Previous Game Game 10  

Click here for printer friendly version  Click here to download the session  Click here to download the session (XG format)

13 point match, Score is mman: 11, marcvd: 5

Quick Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
World Class (-0.0091) Total Error World Champ. (-0.0039)
World Class (-0.0087) Checker Play World Class (-0.0054)
Advanced (-0.0160) Cube Play World Champ. (+0.0000)
4.54 Performance Rating 1.95

 54: 24/20 13/8 
Pip=167-167
 
1.playedBook124/20 13/8eq: -0.248
Player:
Opponent:		50.32% (G:15.56% B:2.34%)
49.68% (G:13.70% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.256...-0.240) - [97.9%]
2.Book224/15eq: -0.256 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		50.32% (G:13.66% B:1.69%)
49.68% (G:14.04% B:0.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.260...-0.253) - [2.1%]
3.Book113/9 13/8eq: -0.280 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:		49.53% (G:16.80% B:2.47%)
50.47% (G:13.95% B:0.62%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.288...-0.271) - [0.0%]
4.Book313/4eq: -0.349 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:		48.44% (G:13.94% B:0.73%)
51.56% (G:14.38% B:0.70%)
5.4-ply24/20 8/3eq: -0.423 (-0.176)
Player:
Opponent:		46.35% (G:12.12% B:0.57%)
53.65% (G:15.58% B:0.77%)
 
1 Generated by Miran Tuhtan on 26-Jan-13 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 Generated by Steven Carey on 01-Aug-12 using eXtreme Gammon 2.10
23328 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 53850934
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 21-May-11 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00
Analyzed in XG Roller++
 No double 
Pip=158-167
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 49.45% (G:13.41% B:0.48%) 49.41% (G:13.48% B:0.47%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 50.55% (G:13.72% B:0.71%) 50.59% (G:13.87% B:0.77%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.083 +0.109
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.244
     Double/Take:+0.109 (-0.135)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.756)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.2%
 63: 13/7 8/5*  
Pip=158-167
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/7 8/5* eq: +0.090
Player:
Opponent:		45.26% (G:11.95% B:0.42%)
54.74% (G:16.63% B:1.21%)
2.XG Roller++24/18 8/5* eq: +0.043 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		45.06% (G:10.43% B:0.38%)
54.94% (G:16.72% B:0.77%)
3.XG Roller++13/4eq: +0.008 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		44.05% (G:9.77% B:0.30%)
55.95% (G:14.62% B:0.74%)
4.XG Roller++24/15eq: +0.007 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		44.99% (G:8.40% B:0.28%)
55.01% (G:14.14% B:0.51%)
5.XG Roller++24/21 13/7eq: +0.003 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		43.90% (G:9.62% B:0.31%)
56.10% (G:14.35% B:0.64%)
 55: Bar/20* 20/15 8/3(2) 
Pip=163-158
 
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/20* 13/3 8/3eq: +0.194
Player:
Opponent:		59.39% (G:23.97% B:2.41%)
40.61% (G:8.83% B:0.33%)
2.playedXG Roller++Bar/20* 20/15 8/3(2)eq: +0.186 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		59.66% (G:22.99% B:2.31%)
40.34% (G:9.36% B:0.35%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/20* 20/10 13/8eq: +0.111 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		58.26% (G:20.02% B:1.59%)
41.74% (G:9.79% B:0.34%)
4.4-plyBar/20* 20/5eq: +0.011 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		56.35% (G:17.07% B:1.05%)
43.65% (G:10.86% B:0.41%)
5.4-plyBar/20* 20/15 13/8(2)eq: -0.017 (-0.211)
Player:
Opponent:		55.36% (G:18.12% B:1.24%)
44.64% (G:11.31% B:0.42%)
 11: Bar/24 8/7 6/5(2) 
Pip=143-178
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 8/7 6/5(2)eq: +0.077
Player:
Opponent:		45.85% (G:11.10% B:0.42%)
54.15% (G:20.05% B:1.88%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/5(2)eq: +0.066 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		45.62% (G:10.94% B:0.42%)
54.38% (G:21.17% B:1.98%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/5(3)eq: +0.006 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		44.01% (G:10.51% B:0.43%)
55.99% (G:22.08% B:2.35%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 7/5 6/5eq: -0.015 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:		43.13% (G:10.69% B:0.35%)
56.87% (G:19.62% B:1.65%)
5.4-plyBar/23 24/23 6/5eq: -0.138 (-0.215)
Player:
Opponent:		41.01% (G:8.87% B:0.38%)
58.99% (G:25.76% B:2.06%)
 41: 24/23 15/11 
Pip=143-174
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 15/11eq: -0.155
Player:
Opponent:		51.72% (G:18.60% B:1.66%)
48.28% (G:12.49% B:0.46%)
2.XG Roller++15/11 6/5eq: -0.202 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		51.07% (G:18.74% B:1.64%)
48.93% (G:13.45% B:0.67%)
3.XG Roller++15/10eq: -0.232 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		49.81% (G:18.72% B:1.65%)
50.19% (G:12.88% B:0.51%)
4.4-ply15/14 13/9eq: -0.329 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		47.53% (G:16.55% B:1.38%)
52.47% (G:14.28% B:0.68%)
5.4-ply13/8eq: -0.329 (-0.174)
Player:
Opponent:		47.38% (G:16.07% B:1.23%)
52.62% (G:13.86% B:0.56%)
 No double 
Pip=138-174
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 48.54% (G:12.59% B:0.47%) 48.79% (G:12.39% B:0.46%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 51.46% (G:19.02% B:1.74%) 51.21% (G:20.15% B:1.91%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.188 +0.049
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.170
     Double/Take:+0.049 (-0.121)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.830)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.3%
 61: 24/18 8/7 
Pip=138-174
 
