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13 point match, Score is mman: 7, marcvd: 0

Quick Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
World Class (-0.0096) Total Error Expert (-0.0119)
Expert (-0.0113) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0156)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
4.82 Performance Rating 5.95

 65: 24/13 
Pip=167-167
 
1.playedBook124/13eq: +0.223
Player:
Opponent:		52.69% (G:11.88% B:0.46%)
47.31% (G:11.61% B:0.36%)
2.Book124/18 13/8eq: +0.173 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		51.13% (G:12.45% B:0.53%)
48.87% (G:12.65% B:0.46%)
3.Book113/8 13/7eq: +0.102 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		48.32% (G:13.61% B:0.66%)
51.68% (G:13.79% B:0.69%)
4.4-ply13/2eq: +0.014 (-0.209)
Player:
Opponent:		46.49% (G:13.04% B:0.65%)
53.51% (G:15.48% B:0.81%)
5.4-ply24/18 8/3eq: -0.034 (-0.257)
Player:
Opponent:		46.29% (G:11.43% B:0.53%)
53.71% (G:16.65% B:0.75%)
 
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 63: 24/18 13/10 
Pip=167-156
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/10eq: -0.335
Player:
Opponent:		45.07% (G:10.08% B:0.35%)
54.93% (G:13.67% B:0.52%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 13/7eq: -0.351 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		44.21% (G:10.80% B:0.33%)
55.79% (G:13.25% B:0.54%)
3.XG Roller++24/15eq: -0.375 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		44.22% (G:9.02% B:0.28%)
55.78% (G:13.91% B:0.46%)
4.XG Roller++13/4eq: -0.399 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		43.05% (G:10.89% B:0.31%)
56.95% (G:13.47% B:0.69%)
5.XG Roller++13/10 13/7eq: -0.403 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		43.48% (G:11.48% B:0.34%)
56.52% (G:14.37% B:0.84%)
 No double 
Pip=158-156
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 54.80% (G:13.71% B:0.53%) 54.94% (G:13.60% B:0.52%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 45.20% (G:10.21% B:0.36%) 45.06% (G:10.11% B:0.35%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.119 +0.293
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.336
     Double/Take:+0.221 (-0.115)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.664)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.8%
 31: 8/5 6/5 
Pip=158-156
 
1.playedXG Roller++8/5 6/5eq: +0.240
Player:
Opponent:		53.06% (G:11.38% B:0.32%)
46.94% (G:8.94% B:0.27%)
2.XG Roller++13/10 8/7* eq: +0.186 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		51.17% (G:13.10% B:0.54%)
48.83% (G:12.79% B:0.59%)
3.XG Roller++24/21 8/7* eq: +0.140 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:		50.28% (G:11.76% B:0.51%)
49.72% (G:12.36% B:0.46%)
4.4-ply8/7* 7/4eq: +0.064 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		48.37% (G:12.19% B:0.53%)
51.63% (G:14.32% B:0.60%)
5.4-ply24/20eq: -0.025 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		47.26% (G:8.43% B:0.32%)
52.74% (G:12.61% B:0.37%)
 64: 24/18 13/9 
Pip=158-152
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/9eq: -0.093
Player:
Opponent:		49.45% (G:8.71% B:0.16%)
50.55% (G:7.46% B:0.24%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 10/6eq: -0.115 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		49.70% (G:8.66% B:0.18%)
50.30% (G:9.36% B:0.28%)
3.4-ply24/18 6/2eq: -0.259 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		45.80% (G:7.98% B:0.18%)
54.20% (G:10.51% B:0.35%)
4.4-ply24/18 8/4eq: -0.271 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:		45.83% (G:8.19% B:0.18%)
54.17% (G:10.95% B:0.36%)
5.4-ply10/4 8/4eq: -0.387 (-0.294)
Player:
Opponent:		43.90% (G:11.11% B:0.40%)
56.10% (G:15.45% B:0.58%)
 54: 24/15*  
Pip=148-152
 
