +0.845 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		76.32% (G:23.45% B:0.48%)
23.68% (G:4.38% B:0.10%)
4.XG Roller++13/8(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.767 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:		72.27% (G:13.15% B:0.29%)
27.73% (G:3.16% B:0.08%)
5.4-ply14/9 11/6(3)eq: +0.723 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		70.91% (G:8.00% B:0.11%)
29.09% (G:1.98% B:0.04%)

Με δεδομένο ότι είμαι πλεόν πολύ μπροστά στην κούρσα και έχω τον βίδο στη μεριά μου, δεν υπάρχει λόγος να ρισκάρω. Τα διπλα που δίνει το χτύπημα στον άσσο δεν αξίζουν τις βολές, ενώ το 13/8(2) 6/1*(2) θάβει πούλι (επειδή έχει κάνει τον άσσο).
 
 62: 10/4 8/6 
Pip=86-104
1.xgXG Roller++15/13 15/9eq: -0.991
Player:
Opponent:		21.93% (G:0.85% B:0.02%)
78.07% (G:5.15% B:0.11%)
2.playedXG Roller++10/4 8/6eq: -1.000 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		21.56% (G:0.91% B:0.02%)
78.44% (G:7.89% B:0.11%)
3.XG Roller++24/16eq: -1.000 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		18.98% (G:0.42% B:0.01%)
81.02% (G:5.08% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++10/2eq: -1.000 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		19.94% (G:0.76% B:0.02%)
80.06% (G:8.32% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++24/18 8/6eq: -1.000 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		19.62% (G:0.98% B:0.02%)
80.38% (G:8.98% B:0.11%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=86-96
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 78.45% (G:7.71% B:0.11%) 78.56% (G:9.46% B:0.17%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 21.55% (G:0.85% B:0.02%) 21.44% (G:1.01% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.639 +1.275
Cubeful Equities
     No redouble:+0.904 (-0.096)
     Redouble/Take:+1.076 (+0.076)
played Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
 
 Wins 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
World Champ. (-0.0038) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0039)
World Champ. (-0.0046) Checker Play World Class (-0.0053)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
1.89 Performance Rating 1.97
2 Move Errors 3
-0.083(-0.38%) Equity lost (cost) -0.095(-0.58%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
2 Total Error 3
-0.083(-0.38%) Equity lost (cost) -0.095(-0.58%)
     
6 Jokers 6
+0.645(+9.70%) Luck -0.645(-9.70%)

 Game 3

13 point match, Score is mman: 4, marcvd: 0

 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook18/4 6/4eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:		53.76% (G:16.46% B:0.74%)
46.24% (G:11.97% B:0.53%)
2.Book124/20 13/11eq: -0.079 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		50.11% (G:13.59% B:0.66%)
49.89% (G:13.36% B:0.58%)
3.Book124/22 13/9eq: -0.079 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		49.81% (G:14.03% B:0.59%)
50.19% (G:13.09% B:0.51%)
4.Book113/11 13/9eq: -0.086 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		49.70% (G:15.03% B:0.72%)
50.30% (G:13.90% B:0.76%)
5.4-ply24/22 24/20eq: -0.108 (-0.199)
Player:
Opponent:		49.36% (G:11.94% B:0.53%)
50.64% (G:13.22% B:0.44%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=161-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/8eq: -0.182
Player:
Opponent:		44.04% (G:10.98% B:0.44%)
55.96% (G:17.10% B:0.69%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.243 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		42.82% (G:10.49% B:0.39%)
57.18% (G:18.27% B:1.08%)
3.XG Roller++24/18eq: -0.268 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		42.70% (G:9.61% B:0.45%)
57.30% (G:19.31% B:0.72%)
4.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.329 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		40.67% (G:10.24% B:0.45%)
59.33% (G:19.38% B:1.28%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.383 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		39.70% (G:9.66% B:0.43%)
60.30% (G:22.16% B:1.18%)
 
 42: 24/20 13/11 
Pip=161-161
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 13/11eq: +0.063
Player:
Opponent:		53.31% (G:15.15% B:0.62%)
46.69% (G:11.91% B:0.50%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 13/9eq: +0.041 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		52.74% (G:15.41% B:0.60%)
47.26% (G:12.51% B:0.49%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 6/2* eq: +0.031 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		52.64% (G:16.57% B:0.74%)
47.36% (G:13.52% B:0.81%)
4.XG Roller++24/18eq: +0.031 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		53.03% (G:13.43% B:0.55%)
46.97% (G:12.37% B:0.42%)
5.XG Roller++24/20 6/4eq: +0.029 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		52.40% (G:14.62% B:0.68%)
47.60% (G:12.14% B:0.45%)
 
 53: 8/3 6/3 
Pip=155-161
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/3eq: -0.205
Player:
Opponent:		43.14% (G:10.82% B:0.39%)
56.86% (G:16.61% B:0.67%)
2.XG Roller++13/5* eq: -0.265 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		42.05% (G:11.24% B:0.53%)
57.95% (G:19.19% B:1.02%)
3.XG Roller++8/5* 6/1* eq: -0.294 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		41.64% (G:11.45% B:0.38%)
58.36% (G:20.11% B:1.27%)
4.4-ply23/18 8/5* eq: -0.385 (-0.180)
Player:
Opponent:		40.14% (G:9.43% B:0.46%)
59.86% (G:22.40% B:1.29%)
5.4-ply23/20 6/1* eq: -0.390 (-0.185)
Player:
Opponent:		39.60% (G:8.28% B:0.25%)
60.40% (G:19.60% B:0.96%)

Σ' αυτή την περίπτωση έχω καλύτερο στρατόπεδο και επιπλέον έχει φορτωθεί περισσότερο η πόρτα του 8, οπότε το 8/3 5/3 γίνεται σαφώς καλύτερο του χτυπήματος.
 
 64: 13/7 11/7 
Pip=155-153
1.playedRollout113/7 11/7eq: +0.269
Player:
Opponent:		58.35% (G:18.56% B:1.01%)
41.65% (G:12.41% B:0.48%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.256...+0.283) - [99.6%]
Duration: 20 minutes 49 seconds
2.Rollout18/2* 6/2eq: +0.244 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		56.48% (G:22.85% B:1.18%)
43.52% (G:12.67% B:0.75%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.232...+0.257) - [0.4%]
Duration: 19 minutes 54 seconds
3.4-ply24/20 11/5eq: +0.083 (-0.186)
Player:
Opponent:		53.02% (G:13.04% B:0.36%)
46.98% (G:8.99% B:0.26%)
4.4-ply20/10eq: +0.058 (-0.211)
Player:
Opponent:		54.00% (G:13.89% B:0.58%)
46.00% (G:12.81% B:0.46%)
5.4-ply24/20 13/7eq: +0.054 (-0.216)
Player:
Opponent:		52.46% (G:13.02% B:0.40%)
47.54% (G:9.60% B:0.30%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
 53: 13/5*  
Pip=145-153
1.playedXG Roller++13/5* eq: -0.368
Player:
Opponent:		39.20% (G:11.33% B:0.47%)
60.80% (G:20.44% B:1.16%)
2.XG Roller++8/5* 6/1* eq: -0.378 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		39.03% (G:12.66% B:0.33%)
60.97% (G:22.34% B:1.61%)
3.XG Roller++23/20 6/1* eq: -0.436 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		37.97% (G:9.10% B:0.26%)
62.03% (G:20.12% B:1.02%)
4.XG Roller++23/20 13/8eq: -0.464 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		37.25% (G:8.46% B:0.35%)
62.75% (G:20.41% B:0.75%)
5.XG Roller++23/15eq: -0.486 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:		37.05% (G:7.97% B:0.31%)
62.95% (G:21.17% B:0.67%)
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=150-145
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:		47.80% (G:13.66% B:0.72%)
52.20% (G:20.86% B:0.74%)
 
 No double 
Pip=150-145
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.42% (G:22.11% B:0.72%) 52.62% (G:22.04% B:0.71%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.58% (G:14.06% B:0.85%) 47.38% (G:14.09% B:0.89%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.124 +0.311
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.289
     Double/Take:+0.138 (-0.151)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.711)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.9%
 
 21: 24/22 6/5 
Pip=150-145
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 6/5eq: +0.344
Player:
Opponent:		54.87% (G:19.39% B:0.74%)
45.13% (G:12.09% B:0.49%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: +0.308 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		53.50% (G:20.98% B:0.82%)
46.50% (G:13.68% B:0.76%)
3.XG Roller++8/5eq: +0.294 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		53.14% (G:20.45% B:0.84%)
46.86% (G:13.54% B:0.65%)
4.4-ply6/4 5/4eq: +0.180 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		50.96% (G:18.36% B:0.76%)
49.04% (G:14.35% B:0.63%)
5.4-ply6/5 6/4eq: +0.099 (-0.245)
Player:
Opponent:		49.41% (G:16.94% B:0.75%)
50.59% (G:16.17% B:0.92%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8 
Pip=150-142
1.played4-plyBar/24 13/8eq: -0.369
Player:
Opponent:		43.78% (G:12.35% B:0.43%)
56.22% (G:18.10% B:1.02%)
2.4-plyBar/24 6/1eq: -0.601 (-0.232)
Player:
Opponent:		38.49% (G:11.07% B:0.29%)
61.51% (G:20.44% B:1.29%)
3.3-plyBar/24 8/3* eq: -0.747 (-0.378)
Player:
Opponent:		37.48% (G:10.73% B:0.36%)
62.52% (G:24.68% B:2.61%)
4.3-plyBar/24 7/2* eq: -0.812 (-0.442)
Player:
Opponent:		36.13% (G:10.01% B:0.32%)
63.87% (G:24.49% B:2.53%)
 
 No double 
Pip=144-142
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.00% (G:18.32% B:1.01%) 56.02% (G:18.44% B:1.03%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.00% (G:13.00% B:0.49%) 43.98% (G:12.95% B:0.49%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.175 +0.404
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.364
     Double/Take:+0.239 (-0.125)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.636)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.1%
 
 21: 23/22 13/11 
Pip=144-142
1.playedXG Roller++23/22 13/11eq: +0.371
Player:
Opponent:		55.41% (G:18.52% B:0.73%)
44.59% (G:9.95% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++23/22 8/6eq: +0.340 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		54.49% (G:18.95% B:0.70%)
45.51% (G:10.53% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++23/22 6/4eq: +0.230 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		52.69% (G:15.83% B:0.64%)
47.31% (G:11.15% B:0.44%)
4.4-ply23/20eq: +0.128 (-0.243)
Player:
Opponent:		50.69% (G:17.13% B:1.23%)
49.31% (G:17.58% B:0.58%)
5.4-ply8/5eq: +0.113 (-0.258)
Player:
Opponent:		49.99% (G:17.25% B:1.08%)
50.01% (G:17.63% B:0.62%)
 
 44: 13/5(2) 
Pip=144-139
1.playedXG Roller++13/5(2)eq: -0.290
Player:
Opponent:		44.87% (G:11.08% B:0.47%)
55.13% (G:14.91% B:0.53%)
2.XG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2(2)eq: -0.443 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		41.39% (G:9.53% B:0.38%)
58.61% (G:18.01% B:0.75%)
3.4-ply13/9(2) 8/4 6/2eq: -0.473 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		40.42% (G:8.96% B:0.34%)
59.58% (G:18.23% B:0.80%)
4.2-ply13/9 13/1eq: -0.965 (-0.675)
Player:
Opponent:		31.37% (G:7.50% B:0.26%)
68.63% (G:21.31% B:1.36%)
5.2-ply13/5 6/2(2)eq: -0.984 (-0.694)
Player:
Opponent:		32.22% (G:8.34% B:0.33%)
67.78% (G:23.77% B:2.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=128-139
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.25% (G:15.07% B:0.54%) 55.33% (G:15.13% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.75% (G:11.48% B:0.50%) 44.67% (G:11.73% B:0.51%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.138 +0.314
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.287
     Double/Take:+0.131 (-0.157)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.713)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.3%
 
 43: 11/4 
Pip=128-139
1.xgRollout113/9 8/5eq: +0.065
Player:
Opponent:		49.35% (G:14.37% B:0.49%)
50.65% (G:14.27% B:0.85%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.052...+0.078) - [100.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 26 seconds
2.playedRollout111/4eq: +0.002 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		48.55% (G:12.91% B:0.47%)
51.45% (G:14.55% B:0.68%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.011...+0.015) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 23 seconds
3.XG Roller++11/7 8/5eq: +0.050 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		49.36% (G:12.94% B:0.44%)
50.64% (G:14.00% B:0.63%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 13/9eq: +0.033 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		48.57% (G:12.69% B:0.43%)
51.43% (G:12.96% B:0.56%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 11/7eq: -0.001 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		48.68% (G:11.81% B:0.43%)
51.32% (G:17.41% B:0.74%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Ρισκάρει υπερβολικά. Η πόρτα 4 μπορούσε να γίνει με φυσικό τρόπο μετά από 13/9 8/5.
 
 31: 24/21* 6/5 
Pip=128-132
1.XG Roller++24/23 24/21* eq: +0.501
Player:
Opponent:		63.92% (G:18.18% B:0.79%)
36.08% (G:7.83% B:0.27%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/21* 6/5eq: +0.484 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		63.25% (G:18.85% B:0.84%)
36.75% (G:8.06% B:0.31%)
3.XG Roller++24/21* 8/7eq: +0.483 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		63.18% (G:18.90% B:0.84%)
36.82% (G:7.98% B:0.30%)
4.3-ply24/21* 7/6eq: -0.037 (-0.538)
Player:
Opponent:		50.73% (G:15.97% B:0.68%)
49.27% (G:12.80% B:0.64%)
5.2-ply24/23 8/5eq: -0.301 (-0.802)
Player:
Opponent:		44.26% (G:10.42% B:0.39%)
55.74% (G:15.30% B:0.55%)
 
 43: Bar/22 8/4*  
Pip=124-153
1.played3-plyBar/22 8/4* eq: -0.288
Player:
Opponent:		42.13% (G:10.32% B:0.37%)
57.87% (G:19.00% B:0.79%)
2.3-plyBar/22 6/2eq: -0.637 (-0.348)
Player:
Opponent:		33.14% (G:6.23% B:0.22%)
66.86% (G:20.11% B:0.81%)
3.3-plyBar/22 13/9eq: -0.681 (-0.393)
Player:
Opponent:		31.97% (G:5.82% B:0.22%)
68.03% (G:22.32% B:0.80%)
4.2-plyBar/22 5/1* eq: -1.000 (-0.712)
Player:
Opponent:		24.23% (G:3.90% B:0.07%)
75.77% (G:27.16% B:1.09%)
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=128-146
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.223
Player:
Opponent:		46.73% (G:11.13% B:0.53%)
53.27% (G:14.88% B:0.49%)
 
 No double 
Pip=128-146
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.95% (G:15.72% B:0.52%) 53.11% (G:15.80% B:0.53%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.05% (G:12.42% B:0.51%) 46.89% (G:12.87% B:0.53%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.089 +0.217
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.220
     Double/Take:+0.034 (-0.187)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.780)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.2%
 
 61: 22/16 4/3 
Pip=128-146
1.xgRollout122/15eq: +0.077
Player:
Opponent:		50.49% (G:14.13% B:0.54%)
49.51% (G:16.70% B:0.85%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.061...+0.093) - [100.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 44 seconds
2.playedRollout122/16 4/3eq: +0.021 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		47.86% (G:14.73% B:0.38%)
52.14% (G:14.16% B:0.72%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.009...+0.034) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 29 seconds
3.XG Roller++22/16 13/12eq: +0.069 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		50.88% (G:13.11% B:0.45%)
49.12% (G:17.71% B:1.03%)
4.XG Roller++22/16 6/5eq: +0.008 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		48.67% (G:12.63% B:0.41%)
51.33% (G:16.34% B:0.78%)
5.4-ply22/16 5/4eq: -0.107 (-0.184)
Player:
Opponent:		46.26% (G:11.56% B:0.38%)
53.74% (G:16.72% B:0.73%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το να αφήσει το slot έχει το πλεονέκτημα ότι δεν μπορώ να βιδάρω αποτελεσματικά: Αν χτυπήσω, έχει εύκολο πάσο (ή είναι too good). Αν δεν χτυπήσω, προφανώς δεν έχω βίδο και μπορεί να την κλείσει στην επόμενη. Το σίγουρο είναι ότι χρειάζεται την πόρτα 4 για να ανταγωνιστεί το πεντάπορτό μου.
 
 31: Bar/21 
Pip=128-139
1.played4-plyBar/21eq: +0.103
Player:
Opponent:		55.01% (G:13.23% B:0.60%)
44.99% (G:11.44% B:0.33%)
2.4-plyBar/24 8/5eq: -0.205 (-0.308)
Player:
Opponent:		47.02% (G:11.31% B:0.44%)
52.98% (G:14.05% B:0.50%)
3.3-plyBar/24 5/2eq: -0.210 (-0.313)
Player:
Opponent:		47.32% (G:11.23% B:0.46%)
52.68% (G:14.73% B:0.61%)
4.3-plyBar/24 7/4eq: -0.477 (-0.580)
Player:
Opponent:		39.89% (G:10.21% B:0.39%)
60.11% (G:16.50% B:0.82%)
5.3-plyBar/24 4/1eq: -0.494 (-0.597)
Player:
Opponent:		40.36% (G:10.37% B:0.39%)
59.64% (G:18.26% B:1.03%)

Ο διαχωρισμός εδώ είναι θεματικός. Ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει πολλούς builders, αλλά κυρίως εγώ πρέπει οπωσδήποτε να κινητοποιήσω τα πίσω πούλια μου για να μεγιστοποιήσω τις ζαριές με τις οποίες βγαίνω στο outfield, αλλιώς σύντομα μπορεί να καταρρεύσει το πεντάπορτό μου στην άλλη πλευρά.
 
 62: 22/16 6/4*  
Pip=124-139
1.xgRollout116/10 6/4* eq: -0.175
Player:
Opponent:		44.18% (G:12.99% B:0.43%)
55.82% (G:18.12% B:0.96%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.187...-0.162) - [100.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 05 seconds
2.playedRollout122/16 6/4* eq: -0.329 (-0.154)
Player:
Opponent:		42.04% (G:12.63% B:0.54%)
57.96% (G:31.34% B:1.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.343...-0.314) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 15 seconds
3.XG Roller++16/8eq: -0.262 (-0.088)
Player:
Opponent:		40.67% (G:9.08% B:0.24%)
59.33% (G:12.95% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.266 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		40.04% (G:10.25% B:0.25%)
59.96% (G:14.67% B:0.57%)
5.4-ply16/10 3/1* eq: -0.330 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:		39.45% (G:10.16% B:0.23%)
60.55% (G:16.95% B:0.68%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Ένα ανεξήγητο λάθος για τέτοιο παίκτη. Έπρεπε να ενισχύσει το χτύπημα με 16/10, ενώ η anchor του 22 τον προφυλάσσει από τα διπλά. Ενδιαφέρον έχει ότι το χτύπημα σε αυτή τη ζαριά είναι ασυνεπές με το προηγούμενο παίξιμό του που σήκωσε το slot στο 4.
 
 54: Bar/21* 8/3*  
Pip=128-131
1.played4-plyBar/21* 8/3* eq: +0.921
Player:
Opponent:		71.82% (G:47.32% B:1.61%)
28.18% (G:6.95% B:0.35%)
2.4-plyBar/21* 21/16eq: +0.703 (-0.218)
Player:
Opponent:		67.45% (G:32.38% B:1.41%)
32.55% (G:6.74% B:0.28%)
3.3-plyBar/21* 6/1eq: +0.471 (-0.450)
Player:
Opponent:		61.07% (G:29.09% B:1.04%)
38.93% (G:9.87% B:0.42%)
4.2-plyBar/21* 7/2eq: +0.147 (-0.774)
Player:
Opponent:		53.60% (G:27.55% B:0.90%)
46.40% (G:13.77% B:0.94%)
 
 42: Bar/23 
Pip=119-155
1.played3-plyBar/23eq: -1.190
Player:
Opponent:		22.28% (G:5.07% B:0.26%)
77.72% (G:59.29% B:1.62%)
 
 No double 
Pip=119-153
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 78.49% (G:57.08% B:1.34%) 78.04% (G:59.48% B:1.24%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 21.51% (G:4.54% B:0.24%) 21.96% (G:4.96% B:0.28%)
  Cubeless Equities +1.116 +2.199
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.194
     Double/Take:+1.906 (+0.712)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.194)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 21.5%
 
 41: 6/2* 3/2 
Pip=119-153
1.played4-ply6/2* 3/2eq: +1.178
Player:
Opponent:		77.52% (G:59.55% B:1.35%)
22.48% (G:4.54% B:0.22%)
2.4-ply8/3eq: +0.898 (-0.279)
Player:
Opponent:		70.82% (G:47.52% B:1.86%)
29.18% (G:6.45% B:0.30%)
3.4-ply7/6 7/3eq: +0.888 (-0.290)
Player:
Opponent:		70.18% (G:45.85% B:1.57%)
29.82% (G:6.08% B:0.28%)
4.3-ply7/3 5/4eq: +0.839 (-0.339)
Player:
Opponent:		69.16% (G:47.03% B:1.62%)
30.84% (G:7.41% B:0.35%)
5.3-ply24/23 7/3eq: +0.829 (-0.349)
Player:
Opponent:		69.08% (G:45.84% B:1.60%)
30.92% (G:7.22% B:0.29%)
 
 43: Bar/22 
Pip=114-155
1.played3-plyBar/22eq: -1.177
Player:
Opponent:		22.21% (G:4.88% B:0.25%)
77.79% (G:60.90% B:1.42%)
 
 No double 
Pip=114-152
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 78.38% (G:60.54% B:1.15%) 78.46% (G:60.91% B:1.14%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 21.62% (G:4.52% B:0.24%) 21.54% (G:4.65% B:0.26%)
  Cubeless Equities +1.147 +2.249
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+1.197
     Double/Take:+1.971 (+0.774)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.197)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 20.3%

Εδώ σκέφτηκα για μια στιγμή μήπως κάνω cash, επειδή αν δέσει δεν θα έχω καν βίδο, αλλά έχω τρεις builders και κάποια επιπλέον en passant χτυπήματα.
 
 42: 7/3* 5/3 
Pip=114-152
1.played3-ply7/3* 5/3eq: +1.464
Player:
Opponent:		84.91% (G:72.75% B:1.19%)
15.09% (G:2.70% B:0.11%)
2.3-ply8/4 5/3* eq: +1.084 (-0.380)
Player:
Opponent:		75.40% (G:59.66% B:1.15%)
24.60% (G:6.35% B:0.33%)
3.3-ply8/6 7/3* eq: +1.065 (-0.399)
Player:
Opponent:		74.98% (G:60.54% B:1.14%)
25.02% (G:6.95% B:0.49%)
4.3-ply7/3* 3/1eq: +0.959 (-0.505)
Player:
Opponent:		72.02% (G:55.06% B:0.91%)
27.98% (G:7.34% B:0.40%)
5.3-ply7/5 7/3* eq: +0.955 (-0.509)
Player:
Opponent:		71.83% (G:53.53% B:1.16%)
28.17% (G:6.70% B:0.32%)
 
 55: Cannot Move 
Pip=108-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.539
Player:
Opponent:		13.08% (G:1.92% B:0.10%)
86.92% (G:76.09% B:1.35%)
 
 52: 21/16 8/6 
Pip=108-155
1.playedXG Roller++21/16 8/6eq: +1.560
Player:
Opponent:		87.88% (G:77.03% B:1.13%)
12.12% (G:1.74% B:0.09%)
2.XG Roller++21/16 7/5eq: +1.509 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		86.48% (G:73.64% B:1.27%)
13.52% (G:1.79% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++21/14eq: +1.499 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		86.29% (G:73.48% B:1.23%)
13.71% (G:1.97% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 7/5eq: +1.477 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		85.53% (G:73.82% B:1.11%)
14.47% (G:2.21% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 8/3eq: +1.469 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		85.27% (G:74.24% B:0.99%)
14.73% (G:2.36% B:0.11%)
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=101-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.636
Player:
Opponent:		10.50% (G:1.17% B:0.07%)
89.50% (G:80.82% B:1.20%)
 
 61: 24/18 16/15 
Pip=101-155
1.xgRollout124/18 8/7eq: +1.664
Player:
Opponent:		91.54% (G:81.25% B:1.03%)
8.46% (G:1.00% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+1.655...+1.673) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 59 seconds
2.playedRollout124/18 16/15eq: +1.622 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		90.27% (G:80.76% B:1.14%)
9.73% (G:1.50% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+1.614...+1.629) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 49 seconds
3.XG Roller++24/18 6/5eq: +1.637 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		90.21% (G:79.81% B:1.17%)
9.79% (G:1.30% B:0.08%)
4.XG Roller++16/10 8/7eq: +1.606 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		89.03% (G:78.13% B:1.08%)
10.97% (G:1.15% B:0.05%)
5.XG Roller++24/18 7/6eq: +1.605 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		89.23% (G:78.24% B:1.24%)
10.77% (G:1.27% B:0.06%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το εξάπορτο διασφαλίζει την παρτίδα έναντι του joker 11, θυσιάζοντας μόνο το 43 (8/1*) που προσφέρει το πούλι στο 8. Επίσης, πιο σημαντικό, φέρνει ακόμα ένα πούλι στο 7 για να συνεχίσει την επίθεση στην περίπτωση που το πρώτο χτύπημα (7/1*) δεν πιάσει.
 