1.xgRollout124/23 8/2* eq: -0.007
Player:
Opponent:		43.48% (G:12.79% B:0.39%)
56.52% (G:21.69% B:5.60%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.023...+0.009) - [93.3%]
Duration: 29 minutes 07 seconds
2.playedRollout124/18 8/7eq: -0.024 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		43.75% (G:11.19% B:0.36%)
56.25% (G:21.97% B:5.75%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.039...-0.008) - [6.7%]
Duration: 30 minutes 21 seconds
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: -0.020 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		43.18% (G:10.41% B:0.39%)
56.82% (G:21.02% B:1.73%)
4.XG Roller++24/18 6/5eq: -0.058 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		43.00% (G:9.56% B:0.36%)
57.00% (G:23.33% B:2.24%)
5.XG Roller++13/6eq: -0.064 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		42.01% (G:10.28% B:0.37%)
57.99% (G:22.02% B:2.23%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 21: 23/22 13/11 
Pip=138-167
 
1.playedXG Roller++23/22 13/11eq: -0.001
Player:
Opponent:		55.85% (G:18.77% B:1.30%)
44.15% (G:11.52% B:0.40%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.059 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		54.18% (G:16.55% B:0.90%)
45.82% (G:11.49% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++11/8eq: -0.095 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		53.28% (G:16.47% B:0.94%)
46.72% (G:11.68% B:0.36%)
4.XG Roller++13/11 8/7* eq: -0.160 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		52.34% (G:18.30% B:1.38%)
47.66% (G:13.40% B:0.59%)
5.4-ply23/21 11/10eq: -0.180 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		51.42% (G:15.27% B:0.85%)
48.58% (G:12.79% B:0.46%)
 No double 
Pip=135-167
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 44.16% (G:11.45% B:0.37%) 44.19% (G:11.46% B:0.38%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 55.84% (G:19.26% B:1.39%) 55.81% (G:20.62% B:1.78%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.292 -0.185
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.004
     Double/Take:-0.185 (-0.182)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.004)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.3%
 43: 7/3* 6/3 
Pip=135-167
 
1.played4-ply7/3* 6/3eq: +0.228
Player:
Opponent:		48.72% (G:13.80% B:0.39%)
51.28% (G:15.03% B:1.02%)
2.4-ply13/10 7/3* eq: -0.010 (-0.238)
Player:
Opponent:		43.62% (G:11.22% B:0.41%)
56.38% (G:23.11% B:2.53%)
3.4-ply18/15 7/3* eq: -0.061 (-0.288)
Player:
Opponent:		42.18% (G:10.47% B:0.34%)
57.82% (G:20.58% B:1.93%)
4.3-ply13/9 6/3* eq: -0.116 (-0.344)
Player:
Opponent:		42.81% (G:10.39% B:0.39%)
57.19% (G:24.02% B:2.69%)
5.3-ply13/6eq: -0.146 (-0.374)
Player:
Opponent:		40.02% (G:9.53% B:0.29%)
59.98% (G:17.54% B:1.16%)
 21: Bar/24 13/11 
Pip=138-160
 