1.played3-ply24/15* eq: +0.443
Player:
Opponent:		60.08% (G:10.38% B:0.36%)
39.92% (G:6.97% B:0.15%)
2.3-ply13/9 13/8eq: -0.044 (-0.487)
Player:
Opponent:		46.61% (G:7.39% B:0.22%)
53.39% (G:10.02% B:0.21%)
3.3-ply13/4eq: -0.072 (-0.515)
Player:
Opponent:		45.79% (G:7.40% B:0.22%)
54.21% (G:10.51% B:0.23%)
4.3-ply24/20 13/8eq: -0.094 (-0.537)
Player:
Opponent:		46.25% (G:5.08% B:0.16%)
53.75% (G:9.78% B:0.15%)
5.3-ply13/8 6/2eq: -0.123 (-0.566)
Player:
Opponent:		44.69% (G:6.84% B:0.20%)
55.31% (G:11.48% B:0.25%)
 44: Bar/21 18/10* 13/9 
Pip=163-143
 
1.xgRollout1Bar/21 13/5 9/5eq: -0.295
Player:
Opponent:		42.50% (G:4.94% B:0.18%)
57.50% (G:4.91% B:0.15%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.305...-0.285) - [100.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 14 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/21 18/10* 13/9eq: -0.341 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		44.58% (G:10.66% B:0.59%)
55.42% (G:15.26% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.354...-0.329) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 52 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/21 9/5 8/4(2)eq: -0.327 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		41.61% (G:5.47% B:0.13%)
58.39% (G:5.55% B:0.16%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/9 8/4(2)eq: -0.331 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		41.88% (G:5.75% B:0.14%)
58.12% (G:6.30% B:0.22%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/9 6/2(2)eq: -0.333 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		41.85% (G:5.04% B:0.09%)
58.15% (G:5.89% B:0.18%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Χαρακτηριστικό παράδειγμα του πόσο ισχυρή είναι η πόρτα 5 (εδώ σε συνδυασμό με την αντίπαλη bar). Πάντως εντυπωσιάζομαι που το χτύπημα υστερεί, καθώς θεωρούσα ότι σε τόσο κοντινή κούρσα (μετά τα 44) θα ήταν ξεκάθαρο. Προφανώς έχει το μειονέκτημα ότι αφήνει δύο πίσω blots ενώ ο αντίπαλος έχει φτιάξει τη δική του 5.

 No double 
Pip=147-153
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.21% (G:15.08% B:0.68%) 55.29% (G:15.33% B:0.74%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.79% (G:10.20% B:0.39%) 44.71% (G:10.31% B:0.42%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.142 +0.352
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.356
     Double/Take:+0.280 (-0.076)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.644)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.5%
 31: Bar/22 6/5 
Pip=147-153
 
1.xgRollout1Bar/22 8/7* eq: +0.130
Player:
Opponent:		50.02% (G:14.11% B:0.69%)
49.98% (G:13.78% B:0.91%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.114...+0.146) - [100.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 04 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/22 6/5eq: +0.019 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		47.80% (G:10.94% B:0.41%)
52.20% (G:10.38% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.006...+0.032) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 14 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: -0.004 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		46.30% (G:10.65% B:0.27%)
53.70% (G:10.25% B:0.36%)
4.4-plyBar/21eq: -0.010 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		47.03% (G:9.33% B:0.31%)
52.97% (G:11.81% B:0.37%)
5.4-plyBar/24 13/10eq: -0.027 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		45.18% (G:11.59% B:0.36%)
54.82% (G:12.01% B:0.52%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Συνήθως το χτύπημα από τη γυμνή πόρτα 8 είναι λάθος, αλλά εδώ ο Marc είναι υποχρεωμένος να έρθει under the gun στο 22 (το bar/24 6/3 αφήνει όλη τη πρωτοβουλία σ' εμένα) κι έτσι είναι σημαντικό να μου στερήσει τη μισή ζαριά μέχρι να μπορέσει να ξεφορτώσει αποτελεσματικά τη midpoint του.