 62: Cannot Move 
Pip=94-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.703
Player:
Opponent:		8.53% (G:0.70% B:0.05%)
91.47% (G:83.47% B:1.24%)
 
 11: 15/14 8/5 
Pip=94-155
1.XG Roller++8/4eq: +1.692
Player:
Opponent:		91.53% (G:83.33% B:1.07%)
8.47% (G:1.10% B:0.06%)
2.playedXG Roller++15/14 8/5eq: +1.688 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		91.42% (G:82.81% B:1.07%)
8.58% (G:1.05% B:0.06%)
3.xgXG Roller++15/13 8/7 6/5eq: +1.684 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		91.44% (G:81.10% B:1.16%)
8.56% (G:0.87% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++7/5 2/1(2)eq: +1.682 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		91.26% (G:82.64% B:0.82%)
8.74% (G:1.00% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++15/14 8/7 6/4eq: +1.679 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		91.25% (G:81.28% B:1.11%)
8.75% (G:0.95% B:0.05%)
 
 43: Cannot Move 
Pip=90-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.755
Player:
Opponent:		7.18% (G:0.43% B:0.03%)
92.82% (G:86.02% B:1.12%)
 
 65: 7/1 6/1 
Pip=90-155
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 6/1eq: +1.895
Player:
Opponent:		96.85% (G:92.76% B:0.73%)
3.15% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++18/7eq: +1.763 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		93.37% (G:85.61% B:0.97%)
6.63% (G:0.41% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++18/13 14/8eq: +1.760 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:		93.34% (G:85.72% B:0.97%)
6.66% (G:0.46% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++14/3eq: +1.748 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		92.89% (G:86.06% B:0.92%)
7.11% (G:0.58% B:0.02%)
5.4-ply14/8 7/2eq: +1.690 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		91.13% (G:82.53% B:1.13%)
8.87% (G:0.54% B:0.03%)
 
 62: Cannot Move 
Pip=79-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.894
Player:
Opponent:		3.14% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
96.86% (G:92.70% B:0.73%)
 
 32: 18/13 
Pip=79-155
1.playedXG Roller++18/13eq: +1.897
Player:
Opponent:		97.06% (G:92.93% B:0.66%)
2.94% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++18/16 14/11eq: +1.897 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		97.06% (G:92.87% B:0.68%)
2.94% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++18/15 5/3eq: +1.890 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		96.87% (G:92.50% B:0.62%)
3.13% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++14/11 5/3eq: +1.888 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		96.84% (G:92.42% B:0.63%)
3.16% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++18/16 5/2eq: +1.844 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		95.59% (G:90.36% B:0.57%)
4.41% (G:0.15% B:0.01%)
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=74-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.899
Player:
Opponent:		3.05% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
96.95% (G:92.95% B:0.81%)
 
 62: 14/8 13/11 
Pip=74-155
1.playedXG Roller++14/8 13/11eq: +1.932
Player:
Opponent:		97.99% (G:94.52% B:0.66%)
2.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++14/6eq: +1.912 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		97.35% (G:93.68% B:0.67%)
2.65% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/5eq: +1.904 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		97.26% (G:93.19% B:0.66%)
2.74% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 5/3eq: +1.896 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		96.93% (G:92.95% B:0.62%)
3.07% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++14/8 5/3eq: +1.894 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		96.94% (G:92.85% B:0.62%)
3.06% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
 
 31: Cannot Move 
Pip=66-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.915
Player:
Opponent:		2.67% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
97.33% (G:93.90% B:0.79%)
 
 11: 8/4 
Pip=66-155
1.xgXG Roller++11/10 8/5eq: +1.932
Player:
Opponent:		97.92% (G:94.65% B:0.77%)
2.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/10 8/6 5/4eq: +1.932 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		97.92% (G:94.66% B:0.72%)
2.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++8/4eq: +1.931 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		97.93% (G:94.67% B:0.73%)
2.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/10 8/7 5/3eq: +1.920 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		97.64% (G:94.22% B:0.68%)
2.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/10 5/2eq: +1.917 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		97.49% (G:94.15% B:0.65%)
2.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 63: Cannot Move 
Pip=62-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.912
Player:
Opponent:		2.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.36% (G:93.50% B:0.75%)
 
 31: 11/7 
Pip=62-155
1.xgXG Roller++11/8 4/3eq: +1.937
Player:
Opponent:		98.10% (G:95.06% B:0.68%)
1.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++11/7eq: +1.932 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		97.97% (G:94.78% B:0.67%)
2.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++5/2 4/3eq: +1.912 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		97.41% (G:93.94% B:0.62%)
2.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++5/1eq: +1.904 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		97.22% (G:93.58% B:0.59%)
2.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/8 5/4eq: +1.899 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		97.05% (G:93.21% B:0.71%)
2.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: Cannot Move 
Pip=58-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.927
Player:
Opponent:		2.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.86% (G:94.31% B:0.62%)
 
 41: 7/6 4/Off 
Pip=58-155
1.xgXG Roller++7/3 5/4eq: +1.955
Player:
Opponent:		98.67% (G:95.76% B:0.67%)
1.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++7/6 4/Offeq: +1.931 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		97.60% (G:95.09% B:1.01%)
2.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/2eq: +1.907 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		97.06% (G:94.03% B:0.72%)
2.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/5 6/2eq: +1.901 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		97.88% (G:92.35% B:0.38%)
2.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/3 4/3eq: +1.888 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		96.57% (G:93.17% B:0.73%)
3.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Τα έξι αντίπαλα πούλια κάνουν απόλυτα σίγουρο το διπλό, άρα πρέπει να προσπαθώ να καθαρίσω όσο πιο γρήγορα μπορώ τις μεγάλες πόρτες μου.
 
 33: Cannot Move 
Pip=53-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.931
Player:
Opponent:		2.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.67% (G:94.70% B:0.92%)
 
 52: 6/1 5/3 
Pip=53-155
1.playedXG Roller++6/1 5/3eq: +1.918
Player:
Opponent:		97.32% (G:94.80% B:0.73%)
2.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/4 5/Offeq: +1.914 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		97.05% (G:94.36% B:1.14%)
2.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply6/4 6/1eq: +1.598 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		87.98% (G:78.73% B:0.59%)
12.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply5/3 5/Offeq: +1.598 (-0.320)
Player:
Opponent:		87.78% (G:79.04% B:0.78%)
12.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3-ply5/Off 4/2eq: +1.480 (-0.438)
Player:
Opponent:		83.38% (G:73.39% B:0.64%)
16.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: Cannot Move 
Pip=46-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.937
Player:
Opponent:		2.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.82% (G:95.25% B:0.77%)
 
 53: 6/3 6/1 
Pip=46-155
1.playedXG Roller++6/3 6/1eq: +1.965
Player:
Opponent:		98.88% (G:96.78% B:0.40%)
1.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/2 5/Offeq: +1.873 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		96.01% (G:92.96% B:0.65%)
3.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply6/1 3/Offeq: +1.391 (-0.575)
Player:
Opponent:		80.42% (G:70.40% B:0.76%)
19.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply5/Off 3/Offeq: +1.376 (-0.590)
Player:
Opponent:		80.03% (G:69.96% B:1.10%)
19.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply6/3 5/Offeq: +0.941 (-1.025)
Player:
Opponent:		68.87% (G:57.54% B:0.63%)
31.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: Cannot Move 
Pip=38-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.975
Player:
Opponent:		1.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.88% (G:97.14% B:0.71%)
 
 63: 5/2 5/Off 
Pip=38-155
1.played3-ply5/2 5/Offeq: +1.992
Player:
Opponent:		99.48% (G:98.10% B:0.40%)
0.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply5/Off 3/Offeq: +1.428 (-0.564)
Player:
Opponent:		82.76% (G:75.23% B:0.84%)
17.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply5/Off 4/1eq: +0.702 (-1.289)
Player:
Opponent:		62.64% (G:52.62% B:0.29%)
37.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: Cannot Move 
Pip=30-155
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.991
Player:
Opponent:		0.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.24% (G:98.00% B:0.89%)
 
 33: 4/1(2) 3/Off(2) 
Pip=30-155
1.playedXG Roller++4/1(2) 3/Off(2)eq: +1.943
Player:
Opponent:		97.97% (G:95.87% B:0.45%)
2.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++3/Off(4)eq: +1.896 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		96.22% (G:91.98% B:2.28%)
3.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply4/1 3/Off(3)eq: +0.691 (-1.252)
Player:
Opponent:		62.53% (G:51.92% B:0.94%)
37.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: Bar/20 
Pip=18-155
1.played3-plyBar/20eq: -1.935
Player:
Opponent:		2.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.78% (G:95.83% B:0.21%)
 
 61: 3/2 3/Off 
Pip=18-150
1.played3-ply3/2 3/Offeq: +2.015
Player:
Opponent:		99.98% (G:99.90% B:0.08%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: +1.436 (-0.579)
Player:
Opponent:		83.83% (G:75.81% B:0.27%)
16.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply3/Off 2/1eq: +1.332 (-0.683)
Player:
Opponent:		80.89% (G:73.78% B:0.14%)
19.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: Bar/17 
Pip=14-150
1.XG Roller++Bar/20 13/10eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/17eq: -2.016 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20 8/5eq: -2.016 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 20/15eq: -2.016 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 16/11eq: -2.016 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.98% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=14-142
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +2.015
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.97% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 22: 13/11(2) 8/6(2) 
Pip=10-142
1.playedXG Roller++13/11(2) 8/6(2)eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:99.99% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++20/16 8/6(2)eq: -2.016 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/16 17/15 8/6eq: -2.016 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.xgXG Roller++20/14 17/15eq: -2.016 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++20/16 17/15 5/3eq: -2.016 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 63: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=10-134
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +2.015
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.95% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 20/17 16/12 
Pip=6-134
1.XG Roller++16/12 11/8eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++16/12 6/3eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/4eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 11/8eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++17/14 16/12eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++20/17 16/12eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 1/Off(2) 
Pip=6-127
1.played3-ply1/Off(2)eq: +2.015
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:99.97% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 16/12 11/6 
Pip=4-127
1.XG Roller++17/12 11/7eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++16/11 5/1eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++16/11 12/8eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++12/7 11/7eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++17/13 16/11eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++16/12 11/6eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 1/Off(2) 
Pip=4-118
1.played3-ply1/Off(2)eq: +2.016
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 6/2 6/1 
Pip=2-118
1.XG Roller++17/12 11/7eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++12/8 12/7eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++17/13 17/12eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++12/7 6/2eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/7 6/1eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++6/2 6/1eq: -2.016
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
 
 55: 1/Off(2) 
Pip=2-109
1.played3-ply1/Off(2)eq: +2.016
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Gammon 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
World Champ. (-0.0036) Total Error Advanced (-0.0171)
World Champ. (-0.0039) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0228)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
1.80 Performance Rating 8.53
2 Move Errors 3(1)
-0.094(-0.41%) Equity lost (cost) -0.273(-1.20%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
2 Total Error 3(1)
-0.094(-0.41%) Equity lost (cost) -0.273(-1.20%)
     
2 Jokers 2
+1.916(+8.43%) Luck -1.916(-8.43%)

 Game 4

13 point match, Score is mman: 6, marcvd: 0

 
 63: 24/18 13/10 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/10eq: -0.134
Player:
Opponent:		50.29% (G:12.54% B:0.56%)
49.71% (G:13.31% B:0.54%)
2.Book124/15eq: -0.137 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		50.42% (G:11.72% B:0.51%)
49.58% (G:13.23% B:0.47%)
3.Book124/21 13/7eq: -0.195 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:12.98% B:0.59%)
51.53% (G:13.74% B:0.60%)
4.Book113/4eq: -0.203 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:13.87% B:0.67%)
51.53% (G:14.24% B:0.73%)
5.Book124/21 24/18eq: -0.224 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		48.74% (G:11.55% B:0.55%)
51.26% (G:15.22% B:0.50%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 No double 
Pip=158-167
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 49.68% (G:13.32% B:0.54%) 49.62% (G:13.24% B:0.54%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 50.32% (G:12.57% B:0.56%) 50.38% (G:12.59% B:0.57%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.004 +0.054
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.132
     Double/Take:-0.052 (-0.185)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.868)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.9%
 
 32: 24/21 13/11 
Pip=158-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/21 13/11eq: -0.135
Player:
Opponent:		43.50% (G:10.25% B:0.38%)
56.50% (G:15.33% B:0.73%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 6/4eq: -0.140 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		43.63% (G:10.07% B:0.37%)
56.37% (G:15.92% B:0.80%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/10eq: -0.141 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		43.26% (G:9.95% B:0.34%)
56.74% (G:14.78% B:0.64%)
4.XG Roller++6/1* eq: -0.149 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		42.64% (G:10.98% B:0.31%)
57.36% (G:15.12% B:0.85%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 6/4eq: -0.149 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		43.24% (G:10.20% B:0.34%)
56.76% (G:15.88% B:1.04%)
 
 66: 24/18 13/7(2) 10/4*  
Pip=158-162
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/7(2) 10/4* eq: +0.331
Player:
Opponent:		60.85% (G:16.81% B:0.70%)
39.15% (G:7.89% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.182 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		57.23% (G:14.10% B:0.50%)
42.77% (G:8.14% B:0.30%)
3.4-ply24/18 13/1* 10/4* eq: +0.158 (-0.173)
Player:
Opponent:		56.36% (G:17.24% B:0.59%)
43.64% (G:9.70% B:0.35%)
4.4-ply24/18 10/4* 8/2(2)eq: +0.143 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:		56.04% (G:17.99% B:0.71%)
43.96% (G:10.25% B:0.36%)
5.4-ply13/1*(2) eq: +0.098 (-0.233)
Player:
Opponent:		54.39% (G:19.43% B:0.56%)
45.61% (G:10.64% B:0.49%)
 
 62: Bar/23 11/5 
Pip=134-166
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23 11/5eq: -0.655
Player:
Opponent:		31.48% (G:6.14% B:0.20%)
68.52% (G:22.74% B:0.86%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/2eq: -0.805 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		28.81% (G:5.77% B:0.20%)
71.19% (G:26.98% B:1.32%)
 
 No double 
Pip=134-158
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.37% (G:23.03% B:0.87%) 68.35% (G:23.64% B:0.88%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.63% (G:6.32% B:0.21%) 31.65% (G:6.29% B:0.20%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.544 +1.024
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.651
     Double/Take:+0.571 (-0.080)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.349)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.8%
 
 52: 18/13 6/4 
Pip=134-158
1.playedXG Roller++18/13 6/4eq: +0.739
Player:
Opponent:		70.68% (G:20.12% B:1.06%)
29.32% (G:5.62% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: +0.699 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		69.32% (G:22.50% B:0.79%)
30.68% (G:5.74% B:0.19%)
3.XG Roller++6/4 6/1* eq: +0.613 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		67.59% (G:21.32% B:0.74%)
32.41% (G:6.48% B:0.23%)
4.4-ply8/3 6/4eq: +0.551 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:		65.87% (G:22.52% B:0.90%)
34.13% (G:7.32% B:0.24%)
5.3-ply7/2* 6/4eq: +0.343 (-0.396)
Player:
Opponent:		60.82% (G:20.90% B:0.86%)
39.18% (G:8.86% B:0.32%)

Δεν υπάρχει καλό 5, είμαι πολύ μπροστά στην κούρσα, ο αντίπαλος έχει αδύναμο στρατόπεδο με blot, οπότε φεύγω. Αν δεν χτυπηθώ μάλλον θα έχω βίδο.
 
 21: 8/7* 7/5 
Pip=127-158
1.played4-ply8/7* 7/5eq: -0.522
Player:
Opponent:		33.26% (G:7.35% B:0.17%)
66.74% (G:17.78% B:0.77%)
2.4-ply13/11 8/7* eq: -0.839 (-0.317)
Player:
Opponent:		29.15% (G:5.48% B:0.16%)
70.85% (G:29.14% B:2.75%)
3.3-ply24/22 23/22eq: -0.849 (-0.328)
Player:
Opponent:		24.45% (G:2.35% B:0.07%)
75.55% (G:7.04% B:0.18%)
4.3-ply24/22 8/7* eq: -0.851 (-0.329)
Player:
Opponent:		28.85% (G:5.14% B:0.17%)
71.15% (G:28.73% B:1.83%)
5.3-ply24/23 6/4eq: -0.903 (-0.381)
Player:
Opponent:		23.35% (G:2.81% B:0.10%)
76.65% (G:9.65% B:0.34%)
 
 64: Bar/15 
Pip=134-155
1.played4-plyBar/15eq: +0.753
Player:
Opponent:		72.32% (G:14.92% B:0.53%)
27.68% (G:5.13% B:0.14%)
2.4-plyBar/21 13/7eq: +0.538 (-0.216)
Player:
Opponent:		66.40% (G:18.45% B:0.93%)
33.60% (G:7.39% B:0.21%)
3.3-plyBar/21 8/2* eq: +0.318 (-0.435)
Player:
Opponent:		60.99% (G:20.13% B:0.91%)
39.01% (G:10.03% B:0.35%)
4.2-plyBar/21 7/1* eq: +0.006 (-0.747)
Player:
Opponent:		53.02% (G:18.59% B:0.63%)
46.98% (G:13.25% B:0.70%)
 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=124-155
1.xgXG Roller++13/8 6/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		21.44% (G:2.40% B:0.08%)
78.56% (G:16.14% B:0.40%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/22 13/8eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		20.95% (G:2.15% B:0.06%)
79.05% (G:17.28% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++8/3 6/4eq: -1.001 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		21.13% (G:2.54% B:0.09%)
78.87% (G:17.22% B:0.63%)
4.XG Roller++13/6eq: -1.005 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		20.13% (G:2.21% B:0.07%)
79.87% (G:17.30% B:0.45%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 13/8eq: -1.007 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		20.66% (G:2.32% B:0.07%)
79.34% (G:18.03% B:0.60%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=124-148
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 79.41% (G:16.83% B:0.36%) 79.61% (G:18.01% B:0.48%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20.59% (G:2.07% B:0.07%) 20.39% (G:2.29% B:0.07%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.740 +1.462
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+1.026±0.008 (+1.018..+1.034)
     Double/Take:+1.252 (+0.227)±0.012 (+1.240..+1.265)
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.026)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 10.2%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 15 minutes 36 seconds

Σκέφτηκα το too good, αλλά με φόβησε το ότι δεν έχω εξασφαλίσει ακόμα το πούλι μου.
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
World Champ. (-0.0043) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
Expert (-0.0128) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
2.14 Performance Rating 0.00
0 Move Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Double Errors 0
-0.026(-0.10%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Total Error 0
-0.026(-0.10%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Jokers 0
+1.030(+4.15%) Luck -1.030(-4.15%)

 Game 5

13 point match, Score is mman: 7, marcvd: 0

 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/13eq: +0.223
Player:
Opponent:		52.69% (G:11.88% B:0.46%)
47.31% (G:11.61% B:0.36%)
2.Book124/18 13/8eq: +0.173 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		51.13% (G:12.45% B:0.53%)
48.87% (G:12.65% B:0.46%)
3.Book113/8 13/7eq: +0.102 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		48.32% (G:13.61% B:0.66%)
51.68% (G:13.79% B:0.69%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: +0.014 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:13.04% B:0.65%)
53.51% (G:15.48% B:0.81%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.034 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		46.29% (G:11.43% B:0.53%)
53.71% (G:16.65% B:0.75%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 63: 24/18 13/10 
Pip=167-156
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/10eq: -0.335
Player:
Opponent:		45.07% (G:10.08% B:0.35%)
54.93% (G:13.67% B:0.52%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/7eq: -0.351 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		44.21% (G:10.80% B:0.33%)
55.79% (G:13.25% B:0.54%)
3.XG Roller++24/15eq: -0.375 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		44.22% (G:9.02% B:0.28%)
55.78% (G:13.91% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++13/4eq: -0.399 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		43.05% (G:10.89% B:0.31%)
56.95% (G:13.47% B:0.69%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: -0.403 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		43.48% (G:11.48% B:0.34%)
56.52% (G:14.37% B:0.84%)
 
 No double 
Pip=158-156
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 54.80% (G:13.71% B:0.53%) 54.94% (G:13.60% B:0.52%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 45.20% (G:10.21% B:0.36%) 45.06% (G:10.11% B:0.35%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.119 +0.293
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.336
     Double/Take:+0.221 (-0.115)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.664)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.8%
 
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=158-156
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +0.240
Player:
Opponent:		53.06% (G:11.38% B:0.32%)
46.94% (G:8.94% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 8/7* eq: +0.186 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		51.17% (G:13.10% B:0.54%)
48.83% (G:12.79% B:0.59%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 8/7* eq: +0.140 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		50.28% (G:11.76% B:0.51%)
49.72% (G:12.36% B:0.46%)
4.4-ply8/7* 7/4eq: +0.064 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		48.37% (G:12.19% B:0.53%)
51.63% (G:14.32% B:0.60%)
5.4-ply24/20eq: -0.025 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		47.26% (G:8.43% B:0.32%)
52.74% (G:12.61% B:0.37%)
 
 64: 24/18 13/9 
Pip=158-152
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/9eq: -0.093
Player:
Opponent:		49.45% (G:8.71% B:0.16%)
50.55% (G:7.46% B:0.24%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 10/6eq: -0.115 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		49.70% (G:8.66% B:0.18%)
50.30% (G:9.36% B:0.28%)
3.4-ply24/18 6/2eq: -0.259 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		45.80% (G:7.98% B:0.18%)
54.20% (G:10.51% B:0.35%)
4.4-ply24/18 8/4eq: -0.271 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		45.83% (G:8.19% B:0.18%)
54.17% (G:10.95% B:0.36%)
5.4-ply10/4 8/4eq: -0.387 (-0.294)
Player:
Opponent:		43.90% (G:11.11% B:0.40%)
56.10% (G:15.45% B:0.58%)
 
 54: 24/15*  
Pip=148-152
1.played3-ply24/15* eq: +0.443
Player:
Opponent:		60.08% (G:10.38% B:0.36%)
39.92% (G:6.97% B:0.15%)
2.3-ply13/9 13/8eq: -0.044 (-0.487)
Player:
Opponent:		46.61% (G:7.39% B:0.22%)
53.39% (G:10.02% B:0.21%)
3.3-ply13/4eq: -0.072 (-0.515)
Player:
Opponent:		45.79% (G:7.40% B:0.22%)
54.21% (G:10.51% B:0.23%)
4.3-ply24/20 13/8eq: -0.094 (-0.537)
Player:
Opponent:		46.25% (G:5.08% B:0.16%)
53.75% (G:9.78% B:0.15%)
5.3-ply13/8 6/2eq: -0.123 (-0.566)
Player:
Opponent:		44.69% (G:6.84% B:0.20%)
55.31% (G:11.48% B:0.25%)
 
 44: Bar/21 18/10* 13/9 
Pip=163-143
1.xgRollout1Bar/21 13/5 9/5eq: -0.295
Player:
Opponent:		42.50% (G:4.94% B:0.18%)
57.50% (G:4.91% B:0.15%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.305...-0.285) - [100.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 14 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/21 18/10* 13/9eq: -0.341 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		44.58% (G:10.66% B:0.59%)
55.42% (G:15.26% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.354...-0.329) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 52 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 9/5 8/4(2)eq: -0.327 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		41.61% (G:5.47% B:0.13%)
58.39% (G:5.55% B:0.16%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/9 8/4(2)eq: -0.331 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		41.88% (G:5.75% B:0.14%)
58.12% (G:6.30% B:0.22%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/9 6/2(2)eq: -0.333 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		41.85% (G:5.04% B:0.09%)
58.15% (G:5.89% B:0.18%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Χαρακτηριστικό παράδειγμα του πόσο ισχυρή είναι η πόρτα 5 (εδώ σε συνδυασμό με την αντίπαλη bar). Πάντως εντυπωσιάζομαι που το χτύπημα υστερεί, καθώς θεωρούσα ότι σε τόσο κοντινή κούρσα (μετά τα 44) θα ήταν ξεκάθαρο. Προφανώς έχει το μειονέκτημα ότι αφήνει δύο πίσω blots ενώ ο αντίπαλος έχει φτιάξει τη δική του 5.
 
 No double 
Pip=147-153
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.21% (G:15.08% B:0.68%) 55.29% (G:15.33% B:0.74%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.79% (G:10.20% B:0.39%) 44.71% (G:10.31% B:0.42%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.142 +0.352
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.356
     Double/Take:+0.280 (-0.076)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.644)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.5%
 
 31: Bar/22 6/5 
Pip=147-153
1.xgRollout1Bar/22 8/7* eq: +0.130
Player:
Opponent:		50.02% (G:14.11% B:0.69%)
49.98% (G:13.78% B:0.91%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.114...+0.146) - [100.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 04 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/22 6/5eq: +0.019 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		47.80% (G:10.94% B:0.41%)
52.20% (G:10.38% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.006...+0.032) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 14 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: -0.004 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		46.30% (G:10.65% B:0.27%)
53.70% (G:10.25% B:0.36%)
4.4-plyBar/21eq: -0.010 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		47.03% (G:9.33% B:0.31%)
52.97% (G:11.81% B:0.37%)
5.4-plyBar/24 13/10eq: -0.027 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		45.18% (G:11.59% B:0.36%)
54.82% (G:12.01% B:0.52%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Συνήθως το χτύπημα από τη γυμνή πόρτα 8 είναι λάθος, αλλά εδώ ο Marc είναι υποχρεωμένος να έρθει under the gun στο 22 (το bar/24 6/3 αφήνει όλη τη πρωτοβουλία σ' εμένα) κι έτσι είναι σημαντικό να μου στερήσει τη μισή ζαριά μέχρι να μπορέσει να ξεφορτώσει αποτελεσματικά τη midpoint του.
 