1.xgRollout1Bar/23 6/5eq: -0.290
Player:
Opponent:		50.16% (G:17.29% B:3.64%)
49.84% (G:15.79% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.304...-0.276) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 03 seconds
2.playedRollout1Bar/24 13/11eq: -0.396 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:		47.35% (G:17.69% B:2.95%)
52.65% (G:16.16% B:0.50%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.411...-0.382) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 16 seconds
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 8/7* eq: -0.401 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		47.68% (G:15.55% B:1.13%)
52.32% (G:17.31% B:0.84%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/4eq: -0.431 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		46.54% (G:14.63% B:0.78%)
53.46% (G:16.50% B:0.68%)
5.3-plyBar/23 11/10eq: -0.678 (-0.389)
Player:
Opponent:		42.48% (G:12.70% B:0.84%)
57.52% (G:20.02% B:0.99%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Δεν με εντυπωσιάζει τόσο το ότι το slot είναι το σωστό, όσο το πόσο πιο σωστό είναι, με δεδομένο το σκορ. Το slot κάνει τρεις δουλειές (ξεφορτώνει την 6, ετοιμάζει την 5 και βάζει το πούλι στο 23, ετοιμο να πεταχτεί στο outfield) ενώ το παίξιμό μου απλώς αποφεύγει τις βολές για μία ζαριά.

 No double 
Pip=135-160
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 52.61% (G:15.24% B:0.56%) 52.68% (G:15.12% B:0.55%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 47.39% (G:16.60% B:1.12%) 47.32% (G:16.96% B:1.17%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.044 +0.305
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.370
     Double/Take:+0.305 (-0.065)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.630)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.5%
 61: 24/23 24/18 
Pip=135-160
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/23 24/18eq: +0.284
Player:
Opponent:		50.90% (G:12.96% B:0.40%)
49.10% (G:15.34% B:0.48%)
2.XG Roller++13/6eq: +0.262 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		49.32% (G:14.13% B:0.49%)
50.68% (G:15.86% B:1.26%)
3.XG Roller++24/23 13/7eq: +0.176 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		47.70% (G:13.26% B:0.54%)
52.30% (G:18.53% B:0.94%)
4.4-ply24/18 7/6eq: +0.080 (-0.204)
Player:
Opponent:		45.58% (G:11.76% B:0.30%)
54.42% (G:17.35% B:0.57%)
5.3-ply7/6 7/1* eq: -0.058 (-0.342)
Player:
Opponent:		42.30% (G:11.89% B:0.30%)
57.70% (G:19.34% B:1.64%)
 43: 24/17 
Pip=135-153
 
1.playedXG Roller++24/17eq: -0.153
Player:
Opponent:		52.92% (G:12.20% B:0.40%)
47.08% (G:12.46% B:0.33%)
2.XG Roller++24/21 6/2* eq: -0.270 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		50.05% (G:15.21% B:0.50%)
49.95% (G:14.79% B:0.49%)
3.4-ply11/8 6/2* eq: -0.479 (-0.326)
Player:
Opponent:		44.35% (G:13.46% B:0.33%)
55.65% (G:15.69% B:0.64%)
4.3-ply6/3 6/2* eq: -0.553 (-0.400)
Player:
Opponent:		42.91% (G:12.86% B:0.30%)
57.09% (G:16.64% B:0.62%)
5.3-ply11/4eq: -0.596 (-0.442)
Player:
Opponent:		42.08% (G:12.62% B:0.36%)
57.92% (G:17.03% B:0.63%)
 No double 
Pip=128-153
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 47.38% (G:12.80% B:0.35%) 47.22% (G:12.59% B:0.33%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 52.62% (G:12.90% B:0.47%) 52.78% (G:13.10% B:0.48%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.120 -0.020
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.160
     Double/Take:-0.020 (-0.179)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.840)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.0%
 43: 13/6 
Pip=128-153
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/6eq: -0.136
Player:
Opponent:		40.14% (G:8.24% B:0.17%)
59.86% (G:11.82% B:0.32%)
2.XG Roller++13/9 7/4eq: -0.171 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		39.75% (G:8.84% B:0.20%)
60.25% (G:16.30% B:0.71%)
3.XG Roller++13/10 13/9eq: -0.189 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		39.03% (G:8.44% B:0.22%)
60.97% (G:17.33% B:0.69%)
4.XG Roller++7/4 7/3eq: -0.257 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		37.04% (G:7.54% B:0.14%)
62.96% (G:15.11% B:0.49%)
5.4-ply13/10 7/3eq: -0.282 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:		36.31% (G:7.22% B:0.15%)
63.69% (G:16.29% B:0.47%)
 65: 17/6 
Pip=128-146
 