 43: 21/18 10/6 
Pip=147-149
 
1.playedXG Roller++21/18 10/6eq: +0.128
Player:
Opponent:		55.39% (G:10.49% B:0.18%)
44.61% (G:6.60% B:0.23%)
2.XG Roller++21/18 6/2eq: +0.072 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		53.67% (G:10.82% B:0.18%)
46.33% (G:6.87% B:0.27%)
3.4-ply21/18 13/9eq: -0.093 (-0.220)
Player:
Opponent:		49.41% (G:8.32% B:0.19%)
50.59% (G:7.46% B:0.27%)
4.4-ply21/18 8/4eq: -0.131 (-0.259)
Player:
Opponent:		49.21% (G:10.15% B:0.22%)
50.79% (G:9.78% B:0.35%)
5.3-ply18/11eq: -0.360 (-0.488)
Player:
Opponent:		44.45% (G:9.75% B:0.35%)
55.55% (G:14.52% B:0.47%)
 42: 8/4 6/4 
Pip=140-149
 
1.xgRollout113/11 13/9eq: -0.227
Player:
Opponent:		42.38% (G:8.81% B:0.32%)
57.62% (G:13.87% B:0.50%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.240...-0.213) - [99.7%]
Duration: 25 minutes 42 seconds
2.playedRollout18/4 6/4eq: -0.253 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		41.63% (G:8.15% B:0.27%)
58.37% (G:13.19% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.266...-0.240) - [0.3%]
Duration: 24 minutes 58 seconds
3.XG Roller++13/9 6/4eq: -0.213 (+0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		42.07% (G:7.41% B:0.23%)
57.93% (G:13.01% B:0.34%)
4.XG Roller++13/9 5/3eq: -0.228 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		41.73% (G:7.32% B:0.23%)
58.27% (G:13.27% B:0.33%)
5.XG Roller++22/20 13/9eq: -0.259 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		41.47% (G:5.37% B:0.18%)
58.53% (G:11.45% B:0.22%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Χαρακτηριστικό του πόσο επείγον είναι να ξεφορτωθεί η midpoint.

 51: 18/13 18/17*  
Pip=140-143
 
1.played4-ply18/13 18/17* eq: +0.223
Player:
Opponent:		60.14% (G:10.13% B:0.31%)
39.86% (G:8.89% B:0.28%)
2.4-ply8/2eq: -0.066 (-0.289)
Player:
Opponent:		50.71% (G:9.75% B:0.17%)
49.29% (G:9.04% B:0.35%)
3.3-ply18/17* 8/3* eq: -0.107 (-0.330)
Player:
Opponent:		51.44% (G:13.70% B:0.39%)
48.56% (G:15.28% B:0.67%)
4.3-ply6/5 6/1eq: -0.169 (-0.392)
Player:
Opponent:		48.61% (G:11.12% B:0.27%)
51.39% (G:11.24% B:0.30%)
5.3-ply8/3* 3/2eq: -0.190 (-0.413)
Player:
Opponent:		48.47% (G:10.01% B:0.25%)
51.53% (G:11.47% B:0.33%)
 51: Bar/24 13/8*  
Pip=134-160
 
1.played3-plyBar/24 13/8* eq: +0.302
Player:
Opponent:		52.73% (G:16.69% B:0.44%)
47.27% (G:11.00% B:0.50%)
2.2-plyBar/20 5/4eq: -0.465 (-0.767)
Player:
Opponent:		33.98% (G:6.12% B:0.20%)
66.02% (G:12.79% B:0.31%)
3.2-plyBar/20 22/21eq: -0.515 (-0.818)
Player:
Opponent:		32.36% (G:5.10% B:0.19%)
67.64% (G:10.96% B:0.25%)
4.2-plyBar/20 4/3eq: -0.581 (-0.884)
Player:
Opponent:		31.48% (G:5.68% B:0.21%)
68.52% (G:17.02% B:0.56%)
5.2-plyBar/20 6/5eq: -0.661 (-0.963)
Player:
Opponent:		29.46% (G:4.97% B:0.18%)
70.54% (G:17.76% B:0.49%)
 54: Cannot Move 
Pip=142-154
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -0.613
Player:
Opponent:		40.84% (G:8.60% B:0.37%)
59.16% (G:21.21% B:0.34%)
 Double/Take 
Pip=142-154
 
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 59.80% (G:23.04% B:0.57%) 60.08% (G:24.01% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 40.20% (G:9.70% B:0.56%) 39.92% (G:10.08% B:0.56%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.316 +0.754
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.641 (-0.007)±0.013 (+0.628..+0.654)
played Double/Take:+0.648±0.017 (+0.631..+0.665)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.352)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 72.8%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 24 minutes 29 seconds