 43: 21/18 10/6 
Pip=147-149
1.playedXG Roller++21/18 10/6eq: +0.128
Player:
Opponent:		55.39% (G:10.49% B:0.18%)
44.61% (G:6.60% B:0.23%)
2.XG Roller++21/18 6/2eq: +0.072 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		53.67% (G:10.82% B:0.18%)
46.33% (G:6.87% B:0.27%)
3.4-ply21/18 13/9eq: -0.093 (-0.220)
Player:
Opponent:		49.41% (G:8.32% B:0.19%)
50.59% (G:7.46% B:0.27%)
4.4-ply21/18 8/4eq: -0.131 (-0.259)
Player:
Opponent:		49.21% (G:10.15% B:0.22%)
50.79% (G:9.78% B:0.35%)
5.3-ply18/11eq: -0.360 (-0.488)
Player:
Opponent:		44.45% (G:9.75% B:0.35%)
55.55% (G:14.52% B:0.47%)
 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=140-149
1.xgRollout113/11 13/9eq: -0.227
Player:
Opponent:		42.38% (G:8.81% B:0.32%)
57.62% (G:13.87% B:0.50%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.240...-0.213) - [99.7%]
Duration: 25 minutes 42 seconds
2.playedRollout18/4 6/4eq: -0.253 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		41.63% (G:8.15% B:0.27%)
58.37% (G:13.19% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.266...-0.240) - [0.3%]
Duration: 24 minutes 58 seconds
3.XG Roller++13/9 6/4eq: -0.213 (+0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		42.07% (G:7.41% B:0.23%)
57.93% (G:13.01% B:0.34%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 5/3eq: -0.228 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		41.73% (G:7.32% B:0.23%)
58.27% (G:13.27% B:0.33%)
5.XG Roller++22/20 13/9eq: -0.259 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		41.47% (G:5.37% B:0.18%)
58.53% (G:11.45% B:0.22%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Χαρακτηριστικό του πόσο επείγον είναι να ξεφορτωθεί η midpoint.
 
 51: 18/13 18/17*  
Pip=140-143
1.played4-ply18/13 18/17* eq: +0.223
Player:
Opponent:		60.14% (G:10.13% B:0.31%)
39.86% (G:8.89% B:0.28%)
2.4-ply8/2eq: -0.066 (-0.289)
Player:
Opponent:		50.71% (G:9.75% B:0.17%)
49.29% (G:9.04% B:0.35%)
3.3-ply18/17* 8/3* eq: -0.107 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		51.44% (G:13.70% B:0.39%)
48.56% (G:15.28% B:0.67%)
4.3-ply6/5 6/1eq: -0.169 (-0.392)
Player:
Opponent:		48.61% (G:11.12% B:0.27%)
51.39% (G:11.24% B:0.30%)
5.3-ply8/3* 3/2eq: -0.190 (-0.413)
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:10.01% B:0.25%)
51.53% (G:11.47% B:0.33%)
 
 51: Bar/24 13/8*  
Pip=134-160
1.played3-plyBar/24 13/8* eq: +0.302
Player:
Opponent:		52.73% (G:16.69% B:0.44%)
47.27% (G:11.00% B:0.50%)
2.2-plyBar/20 5/4eq: -0.465 (-0.767)
Player:
Opponent:		33.98% (G:6.12% B:0.20%)
66.02% (G:12.79% B:0.31%)
3.2-plyBar/20 22/21eq: -0.515 (-0.818)
Player:
Opponent:		32.36% (G:5.10% B:0.19%)
67.64% (G:10.96% B:0.25%)
4.2-plyBar/20 4/3eq: -0.581 (-0.884)
Player:
Opponent:		31.48% (G:5.68% B:0.21%)
68.52% (G:17.02% B:0.56%)
5.2-plyBar/20 6/5eq: -0.661 (-0.963)
Player:
Opponent:		29.46% (G:4.97% B:0.18%)
70.54% (G:17.76% B:0.49%)
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=142-154
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.613
Player:
Opponent:		40.84% (G:8.60% B:0.37%)
59.16% (G:21.21% B:0.34%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=142-154
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.80% (G:23.04% B:0.57%) 60.08% (G:24.01% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.20% (G:9.70% B:0.56%) 39.92% (G:10.08% B:0.56%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.316 +0.754
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.641 (-0.007)±0.013 (+0.628..+0.654)
played Double/Take:+0.648±0.017 (+0.631..+0.665)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.352)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 72.8%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 24 minutes 29 seconds

Τυπική περίπτωση του πώς το σκορ επηρεάζει τον βίδο. Στο 0-0 ο βίδος θα ήταν μεγάλο λάθος. Στο 0-7/13 ο βίδος είναι οριακός παρά τα εμφανή προβλήματα στη θεση του (δύο πίσω πούλια, σπασμένη πόρτα 8, φορτωμένη midpoint). Είναι ίδιον των καλών παικτών να αντιλαμβάνονται αυτές τις ευκαιρίες και ο Marc δεν την αφήνει να πάει χαμένη.
Φυσικά το take είναι πολύ εύκολο. Ο Marc έχει πολλή δουλειά να κάνει και, παρά το σκορ, δεν μπορώ να πετάξω πόντους τόσο εύκολα.
 
 66: 24/18 13/7(3) 
Pip=142-154
1.xgXG Roller++13/1(2)eq: +0.536
Player:
Opponent:		63.41% (G:30.61% B:0.19%)
36.59% (G:6.61% B:0.35%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.518 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		65.57% (G:24.66% B:0.54%)
34.43% (G:6.83% B:0.31%)
3.XG Roller++13/7(4)eq: +0.417 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		60.66% (G:25.57% B:0.59%)
39.34% (G:7.91% B:0.41%)
4.XG Roller++13/7(3) 8/2eq: +0.416 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		60.98% (G:25.06% B:0.47%)
39.02% (G:8.25% B:0.44%)
5.4-ply24/18 13/7(2) 8/2eq: +0.353 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		60.32% (G:21.07% B:0.40%)
39.68% (G:8.73% B:0.39%)
 
 63: Bar/16 
Pip=142-130
1.played4-plyBar/16eq: -0.298
Player:
Opponent:		40.59% (G:5.03% B:0.18%)
59.41% (G:17.15% B:0.33%)
2.4-plyBar/22 13/7* eq: -0.475 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		37.25% (G:8.17% B:0.37%)
62.75% (G:26.29% B:0.82%)
3.3-plyBar/22 8/2eq: -0.662 (-0.364)
Player:
Opponent:		30.31% (G:7.26% B:0.39%)
69.69% (G:29.06% B:0.75%)
4.3-plyBar/22 9/3* eq: -0.773 (-0.476)
Player:
Opponent:		28.38% (G:6.35% B:0.29%)
71.62% (G:33.44% B:1.82%)

Το χτύπημα θα ήταν ενάντια σε όλες τις συνθήκες: ο αντίπαλος έχει καλύτερο στρατόπεδο, περισσότερα πούλια πίσω, θα δεχόμουν εύκολα επίθεση στο 22 με κάθε 2, 4 και 5 και, το κυριότερο, λόγω του σκορ, θέλω να ελαχιστοποιήσω την πιθανότητα διπλού .
 
 62: 8/2 5/3 
Pip=133-130
1.xgRollout122/20 8/2eq: -0.057
Player:
Opponent:		48.88% (G:9.59% B:0.24%)
51.12% (G:7.21% B:0.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.064...-0.051) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 57 seconds
2.playedRollout18/2 5/3eq: -0.090 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		47.26% (G:9.93% B:0.22%)
52.74% (G:8.03% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.097...-0.082) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 20 seconds
3.XG Roller++8/2 7/5eq: -0.066 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		47.37% (G:9.63% B:0.21%)
52.63% (G:7.09% B:0.32%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 7/1eq: -0.067 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		47.31% (G:9.75% B:0.17%)
52.69% (G:7.31% B:0.30%)
5.XG Roller++22/20 7/1eq: -0.074 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		47.16% (G:9.62% B:0.22%)
52.84% (G:8.10% B:0.36%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το 22/20 φαίνεται να προκαλεί υπερβολικά την τύχη του καθώς έρχεται στην πόρτα που θέλω να κάνω περισσότερο, αλλά στην πραγματικότητα ντουμπλάρει τους άσσους μου, ενώ ανεβαίνει για να τρέξει σε μια ίση κούρσα. Εξάλλου και στο 22 το πούλι ήταν under the gun τριών builders.
 
 32: 16/13 8/6 
Pip=133-122
1.playedXG Roller++16/13 8/6eq: -0.141
Player:
Opponent:		43.35% (G:3.97% B:0.11%)
56.65% (G:9.09% B:0.10%)
2.XG Roller++9/7* 6/3* eq: -0.172 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		48.06% (G:13.09% B:0.68%)
51.94% (G:21.99% B:1.51%)
3.XG Roller++16/13 6/4eq: -0.193 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		43.20% (G:5.00% B:0.22%)
56.80% (G:13.45% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++16/11eq: -0.221 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		43.13% (G:5.79% B:0.25%)
56.87% (G:15.89% B:0.24%)
5.XG Roller++16/13 9/7* eq: -0.277 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		43.28% (G:8.18% B:0.40%)
56.72% (G:21.41% B:0.51%)
 
 52: 18/13 7/5 
Pip=128-122
1.playedXG Roller++18/13 7/5eq: +0.113
Player:
Opponent:		56.04% (G:7.41% B:0.10%)
43.96% (G:2.65% B:0.06%)
2.xgXG Roller++18/11eq: +0.109 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		55.79% (G:7.50% B:0.11%)
44.21% (G:2.85% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++7/5 7/2eq: +0.090 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		53.30% (G:11.37% B:0.14%)
46.70% (G:5.41% B:0.17%)
4.XG Roller++7/2 5/3eq: +0.076 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		52.83% (G:11.03% B:0.15%)
47.17% (G:5.50% B:0.15%)
5.XG Roller++18/13 5/3eq: +0.074 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		54.64% (G:6.88% B:0.11%)
45.36% (G:3.31% B:0.08%)
 
 55: 13/8(4) 
Pip=128-115
1.XG Roller++9/4(2) 8/3*(2) eq: +0.269
Player:
Opponent:		59.27% (G:5.20% B:0.07%)
40.73% (G:4.76% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++8/3*(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.265 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		58.92% (G:6.20% B:0.06%)
41.08% (G:4.64% B:0.07%)
3.xgXG Roller++13/3*(2) eq: +0.263 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		59.04% (G:3.79% B:0.06%)
40.96% (G:4.28% B:0.07%)
4.XG Roller++13/8(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.251 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		58.36% (G:3.24% B:0.04%)
41.64% (G:3.91% B:0.04%)
5.playedXG Roller++13/8(4)eq: +0.215 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		56.45% (G:1.51% B:0.02%)
43.55% (G:2.76% B:0.03%)

Δοκίμασα τα πάντα εκτός από το καλύτερο. Δύο πόρτες μέσα είναι δύσκολο να μην είναι σωστό, ειδικά αν δεν κάνει κανείς τον άσσο.
 
 61: 13/6 
Pip=108-115
1.Rollout122/15eq: -0.274
Player:
Opponent:		42.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
57.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.276...-0.271) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 49 seconds
2.playedRollout113/6eq: -0.286 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		40.88% (G:3.05% B:0.03%)
59.12% (G:1.48% B:0.02%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.291...-0.280) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 13 seconds
3.xgXG Roller++13/12 13/7eq: -0.275 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		40.77% (G:2.91% B:0.03%)
59.23% (G:1.71% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 3/2eq: -0.283 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		40.56% (G:2.58% B:0.03%)
59.44% (G:1.59% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 5/4eq: -0.290 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		40.31% (G:2.72% B:0.03%)
59.69% (G:1.94% B:0.04%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
 21: 6/3*  
Pip=108-108
1.xgXG Roller++8/5eq: -0.275
Player:
Opponent:		38.93% (G:1.49% B:0.05%)
61.07% (G:11.36% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++9/7 8/7eq: -0.300 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		37.85% (G:1.65% B:0.06%)
62.15% (G:11.57% B:0.11%)
3.playedXG Roller++6/3* eq: -0.307 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		39.38% (G:2.12% B:0.08%)
60.62% (G:15.06% B:0.17%)
4.XG Roller++8/7 8/6eq: -0.319 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		37.20% (G:1.75% B:0.06%)
62.80% (G:12.05% B:0.15%)
5.4-ply9/8 9/7eq: -0.510 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:		30.27% (G:1.39% B:0.02%)
69.73% (G:15.21% B:0.11%)
 
 55: Bar/10 13/8 
Pip=105-111
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/10 13/8eq: +0.358
Player:
Opponent:		70.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/15 13/8(2)eq: +0.358 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		70.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/5eq: +0.355 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		70.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/15 13/3eq: +0.354 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		70.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/15 13/8 7/2eq: +0.351 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		70.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 44: 9/5(2) 8/4(2) 
Pip=105-91
1.xgXG Roller++9/5 8/4(3)eq: -0.004
Player:
Opponent:		45.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++9/5(2) 8/4(2)eq: -0.004 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		45.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/4(4)eq: -0.019 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		44.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 8/4(2) 6/2eq: -0.022 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		44.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4(3) 6/2eq: -0.027 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		44.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 22: 13/11 8/6 7/5(2) 
Pip=89-91
1.xgXG Roller++13/9 8/6 7/5eq: +0.012
Player:
Opponent:		54.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/6 8/6 7/5eq: +0.012 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		54.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/6 7/5(2)eq: +0.012 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		54.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 10/6 7/5eq: +0.010 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		54.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/6 7/5(2)eq: +0.009 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		54.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 55: 8/3(4) 
Pip=89-83
1.xgXG Roller++8/3(3) 6/1eq: +0.530
Player:
Opponent:		69.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/3(4)eq: +0.528 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		69.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/3(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.506 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		68.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
31.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 6/1(3)eq: +0.448 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		65.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
34.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/1(4)eq: +0.338 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		60.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 11/4 
Pip=69-83
1.xgXG Roller++11/6 10/8eq: -0.588
Player:
Opponent:		27.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++11/4eq: -0.589 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		27.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/6 5/3eq: -0.590 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		27.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/9 10/5eq: -0.597 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		27.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/3eq: -0.599 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		27.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=69-76
Analyzed in 4-ply No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 72.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 72.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 27.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 27.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.448 +0.740
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.580
     Redouble/Take:+0.165 (-0.414)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.420)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 33.2%

Αν ο βίδος είναι δύσκολος για μένα σ' αυτό το σκορ, τότε ένα redouble στο 4 θέλει τεράστια προσοχή. Το τελευταίο που θέλω είναι να δώσω σε έναν απελπισμένο αντίπαλο την ευκαιρία να παίξει για 8 πόντους. Εδώ θα είχα έναν οριακό βίδο σε σκορ 0-0, αλλά στο 0-7/13 δεν τίθεται καν ζήτημα.
 
 44: 6/2(2) 4/Off(2) 
Pip=69-76
1.playedXG Roller++6/2(2) 4/Off(2)eq: +0.896
Player:
Opponent:		84.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
15.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/2(3) 4/Offeq: +0.890 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		83.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
16.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/2 5/1 4/Off(2)eq: +0.884 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		83.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
16.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/2(2) 5/1 4/Offeq: +0.881 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		83.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
16.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/2(3) 5/1eq: +0.860 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		82.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
17.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 10/6 3/Off 
Pip=53-76
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 3/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		13.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		12.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 4/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		12.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/6 5/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		12.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7 5/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		11.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
88.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=53-69
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 86.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 86.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 13.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 13.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.732 +1.305
Cubeful Equities
     No redouble:+0.918 (-0.082)±0.001 (+0.916..+0.919)
     Redouble/Take:+1.038 (+0.038)±0.002 (+1.036..+1.040)
played Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 28 seconds

Μετά από τρεις μεγάλες διπλές μου, το take για τον Marc μόλις που έγινε μικρό λάθος.
 
 Wins 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
World Class (-0.0096) Total Error Expert (-0.0119)
Expert (-0.0113) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0156)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
4.82 Performance Rating 5.95
3 Move Errors 3(1)
-0.135(-0.82%) Equity lost (cost) -0.202(-0.97%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3 Total Error 3(1)
-0.135(-0.82%) Equity lost (cost) -0.202(-0.97%)
     
5 Jokers 4
+0.742(+7.57%) Luck -0.742(-7.57%)

 Game 6

13 point match, Score is mman: 9, marcvd: 0

 
 52: 24/22 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook113/11 13/8eq: +0.205
Player:
Opponent:		49.83% (G:13.92% B:0.66%)
50.17% (G:13.26% B:0.64%)
2.playedBook124/22 13/8eq: +0.204 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		50.29% (G:13.00% B:0.46%)
49.71% (G:12.65% B:0.47%)
3.Book113/8 6/4eq: +0.149 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		48.76% (G:13.11% B:0.50%)
51.24% (G:13.94% B:0.69%)
4.Book113/6eq: +0.107 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		47.49% (G:13.05% B:0.57%)
52.51% (G:14.30% B:0.64%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 8/3eq: +0.062 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		46.39% (G:13.04% B:0.56%)
53.61% (G:15.70% B:0.94%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 11: 24/22 6/5(2) 
Pip=167-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 6/5(2)eq: -0.055
Player:
Opponent:		53.16% (G:13.89% B:0.50%)
46.84% (G:11.74% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++24/23 6/5(3)eq: -0.088 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		52.51% (G:13.97% B:0.52%)
47.49% (G:12.41% B:0.47%)
3.XG Roller++24/23(2) 6/5(2)eq: -0.103 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		51.86% (G:14.19% B:0.48%)
48.14% (G:12.06% B:0.49%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: -0.111 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		51.89% (G:14.04% B:0.48%)
48.11% (G:12.53% B:0.53%)
5.XG Roller++8/7(2) 6/5(2)eq: -0.165 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		50.73% (G:13.83% B:0.50%)
49.27% (G:13.16% B:0.64%)
 
 65: 24/13 
Pip=163-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/13eq: +0.036
Player:
Opponent:		47.62% (G:9.92% B:0.39%)
52.38% (G:15.54% B:0.45%)
2.XG Roller++22/11eq: -0.005 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		46.15% (G:9.54% B:0.30%)
53.85% (G:13.27% B:0.47%)
3.4-ply22/16 13/8eq: -0.138 (-0.175)
Player:
Opponent:		42.71% (G:9.37% B:0.29%)
57.29% (G:16.59% B:0.64%)
4.4-ply22/16 8/3* eq: -0.196 (-0.233)
Player:
Opponent:		40.79% (G:9.90% B:0.40%)
59.21% (G:18.58% B:1.00%)
5.4-ply24/18 13/8eq: -0.203 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		40.82% (G:9.75% B:0.39%)
59.18% (G:19.19% B:0.68%)
 
 41: 13/8 
Pip=163-149
1.xgRollout18/3* eq: -0.120
Player:
Opponent:		50.41% (G:15.42% B:0.85%)
49.59% (G:11.53% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.136...-0.104) - [100.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 25 seconds
2.playedRollout113/8eq: -0.263 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		46.08% (G:11.95% B:0.65%)
53.92% (G:10.70% B:0.47%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.276...-0.250) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 42 seconds
3.XG Roller++24/20 22/21eq: -0.288 (-0.168)
Player:
Opponent:		45.65% (G:9.82% B:0.31%)
54.35% (G:10.16% B:0.36%)
4.XG Roller++22/21 13/9eq: -0.290 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		46.84% (G:12.52% B:0.40%)
53.16% (G:12.59% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++24/23 13/9eq: -0.297 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		45.88% (G:11.97% B:0.33%)
54.12% (G:11.62% B:0.42%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Μέχρι εδώ έχω παίξει εξαιρετικά -ίσως και κάτω από 2,00. Από δω και μετά, ένας συνδυασμός απροσεξίας και κακών εκτιμήσεων καταστρέφει το παιχνίδι μου.

Σχεδόν σε κάθε ματς υπάρχει τουλάχιστον μία κίνηση την οποία ούτε καν εξετάζω. Όταν το εξαλείψω αυτό θα έχω κάνει ένα σημαντικό βήμα προς τη βελτίωση.
Εδώ το χτύπημα είναι προφανές, καθώς όλοι οι παράγοντες είναι υπέρ του. Έχω καλύτερο board, περισσότερα πούλια πίσω και υπολείπομαι στην κούρσα.
 
 No double 
Pip=158-149
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.83% (G:10.88% B:0.38%) 53.83% (G:10.90% B:0.38%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.17% (G:11.89% B:0.33%) 46.17% (G:11.94% B:0.36%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.038 +0.151
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.269
     Double/Take:+0.132 (-0.136)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.731)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.6%
 
 66: 22/10 13/7(2) 
Pip=158-149
1.played4-ply22/10 13/7(2)eq: +0.797
Player:
Opponent:		67.87% (G:11.36% B:0.29%)
32.13% (G:5.12% B:0.17%)
2.4-ply22/16 13/7(3)eq: +0.628 (-0.170)
Player:
Opponent:		62.53% (G:11.32% B:0.34%)
37.47% (G:7.62% B:0.22%)
3.3-ply22/10 8/2(2)eq: +0.481 (-0.317)
Player:
Opponent:		58.59% (G:12.47% B:0.28%)
41.41% (G:8.58% B:0.20%)
4.3-ply22/10 13/1* eq: +0.436 (-0.362)
Player:
Opponent:		58.10% (G:10.38% B:0.20%)
41.90% (G:9.68% B:0.24%)
5.3-ply13/1*(2) eq: +0.394 (-0.403)
Player:
Opponent:		53.84% (G:16.92% B:0.33%)
46.16% (G:10.99% B:0.28%)
 
 22: 24/20 22/20 13/11 
Pip=158-125
1.xgRollout124/22 8/4 6/4eq: -0.928
Player:
Opponent:		25.52% (G:1.92% B:0.13%)
74.48% (G:3.78% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.939...-0.918) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 40 seconds
2.playedRollout124/20 22/20 13/11eq: -1.000 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:		18.71% (G:0.78% B:0.05%)
81.29% (G:2.05% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.000 (-1.000...-1.000) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 53 seconds
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/7eq: -0.957 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		25.40% (G:2.10% B:0.05%)
74.60% (G:4.51% B:0.07%)
4.XG Roller++24/22 13/11 13/9eq: -0.959 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		25.43% (G:2.12% B:0.05%)
74.57% (G:4.58% B:0.10%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 13/9 8/6eq: -0.959 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		25.41% (G:2.12% B:0.05%)
74.59% (G:4.53% B:0.08%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Αν θέλω να πάρω τον βίδο που έρχεται, πρέπει να μείνω πίσω, στο 22. Το να φτιάξω την 20 του δίνει μεγάλη ελευθερία κινήσεων, δηλαδή να περνάει πούλια πίσω μου, τη στιγμή που είναι μπροστά στην κούρσα. Εννοείται ότι η 22 είναι καλύτερη επειδή ο αντίπαλος δεν έχει φτιάξει την 5 και την 4.
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=150-125
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 79.98% (G:2.47% B:0.03%) 81.26% (G:2.05% B:0.03%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20.02% (G:0.83% B:0.03%) 18.74% (G:0.69% B:0.06%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.614 +1.231
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.978 (-0.022)±0.003 (+0.975..+0.980)
played Double/Take:+1.197 (+0.197)±0.008 (+1.189..+1.204)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 58 minutes 40 seconds

Σκέφτηκα ότι μπορεί να είναι πάσο, αλλά δεν φανταζόμουν ότι είναι τόσο βαρύ. Οφείλεται φυσικά στον συνδυασμό του μεγάλου πλεονεκτήματος στην κούρσα με την πόρτα του bar και την γενικότερη ευελιξία της θέσης του: Τα spare πούλια του του επιτρέπουν να παίξει πολλές ζαριές πίσω μου μέχρι να καθαρίσει με ασφάλεια τη midpoint.
Ας σημειωθεί ότι εδώ το σκορ δεν παίζει ρόλο, κυρίως επειδή δεν υπάρχουν διπλά. Θα ήταν μεγάλο πάσο και στο 0-0.
 