1.xgRollout117/11 6/1eq: +0.255
Player:
Opponent:		61.86% (G:14.71% B:0.30%)
38.14% (G:8.99% B:0.22%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.243...+0.267) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 29 seconds
2.playedRollout117/6eq: +0.195 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		60.56% (G:13.73% B:0.61%)
39.44% (G:9.11% B:0.21%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.183...+0.207) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 54 seconds
3.3-ply17/11 13/8eq: -0.254 (-0.509)
Player:
Opponent:		49.46% (G:9.26% B:0.27%)
50.54% (G:10.81% B:0.18%)
4.3-ply17/11 8/3eq: -0.443 (-0.698)
Player:
Opponent:		45.54% (G:9.32% B:0.18%)
54.46% (G:14.88% B:0.25%)
5.2-ply8/3 8/2* eq: -0.577 (-0.832)
Player:
Opponent:		43.77% (G:10.10% B:0.17%)
56.23% (G:18.98% B:0.63%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Και πάλι το ξεφόρτωμα. Εδώ αξίζει τόσο που να πρέπει να θάψει κανείς πούλι στον άσο για να βελτιώσει την κατανομή του.


 21: 13/10 
Pip=117-146
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/10eq: -0.194
Player:
Opponent:		39.01% (G:7.84% B:0.19%)
60.99% (G:13.68% B:0.30%)
2.XG Roller++7/4eq: -0.222 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		38.50% (G:7.81% B:0.16%)
61.50% (G:14.39% B:0.37%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: -0.225 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		38.10% (G:7.56% B:0.17%)
61.90% (G:14.55% B:0.31%)
4.XG Roller++6/4 5/4eq: -0.237 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		38.17% (G:7.58% B:0.16%)
61.83% (G:14.62% B:0.34%)
5.XG Roller++13/11 7/6eq: -0.267 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		36.85% (G:7.33% B:0.15%)
63.15% (G:14.30% B:0.39%)
 44: 13/9(2) 6/2*(2)  
Pip=117-143
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/9(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.828
Player:
Opponent:		76.03% (G:25.00% B:0.61%)
23.97% (G:3.16% B:0.11%)
2.xgXG Roller++13/5(2)eq: +0.801 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		76.19% (G:19.83% B:0.26%)
23.81% (G:2.64% B:0.08%)
3.XG Roller++8/4(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.734 (-0.094)
Player:
Opponent:		71.12% (G:30.74% B:0.67%)
28.88% (G:4.65% B:0.18%)
4.4-ply13/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.623 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		72.06% (G:15.25% B:0.20%)
27.94% (G:3.59% B:0.11%)
5.2-ply6/2*(4) eq: +0.059 (-0.769)
Player:
Opponent:		57.66% (G:14.66% B:0.18%)
42.34% (G:9.30% B:0.25%)

Όσο όμορφο κι αν φαίνεται το 8/4(2) 6/2*(2), αποτυγχάνει να καθαρίσει τη midpoint. Μόλις ο αντίπαλος μπει θα έχω μεγάλο πρόβλημα. Η ευκαιρία είναι τώρα.

 31: Bar/24 13/10 
Pip=101-145
 
1.playedXG Roller++Bar/24 13/10eq: -0.632
Player:
Opponent:		28.39% (G:3.96% B:0.10%)
71.61% (G:21.05% B:0.34%)
2.xgXG Roller++Bar/24 7/4eq: -0.669 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		27.50% (G:3.95% B:0.09%)
72.50% (G:23.09% B:0.74%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/24 10/7eq: -0.690 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		26.51% (G:3.52% B:0.09%)
73.49% (G:21.89% B:0.35%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/3eq: -0.744 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		25.20% (G:3.43% B:0.09%)
74.80% (G:24.54% B:0.60%)
5.4-plyBar/24 5/2eq: -0.803 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:		21.81% (G:3.70% B:0.09%)
78.19% (G:26.80% B:0.66%)
 No double 
Pip=101-141
 
Analyzed in 4-ply No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71.93% (G:19.81% B:0.19%) 71.71% (G:19.94% B:0.23%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28.07% (G:3.99% B:0.06%) 28.29% (G:3.57% B:0.05%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.696 +1.133
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.602
     Double/Take:-0.111 (-0.713)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.398)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 39.1%

Παρά την εξαιρετική θέση μου, ο βίδος θα ήταν βέβαια τεράστιο λάθος. Σ' αυτό το σκορ το double/take παράθυρο του βίδου είναι τόσο μικρό που σχεδόν πάντα περνάει κανείς από το no double στο πάσο ή και στο too good.