Τυπική περίπτωση του πώς το σκορ επηρεάζει τον βίδο. Στο 0-0 ο βίδος θα ήταν μεγάλο λάθος. Στο 0-7/13 ο βίδος είναι οριακός παρά τα εμφανή προβλήματα στη θεση του (δύο πίσω πούλια, σπασμένη πόρτα 8, φορτωμένη midpoint). Είναι ίδιον των καλών παικτών να αντιλαμβάνονται αυτές τις ευκαιρίες και ο Marc δεν την αφήνει να πάει χαμένη.
Φυσικά το take είναι πολύ εύκολο. Ο Marc έχει πολλή δουλειά να κάνει και, παρά το σκορ, δεν μπορώ να πετάξω πόντους τόσο εύκολα.

 66: 24/18 13/7(3) 
Pip=142-154
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/1(2)eq: +0.536
Player:
Opponent:		63.41% (G:30.61% B:0.19%)
36.59% (G:6.61% B:0.35%)
2.playedXG Roller++24/18 13/7(3)eq: +0.518 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		65.57% (G:24.66% B:0.54%)
34.43% (G:6.83% B:0.31%)
3.XG Roller++13/7(4)eq: +0.417 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		60.66% (G:25.57% B:0.59%)
39.34% (G:7.91% B:0.41%)
4.XG Roller++13/7(3) 8/2eq: +0.416 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:		60.98% (G:25.06% B:0.47%)
39.02% (G:8.25% B:0.44%)
5.4-ply24/18 13/7(2) 8/2eq: +0.353 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		60.32% (G:21.07% B:0.40%)
39.68% (G:8.73% B:0.39%)
 63: Bar/16 
Pip=142-130
 
1.played4-plyBar/16eq: -0.298
Player:
Opponent:		40.59% (G:5.03% B:0.18%)
59.41% (G:17.15% B:0.33%)
2.4-plyBar/22 13/7* eq: -0.475 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		37.25% (G:8.17% B:0.37%)
62.75% (G:26.29% B:0.82%)
3.3-plyBar/22 8/2eq: -0.662 (-0.364)
Player:
Opponent:		30.31% (G:7.26% B:0.39%)
69.69% (G:29.06% B:0.75%)
4.3-plyBar/22 9/3* eq: -0.773 (-0.476)
Player:
Opponent:		28.38% (G:6.35% B:0.29%)
71.62% (G:33.44% B:1.82%)

Το χτύπημα θα ήταν ενάντια σε όλες τις συνθήκες: ο αντίπαλος έχει καλύτερο στρατόπεδο, περισσότερα πούλια πίσω, θα δεχόμουν εύκολα επίθεση στο 22 με κάθε 2, 4 και 5 και, το κυριότερο, λόγω του σκορ, θέλω να ελαχιστοποιήσω την πιθανότητα διπλού .

 62: 8/2 5/3 
Pip=133-130
 
1.xgRollout122/20 8/2eq: -0.057
Player:
Opponent:		48.88% (G:9.59% B:0.24%)
51.12% (G:7.21% B:0.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.064...-0.051) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 57 seconds
2.playedRollout18/2 5/3eq: -0.090 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		47.26% (G:9.93% B:0.22%)
52.74% (G:8.03% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.097...-0.082) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 20 seconds
3.XG Roller++8/2 7/5eq: -0.066 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		47.37% (G:9.63% B:0.21%)
52.63% (G:7.09% B:0.32%)
4.XG Roller++8/6 7/1eq: -0.067 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		47.31% (G:9.75% B:0.17%)
52.69% (G:7.31% B:0.30%)
5.XG Roller++22/20 7/1eq: -0.074 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		47.16% (G:9.62% B:0.22%)
52.84% (G:8.10% B:0.36%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το 22/20 φαίνεται να προκαλεί υπερβολικά την τύχη του καθώς έρχεται στην πόρτα που θέλω να κάνω περισσότερο, αλλά στην πραγματικότητα ντουμπλάρει τους άσσους μου, ενώ ανεβαίνει για να τρέξει σε μια ίση κούρσα. Εξάλλου και στο 22 το πούλι ήταν under the gun τριών builders.