 54: 13/8 10/6 
Pip=150-125
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 10/6eq: +0.614
Player:
Opponent:		80.65% (G:2.37% B:0.02%)
19.35% (G:0.85% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++10/6 8/3eq: +0.598 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		79.88% (G:2.40% B:0.02%)
20.12% (G:0.94% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++10/1eq: +0.596 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		79.80% (G:2.37% B:0.01%)
20.20% (G:0.95% B:0.02%)
4.4-ply13/4eq: +0.362 (-0.253)
Player:
Opponent:		67.07% (G:5.53% B:0.13%)
32.93% (G:4.01% B:0.13%)
5.4-ply8/4 8/3eq: +0.357 (-0.258)
Player:
Opponent:		66.69% (G:5.75% B:0.15%)
33.31% (G:3.97% B:0.15%)
 
 21: 13/11 8/7 
Pip=150-116
1.XG Roller++11/9 8/7eq: -0.674
Player:
Opponent:		16.87% (G:0.85% B:0.02%)
83.13% (G:2.91% B:0.02%)
2.xgXG Roller++8/7 6/4eq: -0.674 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		16.92% (G:0.87% B:0.02%)
83.08% (G:3.03% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++11/9 5/4eq: -0.675 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		16.88% (G:0.87% B:0.02%)
83.12% (G:3.03% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++8/7 8/6eq: -0.676 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		16.80% (G:0.87% B:0.02%)
83.20% (G:2.92% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++11/10 6/4eq: -0.676 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		16.86% (G:0.86% B:0.02%)
83.14% (G:3.08% B:0.02%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/7eq: -0.676 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		16.73% (G:0.83% B:0.02%)
83.27% (G:2.84% B:0.02%)
 
 65: 13/8 13/7 
Pip=147-116
1.played4-ply13/8 13/7eq: +0.808
Player:
Opponent:		89.67% (G:2.42% B:0.01%)
10.33% (G:0.30% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply8/2 6/1eq: +0.636 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		81.20% (G:3.18% B:0.02%)
18.80% (G:1.05% B:0.02%)
3.4-ply8/3 8/2eq: +0.634 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		81.12% (G:3.20% B:0.02%)
18.88% (G:1.04% B:0.03%)
4.4-ply7/2 7/1eq: +0.541 (-0.268)
Player:
Opponent:		76.60% (G:3.53% B:0.02%)
23.40% (G:1.64% B:0.04%)
5.3-ply7/1 6/1eq: +0.377 (-0.432)
Player:
Opponent:		67.12% (G:6.82% B:0.09%)
32.88% (G:4.90% B:0.13%)
 
 51: 13/12 13/8 
Pip=147-105
1.XG Roller++11/5eq: -0.848
Player:
Opponent:		8.57% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
91.43% (G:2.53% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 5/4eq: -0.848 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		8.58% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
91.42% (G:2.60% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++8/3 5/4eq: -0.849 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		8.59% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
91.41% (G:2.68% B:0.01%)
4.xgXG Roller++11/6 5/4eq: -0.849 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		8.49% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)
91.51% (G:2.49% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++11/6 7/6eq: -0.849 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		8.43% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
91.57% (G:2.44% B:0.01%)
6.playedXG Roller++13/12 13/8eq: -0.851 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		8.42% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
91.58% (G:2.51% B:0.01%)
 
 54: 8/4 8/3 
Pip=141-105
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 8/3eq: +0.865
Player:
Opponent:		92.10% (G:2.82% B:0.01%)
7.90% (G:0.27% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/4 6/1eq: +0.848 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		91.41% (G:2.65% B:0.00%)
8.59% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/4 7/2eq: +0.848 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		91.33% (G:2.77% B:0.01%)
8.67% (G:0.29% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 6/2eq: +0.847 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		91.36% (G:2.58% B:0.01%)
8.64% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 7/3eq: +0.835 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		90.83% (G:2.53% B:0.00%)
9.17% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
 
 63: 12/6 7/4 
Pip=141-96
1.XG Roller++11/5 8/5eq: -0.868
Player:
Opponent:		7.58% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
92.42% (G:2.49% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++11/5 7/4eq: -0.869 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		7.47% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
92.53% (G:2.35% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++12/9 11/5eq: -0.870 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		7.49% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
92.51% (G:2.47% B:0.01%)
4.playedXG Roller++12/6 7/4eq: -0.871 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		7.43% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
92.57% (G:2.44% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++12/6 8/5eq: -0.871 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		7.41% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
92.59% (G:2.42% B:0.01%)
 
 32: 8/3 
Pip=132-96
1.playedXG Roller++8/3eq: +0.844
Player:
Opponent:		91.47% (G:2.11% B:0.00%)
8.53% (G:0.21% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/6 7/4eq: +0.838 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		91.15% (G:2.25% B:0.01%)
8.85% (G:0.24% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++7/4 6/4eq: +0.834 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		91.05% (G:2.10% B:0.01%)
8.95% (G:0.24% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 4/1eq: +0.832 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		91.08% (G:1.85% B:0.00%)
8.92% (G:0.25% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++7/4 3/1eq: +0.832 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		90.94% (G:2.08% B:0.00%)
9.06% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 11/5 6/4 
Pip=132-91
1.playedXG Roller++11/5 6/4eq: -0.855
Player:
Opponent:		8.01% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
91.99% (G:2.10% B:0.01%)
2.xgXG Roller++11/9 11/5eq: -0.855 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		7.90% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
92.10% (G:1.94% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: -0.856 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		7.97% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
92.03% (G:2.16% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++11/3eq: -0.856 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		7.89% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
92.11% (G:2.01% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++8/6 8/2eq: -0.857 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		7.86% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
92.14% (G:2.03% B:0.01%)
 
 22: 8/6(2) 8/4 
Pip=124-91
1.playedXG Roller++8/6(2) 8/4eq: +0.877
Player:
Opponent:		93.18% (G:1.81% B:0.01%)
6.82% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/6(3) 3/1eq: +0.867 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		92.89% (G:1.53% B:0.00%)
7.11% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/6(3) 4/2eq: +0.867 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		92.83% (G:1.58% B:0.01%)
7.17% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: +0.843 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		91.58% (G:1.82% B:0.01%)
8.42% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 3/1eq: +0.840 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		91.50% (G:1.73% B:0.00%)
8.50% (G:0.20% B:0.01%)
 
 55: 11/6 8/3(3) 
Pip=124-83
1.playedXG Roller++11/6 8/3(3)eq: -0.744
Player:
Opponent:		12.45% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
87.55% (G:0.70% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++11/1 8/3(2)eq: -0.746 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		12.40% (G:0.06% B:0.00%)
87.60% (G:0.78% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++8/3(4)eq: -0.753 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		12.12% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
87.88% (G:0.87% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++8/3(3) 6/1eq: -0.756 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		12.02% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
87.98% (G:0.93% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++20/10 8/3(2)eq: -0.758 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		12.31% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
87.69% (G:1.59% B:0.01%)
 
 61: 7/1 3/2 
Pip=104-83
1.playedXG Roller++7/1 3/2eq: +0.702
Player:
Opponent:		85.78% (G:0.34% B:0.00%)
14.22% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++7/1 4/3eq: +0.697 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		85.44% (G:0.49% B:0.01%)
14.56% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply7/6 7/1eq: +0.292 (-0.410)
Player:
Opponent:		66.43% (G:0.85% B:0.02%)
33.57% (G:1.31% B:0.02%)
 
 32: 20/15 
Pip=104-76
1.playedXG Roller++20/15eq: -0.772
Player:
Opponent:		10.89% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
89.11% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++20/17 8/6eq: -0.773 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		10.86% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
89.14% (G:0.32% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/17 6/4eq: -0.775 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		10.84% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
89.16% (G:0.48% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 6/4eq: -0.776 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		10.78% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
89.22% (G:0.44% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/5 3/1eq: -0.779 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		10.64% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
89.36% (G:0.44% B:0.00%)
 
 55: 7/2(2) 6/1(2) 
Pip=99-76
1.playedXG Roller++7/2(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.927
Player:
Opponent:		96.25% (G:0.55% B:0.00%)
3.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/1(4)eq: +0.835 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		92.03% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
7.97% (G:0.17% B:0.01%)
3.3-ply7/2 6/1(3)eq: +0.439 (-0.488)
Player:
Opponent:		73.16% (G:1.08% B:0.01%)
26.84% (G:1.15% B:0.02%)
 
 62: 15/9 8/6 
Pip=99-56
1.XG Roller++15/9 3/1eq: -0.938
Player:
Opponent:		3.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.74% (G:0.57% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 3/1eq: -0.938 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		3.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.61% (G:0.81% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++15/7eq: -0.938 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		3.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.81% (G:0.52% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++15/13 8/2eq: -0.939 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		3.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.79% (G:0.57% B:0.00%)
5.playedXG Roller++15/9 8/6eq: -0.939 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		3.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.87% (G:0.48% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 6/Off 
Pip=91-56
1.playedXG Roller++6/Offeq: +0.916
Player:
Opponent:		95.80% (G:0.42% B:0.00%)
4.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/1 4/3eq: +0.885 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		94.41% (G:0.31% B:0.00%)
5.59% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 2/1eq: +0.879 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		94.15% (G:0.27% B:0.00%)
5.85% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/1 3/2eq: +0.878 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		94.13% (G:0.24% B:0.00%)
5.87% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)
5.3-ply6/5* 5/Offeq: +0.399 (-0.517)
Player:
Opponent:		70.80% (G:1.76% B:0.01%)
29.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 9/2 
Pip=91-50
1.playedXG Roller++9/2eq: -0.930
Player:
Opponent:		3.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.55% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++9/3 6/5eq: -0.933 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		3.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.62% (G:0.41% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 5/4eq: -0.936 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		3.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.75% (G:0.42% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/3 4/3eq: -0.949 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		2.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.32% (G:0.51% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++20/14 3/2eq: -0.961 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		1.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 6/3 1/Off 
Pip=84-50
1.playedXG Roller++6/3 1/Offeq: +0.948
Player:
Opponent:		97.40% (G:0.27% B:0.00%)
2.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++3/Off 1/Offeq: +0.938 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		96.97% (G:0.22% B:0.00%)
3.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/2eq: +0.920 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		96.17% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
3.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/3 4/3eq: +0.917 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		96.02% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
3.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/3 2/1eq: +0.917 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		95.97% (G:0.18% B:0.00%)
4.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 6/1 5/2 
Pip=84-46
1.XG Roller++20/12eq: -0.961
Player:
Opponent:		1.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++6/3 6/1eq: -0.967 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		1.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.17% (G:0.46% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++6/1 5/2eq: -0.967 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		1.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.22% (G:0.44% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++20/15 4/1eq: -0.968 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		1.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++20/17 6/1eq: -0.968 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		1.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 6/1 3/Off 
Pip=76-46
1.playedXG Roller++6/1 3/Offeq: +0.951
Player:
Opponent:		97.48% (G:0.38% B:0.00%)
2.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/3 6/1eq: +0.929 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		96.60% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
3.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/1 4/1eq: +0.926 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		96.41% (G:0.17% B:0.00%)
3.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 20/13 
Pip=76-38
1.xgXG Roller++20/14 6/5eq: -0.985
Player:
Opponent:		0.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++20/13eq: -0.986 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		0.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++20/14 5/4eq: -0.986 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		0.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++20/14 3/2eq: -0.987 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		0.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++20/14 2/1eq: -0.987 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		0.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 2/Off 1/Off 
Pip=69-38
1.playedXG Roller++2/Off 1/Offeq: +0.978
Player:
Opponent:		98.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/5 2/Offeq: +0.976 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		98.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/4 1/Offeq: +0.970 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		98.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++4/3 2/Offeq: +0.962 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		98.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/5 6/4eq: +0.962 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		98.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 63: 13/4 
Pip=69-35
1.playedXG Roller++13/4eq: -0.982
Player:
Opponent:		0.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 6/3eq: -0.987 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		0.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 5/2eq: -0.989 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		0.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 4/1eq: -0.989 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		0.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=60-35
1.played4-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +0.972
Player:
Opponent:		98.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/3 2/Offeq: +0.970 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		98.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/4 3/Offeq: +0.962 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		98.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/4 6/3eq: +0.959 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		98.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply4/2 3/Offeq: +0.957 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		97.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 64: 6/Off 4/Off 
Pip=60-30
1.played4-ply6/Off 4/Offeq: -0.976
Player:
Opponent:		1.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 6/Offeq: -0.983 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		0.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/Off 5/1eq: -0.985 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		0.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
99.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 4/Off 2/Off 
Pip=50-30
1.played4-ply4/Off 2/Offeq: +0.970
Player:
Opponent:		98.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Offeq: +0.967 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		98.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/2 4/Offeq: +0.955 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		97.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/4 6/2eq: +0.949 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		97.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/2 4/2eq: +0.948 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		97.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 55: 6/1(2) 5/Off(2) 
Pip=50-24
1.played4-ply6/1(2) 5/Off(2)eq: -0.937
Player:
Opponent:		2.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1(3) 5/Offeq: -0.956 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		2.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 42: 6/Off 
Pip=30-24
1.played4-ply6/Offeq: +0.917
Player:
Opponent:		96.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 6/2eq: +0.896 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		95.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/2 4/2eq: +0.879 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		94.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 6/Off 4/Off 
Pip=30-18
1.played4-ply6/Off 4/Offeq: -0.938
Player:
Opponent:		2.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 4/Offeq: -0.954 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		2.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 66: 6/Off(2) 4/Off 1/Off 
Pip=20-18
1.played3-ply6/Off(2) 4/Off 1/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 4/Off 3/Off 
Pip=20-1
1.played4-ply4/Off 3/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply4/1 3/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 1/Off 
Pip=13-1
1.played3-ply1/Offeq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Single Game 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
Advanced (-0.0239) Total Error World Champ. (0.0000)
Expert (-0.0137) Checker Play World Champ. (-0.0001)
Distracted (-0.1968) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
11.94 Performance Rating 0.02
2(1) Move Errors 0
-0.233(-0.65%) Equity lost (cost) -0.001(0.00%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1(1) Take Errors 0
-0.197(-0.51%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3(2) Total Error 0
-0.430(-1.16%) Equity lost (cost) -0.001(0.00%)
     
0 Jokers 1
-0.950(-3.42%) Luck +0.950(+3.42%)

 Game 7

13 point match, Score is mman: 9, marcvd: 2

 
 21: 24/23 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/23 13/11eq: -0.160
Player:
Opponent:		49.94% (G:13.33% B:0.54%)
50.06% (G:12.98% B:0.53%)
2.Book113/11 6/5eq: -0.183 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		50.06% (G:14.20% B:0.70%)
49.94% (G:14.38% B:0.85%)
3.Book124/21eq: -0.200 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		49.25% (G:12.54% B:0.59%)
50.75% (G:13.79% B:0.51%)
4.Book124/23 24/22eq: -0.216 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		48.62% (G:12.20% B:0.52%)
51.38% (G:13.51% B:0.47%)
5.Book113/10eq: -0.222 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		48.80% (G:13.69% B:0.64%)
51.20% (G:14.16% B:0.70%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 No double 
Pip=164-167
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 50.05% (G:12.95% B:0.52%) 50.01% (G:13.27% B:0.54%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 49.95% (G:13.31% B:0.54%) 49.99% (G:13.79% B:0.60%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.034 -0.009
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.158
     Double/Take:-0.034 (-0.192)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.842)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.7%
 
 62: 24/18 13/11 
Pip=164-167
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/11eq: +0.041
Player:
Opponent:		47.72% (G:11.50% B:0.48%)
52.28% (G:15.01% B:0.62%)
2.XG Roller++24/16eq: -0.002 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		46.93% (G:10.72% B:0.42%)
53.07% (G:15.47% B:0.59%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 24/18eq: -0.027 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		46.37% (G:10.58% B:0.43%)
53.63% (G:15.76% B:0.54%)
4.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.051 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		44.92% (G:11.58% B:0.44%)
55.08% (G:15.47% B:0.88%)
5.XG Roller++24/22 8/2* eq: -0.054 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		44.95% (G:11.33% B:0.42%)
55.05% (G:15.24% B:0.73%)
 
 64: 24/14*  
Pip=164-159
1.xgRollout113/7* 11/7eq: +0.118
Player:
Opponent:		55.78% (G:17.40% B:1.77%)
44.22% (G:11.08% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.102...+0.135) - [100.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 52 seconds
2.playedRollout124/14* eq: -0.038 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		52.61% (G:15.31% B:1.36%)
47.39% (G:12.39% B:0.47%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.054...-0.022) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 58 seconds
3.4-ply24/20 13/7* eq: -0.121 (-0.239)
Player:
Opponent:		50.36% (G:14.42% B:0.68%)
49.64% (G:12.49% B:0.60%)
4.4-ply11/7* 7/1* eq: -0.146 (-0.264)
Player:
Opponent:		49.79% (G:14.81% B:0.53%)
50.21% (G:12.95% B:0.59%)
5.4-ply24/18 11/7* eq: -0.154 (-0.272)
Player:
Opponent:		49.96% (G:12.84% B:0.57%)
50.04% (G:13.07% B:0.57%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το χτύπημα στο 14 είναι πάντα ελκυστικό, ειδικά στην αρχή της παρτίδας, που τα στρατόπεδα είναι αδύναμα, αλλά εδώ η εναλλακτική κάνει δύο δουλειές συγχρόνως: χτυπάει και κάνει μια καλή πόρτα. Επίσης, αντίθετα με το παίξιμό μου, αφήνει μηδέν ενοχλητικές βολές.
Γενικά, ένα παίξιμο που κάνει δύο δουλειές μαζί είναι σχεδόν πάντα καλύτερο από κάποιο που κάνει μόνο μία.
 
 63: Bar/22 24/18 
Pip=154-173
1.played4-plyBar/22 24/18eq: -0.031
Player:
Opponent:		45.81% (G:9.72% B:0.26%)
54.19% (G:11.49% B:0.33%)
2.4-plyBar/22 8/2* eq: -0.236 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		40.72% (G:9.73% B:0.42%)
59.28% (G:18.15% B:1.12%)
3.4-plyBar/22 13/7eq: -0.280 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		39.79% (G:9.78% B:0.44%)
60.21% (G:20.30% B:1.40%)
4.3-plyBar/16eq: -0.349 (-0.318)
Player:
Opponent:		38.50% (G:8.48% B:0.36%)
61.50% (G:20.66% B:1.16%)
 
 54: 23/14 
Pip=154-164
1.playedXG Roller++23/14eq: +0.100
Player:
Opponent:		56.05% (G:10.30% B:0.34%)
43.95% (G:8.74% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++14/9 13/9eq: +0.055 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		54.41% (G:14.52% B:0.55%)
45.59% (G:10.18% B:0.36%)
3.4-ply14/10 11/6eq: -0.163 (-0.263)
Player:
Opponent:		49.05% (G:10.99% B:0.31%)
50.95% (G:11.53% B:0.40%)
4.4-ply14/5eq: -0.163 (-0.263)
Player:
Opponent:		49.33% (G:11.25% B:0.33%)
50.67% (G:11.80% B:0.47%)
5.4-ply14/10 13/8eq: -0.204 (-0.304)
Player:
Opponent:		48.13% (G:12.10% B:0.41%)
51.87% (G:12.45% B:0.53%)
 
 51: 13/8 6/5 
Pip=145-164
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.249
Player:
Opponent:		40.14% (G:7.22% B:0.13%)
59.86% (G:9.99% B:0.26%)
2.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: -0.265 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		39.65% (G:7.47% B:0.16%)
60.35% (G:10.77% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.291 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		39.16% (G:6.53% B:0.13%)
60.84% (G:10.11% B:0.31%)
4.XG Roller++8/7 8/3eq: -0.347 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		37.78% (G:6.24% B:0.13%)
62.22% (G:10.59% B:0.36%)
5.XG Roller++8/2eq: -0.372 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		37.29% (G:6.24% B:0.13%)
62.71% (G:11.40% B:0.39%)
 
 65: 13/8 11/5 
Pip=145-158
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 11/5eq: +0.140
Player:
Opponent:		57.29% (G:10.08% B:0.26%)
42.71% (G:8.54% B:0.24%)
2.XG Roller++13/2eq: +0.046 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		54.88% (G:12.66% B:0.45%)
45.12% (G:10.59% B:0.34%)
3.XG Roller++11/6 8/2eq: +0.012 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		54.35% (G:9.73% B:0.22%)
45.65% (G:10.62% B:0.29%)
4.XG Roller++14/8 11/6eq: 0.000 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		53.76% (G:9.81% B:0.28%)
46.24% (G:10.12% B:0.27%)
5.XG Roller++11/5 6/1eq: -0.017 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		53.88% (G:10.66% B:0.25%)
46.12% (G:11.34% B:0.32%)
 
 32: 22/20* 8/5 
Pip=134-158
1.played3-ply22/20* 8/5eq: +0.402
Player:
Opponent:		55.98% (G:14.75% B:0.42%)
44.02% (G:7.37% B:0.18%)
2.3-ply22/20* 13/10eq: +0.018 (-0.384)
Player:
Opponent:		46.79% (G:11.17% B:0.36%)
53.21% (G:12.26% B:0.42%)
3.3-ply22/20* 5/2eq: -0.047 (-0.449)
Player:
Opponent:		45.40% (G:9.39% B:0.29%)
54.60% (G:11.13% B:0.34%)
4.3-ply22/20* 6/3eq: -0.092 (-0.494)
Player:
Opponent:		44.20% (G:10.04% B:0.34%)
55.80% (G:13.76% B:0.45%)
5.3-ply22/20* 18/15eq: -0.175 (-0.577)
Player:
Opponent:		42.59% (G:9.72% B:0.40%)
57.41% (G:17.13% B:0.92%)
 
 54: Bar/16 
Pip=154-153
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/16eq: -0.293
Player:
Opponent:		46.84% (G:6.02% B:0.21%)
53.16% (G:12.18% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/8eq: -0.440 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		43.93% (G:8.64% B:0.28%)
56.07% (G:16.20% B:0.40%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 8/3eq: -0.461 (-0.168)
Player:
Opponent:		43.66% (G:8.82% B:0.30%)
56.34% (G:16.60% B:0.44%)
4.4-plyBar/21 6/1eq: -0.528 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:		42.10% (G:8.40% B:0.19%)
57.90% (G:17.98% B:0.52%)
5.3-plyBar/21 14/9eq: -0.778 (-0.485)
Player:
Opponent:		37.30% (G:6.72% B:0.20%)
62.70% (G:19.47% B:0.81%)
 
 No double 
Pip=145-153
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.26% (G:12.47% B:0.31%) 53.33% (G:12.54% B:0.32%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.74% (G:6.22% B:0.22%) 46.67% (G:6.28% B:0.22%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.116 +0.237
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.301
     Double/Take:+0.146 (-0.155)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.699)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.4%
 
 55: 20/5 8/3 
Pip=145-153
1.Rollout18/3(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.312
Player:
Opponent:		55.47% (G:9.30% B:0.13%)
44.53% (G:3.63% B:0.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.301...+0.324) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 17 seconds
2.playedRollout120/5 8/3eq: +0.268 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		57.14% (G:4.63% B:0.08%)
42.86% (G:2.19% B:0.10%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.259...+0.278) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 07 seconds
3.XG Roller++20/15 13/3 8/3eq: +0.291 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		55.27% (G:8.08% B:0.15%)
44.73% (G:3.69% B:0.12%)
4.xgXG Roller++20/5 13/8eq: +0.282 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		57.08% (G:4.15% B:0.08%)
42.92% (G:1.74% B:0.05%)
5.XG Roller++13/3 8/3(2)eq: +0.268 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		54.42% (G:8.66% B:0.13%)
45.58% (G:4.08% B:0.16%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Επειδή υπάρχουν 11 ζαριές με τις οποίες δεν μαζεύω το πούλι (65, 61, 54, 51, 41, 44) και τότε ο Marc χρεάζεται την επιπλεόν επαφή. Άλλωστε, το να κάνει δύο πόρτες μέσα δεν του στοιχίζει καθόλου σε κούρσα, ενώ το στρατόπεδο μου είναι αδύναμο και το δικό του blot δεν αντιμετωπίζει σοβαρό κίνδυνο.
 
 63: 16/10 13/10 
Pip=145-133
1.playedXG Roller++16/10 13/10eq: -0.193
Player:
Opponent:		44.77% (G:1.35% B:0.04%)
55.23% (G:2.43% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++16/13 8/2eq: -0.255 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		43.10% (G:1.48% B:0.04%)
56.90% (G:2.81% B:0.04%)
3.4-ply16/10 8/5eq: -0.433 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		40.55% (G:3.86% B:0.16%)
59.45% (G:10.09% B:0.25%)
4.4-ply16/10 6/3eq: -0.440 (-0.247)
Player:
Opponent:		40.46% (G:3.68% B:0.14%)
59.54% (G:10.42% B:0.26%)
5.4-ply16/13 14/8eq: -0.516 (-0.324)
Player:
Opponent:		38.03% (G:2.52% B:0.07%)
61.97% (G:10.64% B:0.14%)
 
 No double 
Pip=136-133
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.20% (G:2.46% B:0.04%) 55.38% (G:2.16% B:0.03%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.80% (G:1.39% B:0.05%) 44.62% (G:1.37% B:0.04%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.112 +0.138
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.184
     Double/Take:-0.005 (-0.190)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.816)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.9%
 
 66: 13/7(3) 8/2 
Pip=136-133
1.Rollout113/1 8/2(2)eq: +0.438
Player:
Opponent:		61.90% (G:7.45% B:0.13%)
38.10% (G:3.61% B:0.25%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.426...+0.450) - [100.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 14 seconds
2.playedRollout113/7(3) 8/2eq: +0.373 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		61.43% (G:5.76% B:0.12%)
38.57% (G:3.53% B:0.39%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.362...+0.385) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 56 seconds
3.XG Roller++13/7(2) 8/2(2)eq: +0.402 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		59.77% (G:8.27% B:0.10%)
40.23% (G:3.26% B:0.14%)
4.XG Roller++13/1(2)eq: +0.369 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:		58.77% (G:8.83% B:0.09%)
41.23% (G:3.63% B:0.17%)
5.xgXG Roller++13/7(2) 13/1eq: +0.368 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		61.25% (G:5.44% B:0.06%)
38.75% (G:2.60% B:0.09%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Η ιδέα προφανώς είναι να κρατήσει την πίεση στην πόρτα μου στο 14.
 
 62: 8/2 6/4 
Pip=136-109
1.xgXG Roller++14/8 6/4eq: -0.455
Player:
Opponent:		36.59% (G:2.44% B:0.07%)
63.41% (G:5.52% B:0.07%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: -0.492 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		36.29% (G:2.76% B:0.12%)
63.71% (G:6.70% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++14/6eq: -0.517 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		35.24% (G:2.07% B:0.06%)
64.76% (G:5.47% B:0.07%)
4.XG Roller++10/8 10/4eq: -0.565 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		33.80% (G:2.17% B:0.05%)
66.20% (G:4.81% B:0.05%)
5.4-ply8/6 8/2eq: -0.576 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		34.28% (G:1.69% B:0.03%)
65.72% (G:6.06% B:0.04%)

Εδώ έπρεπε να εκμεταλλευτώ τα δύο slots του και να λύσω από τη 14. Το παίξιμο γίνεται φανερό όταν κατανοήσουμε ότι η 14 δεν αποτελεί πλεονέκτημα αλλά αδυναμία, παρά το ότι είμαι τόσο πίσω στην κούρσα. Δεν μπλοκάρει τον αντίπαλο και μου αφαιρεί ευελιξία.
Επίσης, με 14/8 θα είχα μόνο ένα slot στο δικό μου στρατόπεδο και θα μπορούσα να τον χτυπάω πιο άνετα αν τρέξει, κάτι σημαντικό εφόσον είμαι τόσο πίσω στην κούρσα.
 