 43: 11/8 6/2 
Pip=101-141
 
1.played4-ply11/8 6/2eq: +0.580
Player:
Opponent:		70.65% (G:15.85% B:0.24%)
29.35% (G:3.85% B:0.11%)
2.4-ply6/3 6/2eq: +0.372 (-0.208)
Player:
Opponent:		65.11% (G:14.47% B:0.20%)
34.89% (G:5.52% B:0.16%)
3.3-ply11/4eq: +0.238 (-0.342)
Player:
Opponent:		62.13% (G:17.72% B:0.30%)
37.87% (G:7.14% B:0.18%)
4.3-ply9/6 9/5eq: +0.231 (-0.350)
Player:
Opponent:		61.29% (G:15.69% B:0.23%)
38.71% (G:6.13% B:0.12%)
5.3-ply8/1* eq: +0.221 (-0.359)
Player:
Opponent:		62.30% (G:16.90% B:0.21%)
37.70% (G:8.43% B:0.21%)
 62: 10/4 6/4 
Pip=94-141
 
1.playedXG Roller++10/4 6/4eq: -0.555
Player:
Opponent:		30.36% (G:3.74% B:0.08%)
69.64% (G:14.30% B:0.12%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 10/4eq: -0.614 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		28.53% (G:3.92% B:0.09%)
71.47% (G:17.90% B:0.42%)
3.XG Roller++13/7 6/4eq: -0.616 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		28.13% (G:3.79% B:0.09%)
71.87% (G:17.45% B:0.26%)
4.XG Roller++10/8 10/4eq: -0.617 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		28.66% (G:3.92% B:0.09%)
71.34% (G:18.48% B:0.37%)
5.XG Roller++13/5eq: -0.631 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		27.18% (G:3.60% B:0.08%)
72.82% (G:16.57% B:0.20%)
 62: 11/9 11/5 
Pip=94-133
 
1.playedXG Roller++11/9 11/5eq: +0.136
Player:
Opponent:		55.65% (G:11.02% B:0.13%)
44.35% (G:5.80% B:0.14%)
2.XG Roller++11/5 8/6eq: +0.065 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		54.26% (G:12.31% B:0.14%)
45.74% (G:12.41% B:0.41%)
3.XG Roller++11/3eq: +0.044 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		52.03% (G:10.88% B:0.16%)
47.97% (G:7.52% B:0.23%)
4.4-ply11/9 8/2eq: -0.020 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:		50.69% (G:8.57% B:0.16%)
49.31% (G:7.81% B:0.20%)
5.4-ply8/2 6/4eq: -0.105 (-0.240)
Player:
Opponent:		48.91% (G:9.36% B:0.13%)
51.09% (G:11.70% B:0.31%)
 No double 
Pip=86-133
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 44.08% (G:5.82% B:0.13%) 44.95% (G:6.16% B:0.16%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 55.92% (G:11.08% B:0.12%) 55.05% (G:13.27% B:0.17%)
  Cubeless Equities -0.227 -0.313
Cubeful Equities
played No double:-0.140
     Double/Take:-0.313 (-0.173)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.140)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.6%
 51: 13/8 10/9 
Pip=86-133
 
1.playedXG Roller++13/8 10/9eq: -0.777
Player:
Opponent:		23.50% (G:2.21% B:0.05%)
76.50% (G:15.79% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++13/8 7/6eq: -0.779 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		23.39% (G:2.20% B:0.04%)
76.61% (G:15.80% B:0.12%)
3.XG Roller++13/12 10/5eq: -0.781 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		23.24% (G:2.15% B:0.05%)
76.76% (G:15.46% B:0.12%)
4.XG Roller++13/7eq: -0.783 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		23.13% (G:2.19% B:0.06%)
76.87% (G:15.55% B:0.12%)
5.XG Roller++13/12 7/2eq: -0.785 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		23.27% (G:2.32% B:0.04%)
76.73% (G:17.54% B:0.16%)
 42: 9/5 8/6 
Pip=86-127
 
1.played3-ply9/5 8/6eq: +0.987
Player:
Opponent:		82.27% (G:15.52% B:0.10%)
17.73% (G:1.11% B:0.01%)
2.3-ply6/2 5/3eq: +0.475 (-0.512)
Player:
Opponent:		68.17% (G:9.51% B:0.08%)
31.83% (G:3.40% B:0.01%)
3.3-ply9/5 6/4eq: +0.317 (-0.669)
Player:
Opponent:		61.45% (G:13.73% B:0.21%)
38.55% (G:5.02% B:0.10%)
4.3-ply8/4 6/4eq: +0.285 (-0.702)
Player:
Opponent:		59.94% (G:11.48% B:0.15%)
40.06% (G:4.74% B:0.07%)
5.2-ply8/6 5/1* eq: +0.321 (-0.666)
Player:
Opponent:		60.84% (G:11.79% B:0.10%)
39.16% (G:5.71% B:0.13%)
 33: 7/1(2) 
Pip=80-127
 