 32: 16/13 8/6 
Pip=133-122
 
1.playedXG Roller++16/13 8/6eq: -0.141
Player:
Opponent:		43.35% (G:3.97% B:0.11%)
56.65% (G:9.09% B:0.10%)
2.XG Roller++9/7* 6/3* eq: -0.172 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		48.06% (G:13.09% B:0.68%)
51.94% (G:21.99% B:1.51%)
3.XG Roller++16/13 6/4eq: -0.193 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		43.20% (G:5.00% B:0.22%)
56.80% (G:13.45% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller++16/11eq: -0.221 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		43.13% (G:5.79% B:0.25%)
56.87% (G:15.89% B:0.24%)
5.XG Roller++16/13 9/7* eq: -0.277 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		43.28% (G:8.18% B:0.40%)
56.72% (G:21.41% B:0.51%)
 52: 18/13 7/5 
Pip=128-122
 
1.playedXG Roller++18/13 7/5eq: +0.113
Player:
Opponent:		56.04% (G:7.41% B:0.10%)
43.96% (G:2.65% B:0.06%)
2.xgXG Roller++18/11eq: +0.109 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		55.79% (G:7.50% B:0.11%)
44.21% (G:2.85% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++7/5 7/2eq: +0.090 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		53.30% (G:11.37% B:0.14%)
46.70% (G:5.41% B:0.17%)
4.XG Roller++7/2 5/3eq: +0.076 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		52.83% (G:11.03% B:0.15%)
47.17% (G:5.50% B:0.15%)
5.XG Roller++18/13 5/3eq: +0.074 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:		54.64% (G:6.88% B:0.11%)
45.36% (G:3.31% B:0.08%)
 55: 13/8(4) 
Pip=128-115
 
1.XG Roller++9/4(2) 8/3*(2) eq: +0.269
Player:
Opponent:		59.27% (G:5.20% B:0.07%)
40.73% (G:4.76% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++8/3*(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.265 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		58.92% (G:6.20% B:0.06%)
41.08% (G:4.64% B:0.07%)
3.xgXG Roller++13/3*(2) eq: +0.263 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		59.04% (G:3.79% B:0.06%)
40.96% (G:4.28% B:0.07%)
4.XG Roller++13/8(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.251 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		58.36% (G:3.24% B:0.04%)
41.64% (G:3.91% B:0.04%)
5.playedXG Roller++13/8(4)eq: +0.215 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		56.45% (G:1.51% B:0.02%)
43.55% (G:2.76% B:0.03%)

Δοκίμασα τα πάντα εκτός από το καλύτερο. Δύο πόρτες μέσα είναι δύσκολο να μην είναι σωστό, ειδικά αν δεν κάνει κανείς τον άσσο.

 61: 13/6 
Pip=108-115
 
1.Rollout122/15eq: -0.274
Player:
Opponent:		42.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
57.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.276...-0.271) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 49 seconds
2.playedRollout113/6eq: -0.286 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		40.88% (G:3.05% B:0.03%)
59.12% (G:1.48% B:0.02%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.291...-0.280) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 13 seconds
3.xgXG Roller++13/12 13/7eq: -0.275 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		40.77% (G:2.91% B:0.03%)
59.23% (G:1.71% B:0.04%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 3/2eq: -0.283 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		40.56% (G:2.58% B:0.03%)
59.44% (G:1.59% B:0.02%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 5/4eq: -0.290 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		40.31% (G:2.72% B:0.03%)
59.69% (G:1.94% B:0.04%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 21: 6/3*  
Pip=108-108
 
1.xgXG Roller++8/5eq: -0.275
Player:
Opponent:		38.93% (G:1.49% B:0.05%)
61.07% (G:11.36% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++9/7 8/7eq: -0.300 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		37.85% (G:1.65% B:0.06%)
62.15% (G:11.57% B:0.11%)
3.playedXG Roller++6/3* eq: -0.307 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		39.38% (G:2.12% B:0.08%)
60.62% (G:15.06% B:0.17%)
4.XG Roller++8/7 8/6eq: -0.319 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		37.20% (G:1.75% B:0.06%)
62.80% (G:12.05% B:0.15%)
5.4-ply9/8 9/7eq: -0.510 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:		30.27% (G:1.39% B:0.02%)
69.73% (G:15.21% B:0.11%)
 55: Bar/10 13/8 
Pip=105-111
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/10 13/8eq: +0.358
Player:
Opponent:		70.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/15 13/8(2)eq: +0.358 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		70.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/5eq: +0.355 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		70.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/15 13/3eq: +0.354 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:		70.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/15 13/8 7/2eq: +0.351 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		70.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
29.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 44: 9/5(2) 8/4(2) 
Pip=105-91
 