 No double 
Pip=128-109
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 63.77% (G:6.51% B:0.13%) 63.70% (G:5.99% B:0.11%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 36.23% (G:2.72% B:0.26%) 36.30% (G:2.58% B:0.18%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.307 +0.574
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.472 (-0.015)±0.012 (+0.460..+0.484)
xg Double/Take:+0.486±0.012 (+0.474..+0.498)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.514)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 95.4%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 11 minutes 39 seconds
 
 51: 18/13 3/2 
Pip=128-109
1.Rollout18/3 5/4eq: +0.399
Player:
Opponent:		61.18% (G:6.83% B:0.12%)
38.82% (G:3.27% B:0.26%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.387...+0.411) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 11 seconds
2.playedRollout118/13 3/2eq: +0.266 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		52.84% (G:16.27% B:0.54%)
47.16% (G:6.62% B:0.37%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.253...+0.279) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 59 seconds
3.xgXG Roller++7/2 5/4eq: +0.368 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		60.49% (G:6.94% B:0.09%)
39.51% (G:3.41% B:0.20%)
4.XG Roller++7/2 6/5eq: +0.360 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		60.25% (G:6.28% B:0.08%)
39.75% (G:2.82% B:0.11%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: +0.358 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		60.36% (G:5.96% B:0.08%)
39.64% (G:2.77% B:0.09%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Παρά το μεγάλο προβάδισμα στην κούρσα και τα δύο blots μου, δεν πρέπει να τρέξει ακόμα, πόσω μάλλον όταν αφήνει δύο ανοιχτά. Είχε χρόνο για να περιμένει τη διπλή ή να χαλάσω κάποιες εξωτερικές πόρτες (π.χ. τη 10) μειώνοντας έτσι τις βολές.
 
 31: 8/7* 7/4 
Pip=128-103
1.played3-ply8/7* 7/4eq: -0.275
Player:
Opponent:		47.67% (G:5.33% B:0.20%)
52.33% (G:16.58% B:0.18%)
2.3-ply6/2eq: -0.702 (-0.427)
Player:
Opponent:		31.01% (G:1.93% B:0.07%)
68.99% (G:5.01% B:0.05%)
3.3-ply8/5 6/5eq: -0.722 (-0.447)
Player:
Opponent:		32.15% (G:2.92% B:0.14%)
67.85% (G:7.91% B:0.16%)
4.3-ply4/1 2/1eq: -0.734 (-0.459)
Player:
Opponent:		29.79% (G:1.67% B:0.04%)
70.21% (G:4.02% B:0.04%)
5.3-ply8/4eq: -0.736 (-0.462)
Player:
Opponent:		31.11% (G:2.21% B:0.08%)
68.89% (G:6.54% B:0.10%)
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=124-110
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.10% (G:17.05% B:0.31%) 52.24% (G:16.94% B:0.32%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.90% (G:5.49% B:0.19%) 47.76% (G:5.33% B:0.28%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.149 +0.317
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.204±0.011 (+0.193..+0.215)
played Double/Take:+0.200 (-0.004)±0.015 (+0.185..+0.215)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.796)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 64.9%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 18 seconds

Ωραίος action double από το bar, λόγω σκορ, και βέβαια massive take.
 
 32: Bar/23* 13/10 
Pip=124-110
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23* 13/10eq: +0.564
Player:
Opponent:		62.01% (G:33.24% B:0.44%)
37.99% (G:5.70% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23* 23/20eq: +0.449 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		59.96% (G:27.29% B:0.64%)
40.04% (G:7.17% B:0.38%)
3.4-plyBar/23* 8/5eq: +0.388 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		57.75% (G:26.18% B:0.38%)
42.25% (G:6.00% B:0.24%)
4.4-plyBar/23* 7/4eq: +0.310 (-0.253)
Player:
Opponent:		53.42% (G:28.26% B:0.50%)
46.58% (G:10.28% B:0.68%)
5.4-plyBar/23* 6/3eq: +0.252 (-0.312)
Player:
Opponent:		51.97% (G:26.11% B:0.52%)
48.03% (G:11.22% B:0.71%)
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=147-105
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.984
Player:
Opponent:		26.12% (G:2.97% B:0.11%)
73.88% (G:46.78% B:0.29%)

Το φάσμα του διπλού γίνεται ορατό.
 
 64: 10/4 8/4 
Pip=147-105
1.played4-ply10/4 8/4eq: +1.010
Player:
Opponent:		73.83% (G:48.72% B:0.45%)
26.17% (G:2.50% B:0.09%)
2.4-ply7/1 5/1eq: +0.722 (-0.288)
Player:
Opponent:		66.00% (G:39.63% B:0.10%)
34.00% (G:5.01% B:0.23%)
3.3-ply10/6 8/2eq: +0.396 (-0.614)
Player:
Opponent:		58.19% (G:25.83% B:0.23%)
41.81% (G:4.13% B:0.10%)
4.3-ply10/4 6/2eq: +0.350 (-0.660)
Player:
Opponent:		54.89% (G:28.70% B:0.30%)
45.11% (G:8.00% B:0.35%)
5.3-ply8/2 6/2eq: +0.332 (-0.677)
Player:
Opponent:		55.46% (G:25.79% B:0.25%)
44.54% (G:6.23% B:0.20%)
 
 21: Bar/22 
Pip=147-95
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22eq: -0.995
Player:
Opponent:		27.60% (G:3.63% B:0.13%)
72.40% (G:50.42% B:0.53%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/4eq: -1.073 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		24.12% (G:2.96% B:0.11%)
75.88% (G:50.43% B:0.52%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 14/12eq: -1.090 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		24.83% (G:3.17% B:0.13%)
75.17% (G:52.74% B:0.91%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/11eq: -1.131 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		24.28% (G:3.28% B:0.13%)
75.72% (G:54.79% B:1.23%)
5.4-plyBar/24 10/8eq: -1.167 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		22.68% (G:2.96% B:0.09%)
77.32% (G:55.42% B:0.75%)

Πρέπει να δώσω μια ευκαιρία στο πούλι μου να βγει. Εξάλλου, και στον άσο τους ίδιους builders θα αντιμετώπιζα.
 
 33: 23/20 7/4 6/3*(2)  
Pip=144-95
1.playedXG Roller++23/20 7/4 6/3*(2) eq: +1.585
Player:
Opponent:		87.82% (G:71.70% B:0.56%)
12.18% (G:1.22% B:0.05%)
2.XG Roller++23/20 6/3*(2) 5/2eq: +1.507 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		86.06% (G:68.34% B:0.57%)
13.94% (G:1.64% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++7/1 6/3*(2) eq: +1.477 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		84.28% (G:69.22% B:0.60%)
15.72% (G:2.38% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 6/3*(2) 5/2eq: +1.453 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		84.02% (G:67.77% B:0.40%)
15.98% (G:1.87% B:0.07%)
5.4-ply7/4(2) 6/3*(2) eq: +1.344 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		80.96% (G:64.34% B:0.29%)
19.04% (G:2.25% B:0.07%)
 
 31: Bar/24 6/3 
Pip=147-83
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: -1.557
Player:
Opponent:		13.53% (G:1.89% B:0.09%)
86.47% (G:72.04% B:0.49%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 8/5* eq: -1.567 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		14.29% (G:2.17% B:0.10%)
85.71% (G:73.00% B:1.52%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -1.593 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		12.18% (G:1.72% B:0.08%)
87.82% (G:72.49% B:0.58%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 14/11eq: -1.609 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		12.63% (G:1.45% B:0.07%)
87.37% (G:73.41% B:1.50%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/24 4/1eq: -1.687 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		9.56% (G:1.14% B:0.04%)
90.44% (G:75.57% B:0.58%)
 
 41: 5/1* 4/3 
Pip=143-83
1.xgXG Roller++7/6 5/1* eq: +1.461
Player:
Opponent:		83.39% (G:70.04% B:0.29%)
16.61% (G:2.78% B:0.14%)
2.playedXG Roller++5/1* 4/3eq: +1.431 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		83.02% (G:67.65% B:0.59%)
16.98% (G:2.74% B:0.14%)
3.XG Roller++5/1* 2/1eq: +1.368 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		81.06% (G:66.23% B:0.36%)
18.94% (G:2.84% B:0.13%)
4.4-ply20/16 4/3eq: +1.235 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:		77.74% (G:58.67% B:2.05%)
22.26% (G:2.96% B:0.14%)
5.3-ply20/16 5/4eq: +1.056 (-0.406)
Player:
Opponent:		73.45% (G:52.17% B:1.43%)
26.55% (G:3.51% B:0.12%)

Το 7/6 αυξάνει τους builders σε 3. Αν χτυπηθεί, υπάρχει και το  slot μου στο 3.
 
 31: Bar/24* 6/3 
Pip=144-78
1.played3-plyBar/24* 6/3eq: -0.730
Player:
Opponent:		34.35% (G:6.44% B:0.28%)
65.65% (G:40.39% B:0.69%)
2.3-plyBar/24* 8/5* eq: -1.098 (-0.368)
Player:
Opponent:		27.62% (G:4.80% B:0.18%)
72.38% (G:53.61% B:4.68%)
3.3-plyBar/24* 13/10eq: -1.171 (-0.441)
Player:
Opponent:		23.44% (G:3.96% B:0.17%)
76.56% (G:55.91% B:1.78%)
4.3-plyBar/24* 14/11eq: -1.229 (-0.499)
Player:
Opponent:		23.58% (G:3.60% B:0.12%)
76.42% (G:57.53% B:4.38%)
5.3-plyBar/24* 10/7eq: -1.404 (-0.674)
Player:
Opponent:		19.93% (G:3.16% B:0.12%)
80.07% (G:64.43% B:5.29%)
 
 55: Bar/20 7/2 6/1*(2)  
Pip=140-102
1.played3-plyBar/20 7/2 6/1*(2) eq: +0.327
Player:
Opponent:		55.18% (G:26.47% B:0.05%)
44.82% (G:7.73% B:0.16%)
2.3-plyBar/20 7/2(2) 6/1* eq: -0.085 (-0.412)
Player:
Opponent:		42.04% (G:16.30% B:0.09%)
57.96% (G:11.18% B:0.43%)
 
 65: Bar/14 
Pip=141-82
1.played4-plyBar/14eq: +0.110
Player:
Opponent:		56.08% (G:10.86% B:0.08%)
43.92% (G:10.82% B:0.02%)
2.4-plyBar/19 13/8eq: -0.193 (-0.302)
Player:
Opponent:		49.18% (G:9.72% B:0.28%)
50.82% (G:23.54% B:0.11%)
3.3-plyBar/19 8/3eq: -0.523 (-0.632)
Player:
Opponent:		39.47% (G:7.16% B:0.29%)
60.53% (G:33.14% B:0.10%)
4.2-plyBar/19 14/9eq: -0.568 (-0.678)
Player:
Opponent:		39.99% (G:6.80% B:0.14%)
60.01% (G:37.40% B:0.44%)
5.2-plyBar/19 6/1eq: -0.625 (-0.735)
Player:
Opponent:		35.84% (G:5.75% B:0.19%)
64.16% (G:34.64% B:0.26%)
 
 52: 7/2 3/1 
Pip=130-82
1.playedXG Roller++7/2 3/1eq: -0.192
Player:
Opponent:		41.02% (G:9.00% B:0.02%)
58.98% (G:9.86% B:0.42%)
2.XG Roller++20/13eq: -0.203 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		38.18% (G:13.30% B:0.13%)
61.82% (G:10.67% B:0.41%)
3.XG Roller++7/2 5/3eq: -0.285 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		37.76% (G:7.27% B:0.03%)
62.24% (G:11.00% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++7/2 4/2eq: -0.316 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		36.52% (G:7.23% B:0.03%)
63.48% (G:12.14% B:0.54%)
5.4-ply20/18 7/2eq: -0.409 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		30.28% (G:11.51% B:0.08%)
69.72% (G:16.83% B:0.49%)
 
 41: 13/8 
Pip=130-75
1.XG Roller++14/13 14/10eq: +0.057
Player:
Opponent:		54.57% (G:8.50% B:0.29%)
45.43% (G:12.43% B:0.03%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/8eq: +0.055 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		54.91% (G:9.82% B:0.34%)
45.09% (G:13.54% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++14/9eq: +0.006 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		54.69% (G:9.36% B:0.31%)
45.31% (G:17.12% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++14/10 4/3eq: +0.004 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		52.40% (G:9.02% B:0.32%)
47.60% (G:12.99% B:0.06%)
5.4-ply14/10 3/2eq: -0.098 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		48.48% (G:8.52% B:0.20%)
51.52% (G:14.01% B:0.05%)
 
 54: 5/1 
Pip=125-75
1.playedXG Roller++5/1eq: -0.287
Player:
Opponent:		38.34% (G:6.42% B:0.02%)
61.66% (G:12.01% B:0.47%)
2.XG Roller++20/16eq: -0.322 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		33.84% (G:12.05% B:0.07%)
66.16% (G:13.99% B:0.49%)
 
 44: 14/10(2) 14/6 
Pip=125-71
1.xgRollout114/6 13/9 8/4eq: +0.222
Player:
Opponent:		58.28% (G:12.03% B:0.57%)
41.72% (G:7.31% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.216...+0.228) - [59.7%]
Duration: 7 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout114/6(2)eq: +0.221 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		58.18% (G:11.16% B:0.55%)
41.82% (G:6.85% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.215...+0.226) - [40.1%]
Duration: 6 minutes 25 seconds
3.playedRollout114/10(2) 14/6eq: +0.212 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		57.25% (G:8.77% B:0.42%)
42.75% (G:5.06% B:0.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.207...+0.218) - [0.2%]
Duration: 5 minutes 28 seconds
4.XG Roller++14/10 14/6 8/4eq: +0.188 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		57.26% (G:11.31% B:0.48%)
42.74% (G:7.27% B:0.03%)
5.XG Roller++14/2 8/4eq: +0.184 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		57.60% (G:12.32% B:0.49%)
42.40% (G:8.37% B:0.04%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
 62: 20/12*  
Pip=109-71
1.played3-ply20/12* eq: +0.005
Player:
Opponent:		49.71% (G:11.25% B:0.02%)
50.29% (G:13.55% B:0.62%)
2.3-ply20/18 20/14eq: -0.414 (-0.419)
Player:
Opponent:		33.58% (G:4.62% B:0.02%)
66.42% (G:12.54% B:0.53%)
3.3-ply20/14 5/3eq: -0.422 (-0.427)
Player:
Opponent:		32.48% (G:6.00% B:0.02%)
67.52% (G:11.76% B:0.41%)
4.2-ply20/14 4/2eq: -0.666 (-0.671)
Player:
Opponent:		23.22% (G:3.73% B:0.01%)
76.78% (G:21.19% B:1.03%)
5.2-ply20/14 3/1eq: -0.669 (-0.674)
Player:
Opponent:		23.22% (G:3.57% B:0.01%)
76.78% (G:21.41% B:1.06%)
 
 44: Cannot Move 
Pip=121-63
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.535
Player:
Opponent:		29.02% (G:3.01% B:0.22%)
70.98% (G:14.42% B:0.01%)
 
 65: 20/9 
Pip=121-63
1.playedXG Roller++20/9eq: +0.475
Player:
Opponent:		67.05% (G:17.76% B:0.01%)
32.95% (G:6.97% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++20/14 12/7eq: +0.448 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		67.09% (G:15.31% B:0.01%)
32.91% (G:6.97% B:0.38%)
3.3-ply12/1eq: +0.122 (-0.353)
Player:
Opponent:		53.77% (G:12.09% B:0.01%)
46.23% (G:8.40% B:0.24%)
 
 54: Bar/20* 20/16*  
Pip=121-52
1.played3-plyBar/20* 20/16* eq: +0.864
Player:
Opponent:		83.50% (G:31.31% B:2.13%)
16.50% (G:2.06% B:0.01%)
2.3-plyBar/20* 10/6eq: +0.345 (-0.519)
Player:
Opponent:		63.25% (G:14.32% B:0.90%)
36.75% (G:4.89% B:0.01%)
3.3-plyBar/20* 8/4eq: +0.272 (-0.591)
Player:
Opponent:		60.41% (G:13.01% B:0.78%)
39.59% (G:5.53% B:0.01%)
4.2-plyBar/20* 6/2eq: +0.057 (-0.806)
Player:
Opponent:		54.81% (G:13.59% B:0.64%)
45.19% (G:13.74% B:0.04%)
 
 54: Bar/20 
Pip=112-88
1.played3-plyBar/20eq: -0.923
Player:
Opponent:		16.33% (G:2.02% B:0.02%)
83.67% (G:34.62% B:2.38%)
 
 No double 
Pip=112-83
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 82.90% (G:34.60% B:2.38%) 83.04% (G:31.41% B:2.03%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 17.10% (G:2.00% B:0.01%) 16.96% (G:1.67% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.912 +1.068
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.910
     Redouble/Take:+0.427 (-0.483)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.090)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 45.7%

Το παράθυρο του redouble σ' αυτό το σκορ είναι τόσο μικρό που δεν τίθεται καν θέμα.
 
 21: 16/13*  
Pip=112-83
1.playedXG Roller++16/13* eq: +0.927
Player:
Opponent:		83.81% (G:30.26% B:1.97%)
16.19% (G:1.41% B:0.01%)
2.XG Roller++6/5* 5/3eq: +0.856 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		81.33% (G:29.36% B:1.83%)
18.67% (G:2.21% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++8/5* eq: +0.833 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		80.68% (G:33.35% B:2.19%)
19.32% (G:4.95% B:0.02%)
4.XG Roller++10/8 6/5* eq: +0.788 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:		79.43% (G:30.44% B:1.86%)
20.57% (G:5.03% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++16/14 6/5* eq: +0.782 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		79.31% (G:30.69% B:1.89%)
20.69% (G:5.40% B:0.02%)
 
 51: Bar/24 Bar/20 
Pip=109-96
1.played3-plyBar/24 Bar/20eq: -0.577
Player:
Opponent:		27.73% (G:1.61% B:0.01%)
72.27% (G:12.82% B:0.45%)
 
 32: 13/8 
Pip=109-90
1.xgRollout18/3eq: +0.486
Player:
Opponent:		67.51% (G:13.68% B:0.71%)
32.49% (G:2.28% B:0.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.480...+0.493) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 37 seconds
2.playedRollout113/8eq: +0.394 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		63.69% (G:10.19% B:0.46%)
36.31% (G:1.07% B:0.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.389...+0.400) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 14 seconds
3.XG Roller++6/1* eq: +0.472 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		68.01% (G:14.14% B:0.57%)
31.99% (G:3.98% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++10/8 6/3eq: +0.459 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		66.77% (G:13.03% B:0.49%)
33.23% (G:2.55% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 8/6eq: +0.382 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		63.01% (G:10.20% B:0.34%)
36.99% (G:1.27% B:0.01%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Η γενική αρχή όταν είναι κανείς τόσο πίσω, είναι να μείνει πίσω για να μεγιστοποιήσει την επαφή. Ο Marc έχει κάποια διπλα αν με χτυπήσει, αλλά αν δεν φέρει αμέσως 6, θα χαλάσει είτε το στρατόπεδό του (οπότε θα κινδυνεύω λιγότερο) είτε την anchor του (οπότε θα μπορώ να επιτεθώ).
 
 66: 24/12 20/14(2) 
Pip=104-90
1.playedXG Roller++24/12 20/14(2)eq: +0.825
Player:
Opponent:		91.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
8.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 20/14 20/8eq: +0.123 (-0.702)
Player:
Opponent:		58.72% (G:1.40% B:0.00%)
41.28% (G:3.07% B:0.11%)
3.2-ply20/8(2)eq: -0.120 (-0.945)
Player:
Opponent:		46.78% (G:3.35% B:0.00%)
53.22% (G:3.49% B:0.18%)
4.2-ply24/12 20/8eq: -0.148 (-0.973)
Player:
Opponent:		45.26% (G:3.85% B:0.00%)
54.74% (G:3.98% B:0.21%)
5.2-ply24/6 20/14eq: -0.175 (-1.001)
Player:
Opponent:		44.20% (G:3.60% B:0.00%)
55.80% (G:4.80% B:0.30%)
 
 51: 10/5 8/7 
Pip=104-66
1.playedXG Roller++10/5 8/7eq: -0.871
Player:
Opponent:		6.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/5 6/5eq: -0.874 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		5.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/9 10/5eq: -0.874 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		5.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/5 3/2eq: -0.876 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		5.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/5 4/3eq: -0.881 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		5.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 14/11 14/10 
Pip=98-66
1.playedXG Roller++14/11 14/10eq: +0.867
Player:
Opponent:		93.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++12/5eq: +0.866 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		93.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++14/10 12/9eq: +0.865 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		93.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++14/11 12/8eq: +0.864 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		93.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++14/7eq: +0.863 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		93.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 10/5 8/5 
Pip=98-59
1.playedXG Roller++10/5 8/5eq: -0.880
Player:
Opponent:		5.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 7/2eq: -0.886 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		5.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/5 7/4eq: -0.886 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		5.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/5 8/3eq: -0.887 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		5.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
94.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7 10/5eq: -0.894 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		4.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 12/9 10/5 
Pip=90-59
1.playedXG Roller++12/9 10/5eq: +0.891
Player:
Opponent:		94.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/8 10/5eq: +0.890 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		94.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++12/9 11/6eq: +0.888 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		94.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++12/7 11/8eq: +0.884 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		94.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++11/6 10/7eq: +0.880 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		94.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 8/5 7/6 
Pip=90-51
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 7/6eq: -0.942
Player:
Opponent:		2.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++8/5 3/2eq: -0.946 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		2.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/9 8/5eq: -0.947 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		2.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/6eq: -0.947 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		2.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4eq: -0.947 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		2.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 11/6 
Pip=86-51
1.playedXG Roller++11/6eq: +0.921
Player:
Opponent:		96.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++11/10 9/5eq: +0.914 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		95.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/4eq: +0.906 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		95.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 4/3eq: +0.897 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		95.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/5 2/1eq: +0.897 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		95.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 21: 10/9 8/6 
Pip=86-46
1.XG Roller++8/6 3/2eq: -0.968
Player:
Opponent:		1.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++10/9 8/6eq: -0.968 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		1.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.xgXG Roller++8/5eq: -0.968 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		1.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 5/4eq: -0.969 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		1.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7eq: -0.970 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		1.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 9/5 3/Off 
Pip=83-46
1.playedXG Roller++9/5 3/Offeq: +0.962
Player:
Opponent:		98.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++9/6 4/Offeq: +0.958 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		98.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/5 6/3eq: +0.946 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		97.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/2eq: +0.945 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		97.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/5 4/1eq: +0.939 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		97.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 43: 10/6 9/6 
Pip=83-39
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 9/6eq: -0.974
Player:
Opponent:		1.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/7 9/5eq: -0.976 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		1.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++9/2eq: -0.977 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		1.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/6 5/2eq: -0.978 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		1.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++9/5 6/3eq: -0.978 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		1.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 5/Off 4/Off 
Pip=76-39
1.played4-ply5/Off 4/Offeq: +0.978
Player:
Opponent:		98.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/2 5/Offeq: +0.962 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		98.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/1 5/Offeq: +0.961 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		98.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/1 4/Offeq: +0.959 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		98.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/1 5/1eq: +0.941 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		97.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 66: 6/Off(4) 
Pip=76-30
1.played3-ply6/Off(4)eq: -0.814
Player:
Opponent:		8.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 61: 6/Off 1/Off 
Pip=52-30
1.played4-ply6/Off 1/Offeq: +0.857
Player:
Opponent:		93.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Off 4/3eq: +0.690 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		85.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
14.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/Off 5/4eq: +0.684 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		85.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
14.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/Off 2/1eq: +0.684 (-0.173)
Player:
Opponent:		85.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
14.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/Offeq: +0.682 (-0.175)
Player:
Opponent:		85.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
14.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 51: 5/Off 3/2 
Pip=52-23
1.played4-ply5/Off 3/2eq: -0.923
Player:
Opponent:		3.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/Offeq: -0.923 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		3.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/4 5/Offeq: -0.931 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		3.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/Off 4/3eq: -0.935 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		3.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply6/5 6/1eq: -0.945 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		2.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 4/Off 1/Off 
Pip=46-23
1.played4-ply4/Off 1/Offeq: +0.885
Player:
Opponent:		94.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/Offeq: +0.766 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		89.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply4/Off 2/1eq: +0.765 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		89.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply4/Off 3/2eq: +0.758 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		88.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
11.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply5/1 4/3eq: +0.750 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:		88.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
11.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 5/Off 3/Off 
Pip=46-18
1.played4-ply5/Off 3/Offeq: -0.911
Player:
Opponent:		4.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 3/Offeq: -0.937 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		2.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/3 5/Offeq: -0.938 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		2.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply5/Off 4/1eq: -0.942 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		2.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.4-ply5/2 5/Offeq: -0.943 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		2.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 32: 3/Off 2/Off 
Pip=38-18
1.played4-ply3/Off 2/Offeq: +0.891
Player:
Opponent:		94.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/Offeq: +0.771 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		89.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
10.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply5/2 3/1eq: +0.759 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		88.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
11.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 6/Off 5/Off 
Pip=38-13
1.played4-ply6/Off 5/Offeq: -0.853
Player:
Opponent:		6.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/1 6/Offeq: -0.908 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		4.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 63: 5/Off 2/Off 
Pip=27-13
1.played4-ply5/Off 2/Offeq: +0.941
Player:
Opponent:		97.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply5/Offeq: +0.662 (-0.279)
Player:
Opponent:		83.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
16.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 62: 6/Off 2/Off 
Pip=27-6
1.played4-ply6/Off 2/Offeq: -0.952
Player:
Opponent:		2.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply6/4 6/Offeq: -1.000 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/Off 5/3eq: -1.000 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/Off 4/2eq: -1.000 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=19-6
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +0.944
Player:
Opponent:		97.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 52: 5/Off 4/2 
Pip=19-2
1.xg4-ply6/4 5/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.played4-ply5/Off 4/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply6/1 5/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.4-ply6/1 4/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 54: 1/Off(2) 
Pip=12-2
1.played3-ply1/Off(2)eq: +1.000
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Single Game 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
Expert (-0.0110) Total Error World Class (-0.0094)
Expert (-0.0115) Checker Play Expert (-0.0105)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (-0.0036)
5.51 Performance Rating 4.69
3(2) Move Errors 4(1)
-0.298(-1.47%) Equity lost (cost) -0.272(-1.08%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) -0.018(-0.06%)
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
3(2) Total Error 4(1)
-0.298(-1.47%) Equity lost (cost) -0.291(-1.15%)
     