1.xgXG Roller++9/6 8/2 7/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		17.62% (G:1.06% B:0.03%)
82.38% (G:15.77% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller++18/15 18/12 9/6eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		14.64% (G:0.48% B:0.01%)
85.36% (G:9.49% B:0.06%)
3.XG Roller++9/3 8/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		17.61% (G:1.07% B:0.03%)
82.39% (G:16.44% B:0.16%)
4.XG Roller++9/3 8/5 7/4eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		16.40% (G:0.92% B:0.03%)
83.60% (G:15.08% B:0.14%)
5.XG Roller++9/6 8/2 5/2eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		16.90% (G:0.99% B:0.03%)
83.10% (G:16.21% B:0.15%)
6.playedXG Roller++7/1(2)eq: -1.000
Player:
Opponent:		16.63% (G:0.97% B:0.02%)
83.37% (G:16.85% B:0.16%)
 No double 
Pip=80-115
 
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 83.62% (G:16.00% B:0.13%) 82.70% (G:18.14% B:0.18%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 16.38% (G:0.83% B:0.02%) 17.30% (G:0.56% B:0.01%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.904 +1.710
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.984 (-0.016)
     Double/Take:+1.142 (+0.142)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Και εδώ θα ήταν αδύνατο να υπολοιγιστεί το σωστό cube action, οπότε έπαιξα με ασφάλεια, γνωρίζοντας ότι το λανθασμένο no double (όπως στην παρτίδα) θα ήταν μικρό λάθος, ενώ το λανθασμένο double τεράστιο σφάλμα.

 22: 6/4(2) 3/1*(2)  
Pip=80-115
 
1.playedXG Roller++6/4(2) 3/1*(2) eq: +1.182
Player:
Opponent:		86.96% (G:30.83% B:0.11%)
13.04% (G:0.82% B:0.03%)
2.XG Roller++8/4(2)eq: +1.060 (-0.122)
Player:
Opponent:		90.55% (G:13.48% B:0.10%)
9.45% (G:0.55% B:0.01%)
3.4-ply5/1*(2) eq: +0.999 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:		83.62% (G:18.71% B:0.06%)
16.38% (G:1.32% B:0.04%)
4.4-ply6/4(4)eq: +0.976 (-0.205)
Player:
Opponent:		82.20% (G:13.15% B:0.15%)
17.80% (G:1.07% B:0.03%)
5.4-ply6/4(2) 5/3(2)eq: +0.932 (-0.250)
Player:
Opponent:		80.71% (G:9.46% B:0.09%)
19.29% (G:1.14% B:0.03%)
 21: Cannot Move 
Pip=72-116
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.259
Player:
Opponent:		12.33% (G:0.79% B:0.03%)
87.67% (G:37.05% B:0.13%)
 54: 9/5 9/4 
Pip=72-116
 
1.played3-ply9/5 9/4eq: +1.283
Player:
Opponent:		90.09% (G:35.73% B:0.15%)
9.91% (G:0.45% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply9/4 8/4eq: +0.874 (-0.409)
Player:
Opponent:		76.16% (G:31.69% B:0.23%)
23.84% (G:4.21% B:0.09%)
3.3-ply8/4 8/3eq: +0.807 (-0.476)
Player:
Opponent:		72.67% (G:36.80% B:0.24%)
27.33% (G:2.55% B:0.03%)
4.3-ply6/2 6/1eq: +0.797 (-0.485)
Player:
Opponent:		77.16% (G:15.16% B:0.06%)
22.84% (G:2.08% B:0.01%)
5.3-ply9/5 8/3eq: +0.638 (-0.645)
Player:
Opponent:		69.04% (G:39.61% B:0.19%)
30.96% (G:15.65% B:0.76%)
 21: Cannot Move 
Pip=63-116
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.384
Player:
Opponent:		10.44% (G:0.26% B:0.01%)
89.56% (G:42.98% B:0.11%)
 21: 5/3 4/3 
Pip=63-116
 