1.xgXG Roller++9/5 8/4(3)eq: -0.004
Player:
Opponent:		45.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++9/5(2) 8/4(2)eq: -0.004 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		45.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/4(4)eq: -0.019 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		44.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++9/5 8/4(2) 6/2eq: -0.022 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		44.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++8/4(3) 6/2eq: -0.027 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		44.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
55.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 22: 13/11 8/6 7/5(2) 
Pip=89-91
 
1.xgXG Roller++13/9 8/6 7/5eq: +0.012
Player:
Opponent:		54.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/6 8/6 7/5eq: +0.012 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		54.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.playedXG Roller++13/11 8/6 7/5(2)eq: +0.012 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		54.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 10/6 7/5eq: +0.010 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		54.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/6 7/5(2)eq: +0.009 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		54.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 55: 8/3(4) 
Pip=89-83
 
1.xgXG Roller++8/3(3) 6/1eq: +0.530
Player:
Opponent:		69.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++8/3(4)eq: +0.528 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		69.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++8/3(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.506 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		68.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
31.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++8/3 6/1(3)eq: +0.448 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		65.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
34.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/1(4)eq: +0.338 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		60.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 52: 11/4 
Pip=69-83
 
1.xgXG Roller++11/6 10/8eq: -0.588
Player:
Opponent:		27.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.playedXG Roller++11/4eq: -0.589 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		27.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++11/6 5/3eq: -0.590 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		27.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++11/9 10/5eq: -0.597 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		27.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/3eq: -0.599 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		27.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 No double 
Pip=69-76
 
Analyzed in 4-ply No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 72.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 72.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 27.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 27.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.448 +0.740
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.580
     Redouble/Take:+0.165 (-0.414)
     Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.420)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 33.2%

Αν ο βίδος είναι δύσκολος για μένα σ' αυτό το σκορ, τότε ένα redouble στο 4 θέλει τεράστια προσοχή. Το τελευταίο που θέλω είναι να δώσω σε έναν απελπισμένο αντίπαλο την ευκαιρία να παίξει για 8 πόντους. Εδώ θα είχα έναν οριακό βίδο σε σκορ 0-0, αλλά στο 0-7/13 δεν τίθεται καν ζήτημα.

 44: 6/2(2) 4/Off(2) 
Pip=69-76
 
1.playedXG Roller++6/2(2) 4/Off(2)eq: +0.896
Player:
Opponent:		84.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
15.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++6/2(3) 4/Offeq: +0.890 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		83.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
16.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++6/2 5/1 4/Off(2)eq: +0.884 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		83.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
16.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++6/2(2) 5/1 4/Offeq: +0.881 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		83.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
16.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++6/2(3) 5/1eq: +0.860 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		82.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
17.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 43: 10/6 3/Off 
Pip=53-76
 
1.playedXG Roller++10/6 3/Offeq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		13.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
86.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/3eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		12.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 4/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		12.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++10/6 5/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		12.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
87.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++10/7 5/1eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		11.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
88.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 Double/Pass 
Pip=53-69
 
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 86.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 86.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 13.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 13.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.732 +1.305
Cubeful Equities
     No redouble:+0.918 (-0.082)±0.001 (+0.916..+0.919)
     Redouble/Take:+1.038 (+0.038)±0.002 (+1.036..+1.040)
played Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 28 seconds

Μετά από τρεις μεγάλες διπλές μου, το take για τον Marc μόλις που έγινε μικρό λάθος.

 Wins 2pts. 
 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
3
-0.135(-0.82%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 3(1)
-0.202(-0.97%)
0
+0.000		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
3
-0.135(-0.82%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 3(1)
-0.202(-0.97%)
5
+0.742(+7.57%)		 Joker
Luck		 4
-0.742(-7.57%)
World Class
4.82		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 Expert
5.95
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on 30-Jul-19 4:09:46 PM