4 Jokers 7
-0.836(-5.96%) Luck +0.836(+5.96%)

 Game 8

13 point match, Score is mman: 9, marcvd: 4

 
 62: 24/18 13/11 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/18 13/11eq: +0.115
Player:
Opponent:		50.90% (G:12.92% B:0.56%)
49.10% (G:13.90% B:1.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.111...+0.119) - [100.0%]
2.Book113/5eq: +0.083 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		49.47% (G:14.31% B:0.57%)
50.53% (G:14.34% B:1.48%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.080...+0.087) - [0.0%]
3.Book124/16eq: +0.077 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		50.38% (G:11.97% B:0.50%)
49.62% (G:14.02% B:1.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.074...+0.081) - [0.0%]
4.Book213/11 13/7eq: +0.054 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		48.23% (G:13.70% B:0.66%)
51.77% (G:14.85% B:0.89%)
5.Book224/22 13/7eq: +0.040 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		48.04% (G:12.81% B:0.48%)
51.96% (G:13.64% B:0.60%)
 
1 Generated by Steven Carey on 02-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
23328 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 69502489
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 41: 24/20 8/7*  
Pip=167-159
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 8/7* eq: -0.211
Player:
Opponent:		47.33% (G:12.20% B:0.53%)
52.67% (G:13.58% B:0.60%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 8/7* eq: -0.229 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		47.46% (G:13.52% B:0.62%)
52.54% (G:15.03% B:0.94%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 24/20eq: -0.352 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		43.87% (G:9.84% B:0.37%)
56.13% (G:14.14% B:0.52%)
4.XG Roller++8/7* 7/3eq: -0.357 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		44.75% (G:11.81% B:0.49%)
55.25% (G:16.42% B:0.92%)
5.4-ply13/8eq: -0.376 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		43.16% (G:10.57% B:0.34%)
56.84% (G:14.81% B:0.76%)
 
 No double 
Pip=162-166
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.67% (G:13.60% B:0.61%) 52.76% (G:13.59% B:0.59%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.33% (G:12.42% B:0.54%) 47.24% (G:12.58% B:0.54%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.027 +0.065
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.213
     Double/Take:+0.024 (-0.189)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.787)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.2%
 
 54: Bar/20 24/20 
Pip=162-166
1.played4-plyBar/20 24/20eq: +0.169
Player:
Opponent:		51.96% (G:10.69% B:0.37%)
48.04% (G:7.76% B:0.23%)
2.4-plyBar/16eq: -0.009 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		47.83% (G:11.48% B:0.53%)
52.17% (G:15.65% B:0.71%)
3.4-plyBar/21 13/8eq: -0.020 (-0.189)
Player:
Opponent:		47.16% (G:11.46% B:0.49%)
52.84% (G:14.39% B:0.66%)
4.4-plyBar/21 11/6eq: -0.048 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		46.59% (G:10.52% B:0.39%)
53.41% (G:13.57% B:0.49%)
5.4-plyBar/21 6/1* eq: -0.053 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:		46.51% (G:11.31% B:0.43%)
53.49% (G:15.40% B:0.82%)
 
 64: 24/20 13/7 
Pip=162-157
1.playedXG Roller++24/20 13/7eq: +0.005
Player:
Opponent:		50.84% (G:5.51% B:0.16%)
49.16% (G:5.34% B:0.16%)
2.XG Roller++24/14* eq: -0.112 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		50.29% (G:9.13% B:0.27%)
49.71% (G:12.08% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++20/14* 14/10eq: -0.130 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:		49.63% (G:10.74% B:0.38%)
50.37% (G:12.63% B:0.48%)
4.XG Roller++24/20 7/1eq: -0.132 (-0.137)
Player:
Opponent:		47.33% (G:5.99% B:0.12%)
52.67% (G:6.78% B:0.25%)
5.4-ply20/14* 13/9eq: -0.164 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		49.09% (G:9.56% B:0.31%)
50.91% (G:13.01% B:0.61%)
 
 54: 11/6 8/4 
Pip=152-157
1.playedXG Roller++11/6 8/4eq: -0.047
Player:
Opponent:		47.92% (G:4.72% B:0.11%)
52.08% (G:5.04% B:0.15%)
2.xgXG Roller++11/2eq: -0.049 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		47.93% (G:4.75% B:0.10%)
52.07% (G:5.33% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller++13/8 11/7eq: -0.073 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		46.73% (G:5.57% B:0.14%)
53.27% (G:5.57% B:0.16%)
4.XG Roller++11/7 8/3eq: -0.098 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		45.93% (G:5.88% B:0.15%)
54.07% (G:6.35% B:0.20%)
5.XG Roller++13/4eq: -0.101 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		45.53% (G:6.77% B:0.17%)
54.47% (G:7.17% B:0.23%)
 
 63: 13/7 6/3 
Pip=152-148
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 6/3eq: +0.029
Player:
Opponent:		51.39% (G:5.43% B:0.16%)
48.61% (G:4.95% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++13/4eq: +0.028 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		51.34% (G:5.44% B:0.15%)
48.66% (G:4.88% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: +0.007 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		50.92% (G:6.38% B:0.19%)
49.08% (G:5.66% B:0.16%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 7/1eq: -0.057 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		49.49% (G:6.07% B:0.12%)
50.51% (G:6.39% B:0.20%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 6/3eq: -0.074 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		48.78% (G:7.83% B:0.21%)
51.22% (G:7.12% B:0.23%)
 
 62: 13/7 6/4 
Pip=143-148
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 6/4eq: -0.057
Player:
Opponent:		47.21% (G:5.89% B:0.14%)
52.79% (G:5.94% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: -0.118 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		45.40% (G:6.24% B:0.14%)
54.60% (G:7.17% B:0.23%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 8/2eq: -0.152 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		44.78% (G:4.81% B:0.08%)
55.22% (G:6.15% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 4/2eq: -0.173 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		43.91% (G:5.74% B:0.13%)
56.09% (G:6.90% B:0.23%)
5.XG Roller++8/2 4/2eq: -0.183 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		43.57% (G:5.99% B:0.14%)
56.43% (G:7.29% B:0.23%)
 
 21: 20/18* 3/2 
Pip=143-140
1.xgRollout16/3eq: -0.023
Player:
Opponent:		49.14% (G:5.45% B:0.29%)
50.86% (G:5.43% B:0.14%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.033...-0.013) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 14 seconds
2.playedRollout120/18* 3/2eq: -0.318 (-0.295)
Player:
Opponent:		46.25% (G:9.58% B:0.53%)
53.75% (G:18.36% B:0.69%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.331...-0.305) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 17 seconds
3.XG Roller++7/4eq: -0.072 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		48.62% (G:5.20% B:0.15%)
51.38% (G:5.25% B:0.13%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 3/2eq: -0.088 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		48.28% (G:5.16% B:0.14%)
51.72% (G:5.58% B:0.15%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 8/6eq: -0.126 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		47.16% (G:4.81% B:0.11%)
52.84% (G:5.50% B:0.16%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Για κάποιον ανεξήγητο λόγο πουλάω εντελώς αυτή τη παρτίδα. Οι λόγοι για να μην χτυπήσω είναι πολλοί και γνωστοί:
1) Έχει ισχυρότερο στρατόπεδο.
2) Έχω εσωτερικό blot.
3) Δεν είμαι πίσω στην κούρσα.
4) Είμαι σημαντικά μπροστά στο σκορ.
 
 No double 
Pip=140-158
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 53.64% (G:17.59% B:0.75%) 53.70% (G:17.87% B:0.73%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 46.36% (G:8.94% B:0.30%) 46.30% (G:9.11% B:0.34%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.135 +0.292
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.330
     Double/Take:+0.212 (-0.118)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.670)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.0%
 
 63: Bar/22 13/7*  
Pip=140-158
1.played4-plyBar/22 13/7* eq: +0.213
Player:
Opponent:		51.16% (G:14.75% B:0.57%)
48.84% (G:9.52% B:0.33%)
2.4-plyBar/16eq: +0.007 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		46.75% (G:10.20% B:0.30%)
53.25% (G:6.80% B:0.20%)
3.3-plyBar/22 20/14eq: -0.202 (-0.415)
Player:
Opponent:		42.31% (G:10.30% B:0.40%)
57.69% (G:15.40% B:0.66%)
4.3-plyBar/22 8/2eq: -0.258 (-0.471)
Player:
Opponent:		40.12% (G:9.26% B:0.31%)
59.88% (G:12.42% B:0.38%)
 
 32: Bar/22 20/18*  
Pip=147-149
1.xgRollout1Bar/20eq: +0.115
Player:
Opponent:		53.62% (G:8.27% B:0.42%)
46.38% (G:7.55% B:0.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.102...+0.127) - [100.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 11 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/22 20/18* eq: -0.161 (-0.275)
Player:
Opponent:		49.90% (G:13.38% B:0.97%)
50.10% (G:17.02% B:0.74%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.178...-0.144) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 52 seconds
3.3-plyBar/23 6/3* eq: -0.556 (-0.671)
Player:
Opponent:		41.63% (G:8.81% B:0.34%)
58.37% (G:21.85% B:1.29%)
4.2-plyBar/22 6/4eq: -0.647 (-0.761)
Player:
Opponent:		40.53% (G:8.49% B:0.31%)
59.47% (G:23.49% B:1.16%)
5.2-plyBar/23 7/4eq: -0.796 (-0.911)
Player:
Opponent:		39.03% (G:9.37% B:0.42%)
60.97% (G:26.43% B:1.49%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Τη γλίτωσα, αφού δεν μου χτύπησε το εσωτερικό blot, και έχω την ευκαρία να φτιάξω ξανά την 20. Αντί γι' αυτό, πάω ξανά γυρεύοντας, τη στιγμή που έχει πλέον τρία πούλια πίσω.
 
 11: Bar/23* 6/5(2) 
Pip=142-167
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/23* 6/5(2)eq: +0.566
Player:
Opponent:		59.22% (G:20.65% B:0.93%)
40.78% (G:7.94% B:0.29%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/24 8/7* 6/5(2)eq: +0.526 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		58.58% (G:20.93% B:1.06%)
41.42% (G:10.50% B:0.43%)
3.4-plyBar/23* 8/7*(2) eq: +0.373 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:		54.81% (G:17.43% B:0.81%)
45.19% (G:9.39% B:0.34%)
4.4-plyBar/23* 4/3*(2) eq: +0.362 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		53.04% (G:20.18% B:1.02%)
46.96% (G:10.47% B:0.43%)
5.4-plyBar/23* 22/21 8/7* eq: +0.347 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		53.53% (G:18.37% B:0.88%)
46.47% (G:10.41% B:0.40%)
 
 62: Bar/23 13/7 
Pip=165-163
1.xgRollout1Bar/23 22/16eq: -0.858
Player:
Opponent:		37.61% (G:8.09% B:1.27%)
62.39% (G:27.08% B:1.33%)		Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.878...-0.838) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 53 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/23 13/7eq: -0.961 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		35.55% (G:8.72% B:1.41%)
64.45% (G:27.42% B:1.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.983...-0.940) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 37 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 7/1eq: -1.000 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		32.78% (G:7.44% B:0.27%)
67.22% (G:29.95% B:2.04%)
4.4-plyBar/23 8/2* eq: -1.075 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		28.45% (G:5.29% B:0.17%)
71.55% (G:36.33% B:4.22%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Σκέφτηκα ότι αν βγω, με χτυπάει με 6, 4, 1, 5 και 3, αλλά το ίδιο ισχύει και αν μείνω μέσα, γιατί βέβαια δεν θα διστάσει να με χτυπήσει και στο 2. Οπότε είναι σημαντικό να βγάλω το πούλι έξω. Επιπλεόν τα χτυπήματα στο outfield με 4 δεν προετοιμάζουν εσωτερική πόρτα.
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=157-163
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.25% (G:27.10% B:1.46%) 64.22% (G:27.61% B:1.41%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.75% (G:8.66% B:0.58%) 35.78% (G:8.63% B:0.81%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.451 +1.027
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.772 (-0.173)±0.014 (+0.758..+0.786)
xg Double/Take:+0.945±0.022 (+0.923..+0.967)
played Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.055)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 29 minutes 46 seconds

Με τέσσερα απανωτά λάθη πουλάω τελείως την παρτίδα.
Η επίθεσή του είναι ισχυρή, αλλά όχι όσο φαίνεται  επειδή του λείπουν τέσσερα πούλια τα οποία αντιπροσωπεύουν πολλή δουλειά που πρέπει να γίνει για να φτάσει στη νίκη.
Φυσικά, δεν φοβήθηκα τις τόσο πολλές νίκες του, όσο το αυξημένο ποσοστό των διπλών σε συνδυασμό με το σημαντικό μου προβάδισμα στο σκορ.
Γενικά, πάντως, σπάνια μία θέση είναι πάσο με τον αντίπαλο να έχει τέσσερα πούλια στο στρατόπεδό μας. Για σύγκριση δείτε και τον βίδο στο δεύτερο game (σκορ  2-0/13).
 
 Wins 1pt. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
Distracted (-0.1041) Total Error World Champ. (+0.0000)
Distracted (-0.1123) Checker Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
Beginner (-0.0548) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
52.03 Performance Rating 0.00
3(3) Move Errors 0
-0.674(-3.18%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Double Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
1 Take Errors 0
-0.055(-0.26%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
4(3) Total Error 0
-0.728(-3.44%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Jokers 1
-0.209(-0.99%) Luck +0.209(+0.99%)

 Game 9

13 point match, Score is mman: 9, marcvd: 5

 
 41: 13/9 6/5 
Pip=167-167
1.xgBook124/23 13/9eq: +0.110
Player:
Opponent:		49.99% (G:14.51% B:0.58%)
50.01% (G:14.25% B:1.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.107...+0.113) - [99.6%]
2.playedBook113/9 6/5eq: +0.104 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		49.93% (G:14.44% B:0.60%)
50.07% (G:15.29% B:1.94%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.101...+0.107) - [0.4%]
3.Book213/8eq: +0.076 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		48.69% (G:13.14% B:0.58%)
51.31% (G:13.67% B:0.59%)
4.Book224/23 24/20eq: +0.070 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		48.95% (G:12.19% B:0.51%)
51.05% (G:13.22% B:0.50%)
5.Book224/20 6/5eq: +0.058 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		48.73% (G:12.22% B:0.47%)
51.27% (G:13.86% B:0.65%)
 
1 Generated by Dmitriy Obukhov on 02-Feb-13 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 51: 24/23 13/8 
Pip=167-162
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 13/8eq: -0.433
Player:
Opponent:		43.61% (G:11.13% B:0.51%)
56.39% (G:17.11% B:0.70%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: -0.446 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		43.75% (G:11.77% B:0.57%)
56.25% (G:17.97% B:1.06%)
3.XG Roller++24/18eq: -0.499 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		42.92% (G:10.00% B:0.48%)
57.08% (G:19.26% B:0.70%)
4.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.568 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:		41.06% (G:10.64% B:0.48%)
58.94% (G:18.81% B:1.13%)
5.4-ply24/23 8/3eq: -0.635 (-0.202)
Player:
Opponent:		39.70% (G:10.13% B:0.47%)
60.30% (G:20.81% B:1.08%)
 
 No double 
Pip=161-162
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.60% (G:17.04% B:0.65%) 56.71% (G:17.07% B:0.67%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.40% (G:11.20% B:0.49%) 43.29% (G:11.10% B:0.51%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.167 +0.382
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.440
     Double/Take:+0.332 (-0.109)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.560)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.0%
 
 51: 13/8 6/5 
Pip=161-162
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 6/5eq: +0.417
Player:
Opponent:		55.88% (G:16.93% B:0.67%)
44.12% (G:11.45% B:0.57%)
2.XG Roller++9/4 6/5eq: +0.317 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		53.86% (G:16.02% B:0.60%)
46.14% (G:12.38% B:0.69%)
3.XG Roller++9/4 5/4eq: +0.290 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		53.35% (G:15.81% B:0.57%)
46.65% (G:12.00% B:0.55%)
4.XG Roller++6/5 6/1* eq: +0.276 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		53.03% (G:16.15% B:0.54%)
46.97% (G:13.13% B:0.75%)
5.XG Roller++8/3 6/5eq: +0.248 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:		52.31% (G:15.78% B:0.59%)
47.69% (G:13.65% B:0.87%)
 
 43: 13/10 13/9 
Pip=161-156
1.xgXG Roller++24/21 13/9eq: -0.811
Player:
Opponent:		37.28% (G:9.62% B:0.52%)
62.72% (G:22.41% B:1.12%)
2.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.830 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		36.67% (G:9.44% B:0.46%)
63.33% (G:22.28% B:0.90%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/10 13/9eq: -0.860 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		36.87% (G:10.09% B:0.54%)
63.13% (G:23.45% B:1.58%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 8/5eq: -0.915 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:		37.29% (G:9.74% B:0.56%)
62.71% (G:25.79% B:2.10%)
5.XG Roller++13/9 6/3eq: -0.930 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		36.70% (G:9.23% B:0.47%)
63.30% (G:25.30% B:1.83%)

Το παίξιμό μου παραείναι ανοιχτό, τη στιγμή που έχει κάνει την 5 και θα ήθελε πάρα πολύ ένα gammon για να ισοφαρίσει.
Το 24/21 έρχεται under the gun, αλλά προσπαθεί να φτιάξει μια καλή anchor και δεν αφήνει τέταρτο πούλι ανοιχτό.
 
 Double/Take 
Pip=154-156
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 63.14% (G:23.88% B:1.65%) 63.13% (G:24.22% B:1.72%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 36.86% (G:10.35% B:0.56%) 36.87% (G:10.39% B:0.58%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.394 +0.909
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.772 (-0.101)
played Double/Take:+0.873
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.127)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Πολύ σωστός βίδος, αφού ο Marc έχε αρκετά market losers και κυρίως δεν έχει καμία πολυτέλεια να χάσει ευκαιρία για διπλό σ' αυτό το σκορ.
Φυσικά, με ίση κούρσα και όντας έτοιμος να κάνω πρόοδο επιθετικά (κυρίως) ή αμυντικά, είναι ένα εύκολο take.
 
 62: 24/16*  
Pip=154-156
1.playedXG Roller++24/16* eq: +0.547
Player:
Opponent:		66.67% (G:23.91% B:1.82%)
33.33% (G:7.71% B:0.36%)
2.XG Roller++13/7 9/7eq: +0.394 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:		62.18% (G:20.93% B:1.17%)
37.82% (G:10.78% B:0.53%)
3.4-ply24/22 8/2* eq: +0.295 (-0.252)
Player:
Opponent:		57.80% (G:21.10% B:1.72%)
42.20% (G:13.00% B:0.86%)
4.4-ply13/11 8/2* eq: +0.280 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		57.21% (G:21.13% B:1.61%)
42.79% (G:13.25% B:1.06%)
5.4-ply9/1* eq: +0.272 (-0.275)
Player:
Opponent:		57.26% (G:20.56% B:1.11%)
42.74% (G:12.01% B:0.67%)
 
 32: Bar/22 24/22 
Pip=170-148
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 24/22eq: -0.530
Player:
Opponent:		31.93% (G:6.60% B:0.25%)
68.07% (G:20.73% B:0.94%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 10/8eq: -0.637 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		29.82% (G:6.22% B:0.25%)
70.18% (G:24.81% B:1.51%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 10/7eq: -0.651 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		28.47% (G:6.00% B:0.23%)
71.53% (G:23.62% B:1.41%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/5eq: -0.661 (-0.131)
Player:
Opponent:		30.09% (G:6.26% B:0.26%)
69.91% (G:27.01% B:2.00%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/23 24/21eq: -0.679 (-0.149)
Player:
Opponent:		28.62% (G:5.86% B:0.25%)
71.38% (G:25.96% B:1.58%)
 
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=165-148
1.playedXG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: +0.518
Player:
Opponent:		66.48% (G:22.59% B:1.18%)
33.52% (G:8.17% B:0.39%)
2.XG Roller++16/14 13/9eq: +0.507 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		68.65% (G:17.81% B:0.71%)
31.35% (G:6.61% B:0.23%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/9eq: +0.503 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		68.00% (G:18.75% B:0.83%)
32.00% (G:7.50% B:0.27%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 8/6eq: +0.498 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		67.74% (G:18.77% B:0.80%)
32.26% (G:7.14% B:0.27%)
5.XG Roller++13/9 6/4eq: +0.443 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		65.29% (G:19.24% B:0.92%)
34.71% (G:9.65% B:0.48%)
 
 42: 13/11 13/9*  
Pip=165-142
1.xgXG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.614
Player:
Opponent:		29.08% (G:5.85% B:0.26%)
70.92% (G:22.10% B:1.04%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/11 13/9* eq: -0.648 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		29.53% (G:7.12% B:0.37%)
70.47% (G:25.74% B:1.51%)
3.XG Roller++22/16* eq: -0.691 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		30.88% (G:7.07% B:0.37%)
69.12% (G:30.41% B:2.60%)
4.XG Roller++10/4eq: -0.726 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		25.67% (G:4.50% B:0.20%)
74.33% (G:24.53% B:1.12%)
5.XG Roller++13/9* 10/8eq: -0.737 (-0.123)
Player:
Opponent:		26.65% (G:5.45% B:0.26%)
73.35% (G:27.14% B:1.46%)

Γενικά στα δύο τελευταία games παίζω πιο επιθετικά απ' ότι μου επιτρέπει το σημαντικό μου προβάδισμα στο σκορ. Εδώ δεν είμαι καθόλου υποχρεωμένος να χτυπήσω. Αντίθετα, είναι μια εξαιρετική ευκαιρία να ξεφορτώσω με τον καλύτερο τρόπο τις πόρτες 8 και 6.
 
 44: Bar/21 24/16* 13/9 
Pip=159-151
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/21 24/16* 13/9eq: +0.926
Player:
Opponent:		76.56% (G:35.51% B:2.21%)
23.44% (G:2.87% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 24/16* 16/12eq: +0.866 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		75.28% (G:33.27% B:2.01%)
24.72% (G:3.57% B:0.18%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 24/16* 9/5eq: +0.865 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		73.90% (G:35.57% B:2.32%)
26.10% (G:3.74% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21 24/16* 8/4eq: +0.853 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		72.87% (G:36.41% B:2.52%)
27.13% (G:4.29% B:0.22%)
5.4-plyBar/21 13/9 6/2*(2) eq: +0.612 (-0.313)
Player:
Opponent:		66.90% (G:28.41% B:1.96%)
33.10% (G:6.25% B:0.30%)
 
 33: Bar/22 11/5 8/5 
Pip=175-135
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 11/5 8/5eq: -0.952
Player:
Opponent:		19.20% (G:2.54% B:0.11%)
80.80% (G:30.73% B:1.16%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 11/8 10/4* eq: -0.970 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		19.44% (G:2.61% B:0.10%)
80.56% (G:32.42% B:1.33%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 11/8 10/7 6/3eq: -0.992 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		18.24% (G:2.28% B:0.09%)
81.76% (G:32.02% B:1.25%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 11/8 6/3(2)eq: -0.995 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		18.02% (G:2.19% B:0.09%)
81.98% (G:31.94% B:1.19%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 10/7 8/5(2)eq: -0.996 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		20.64% (G:2.81% B:0.13%)
79.36% (G:36.40% B:1.85%)
 
 52: 21/16 8/6 
Pip=163-135
1.xgXG Roller++21/14eq: +0.840
Player:
Opponent:		81.27% (G:21.03% B:0.61%)
18.73% (G:2.73% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++21/16 13/11eq: +0.839 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		81.71% (G:20.15% B:0.54%)
18.29% (G:2.54% B:0.10%)
3.playedXG Roller++21/16 8/6eq: +0.814 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		80.57% (G:20.16% B:0.56%)
19.43% (G:2.63% B:0.12%)
4.XG Roller++16/9eq: +0.788 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		76.35% (G:25.82% B:1.01%)
23.65% (G:3.85% B:0.13%)
5.XG Roller++16/11 8/6eq: +0.757 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		76.11% (G:23.95% B:0.90%)
23.89% (G:4.63% B:0.19%)
 
 43: 22/18 10/7 
Pip=163-128
1.playedXG Roller++22/18 10/7eq: -0.853
Player:
Opponent:		21.83% (G:3.29% B:0.15%)
78.17% (G:27.65% B:1.07%)
2.XG Roller++10/3eq: -0.853 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		18.24% (G:2.41% B:0.07%)
81.76% (G:21.24% B:0.59%)
3.XG Roller++10/7 8/4eq: -0.854 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		18.46% (G:2.67% B:0.10%)
81.54% (G:21.77% B:0.65%)
4.XG Roller++10/7 6/2eq: -0.867 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		17.72% (G:2.45% B:0.08%)
82.28% (G:21.41% B:0.59%)
5.XG Roller++10/6 8/5eq: -0.872 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		17.02% (G:1.95% B:0.05%)
82.98% (G:20.48% B:0.51%)

Το να βγω στο αντίπαλο bar είναι θεματικό. Αν τη γλιτώσω, ίσως καταφέρω να κάνω την πόρτα ή αλλιώς να διώξω το πούλι. Αν χτυπηθώ, ίσως φτιάξω ένα 2-3 backgame.
 