1.played3-ply5/3 4/3eq: +1.735
Player:
Opponent:		95.28% (G:58.73% B:0.19%)
4.72% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply8/6 2/1eq: +1.236 (-0.499)
Player:
Opponent:		86.66% (G:39.44% B:0.20%)
13.34% (G:0.35% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply8/5eq: +1.201 (-0.534)
Player:
Opponent:		86.91% (G:36.02% B:0.18%)
13.09% (G:0.42% B:0.01%)
4.3-ply8/6 5/4eq: +1.193 (-0.541)
Player:
Opponent:		86.83% (G:35.48% B:0.19%)
13.17% (G:0.40% B:0.00%)
5.3-ply5/2eq: +1.156 (-0.579)
Player:
Opponent:		85.90% (G:32.66% B:0.13%)
14.10% (G:0.64% B:0.00%)
 52: Cannot Move 
Pip=60-116
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.735
Player:
Opponent:		4.72% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
95.28% (G:58.73% B:0.19%)
 43: 8/5 8/4 
Pip=60-116
 
1.played4-ply8/5 8/4eq: +1.833
Player:
Opponent:		96.46% (G:62.46% B:0.13%)
3.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply8/1eq: +1.616 (-0.217)
Player:
Opponent:		90.83% (G:57.62% B:0.11%)
9.17% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
3.3-ply6/3 6/2eq: +1.351 (-0.482)
Player:
Opponent:		93.16% (G:34.30% B:0.09%)
6.84% (G:0.15% B:0.00%)
4.3-ply5/2 5/1eq: +1.203 (-0.630)
Player:
Opponent:		87.23% (G:32.65% B:0.08%)
12.77% (G:0.59% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply8/4 6/3eq: +0.921 (-0.912)
Player:
Opponent:		71.75% (G:42.88% B:0.09%)
28.25% (G:6.93% B:0.20%)
 53: Cannot Move 
Pip=53-116
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.827
Player:
Opponent:		3.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
96.30% (G:62.48% B:0.16%)
 64: 6/2 6/Off 
Pip=53-116
 
1.played3-ply6/2 6/Offeq: +1.783
Player:
Opponent:		98.11% (G:56.63% B:0.14%)
1.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.3-ply6/Off 4/Offeq: +1.209 (-0.574)
Player:
Opponent:		77.57% (G:52.16% B:0.22%)
22.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply6/Off 5/1eq: +1.101 (-0.683)
Player:
Opponent:		74.40% (G:49.01% B:0.08%)
25.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 22: Cannot Move 
Pip=43-116
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -1.946
Player:
Opponent:		2.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
97.17% (G:68.31% B:0.09%)
 53: 5/Off 4/1 
Pip=43-116
 
1.played3-ply5/Off 4/1eq: +1.954
Player:
Opponent:		98.92% (G:66.39% B:0.05%)
1.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.2-ply5/2 5/Offeq: +1.127 (-0.827)
Player:
Opponent:		75.91% (G:48.27% B:0.08%)
24.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.2-ply5/Off 3/Offeq: +1.006 (-0.948)
Player:
Opponent:		72.46% (G:46.97% B:0.11%)
27.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 33: Cannot Move 
Pip=35-116
 
1.played3-plyCannot Moveeq: -2.076
Player:
Opponent:		1.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
98.33% (G:75.13% B:0.04%)
 31: 3/2 3/Off 
Pip=35-116
 
1.playedXG Roller++3/2 3/Offeq: +1.813
Player:
Opponent:		95.16% (G:62.15% B:0.23%)
4.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++5/4 5/2eq: +1.780 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		95.57% (G:59.30% B:0.05%)
4.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++4/3 4/1eq: +1.757 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		95.37% (G:58.26% B:0.06%)
4.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.2-ply5/2 1/Offeq: +1.081 (-0.732)
Player:
Opponent:		72.77% (G:51.09% B:0.08%)
27.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.2-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: +1.054 (-0.759)
Player:
Opponent:		71.70% (G:51.41% B:0.15%)
28.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Απλή μέτρηση βολών και παίζω το πιο ασφαλές, αλλά και το πιο γρήγορο, αφού παίρνει πούλι. Εξάλλου τα διπλα παραμένουν πάρα πολλά, λόγω των τεσσάρων επιπλέον πουλίων του στο outfield.

 31: Bar/22 9/8 
Pip=31-116
 
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 18/17eq: -1.722
Player:
Opponent:		7.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.39% (G:60.71% B:0.28%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22 8/7eq: -1.733 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		7.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.51% (G:61.12% B:0.16%)
3.playedXG Roller++Bar/22 9/8eq: -1.735 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		7.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.28% (G:61.80% B:0.22%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/22 3/2eq: -1.769 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		6.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.01% (G:63.21% B:0.34%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 6/5eq: -1.795 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:		6.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
93.28% (G:64.03% B:0.25%)
 64: 5/1 5/Off 
Pip=31-112
 