 51: 13/7*  
Pip=156-128
1.playedXG Roller++13/7* eq: +0.828
Player:
Opponent:		77.62% (G:26.55% B:1.15%)
22.38% (G:3.68% B:0.19%)
2.XG Roller++8/7* 7/2* eq: +0.808 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		75.69% (G:28.80% B:1.06%)
24.31% (G:4.35% B:0.21%)
3.XG Roller++16/11 8/7* eq: +0.722 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		73.03% (G:26.78% B:1.38%)
26.97% (G:6.53% B:0.56%)
4.XG Roller++16/10eq: +0.683 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		75.88% (G:18.32% B:0.67%)
24.12% (G:4.04% B:0.18%)
5.XG Roller++16/15 16/11eq: +0.683 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		76.23% (G:17.54% B:0.63%)
23.77% (G:3.39% B:0.15%)
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=163-122
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.970
Player:
Opponent:		19.42% (G:1.97% B:0.11%)
80.58% (G:32.25% B:1.18%)
 
 42: 13/7 
Pip=163-122
1.xgRollout19/7 6/2* eq: +1.021
Player:
Opponent:		82.44% (G:33.08% B:1.12%)
17.56% (G:2.20% B:0.25%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+1.014...+1.028) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 31 seconds
2.playedRollout113/7eq: +0.950 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		81.74% (G:28.42% B:0.87%)
18.26% (G:1.69% B:0.28%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.943...+0.956) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 58 seconds
3.XG Roller++16/14 6/2* eq: +0.967 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		80.72% (G:32.15% B:1.09%)
19.28% (G:2.88% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 6/2* eq: +0.953 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		80.30% (G:31.77% B:1.08%)
19.70% (G:2.73% B:0.14%)
5.XG Roller++16/12 9/7eq: +0.918 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		80.37% (G:28.58% B:1.07%)
19.63% (G:2.07% B:0.12%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το εξάπορτο είναι φυσικά ελκυστικο, αλλά εδώ ο Marc έπρεπε να πάει για το gammon. Γενικά σε τέτοιες θέσεις και σε τέτοιο σκορ, όπως λένε και οι Αμερικάνοι, you go for the throat. Οπότε εδώ κύριο μέλημά του είναι να αποτρέψει το backgame.
 
 65: Cannot Move 
Pip=163-116
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.045
Player:
Opponent:		18.78% (G:1.76% B:0.09%)
81.22% (G:37.13% B:1.29%)
 
 41: 16/15 6/2*  
Pip=163-116
1.playedXG Roller++16/15 6/2* eq: +1.058
Player:
Opponent:		82.97% (G:35.09% B:1.11%)
17.03% (G:1.24% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++6/2* 2/1eq: +1.049 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		82.81% (G:34.80% B:1.01%)
17.19% (G:1.58% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++9/8 6/2* eq: +0.995 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		80.58% (G:34.47% B:1.21%)
19.42% (G:2.34% B:0.11%)
4.XG Roller++8/7 6/2* eq: +0.964 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		79.10% (G:34.86% B:1.17%)
20.90% (G:3.01% B:0.14%)
5.XG Roller++7/2* eq: +0.946 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		78.23% (G:35.08% B:1.19%)
21.77% (G:3.30% B:0.17%)
 
 63: Bar/22 
Pip=165-111
1.played3-plyBar/22eq: -1.017
Player:
Opponent:		15.00% (G:0.95% B:0.03%)
85.00% (G:28.41% B:0.52%)
 
 32: 16/14 15/12 
Pip=162-111
1.XG Roller++15/10eq: +1.003
Player:
Opponent:		85.29% (G:26.71% B:0.51%)
14.71% (G:0.90% B:0.03%)
2.playedXG Roller++16/14 15/12eq: +1.000 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		85.36% (G:26.41% B:0.48%)
14.64% (G:0.85% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++16/11eq: +0.999 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		85.22% (G:26.52% B:0.50%)
14.78% (G:0.89% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++16/13 15/13eq: +0.996 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		85.26% (G:26.23% B:0.47%)
14.74% (G:0.82% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++9/7 9/6eq: +0.906 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		81.44% (G:26.04% B:0.67%)
18.56% (G:2.10% B:0.09%)
 
 31: Bar/24 7/4 
Pip=162-106
1.Rollout1Bar/22 6/5eq: -0.910
Player:
Opponent:		14.39% (G:0.77% B:0.05%)
85.61% (G:18.48% B:0.22%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.914...-0.905) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/24 7/4eq: -0.992 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		15.70% (G:1.23% B:0.06%)
84.30% (G:27.39% B:0.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.997...-0.986) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 28 seconds
3.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 8/7eq: -0.916 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		14.49% (G:0.76% B:0.01%)
85.51% (G:19.36% B:0.25%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 5/4eq: -0.922 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		14.32% (G:0.77% B:0.01%)
85.68% (G:19.57% B:0.27%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 7/6eq: -0.925 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		14.20% (G:0.76% B:0.01%)
85.80% (G:19.58% B:0.25%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το πούλι στο 24 δεν εξηπυρετεί τίποτα, αντίθετα, μπορεί να αποτελέσει στόχο. Εφόσον δεν μπορώ πλέον να φτιάξω δεύτερη πόρτα ο στόχος μου θα έπρεπε να είναι να κόψω την παρτίδα και αν έρθει κάποια βολή θα είναι ευπρόσδεκτο bonus.
 
 33: 14/2 
Pip=158-106
1.playedXG Roller++14/2eq: +0.970
Player:
Opponent:		83.12% (G:28.16% B:0.50%)
16.88% (G:1.25% B:0.05%)
2.xgXG Roller++14/8 12/6eq: +0.967 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		83.37% (G:27.40% B:0.50%)
16.63% (G:1.26% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++14/5 12/9eq: +0.951 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		82.68% (G:27.46% B:0.50%)
17.32% (G:1.36% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++14/11 8/5 8/2eq: +0.950 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		82.13% (G:28.29% B:0.61%)
17.87% (G:1.48% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++7/1*(2) eq: +0.936 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		78.55% (G:34.01% B:0.65%)
21.45% (G:2.54% B:0.12%)

Χαρακτηριστικό του ότι το πούλι στο 24 είναι αδυναμία, είναι το πόσο μικρό λαθος είναι το 7/1*(2).
 
 42: 24/22 8/4 
Pip=158-94
1.playedXG Roller++24/22 8/4eq: -0.873
Player:
Opponent:		16.80% (G:1.09% B:0.02%)
83.20% (G:20.21% B:0.23%)
2.XG Roller++24/22 6/2eq: -0.899 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		16.45% (G:1.03% B:0.01%)
83.55% (G:21.68% B:0.30%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 5/1eq: -0.966 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		14.62% (G:0.92% B:0.01%)
85.38% (G:23.67% B:0.38%)
4.XG Roller++8/4 6/4eq: -0.970 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		18.12% (G:1.47% B:0.03%)
81.88% (G:30.44% B:0.55%)
5.XG Roller++6/4 6/2eq: -0.986 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		17.91% (G:1.48% B:0.03%)
82.09% (G:31.36% B:0.58%)
 
 65: 12/1 
Pip=152-94
1.playedXG Roller++12/1eq: +0.856
Player:
Opponent:		82.01% (G:21.07% B:0.16%)
17.99% (G:1.01% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++7/2 7/1eq: +0.713 (-0.143)
Player:
Opponent:		75.66% (G:21.18% B:0.23%)
24.34% (G:2.18% B:0.07%)
3.XG Roller++12/6 9/4eq: +0.706 (-0.150)
Player:
Opponent:		76.47% (G:19.13% B:0.20%)
23.53% (G:2.14% B:0.07%)
4.4-ply12/7 8/2eq: +0.637 (-0.219)
Player:
Opponent:		73.90% (G:18.34% B:0.22%)
26.10% (G:2.74% B:0.07%)
5.4-ply12/6 7/2eq: +0.607 (-0.249)
Player:
Opponent:		72.43% (G:18.62% B:0.24%)
27.57% (G:3.01% B:0.09%)
 
 52: 8/3 6/4 
Pip=152-83
1.playedXG Roller++8/3 6/4eq: -0.854
Player:
Opponent:		18.06% (G:1.23% B:0.02%)
81.94% (G:21.06% B:0.19%)
2.XG Roller++8/3 5/3eq: -0.877 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		17.20% (G:1.11% B:0.02%)
82.80% (G:21.29% B:0.20%)
3.XG Roller++8/6 8/3eq: -0.883 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		17.02% (G:1.12% B:0.02%)
82.98% (G:21.49% B:0.20%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 4/2eq: -0.893 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		17.99% (G:1.27% B:0.02%)
82.01% (G:24.02% B:0.29%)
5.XG Roller++6/4 6/1eq: -0.908 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		16.83% (G:1.01% B:0.02%)
83.17% (G:23.09% B:0.23%)
 
 31: 9/8 9/6 
Pip=145-83
1.playedXG Roller++9/8 9/6eq: +0.841
Player:
Opponent:		83.13% (G:17.72% B:0.13%)
16.87% (G:0.96% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++8/7 8/5eq: +0.815 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		81.80% (G:18.08% B:0.15%)
18.20% (G:1.11% B:0.03%)
3.XG Roller++7/6 7/4eq: +0.798 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		80.26% (G:19.49% B:0.20%)
19.74% (G:1.30% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++9/6 2/1eq: +0.699 (-0.142)
Player:
Opponent:		75.85% (G:19.76% B:0.23%)
24.15% (G:2.45% B:0.07%)
5.XG Roller++9/5eq: +0.695 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:		75.64% (G:19.75% B:0.25%)
24.36% (G:2.48% B:0.07%)
 
 63: 22/16 6/3 
Pip=145-79
1.playedXG Roller++22/16 6/3eq: -0.739
Player:
Opponent:		18.15% (G:1.10% B:0.02%)
81.85% (G:11.76% B:0.08%)
2.xgXG Roller++22/13eq: -0.748 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		17.67% (G:1.05% B:0.02%)
82.33% (G:11.60% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++22/16 8/5eq: -0.754 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		17.31% (G:1.01% B:0.02%)
82.69% (G:11.44% B:0.09%)
4.XG Roller++22/16 4/1eq: -0.787 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		16.78% (G:0.93% B:0.01%)
83.22% (G:13.14% B:0.12%)
5.XG Roller++22/16 5/2eq: -0.802 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		17.55% (G:1.07% B:0.02%)
82.45% (G:15.71% B:0.24%)
 
 65: 8/2 6/1 
Pip=136-79
1.playedRollout18/2 6/1eq: +0.682
Player:
Opponent:		79.36% (G:11.60% B:0.05%)
20.64% (G:1.60% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.678...+0.686) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout17/2 7/1eq: +0.637 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		77.41% (G:11.66% B:0.06%)
22.59% (G:1.81% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.634...+0.641) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 20 seconds
3.3-ply7/1 6/1eq: +0.359 (-0.323)
Player:
Opponent:		65.11% (G:11.81% B:0.13%)
34.89% (G:3.59% B:0.05%)
4.3-ply8/2 7/2eq: +0.321 (-0.361)
Player:
Opponent:		63.80% (G:11.34% B:0.13%)
36.20% (G:4.20% B:0.07%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Ένα πούλι θα θαφτεί έτσι κι αλλιώς. Μου αρέσει το 7/2 7/1. Δημιουργεί μια μικρή τρύπα στο bar, αλλά έχει μεγαλύτερη ευελιξία με τα δύο spares.
 
 63: 22/13 
Pip=136-68
1.playedXG Roller++22/13eq: -0.663
Player:
Opponent:		20.43% (G:1.29% B:0.03%)
79.57% (G:9.77% B:0.04%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 8/5eq: -0.675 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		19.92% (G:1.26% B:0.03%)
80.08% (G:9.85% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++16/7eq: -0.676 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		20.52% (G:1.44% B:0.03%)
79.48% (G:11.03% B:0.05%)
4.XG Roller++16/13 8/2eq: -0.680 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		20.86% (G:1.41% B:0.03%)
79.14% (G:11.98% B:0.06%)
5.XG Roller++22/16 6/3eq: -0.681 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		20.56% (G:1.28% B:0.03%)
79.44% (G:11.55% B:0.06%)

Ο κίνδυνος του διπλού απομακρύνεται.
 
 52: 7/5 7/2 
Pip=127-68
1.playedXG Roller++7/5 7/2eq: +0.592
Player:
Opponent:		76.69% (G:9.18% B:0.06%)
23.31% (G:1.87% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller++6/4 6/1eq: +0.496 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:		73.43% (G:7.34% B:0.04%)
26.57% (G:2.37% B:0.07%)
3.3-ply8/1eq: +0.236 (-0.355)
Player:
Opponent:		60.84% (G:9.78% B:0.18%)
39.16% (G:4.25% B:0.10%)
4.3-ply8/6 7/2eq: +0.046 (-0.546)
Player:
Opponent:		52.53% (G:10.32% B:0.20%)
47.47% (G:7.48% B:0.22%)
5.2-ply7/5 6/1eq: -0.150 (-0.742)
Player:
Opponent:		45.77% (G:8.15% B:0.11%)
54.23% (G:12.59% B:0.49%)
 
 53: 16/11 13/10 
Pip=127-61
1.xgXG Roller++16/8eq: -0.596
Player:
Opponent:		22.80% (G:1.58% B:0.04%)
77.20% (G:8.63% B:0.03%)
2.playedXG Roller++16/11 13/10eq: -0.600 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		22.58% (G:1.62% B:0.04%)
77.42% (G:8.60% B:0.04%)
3.XG Roller++16/11 8/5eq: -0.604 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		22.38% (G:1.65% B:0.05%)
77.62% (G:8.64% B:0.03%)
4.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.608 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		22.30% (G:1.65% B:0.05%)
77.70% (G:8.85% B:0.04%)
5.XG Roller++16/13 8/3eq: -0.612 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		22.60% (G:1.55% B:0.04%)
77.40% (G:9.57% B:0.03%)
 
 54: 6/2 6/1 
Pip=119-61
1.played3-ply6/2 6/1eq: +0.447
Player:
Opponent:		71.86% (G:6.07% B:0.03%)
28.14% (G:1.65% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply6/1 5/1eq: +0.047 (-0.400)
Player:
Opponent:		54.84% (G:5.96% B:0.05%)
45.16% (G:5.78% B:0.14%)
3.3-ply8/4 6/1eq: -0.110 (-0.557)
Player:
Opponent:		47.62% (G:7.49% B:0.10%)
52.38% (G:10.10% B:0.34%)
 
 66: 22/4 11/5 
Pip=119-52
1.xgXG Roller++22/10 11/5 8/2eq: -0.565
Player:
Opponent:		20.90% (G:0.83% B:0.02%)
79.10% (G:2.24% B:0.01%)
2.playedXG Roller++22/4 11/5eq: -0.571 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		20.61% (G:0.74% B:0.02%)
79.39% (G:1.94% B:0.01%)
3.XG Roller++22/16 11/5 10/4 8/2eq: -0.572 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		20.86% (G:0.74% B:0.02%)
79.14% (G:2.63% B:0.01%)
4.XG Roller++22/4 8/2eq: -0.572 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		20.80% (G:0.78% B:0.02%)
79.20% (G:2.64% B:0.01%)
5.XG Roller++22/4 10/4eq: -0.592 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		19.65% (G:0.69% B:0.02%)
80.35% (G:2.23% B:0.01%)
 
 54: 8/4 8/3*  
Pip=95-52
1.played4-ply8/4 8/3* eq: +0.410
Player:
Opponent:		71.78% (G:2.86% B:0.01%)
28.22% (G:1.10% B:0.04%)
2.4-ply8/3* 5/1eq: +0.200 (-0.210)
Player:
Opponent:		63.61% (G:2.16% B:0.00%)
36.39% (G:6.34% B:0.22%)
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=98-43
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.826
Player:
Opponent:		10.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
89.26% (G:5.14% B:0.02%)
 
 65: 5/Off(2) 
Pip=98-43
1.played3-ply5/Off(2)eq: +0.039
Player:
Opponent:		54.41% (G:3.98% B:0.01%)
45.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: Bar/22* 4/3 
Pip=98-33
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/22* 4/3eq: +0.760
Player:
Opponent:		79.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
20.32% (G:2.61% B:0.02%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22* 10/9eq: +0.653 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		76.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
23.53% (G:2.70% B:0.02%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22* 8/7eq: +0.627 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:		75.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
24.29% (G:3.46% B:0.03%)
4.4-plyBar/22* 6/5eq: +0.589 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		73.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.42% (G:3.04% B:0.02%)
5.4-plyBar/22* 5/4eq: +0.578 (-0.182)
Player:
Opponent:		73.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
26.97% (G:3.15% B:0.02%)
 
 66: Cannot Move 
Pip=94-55
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		12.05% (G:0.87% B:0.01%)
87.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 No double 
Pip=94-55
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 87.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 88.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 12.21% (G:0.80% B:0.01%) 11.44% (G:0.98% B:0.02%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.746 +1.538
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.900 (-0.100)±0.002 (+0.898..+0.902)
     Redouble/Take:+1.088 (+0.088)±0.008 (+1.080..+1.095)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 54 seconds

Τα holding game του 22 δημιουργούν λιγότερες βολές αλλά πολύ πιο νωρίς. Μετά από τις συνεχείς άτυχες ζαριές του αντιπάλου, η θέση μου έχει μετατραπεί από εξαιρετικά επικίνδυνη σε πρακτικά κερδισμένη.
Ήξερα ότι εδώ μπορεί να είχα cash, αλλά είναι εξαιρετικά δύσκολο να υπολογιστεί το take point του (το οποίο σίγουρα είναι πολύ χαμηλό) και αποφάσισα να μην ακουμπήσω όλο το ματς σ' αυτη την παρτίδα. Από τα λάθη που δεν με ενοχλούν.
 
 42: 22/20* 20/16 
Pip=94-55
1.playedXG Roller++22/20* 20/16eq: +0.989
Player:
Opponent:		95.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.88% (G:0.23% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++22/20* 8/4eq: +0.988 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		93.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.14% (G:0.27% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++22/20* 10/6eq: +0.987 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		95.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.71% (G:0.19% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++22/20* 6/2eq: +0.975 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		93.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
6.92% (G:1.33% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++22/20* 5/1eq: +0.973 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		92.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
7.11% (G:1.26% B:0.02%)
 
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=88-75
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		3.48% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
96.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Double/Pass 
Pip=88-75
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 96.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 96.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 3.36% (G:0.09% B:0.00%) 3.38% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.932 +1.923
Cubeful Equities
     No redouble:+0.998 (-0.002)
     Redouble/Take:+1.781 (+0.781)
played Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
 
 Wins 2pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
Advanced (-0.0153) Total Error World Class (-0.0053)
Expert (-0.0117) Checker Play World Class (-0.0062)
Intermediate (-0.0333) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
7.64 Performance Rating 2.64
3(1) Move Errors 2
-0.175(-1.72%) Equity lost (cost) -0.106(-1.19%)
     
1(1) Double Errors 0
-0.100(-1.16%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
4(2) Total Error 2
-0.275(-2.89%) Equity lost (cost) -0.106(-1.19%)
     
2 Jokers 3
+0.909(+14.93%) Luck -0.909(-14.93%)

 Game 10

13 point match, Score is mman: 11, marcvd: 5

 
 54: 24/20 13/8 
Pip=167-167
1.playedBook124/20 13/8eq: -0.248
Player:
Opponent:		50.32% (G:15.56% B:2.34%)
49.68% (G:13.70% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.256...-0.240) - [97.9%]
2.Book224/15eq: -0.256 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		50.32% (G:13.66% B:1.69%)
49.68% (G:14.04% B:0.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.260...-0.253) - [2.1%]
3.Book113/9 13/8eq: -0.280 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		49.53% (G:16.80% B:2.47%)
50.47% (G:13.95% B:0.62%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.288...-0.271) - [0.0%]
4.Book313/4eq: -0.349 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		48.44% (G:13.94% B:0.73%)
51.56% (G:14.38% B:0.70%)
5.4-ply24/20 8/3eq: -0.423 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		46.35% (G:12.12% B:0.57%)
53.65% (G:15.58% B:0.77%)
 
1 Generated by Miran Tuhtan on 26-Jan-13 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 01-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
23328 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 53850934
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 
 No double 
Pip=158-167
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 49.45% (G:13.41% B:0.48%) 49.41% (G:13.48% B:0.47%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 50.55% (G:13.72% B:0.71%) 50.59% (G:13.87% B:0.77%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.083 +0.109
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.244
     Double/Take:+0.109 (-0.135)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.756)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.2%
 
 63: 13/7 8/5*  
Pip=158-167
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 8/5* eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:		45.26% (G:11.95% B:0.42%)
54.74% (G:16.63% B:1.21%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 8/5* eq: +0.043 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		45.06% (G:10.43% B:0.38%)
54.94% (G:16.72% B:0.77%)
3.XG Roller++13/4eq: +0.008 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		44.05% (G:9.77% B:0.30%)
55.95% (G:14.62% B:0.74%)
4.XG Roller++24/15eq: +0.007 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		44.99% (G:8.40% B:0.28%)
55.01% (G:14.14% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 13/7eq: +0.003 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		43.90% (G:9.62% B:0.31%)
56.10% (G:14.35% B:0.64%)
 
 55: Bar/20* 20/15 8/3(2) 
Pip=163-158
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/20* 13/3 8/3eq: +0.194
Player:
Opponent:		59.39% (G:23.97% B:2.41%)
40.61% (G:8.83% B:0.33%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 20/15 8/3(2)eq: +0.186 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		59.66% (G:22.99% B:2.31%)
40.34% (G:9.36% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20* 20/10 13/8eq: +0.111 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		58.26% (G:20.02% B:1.59%)
41.74% (G:9.79% B:0.34%)
4.4-plyBar/20* 20/5eq: +0.011 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		56.35% (G:17.07% B:1.05%)
43.65% (G:10.86% B:0.41%)
5.4-plyBar/20* 20/15 13/8(2)eq: -0.017 (-0.211)
Player:
Opponent:		55.36% (G:18.12% B:1.24%)
44.64% (G:11.31% B:0.42%)
 
 11: Bar/24 8/7 6/5(2) 
Pip=143-178
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 8/7 6/5(2)eq: +0.077
Player:
Opponent:		45.85% (G:11.10% B:0.42%)
54.15% (G:20.05% B:1.88%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/5(2)eq: +0.066 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		45.62% (G:10.94% B:0.42%)
54.38% (G:21.17% B:1.98%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/5(3)eq: +0.006 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		44.01% (G:10.51% B:0.43%)
55.99% (G:22.08% B:2.35%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 7/5 6/5eq: -0.015 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		43.13% (G:10.69% B:0.35%)
56.87% (G:19.62% B:1.65%)
5.4-plyBar/23 24/23 6/5eq: -0.138 (-0.215)
Player:
Opponent:		41.01% (G:8.87% B:0.38%)
58.99% (G:25.76% B:2.06%)
 
 41: 24/23 15/11 
Pip=143-174
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 15/11eq: -0.155
Player:
Opponent:		51.72% (G:18.60% B:1.66%)
48.28% (G:12.49% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++15/11 6/5eq: -0.202 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		51.07% (G:18.74% B:1.64%)
48.93% (G:13.45% B:0.67%)
3.XG Roller++15/10eq: -0.232 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		49.81% (G:18.72% B:1.65%)
50.19% (G:12.88% B:0.51%)
4.4-ply15/14 13/9eq: -0.329 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		47.53% (G:16.55% B:1.38%)
52.47% (G:14.28% B:0.68%)
5.4-ply13/8eq: -0.329 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		47.38% (G:16.07% B:1.23%)
52.62% (G:13.86% B:0.56%)
 
 No double 
Pip=138-174
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.54% (G:12.59% B:0.47%) 48.79% (G:12.39% B:0.46%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.46% (G:19.02% B:1.74%) 51.21% (G:20.15% B:1.91%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.188 +0.049
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.170
     Double/Take:+0.049 (-0.121)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.830)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.3%
 
 61: 24/18 8/7 
Pip=138-174
1.xgRollout124/23 8/2* eq: -0.007
Player:
Opponent:		43.48% (G:12.79% B:0.39%)
56.52% (G:21.69% B:5.60%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.023...+0.009) - [93.3%]
Duration: 29 minutes 07 seconds
2.playedRollout124/18 8/7eq: -0.024 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		43.75% (G:11.19% B:0.36%)
56.25% (G:21.97% B:5.75%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.039...-0.008) - [6.7%]
Duration: 30 minutes 21 seconds
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -0.020 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		43.18% (G:10.41% B:0.39%)
56.82% (G:21.02% B:1.73%)
4.XG Roller++24/18 6/5eq: -0.058 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		43.00% (G:9.56% B:0.36%)
57.00% (G:23.33% B:2.24%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.064 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		42.01% (G:10.28% B:0.37%)
57.99% (G:22.02% B:2.23%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
 21: 23/22 13/11 
Pip=138-167
1.playedXG Roller++23/22 13/11eq: -0.001
Player:
Opponent:		55.85% (G:18.77% B:1.30%)
44.15% (G:11.52% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.059 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		54.18% (G:16.55% B:0.90%)
45.82% (G:11.49% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++11/8eq: -0.095 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		53.28% (G:16.47% B:0.94%)
46.72% (G:11.68% B:0.36%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 8/7* eq: -0.160 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		52.34% (G:18.30% B:1.38%)
47.66% (G:13.40% B:0.59%)
5.4-ply23/21 11/10eq: -0.180 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		51.42% (G:15.27% B:0.85%)
48.58% (G:12.79% B:0.46%)
 
 No double 
Pip=135-167
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 44.16% (G:11.45% B:0.37%) 44.19% (G:11.46% B:0.38%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 55.84% (G:19.26% B:1.39%) 55.81% (G:20.62% B:1.78%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.292 -0.185
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.004
     Double/Take:-0.185 (-0.182)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.004)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.3%
 
 43: 7/3* 6/3 
Pip=135-167
1.played4-ply7/3* 6/3eq: +0.228
Player:
Opponent:		48.72% (G:13.80% B:0.39%)
51.28% (G:15.03% B:1.02%)
2.4-ply13/10 7/3* eq: -0.010 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		43.62% (G:11.22% B:0.41%)
56.38% (G:23.11% B:2.53%)
3.4-ply18/15 7/3* eq: -0.061 (-0.288)
Player:
Opponent:		42.18% (G:10.47% B:0.34%)
57.82% (G:20.58% B:1.93%)
4.3-ply13/9 6/3* eq: -0.116 (-0.344)
Player:
Opponent:		42.81% (G:10.39% B:0.39%)
57.19% (G:24.02% B:2.69%)
5.3-ply13/6eq: -0.146 (-0.374)
Player:
Opponent:		40.02% (G:9.53% B:0.29%)
59.98% (G:17.54% B:1.16%)
 
 21: Bar/24 13/11 
Pip=138-160
1.xgRollout1Bar/23 6/5eq: -0.290
Player:
Opponent:		50.16% (G:17.29% B:3.64%)
49.84% (G:15.79% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.304...-0.276) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 03 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.396 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		47.35% (G:17.69% B:2.95%)
52.65% (G:16.16% B:0.50%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.411...-0.382) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 16 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/7* eq: -0.401 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		47.68% (G:15.55% B:1.13%)
52.32% (G:17.31% B:0.84%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/4eq: -0.431 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		46.54% (G:14.63% B:0.78%)
53.46% (G:16.50% B:0.68%)
5.3-plyBar/23 11/10eq: -0.678 (-0.389)
Player:
Opponent:		42.48% (G:12.70% B:0.84%)
57.52% (G:20.02% B:0.99%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Δεν με εντυπωσιάζει τόσο το ότι το slot είναι το σωστό, όσο το πόσο πιο σωστό είναι, με δεδομένο το σκορ. Το slot κάνει τρεις δουλειές (ξεφορτώνει την 6, ετοιμάζει την 5 και βάζει το πούλι στο 23, ετοιμο να πεταχτεί στο outfield) ενώ το παίξιμό μου απλώς αποφεύγει τις βολές για μία ζαριά.
 
 No double 
Pip=135-160
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.61% (G:15.24% B:0.56%) 52.68% (G:15.12% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.39% (G:16.60% B:1.12%) 47.32% (G:16.96% B:1.17%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.044 +0.305
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.370
     Double/Take:+0.305 (-0.065)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.630)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.5%
 
 61: 24/23 24/18 
Pip=135-160
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 24/18eq: +0.284
Player:
Opponent:		50.90% (G:12.96% B:0.40%)
49.10% (G:15.34% B:0.48%)
2.XG Roller++13/6eq: +0.262 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		49.32% (G:14.13% B:0.49%)
50.68% (G:15.86% B:1.26%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: +0.176 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		47.70% (G:13.26% B:0.54%)
52.30% (G:18.53% B:0.94%)
4.4-ply24/18 7/6eq: +0.080 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		45.58% (G:11.76% B:0.30%)
54.42% (G:17.35% B:0.57%)
5.3-ply7/6 7/1* eq: -0.058 (-0.342)
Player:
Opponent:		42.30% (G:11.89% B:0.30%)
57.70% (G:19.34% B:1.64%)
 
 43: 24/17 
Pip=135-153
1.playedXG Roller++24/17eq: -0.153
Player:
Opponent:		52.92% (G:12.20% B:0.40%)
47.08% (G:12.46% B:0.33%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 6/2* eq: -0.270 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		50.05% (G:15.21% B:0.50%)
49.95% (G:14.79% B:0.49%)
3.4-ply11/8 6/2* eq: -0.479 (-0.326)
Player:
Opponent:		44.35% (G:13.46% B:0.33%)
55.65% (G:15.69% B:0.64%)
4.3-ply6/3 6/2* eq: -0.553 (-0.400)
Player:
Opponent:		42.91% (G:12.86% B:0.30%)
57.09% (G:16.64% B:0.62%)
5.3-ply11/4eq: -0.596 (-0.442)
Player:
Opponent:		42.08% (G:12.62% B:0.36%)
57.92% (G:17.03% B:0.63%)
 
 No double 
Pip=128-153
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 47.38% (G:12.80% B:0.35%) 47.22% (G:12.59% B:0.33%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 52.62% (G:12.90% B:0.47%) 52.78% (G:13.10% B:0.48%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.120 -0.020
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.160
     Double/Take:-0.020 (-0.179)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.840)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.0%
 
 43: 13/6 
Pip=128-153
1.playedXG Roller++13/6eq: -0.136
Player:
Opponent:		40.14% (G:8.24% B:0.17%)
59.86% (G:11.82% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 7/4eq: -0.171 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		39.75% (G:8.84% B:0.20%)
60.25% (G:16.30% B:0.71%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 13/9eq: -0.189 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		39.03% (G:8.44% B:0.22%)
60.97% (G:17.33% B:0.69%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 7/3eq: -0.257 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		37.04% (G:7.54% B:0.14%)
62.96% (G:15.11% B:0.49%)
5.4-ply13/10 7/3eq: -0.282 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		36.31% (G:7.22% B:0.15%)
63.69% (G:16.29% B:0.47%)
 
 65: 17/6 
Pip=128-146
1.xgRollout117/11 6/1eq: +0.255
Player:
Opponent:		61.86% (G:14.71% B:0.30%)
38.14% (G:8.99% B:0.22%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.243...+0.267) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 29 seconds
2.playedRollout117/6eq: +0.195 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		60.56% (G:13.73% B:0.61%)
39.44% (G:9.11% B:0.21%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.183...+0.207) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 54 seconds
3.3-ply17/11 13/8eq: -0.254 (-0.509)
Player:
Opponent:		49.46% (G:9.26% B:0.27%)
50.54% (G:10.81% B:0.18%)
4.3-ply17/11 8/3eq: -0.443 (-0.698)
Player:
Opponent:		45.54% (G:9.32% B:0.18%)
54.46% (G:14.88% B:0.25%)
5.2-ply8/3 8/2* eq: -0.577 (-0.832)
Player:
Opponent:		43.77% (G:10.10% B:0.17%)
56.23% (G:18.98% B:0.63%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Και πάλι το ξεφόρτωμα. Εδώ αξίζει τόσο που να πρέπει να θάψει κανείς πούλι στον άσο για να βελτιώσει την κατανομή του.


 
 21: 13/10 
Pip=117-146
1.playedXG Roller++13/10eq: -0.194
Player:
Opponent:		39.01% (G:7.84% B:0.19%)
60.99% (G:13.68% B:0.30%)
2.XG Roller++7/4eq: -0.222 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		38.50% (G:7.81% B:0.16%)
61.50% (G:14.39% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.225 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		38.10% (G:7.56% B:0.17%)
61.90% (G:14.55% B:0.31%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 5/4eq: -0.237 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		38.17% (G:7.58% B:0.16%)
61.83% (G:14.62% B:0.34%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 7/6eq: -0.267 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		36.85% (G:7.33% B:0.15%)
63.15% (G:14.30% B:0.39%)
 
 44: 13/9(2) 6/2*(2)  
Pip=117-143
1.playedXG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.828
Player:
Opponent:		76.03% (G:25.00% B:0.61%)
23.97% (G:3.16% B:0.11%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/5(2)eq: +0.801 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		76.19% (G:19.83% B:0.26%)
23.81% (G:2.64% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.734 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		71.12% (G:30.74% B:0.67%)
28.88% (G:4.65% B:0.18%)
4.4-ply13/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.623 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		72.06% (G:15.25% B:0.20%)
27.94% (G:3.59% B:0.11%)
5.2-ply6/2*(4) eq: +0.059 (-0.769)
Player:
Opponent:		57.66% (G:14.66% B:0.18%)
42.34% (G:9.30% B:0.25%)

Όσο όμορφο κι αν φαίνεται το 8/4(2) 6/2*(2), αποτυγχάνει να καθαρίσει τη midpoint. Μόλις ο αντίπαλος μπει θα έχω μεγάλο πρόβλημα. Η ευκαιρία είναι τώρα.
 
 31: Bar/24 13/10 
Pip=101-145
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.632
Player:
Opponent:		28.39% (G:3.96% B:0.10%)
71.61% (G:21.05% B:0.34%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 7/4eq: -0.669 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		27.50% (G:3.95% B:0.09%)
72.50% (G:23.09% B:0.74%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 10/7eq: -0.690 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		26.51% (G:3.52% B:0.09%)
73.49% (G:21.89% B:0.35%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: -0.744 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		25.20% (G:3.43% B:0.09%)
74.80% (G:24.54% B:0.60%)
5.4-plyBar/24 5/2eq: -0.803 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		21.81% (G:3.70% B:0.09%)
78.19% (G:26.80% B:0.66%)
 
 No double 
Pip=101-141
Analyzed in 4-ply No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.93% (G:19.81% B:0.19%) 71.71% (G:19.94% B:0.23%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.07% (G:3.99% B:0.06%) 28.29% (G:3.57% B:0.05%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.696 +1.133
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.602
     Double/Take:-0.111 (-0.713)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.398)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 39.1%

Παρά την εξαιρετική θέση μου, ο βίδος θα ήταν βέβαια τεράστιο λάθος. Σ' αυτό το σκορ το double/take παράθυρο του βίδου είναι τόσο μικρό που σχεδόν πάντα περνάει κανείς από το no double στο πάσο ή και στο too good.
 
 43: 11/8 6/2 
Pip=101-141
1.played4-ply11/8 6/2eq: +0.580
Player:
Opponent:		70.65% (G:15.85% B:0.24%)
29.35% (G:3.85% B:0.11%)
2.4-ply6/3 6/2eq: +0.372 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		65.11% (G:14.47% B:0.20%)
34.89% (G:5.52% B:0.16%)
3.3-ply11/4eq: +0.238 (-0.342)
Player:
Opponent:		62.13% (G:17.72% B:0.30%)
37.87% (G:7.14% B:0.18%)
4.3-ply9/6 9/5eq: +0.231 (-0.350)
Player:
Opponent:		61.29% (G:15.69% B:0.23%)
38.71% (G:6.13% B:0.12%)
5.3-ply8/1* eq: +0.221 (-0.359)
Player:
Opponent:		62.30% (G:16.90% B:0.21%)
37.70% (G:8.43% B:0.21%)
 
 62: 10/4 6/4 
Pip=94-141
1.playedXG Roller++10/4 6/4eq: -0.555
Player:
Opponent:		30.36% (G:3.74% B:0.08%)
69.64% (G:14.30% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 10/4eq: -0.614 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		28.53% (G:3.92% B:0.09%)
71.47% (G:17.90% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 6/4eq: -0.616 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		28.13% (G:3.79% B:0.09%)
71.87% (G:17.45% B:0.26%)
4.XG Roller++10/8 10/4eq: -0.617 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		28.66% (G:3.92% B:0.09%)
71.34% (G:18.48% B:0.37%)
5.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.631 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		27.18% (G:3.60% B:0.08%)
72.82% (G:16.57% B:0.20%)
 
 62: 11/9 11/5 
Pip=94-133
1.playedXG Roller++11/9 11/5eq: +0.136
Player:
Opponent:		55.65% (G:11.02% B:0.13%)
44.35% (G:5.80% B:0.14%)
2.XG Roller++11/5 8/6eq: +0.065 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		54.26% (G:12.31% B:0.14%)
45.74% (G:12.41% B:0.41%)
3.XG Roller++11/3eq: +0.044 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		52.03% (G:10.88% B:0.16%)
47.97% (G:7.52% B:0.23%)
4.4-ply11/9 8/2eq: -0.020 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		50.69% (G:8.57% B:0.16%)
49.31% (G:7.81% B:0.20%)
5.4-ply8/2 6/4eq: -0.105 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		48.91% (G:9.36% B:0.13%)
51.09% (G:11.70% B:0.31%)
 
 No double 
Pip=86-133
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 44.08% (G:5.82% B:0.13%) 44.95% (G:6.16% B:0.16%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 55.92% (G:11.08% B:0.12%) 55.05% (G:13.27% B:0.17%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.227 -0.313
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.140
     Double/Take:-0.313 (-0.173)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.140)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.6%
 
 51: 13/8 10/9 
Pip=86-133
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 10/9eq: -0.777
Player:
Opponent:		23.50% (G:2.21% B:0.05%)
76.50% (G:15.79% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 7/6eq: -0.779 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		23.39% (G:2.20% B:0.04%)
76.61% (G:15.80% B:0.12%)
3.XG Roller++13/12 10/5eq: -0.781 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		23.24% (G:2.15% B:0.05%)
76.76% (G:15.46% B:0.12%)
4.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.783 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		23.13% (G:2.19% B:0.06%)
76.87% (G:15.55% B:0.12%)
5.XG Roller++13/12 7/2eq: -0.785 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		23.27% (G:2.32% B:0.04%)
76.73% (G:17.54% B:0.16%)
 
 42: 9/5 8/6 
Pip=86-127
1.played3-ply9/5 8/6eq: +0.987
Player:
Opponent:		82.27% (G:15.52% B:0.10%)
17.73% (G:1.11% B:0.01%)
2.3-ply6/2 5/3eq: +0.475 (-0.512)
Player:
Opponent:		68.17% (G:9.51% B:0.08%)
31.83% (G:3.40% B:0.01%)
3.3-ply9/5 6/4eq: +0.317 (-0.669)
Player:
Opponent:		61.45% (G:13.73% B:0.21%)
38.55% (G:5.02% B:0.10%)
4.3-ply8/4 6/4eq: +0.285 (-0.702)
Player:
Opponent:		59.94% (G:11.48% B:0.15%)
40.06% (G:4.74% B:0.07%)
5.2-ply8/6 5/1* eq: +0.321 (-0.666)
Player:
Opponent:		60.84% (G:11.79% B:0.10%)
39.16% (G:5.71% B:0.13%)
 
 33: 7/1(2) 
Pip=80-127
1.xgXG Roller++9/6 8/2 7/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		17.62% (G:1.06% B:0.03%)
82.38% (G:15.77% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller++18/15 18/12 9/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		14.64% (G:0.48% B:0.01%)
85.36% (G:9.49% B:0.06%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 8/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		17.61% (G:1.07% B:0.03%)
82.39% (G:16.44% B:0.16%)
4.XG Roller++9/3 8/5 7/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		16.40% (G:0.92% B:0.03%)
83.60% (G:15.08% B:0.14%)
5.XG Roller++9/6 8/2 5/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		16.90% (G:0.99% B:0.03%)
83.10% (G:16.21% B:0.15%)
6.playedXG Roller++7/1(2)eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		16.63% (G:0.97% B:0.02%)
83.37% (G:16.85% B:0.16%)
 
 No double 
Pip=80-115
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 83.62% (G:16.00% B:0.13%) 82.70% (G:18.14% B:0.18%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 16.38% (G:0.83% B:0.02%) 17.30% (G:0.56% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.904 +1.710
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.984 (-0.016)
     Double/Take:+1.142 (+0.142)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Και εδώ θα ήταν αδύνατο να υπολοιγιστεί το σωστό cube action, οπότε έπαιξα με ασφάλεια, γνωρίζοντας ότι το λανθασμένο no double (όπως στην παρτίδα) θα ήταν μικρό λάθος, ενώ το λανθασμένο double τεράστιο σφάλμα.
 
 22: 6/4(2) 3/1*(2)  
Pip=80-115
1.playedXG Roller++6/4(2) 3/1*(2) eq: +1.182
Player:
Opponent:		86.96% (G:30.83% B:0.11%)
13.04% (G:0.82% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++8/4(2)eq: +1.060 (-0.122)
Player:
Opponent:		90.55% (G:13.48% B:0.10%)
9.45% (G:0.55% B:0.01%)
3.4-ply5/1*(2) eq: +0.999 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		83.62% (G:18.71% B:0.06%)
16.38% (G:1.32% B:0.04%)
4.4-ply6/4(4)eq: +0.976 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		82.20% (G:13.15% B:0.15%)
17.80% (G:1.07% B:0.03%)
5.4-ply6/4(2) 5/3(2)eq: +0.932 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		80.71% (G:9.46% B:0.09%)
19.29% (G:1.14% B:0.03%)
 
 21: Cannot Move 
Pip=72-116
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.259
Player:
Opponent:		12.33% (G:0.79% B:0.03%)
87.67% (G:37.05% B:0.13%)
 
 54: 9/5 9/4 
Pip=72-116
1.played3-ply9/5 9/4eq: +1.283
Player:
Opponent:		90.09% (G:35.73% B:0.15%)
9.91% (G:0.45% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply9/4 8/4eq: +0.874 (-0.409)
Player:
Opponent:		76.16% (G:31.69% B:0.23%)
23.84% (G:4.21% B:0.09%)
3.3-ply8/4 8/3eq: +0.807 (-0.476)
Player:
Opponent:		72.67% (G:36.80% B:0.24%)
27.33% (G:2.55% B:0.03%)
4.3-ply6/2 6/1eq: +0.797 (-0.485)
Player:
Opponent:		77.16% (G:15.16% B:0.06%)
22.84% (G:2.08% B:0.01%)
5.3-ply9/5 8/3eq: +0.638 (-0.645)
Player:
Opponent:		69.04% (G:39.61% B:0.19%)
30.96% (G:15.65% B:0.76%)
 
 21: Cannot Move 
Pip=63-116
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.384
Player:
Opponent:		10.44% (G:0.26% B:0.01%)
89.56% (G:42.98% B:0.11%)
 
 21: 5/3 4/3 
Pip=63-116
1.played3-ply5/3 4/3eq: +1.735
Player:
Opponent:		95.28% (G:58.73% B:0.19%)
4.72% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply8/6 2/1eq: +1.236 (-0.499)
Player:
Opponent:		86.66% (G:39.44% B:0.20%)
13.34% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply8/5eq: +1.201 (-0.534)
Player:
Opponent:		86.91% (G:36.02% B:0.18%)
13.09% (G:0.42% B:0.01%)
4.3-ply8/6 5/4eq: +1.193 (-0.541)
Player:
Opponent:		86.83% (G:35.48% B:0.19%)
13.17% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
5.3-ply5/2eq: +1.156 (-0.579)
Player:
Opponent:		85.90% (G:32.66% B:0.13%)
14.10% (G:0.64% B:0.00%)
 
 52: Cannot Move 
Pip=60-116
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.735
Player:
Opponent:		4.72% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
95.28% (G:58.73% B:0.19%)
 
 43: 8/5 8/4 
Pip=60-116
1.played4-ply8/5 8/4eq: +1.833
Player:
Opponent:		96.46% (G:62.46% B:0.13%)
3.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply8/1eq: +1.616 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		90.83% (G:57.62% B:0.11%)
9.17% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply6/3 6/2eq: +1.351 (-0.482)
Player:
Opponent:		93.16% (G:34.30% B:0.09%)
6.84% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply5/2 5/1eq: +1.203 (-0.630)
Player:
Opponent:		87.23% (G:32.65% B:0.08%)
12.77% (G:0.59% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply8/4 6/3eq: +0.921 (-0.912)
Player:
Opponent:		71.75% (G:42.88% B:0.09%)
28.25% (G:6.93% B:0.20%)
 
 53: Cannot Move 
Pip=53-116
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.827
Player:
Opponent:		3.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.30% (G:62.48% B:0.16%)
 
 64: 6/2 6/Off 
Pip=53-116
1.played3-ply6/2 6/Offeq: +1.783
Player:
Opponent:		98.11% (G:56.63% B:0.14%)
1.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply6/Off 4/Offeq: +1.209 (-0.574)
Player:
Opponent:		77.57% (G:52.16% B:0.22%)
22.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply6/Off 5/1eq: +1.101 (-0.683)
Player:
Opponent:		74.40% (G:49.01% B:0.08%)
25.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 22: Cannot Move 
Pip=43-116
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.946
Player:
Opponent:		2.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.17% (G:68.31% B:0.09%)
 
 53: 5/Off 4/1 
Pip=43-116
1.played3-ply5/Off 4/1eq: +1.954
Player:
Opponent:		98.92% (G:66.39% B:0.05%)
1.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.2-ply5/2 5/Offeq: +1.127 (-0.827)
Player:
Opponent:		75.91% (G:48.27% B:0.08%)
24.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply5/Off 3/Offeq: +1.006 (-0.948)
Player:
Opponent:		72.46% (G:46.97% B:0.11%)
27.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 33: Cannot Move 
Pip=35-116
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.076
Player:
Opponent:		1.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.33% (G:75.13% B:0.04%)
 
 31: 3/2 3/Off 
Pip=35-116
1.playedXG Roller++3/2 3/Offeq: +1.813
Player:
Opponent:		95.16% (G:62.15% B:0.23%)
4.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/4 5/2eq: +1.780 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		95.57% (G:59.30% B:0.05%)
4.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++4/3 4/1eq: +1.757 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		95.37% (G:58.26% B:0.06%)
4.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply5/2 1/Offeq: +1.081 (-0.732)
Player:
Opponent:		72.77% (G:51.09% B:0.08%)
27.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: +1.054 (-0.759)
Player:
Opponent:		71.70% (G:51.41% B:0.15%)
28.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Απλή μέτρηση βολών και παίζω το πιο ασφαλές, αλλά και το πιο γρήγορο, αφού παίρνει πούλι. Εξάλλου τα διπλα παραμένουν πάρα πολλά, λόγω των τεσσάρων επιπλέον πουλίων του στο outfield.
 
 31: Bar/22 9/8 
Pip=31-116
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 18/17eq: -1.722
Player:
Opponent:		7.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.39% (G:60.71% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 8/7eq: -1.733 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		7.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.51% (G:61.12% B:0.16%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 9/8eq: -1.735 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		7.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.28% (G:61.80% B:0.22%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 3/2eq: -1.769 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		6.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.01% (G:63.21% B:0.34%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/5eq: -1.795 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		6.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.28% (G:64.03% B:0.25%)
 
 64: 5/1 5/Off 
Pip=31-112
1.played3-ply5/1 5/Offeq: +1.812
Player:
Opponent:		95.14% (G:65.04% B:0.04%)
4.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.1-ply5/Off 4/Offeq: +0.365 (-1.447)
Player:
Opponent:		57.80% (G:32.32% B:0.02%)
42.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 18/13 
Pip=22-112
1.xgXG Roller++18/14 8/7eq: -1.985
Player:
Opponent:		4.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.22% (G:73.64% B:0.96%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/13eq: -1.996 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		4.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.18% (G:74.34% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++18/17 18/14eq: -1.996 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		4.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.20% (G:74.37% B:1.17%)
4.XG Roller++18/17 8/4eq: -2.022 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		4.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.40% (G:75.73% B:0.71%)
5.XG Roller++18/14 3/2eq: -2.032 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		4.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.80% (G:75.98% B:0.93%)
 
 64: 4/Off(2) 
Pip=22-107
1.played3-ply4/Off(2)eq: +2.198
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:80.12% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 53: 18/10 
Pip=14-107
1.xgRollout122/17 13/10eq: -2.235
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:82.55% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (-2.236...-2.234) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13.5 seconds
2.playedRollout118/10eq: -2.276 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:85.28% B:1.75%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (-2.277...-2.275) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12.3 seconds
3.XG Roller++22/17 8/5eq: -2.238 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:82.75% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/5eq: -2.256 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:83.98% B:0.70%)
5.XG Roller++22/17 18/15eq: -2.278 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:85.46% B:0.00%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το 22/17 13/10 κάνει δύο crossovers αντί για ένα που κάνει το 18/10. Απλό λάθος, αλλά ο Marc δικαιολογείται από το εξαρετικά αρνητικό ζάρι.
 
 62: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=14-99
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +2.237
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:82.67% B:0.10%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 31: 13/12 8/5 
Pip=10-99
1.XG Roller++22/21 8/5eq: -2.363
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:91.12% B:2.40%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/12 8/5eq: -2.368 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:91.42% B:2.36%)
3.XG Roller++22/19 13/12eq: -2.379 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:92.19% B:0.32%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 8/7eq: -2.380 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:92.26% B:1.77%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 8/5eq: -2.381 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:92.32% B:1.54%)
 
 61: 2/Off 1/Off 
Pip=10-95
1.playedXG Roller++2/Off 1/Offeq: +2.344
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:89.87% B:2.46%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++2/1 2/Offeq: +2.343 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:89.81% B:3.17%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 41: 22/21 10/6 
Pip=7-95
1.playedXG Roller++22/21 10/6eq: -2.428
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.44% B:5.20%)
2.xgXG Roller++12/11 10/6eq: -2.430 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.59% B:5.57%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 8/7eq: -2.437 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.10% B:3.58%)
4.XG Roller++22/18 8/7eq: -2.438 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.15% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++22/18 10/9eq: -2.440 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.30% B:0.00%)
 
 33: 2/Off(2) 1/Off(2) 
Pip=7-90
1.played3-ply2/Off(2) 1/Off(2)eq: +2.496
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 65: 8/2 6/1 
Pip=1-90
1.XG Roller++21/15 6/1eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++21/15 8/3eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++21/15 12/7eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++21/10eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++21/16 8/2eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++8/2 6/1eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:100.00%)
 
 64: 1/Off 
Pip=1-79
1.played3-ply1/Offeq: +2.496
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:100.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
 Wins a Backgammon 3pts. 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
World Class (-0.0091) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0039)
World Class (-0.0087) Checker Play World Class (-0.0054)
Advanced (-0.0160) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
4.54 Performance Rating 1.95
2(1) Move Errors 1
-0.175(-0.79%) Equity lost (cost) -0.086(-0.39%)
     
0 Double Errors 0
-0.016(-0.07%) Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
0 Take Errors 0
+0.000 Equity lost (cost) +0.000
     
2(1) Total Error 1
-0.191(-0.86%) Equity lost (cost) -0.086(-0.39%)
     
3 Jokers 1
+2.825(+12.75%) Luck -2.825(-12.75%)

Κακή απόδοση για μένα, με λάθη που ξεκίνησαν μετά το 9-0, απέναντι σε έναν πρακτικά άριστο αντίπαλο. Ιδανικό ζάρι για έναν τέτοιο τελικό (και για οποιοδήποτε άλλο μάτς, δηλαδή) και μια εξαιρετικά σημαντική πρωτιά για τα ελληνικά χρώματα σε ένα πανίσχυρο online διεθνές τουρνουά.

Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 30-Jul-19 4:10:03 PM