1.played3-ply5/1 5/Offeq: +1.812
Player:
Opponent:		95.14% (G:65.04% B:0.04%)
4.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.1-ply5/Off 4/Offeq: +0.365 (-1.447)
Player:
Opponent:		57.80% (G:32.32% B:0.02%)
42.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 41: 18/13 
Pip=22-112
 
1.xgXG Roller++18/14 8/7eq: -1.985
Player:
Opponent:		4.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.22% (G:73.64% B:0.96%)
2.playedXG Roller++18/13eq: -1.996 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		4.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.18% (G:74.34% B:0.61%)
3.XG Roller++18/17 18/14eq: -1.996 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		4.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.20% (G:74.37% B:1.17%)
4.XG Roller++18/17 8/4eq: -2.022 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		4.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.40% (G:75.73% B:0.71%)
5.XG Roller++18/14 3/2eq: -2.032 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:		4.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.80% (G:75.98% B:0.93%)
 64: 4/Off(2) 
Pip=22-107
 
1.played3-ply4/Off(2)eq: +2.198
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:80.12% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 53: 18/10 
Pip=14-107
 
1.xgRollout122/17 13/10eq: -2.235
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:82.55% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (-2.236...-2.234) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13.5 seconds
2.playedRollout118/10eq: -2.276 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:85.28% B:1.75%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (-2.277...-2.275) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12.3 seconds
3.XG Roller++22/17 8/5eq: -2.238 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:82.75% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++13/5eq: -2.256 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:83.98% B:0.70%)
5.XG Roller++22/17 18/15eq: -2.278 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:85.46% B:0.00%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Το 22/17 13/10 κάνει δύο crossovers αντί για ένα που κάνει το 18/10. Απλό λάθος, αλλά ο Marc δικαιολογείται από το εξαρετικά αρνητικό ζάρι.

 62: 2/Off(2) 
Pip=14-99
 
1.played3-ply2/Off(2)eq: +2.237
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:82.67% B:0.10%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 31: 13/12 8/5 
Pip=10-99
 
1.XG Roller++22/21 8/5eq: -2.363
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:91.12% B:2.40%)
2.playedXG Roller++13/12 8/5eq: -2.368 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:91.42% B:2.36%)
3.XG Roller++22/19 13/12eq: -2.379 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:92.19% B:0.32%)
4.XG Roller++13/10 8/7eq: -2.380 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:92.26% B:1.77%)
5.XG Roller++8/7 8/5eq: -2.381 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:92.32% B:1.54%)
 61: 2/Off 1/Off 
Pip=10-95
 
1.playedXG Roller++2/Off 1/Offeq: +2.344
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:89.87% B:2.46%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++2/1 2/Offeq: +2.343 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:89.81% B:3.17%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 41: 22/21 10/6 
Pip=7-95
 
1.playedXG Roller++22/21 10/6eq: -2.428
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.44% B:5.20%)
2.xgXG Roller++12/11 10/6eq: -2.430 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:95.59% B:5.57%)
3.XG Roller++10/6 8/7eq: -2.437 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.10% B:3.58%)
4.XG Roller++22/18 8/7eq: -2.438 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.15% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++22/18 10/9eq: -2.440 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:96.30% B:0.00%)
 33: 2/Off(2) 1/Off(2) 
Pip=7-90
 
1.played3-ply2/Off(2) 1/Off(2)eq: +2.496
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 65: 8/2 6/1 
Pip=1-90
 
1.XG Roller++21/15 6/1eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
2.xgXG Roller++21/15 8/3eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller++21/15 12/7eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller++21/10eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++21/16 8/2eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:0.00%)
6.playedXG Roller++8/2 6/1eq: -2.496
Player:
Opponent:		0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
100.00% (G:100.00% B:100.00%)
 64: 1/Off 
Pip=1-79
 
1.played3-ply1/Offeq: +2.496
Player:
Opponent:		100.00% (G:100.00% B:100.00%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 Wins a Backgammon 3pts. 
 

Game Summary:

mman  Category marcvd 
2(1)
-0.175(-0.79%)		 Move Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 1
-0.086(-0.39%)
0
-0.016(-0.07%)		 Double Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0
+0.000		 Take Errors
Equity lost (cost)		 0
+0.000
0 Outplays 0
2(1)
-0.191(-0.86%)		 Total Error
Equity lost (cost)		 1
-0.086(-0.39%)
3
+2.825(+12.75%)		 Joker
Luck		 1
-2.825(-12.75%)
World Class
4.54		 Level of Play
Performance Rating		 World Champ.
1.95
Previous Game    

Click here for the Legend
Export made by eXtreme Gammon 2.10 ©2009-2012 GameSite 2000 Ltd.
on 30-Jul-19 4:09:50 PM